2015 MLB plays

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #596
    Originally posted by BigDofBA
    I literally bet against them like 5 times a year.

    I have to feel really strong to fade them. I still feel like I made a good wager. Just got unlucky. It happens although stranding 18 is about an all-time bad performance.
    You did make a good wager. An excellent one. That's the point. This is just a waste of time and money.
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #597
      Originally posted by No coincidences
      Seriously, I'm out.

      There is no skill involved with this shit. None. We're all just flipping coins and hoping to get lucky.

      Might come back later, but I can't take this shit anymore. It's just excruciating loss after excruciating loss for six months straight. About as far from fun as it gets.

      I'm cleaning out the rest of my accounts at my three active books immediately.
      we all need a break sometimes buddy. couldnt imagine grinding and betting the amount of days you do a year cause you take far fewer breaks than myself who likes to get away weeks at a time several times a year.. hate to see ya feel that way but im sure after some time off you will probably get yourself into a better frame of mind.. hope to see ya sometime again this season (maybe after my 2 week after all star break break, lol)..
      Comment
      • BigDofBA
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 09-30-09
        • 19313

        #598
        Originally posted by No coincidences
        You did make a good wager. An excellent one. That's the point. This is just a waste of time and money.
        I've been getting killed too. I'm not even upping my wagers but still losing a ton.

        Heavy favorites lose. Dogs are down 5 in the third inning and loses. Good wagers at even money lose.

        I bet totals and the teams score 6 runs in the first three innings and then nothing after that.

        I take unders the teams score like five times in extras to push it over.

        It really is just flipping coins. I would almost feel better if I flipped a coin and lost. At least there was no thought or time wasted trying to cap the shit.
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #599
          Originally posted by BigDofBA
          I would almost feel better if I flipped a coin and lost. At least there was no thought or time wasted trying to cap the shit.
          Exactly.
          Comment
          • bhoor
            SBR MVP
            • 12-17-12
            • 2256

            #600
            NC, I'm not sure what was the advantage you found from Pitts bet. Well, bet 20 units on Rockies (+119), you will be back to even. I do not want to call pick of the night or of thread but Rockies would win this one.

            Cheers!
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #601
              Originally posted by 2daBank
              we all need a break sometimes buddy. couldnt imagine grinding and betting the amount of days you do a year cause you take far fewer breaks than myself who likes to get away weeks at a time several times a year.. hate to see ya feel that way but im sure after some time off you will probably get yourself into a better frame of mind.. hope to see ya sometime again this season (maybe after my 2 week after all star break break, lol)..
              Thanks, Bank. To be honest, I just hang around here for the discussion more than anything else anymore. I'm not winning shit, and haven't since December. It's just games/results like this over and over and over again, no matter what the sport. Completely waste of time and life.
              Comment
              • 2daBank
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-26-09
                • 88966

                #602
                Originally posted by BigDofBA
                I literally bet against them like 5 times a year.

                I have to feel really strong to fade them. I still feel like I made a good wager. Just got unlucky. It happens although stranding 18 is about an all-time bad performance.
                i feel strongly against far more than 5 times a year!!! prob a once a week avg. some weeks none but others several depending how they playing at time.. today was great bet, mf'ers strand 18 runners, lose in the 13th (or whatever) inning, and they were dogs, that means you made the right play.. that why i love bases tho, enough plays where that kind of stuff works itself out, you make enough plays like that you end the year on top..
                Comment
                • BigDofBA
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 09-30-09
                  • 19313

                  #603
                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                  i feel strongly against far more than 5 times a year!!! prob a once a week avg. some weeks none but others several depending how they playing at time.. today was great bet, mf'ers strand 18 runners, lose in the 13th (or whatever) inning, and they were dogs, that means you made the right play.. that why i love bases tho, enough plays where that kind of stuff works itself out, you make enough plays like that you end the year on top..
                  Don't get me wrong, there are several other times I'll have that gut feeling the Cards will lose but won't play it just BC it's hard for me to bet against them. Most of the time they end of losing too.

                  I hardly ever lose a wager when I actually fade them but like I said, I don't fade them that often.
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #604
                    Originally posted by bhoor
                    NC, I'm not sure what was the advantage you found from Pitts bet. Well, bet 20 units on Rockies (+119), you will be back to even. I do not want to call pick of the night or of thread but Rockies would win this one.

                    Cheers!
                    because the price on that gm was off. liriano against lackey a mismatch and cards hate liriano. with the way that gm went pit wins it a insanely high percentage of the time..pit was the right play, every day, the outcome is irrelevant. they were a far better play than rockies whether they win or lose. some ppl dont understand that tho..
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #605
                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                      because the price on that gm was off. liriano against lackey a mismatch and cards hate liriano. with the way that gm went pit wins it a insanely high percentage of the time..pit was the right play, every day, the outcome is irrelevant. they were a far better play than rockies whether they win or lose. some ppl dont understand that tho..
                      Yet the people who "don't understand" that are absolutely killing it. That's what drives me fvcking crazy. I put a lot of time and effort into capping games, and for what? This? So that I can lose 70% of my bankroll in less than a year?
                      Comment
                      • 2daBank
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 01-26-09
                        • 88966

                        #606
                        Originally posted by BigDofBA
                        Don't get me wrong, there are several other times I'll have that gut feeling the Cards will lose but won't play it just BC it's hard for me to bet against them. Most of the time they end of losing too.

                        I hardly ever lose a wager when I actually fade them but like I said, I don't fade them that often.
                        ive always been told being a realist makes me a shitty fan. whatever. way i see it every team gonna lose 60 gms at least, why shouldnt i profit when they losing theirs? in the playoffs i rarely do it, last week i kinda sold my soul a little, actually went to the phils gm with money on hamels. had my cards gear on and fake rooting for them but i was all bout philly winning and happy as hell when they did! lol
                        Comment
                        • RavensFan2k3
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 08-18-12
                          • 17378

                          #607
                          Originally posted by bhoor
                          NC, I'm not sure what was the advantage you found from Pitts bet. Well, bet 20 units on Rockies (+119), you will be back to even. I do not want to call pick of the night or of thread but Rockies would win this one.

                          Cheers!
                          They would win this one? Would win if...?
                          Comment
                          • No coincidences
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 76300

                            #608
                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                            ive always been told being a realist makes me a shitty fan. whatever. way i see it every team gonna lose 60 gms at least, why shouldnt i profit when they losing theirs? in the playoffs i rarely do it, last week i kinda sold my soul a little, actually went to the phils gm with money on hamels. had my cards gear on and fake rooting for them but i was all bout philly winning and happy as hell when they did! lol
                            That's funny shit.
                            Comment
                            • bhoor
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-17-12
                              • 2256

                              #609
                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                              Yet the people who "don't understand" that are absolutely killing it. That's what drives me fvcking crazy. I put a lot of time and effort into capping games, and for what? This? So that I can lose 70% of my bankroll in less than a year?
                              If that's the case, books will go bankrupt.
                              Comment
                              • bhoor
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-17-12
                                • 2256

                                #610
                                Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                                They would win this one? Would win if...?
                                I do not want to say guaranteed or lock word here. Rockies and Brewers are my top-2 plays today, with Brewers cashing in for 4units.
                                Comment
                                • 2daBank
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-26-09
                                  • 88966

                                  #611
                                  Originally posted by bhoor
                                  If that's the case, books will go bankrupt.
                                  not really,, in this day and age they dont give a shit who wins. so much information and so many ppl that bet with the kind of ideology NC does. for every "square" winning on plays NC thinks "to good to be true" there a guy that considers himself sharp losing on the same play.. doesnt matter to them who they transfer money to that day after collecting their vig..
                                  Comment
                                  • RavensFan2k3
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 08-18-12
                                    • 17378

                                    #612
                                    Originally posted by bhoor
                                    I do not want to say guaranteed or lock word here. Rockies and Brewers are my top-2 plays today, with Brewers cashing in for 4units.
                                    Goodluck bro, I'll see you in your thread
                                    Comment
                                    • BigDofBA
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-30-09
                                      • 19313

                                      #613
                                      Houston is -137 tonight?

                                      Wtf.

                                      I realize they're hot and I knew they would he undervalued this year but now it seems like they're getting too much love.
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #614
                                        Hell, look at Toronto today.

                                        Kluber is 0-3 and pitching for one of the worst teams/bullpens in baseball right now. Toronto has one of the best lineups around. Yet the books just give away free money anyway with the Jays at +160. Makes zero sense.
                                        Comment
                                        • No coincidences
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 76300

                                          #615
                                          Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                          Houston is -137 tonight?

                                          Wtf.

                                          I realize they're hot and I knew they would he undervalued this year but now it seems like they're getting too much love.
                                          I was going to take Seattle and Texas tonight before this debacle happened. Probably go 2-0 now.
                                          Comment
                                          • BigDofBA
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 09-30-09
                                            • 19313

                                            #616
                                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                                            Hell, look at Toronto today.

                                            Kluber is 0-3 and pitching for one of the worst teams/bullpens in baseball right now. Toronto has one of the best lineups around. Yet the books just give away free money anyway with the Jays at +160. Makes zero sense.
                                            I hate Toronto. I'll back them like three games in a row and they'll get swept yet when I fade them, they score like 15 runs.

                                            I took Kluber -1. Stupid.
                                            Comment
                                            • 2daBank
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-26-09
                                              • 88966

                                              #617
                                              Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                              Houston is -137 tonight?

                                              Wtf.

                                              I realize they're hot and I knew they would he undervalued this year but now it seems like they're getting too much love.
                                              ive already taken 2 or 3 losses against hou during this fukkin streak, mf'ers aint this damn good! i like sea too, hate to keep going against a fukkin hot team but im on sea for a normal play.
                                              Comment
                                              • RavensFan2k3
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 08-18-12
                                                • 17378

                                                #618
                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                Hell, look at Toronto today.

                                                Kluber is 0-3 and pitching for one of the worst teams/bullpens in baseball right now. Toronto has one of the best lineups around. Yet the books just give away free money anyway with the Jays at +160. Makes zero sense.
                                                but if it was free money, why did you bet Cleveland?
                                                Comment
                                                • BigDofBA
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 09-30-09
                                                  • 19313

                                                  #619
                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                  I was going to take Seattle and Texas tonight before this debacle happened. Probably go 2-0 now.
                                                  I really like Seattle and Texas as well but I'll probably do better by squaring up and betting Tigers, Nats, Dodgers, and As without thinking.

                                                  Hell, the Padres are -132. That means they're going to win too
                                                  Comment
                                                  • RavensFan2k3
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 08-18-12
                                                    • 17378

                                                    #620
                                                    Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                    I really like Seattle and Texas as well but I'll probably do better by squaring up and betting Tigers, Nats, Dodgers, and As without thinking.

                                                    Hell, the Padres are -132. That means they're going to win too
                                                    Dont say that!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BigDofBA
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 09-30-09
                                                      • 19313

                                                      #621
                                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                      ive already taken 2 or 3 losses against hou during this fukkin streak, mf'ers aint this damn good! i like sea too, hate to keep going against a fukkin hot team but im on sea for a normal play.
                                                      I figured Houston would be a .500 team this season and at + money most every game so I figured they would be profitable. -137 is ridiculous.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • No coincidences
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                        • 76300

                                                        #622
                                                        Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                                                        but if it was free money, why did you bet Cleveland?
                                                        I make isolated bets based on book lines, figuring they know way more than the average person when it comes to where they position themselves.

                                                        For three years, I cleaned up on these types of bets. Over the last 6 months, I've lost almost every one.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • RavensFan2k3
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 08-18-12
                                                          • 17378

                                                          #623
                                                          Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                          I make isolated bets based on book lines, figuring they know way more than the average person when it comes to where they position themselves.

                                                          For three years, I cleaned up on these types of bets. Over the last 6 months, I've lost almost every one.
                                                          I understand what you're saying.

                                                          Take Atlanta tonight
                                                          Comment
                                                          • No coincidences
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-18-10
                                                            • 76300

                                                            #624
                                                            Originally posted by RavensFan2k3
                                                            I understand what you're saying.

                                                            Take Atlanta tonight
                                                            I'm out. Account payout requests have already been made.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RavensFan2k3
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 08-18-12
                                                              • 17378

                                                              #625
                                                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                              I'm out. Account payout requests have already been made.
                                                              I came back to say Mets too, but goodluck man.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • 2daBank
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-26-09
                                                                • 88966

                                                                #626
                                                                Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                I'm out. Account payout requests have already been made.
                                                                hope to still hear from you some bro. enjoy your break or your new no degeneracy life! lol..
                                                                Comment
                                                                • No coincidences
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                                  • 76300

                                                                  #627
                                                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                  hope to still hear from you some bro. enjoy your break or your new no degeneracy life! lol..
                                                                  Thanks. I'll probably hang around here a little still, but I'm pretty damn burned out. Sick of this coin-flip bullshit pissing me off so much.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • BigDofBA
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 09-30-09
                                                                    • 19313

                                                                    #628
                                                                    3-0 Mariners!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RavensFan2k3
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 08-18-12
                                                                      • 17378

                                                                      #629
                                                                      Looks like we all cant get right, I'll prob be going you man
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BigDofBA
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 09-30-09
                                                                        • 19313

                                                                        #630
                                                                        Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                                        I really like Seattle and Texas as well but I'll probably do better by squaring up and betting Tigers, Nats, Dodgers, and As without thinking.

                                                                        Hell, the Padres are -132. That means they're going to win too
                                                                        If I would have squared up, including the Astros and Padres, I would have went 5-1 with the only loss being in extra innings.

                                                                        Lmao.
                                                                        Comment
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