2015 MLB plays

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  • mlb
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-04-09
    • 10509

    #106
    Good luck coiner - already got way too much I like today - need to find a way to eliminate some of these.
    Comment
    • Big Bear
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 11-01-11
      • 43253

      #107
      Careful fading Duffy and the red hot Royals bats

      Royals on fire to start the season.
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #108
        So much for the new and improved Ricky Nolasco.

        Comment
        • red12sox
          SBR MVP
          • 11-28-14
          • 1034

          #109
          Any plays on the cubs/cards game coin?
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #110
            Originally posted by red12sox
            Any plays on the cubs/cards game coin?
            Lean Cubs, but no.
            Comment
            • crbravens23
              SBR Sharp
              • 12-10-13
              • 268

              #111
              twins look good.
              Comment
              • crbravens23
                SBR Sharp
                • 12-10-13
                • 268

                #112
                on to the next.
                Comment
                • mngambler
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-01-11
                  • 2890

                  #113
                  dang boys I think Tigers was easiest money on the board today...will tail Yankess pick tonight
                  Comment
                  • RavensFan2k3
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-18-12
                    • 17378

                    #114
                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                    CLE -119 (3.57U to win 3)
                    CHW +110 (2U to win 2.2)
                    MIN +1.5 -130 (2.6U to win 2)
                    PIT -115 (1.15U to win 1)
                    NYY -115 (1.15U to win 1)
                    Bro white sox are really bad becareful with that pick, not sure what was up with the Minny pick, but goodluck with the rest of your plays.
                    Comment
                    • EXhoosier10
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-06-09
                      • 3122

                      #115
                      Originally posted by BigDofBA
                      I'm struggling to stay around .500 three days into the season.

                      Bovada live betting is saving me. You can get some really nice + numbers. If you like a dog, just take them after their first AB for better odds or you can get feels for games and take whichever side seems right.

                      I primarily use 5Dimes but Bovada gets too much hate and is a nice option to have especially in bases when dogs are good bets.
                      This isn't really a mistake by Vegas. By the away team not scoring in the 1st, they then have 8 chances to outscore their opponent who still has 9 innings worth of AB's. If you assume a game is 50/50 (ignoring the vegas odds) from the start, it's generally accepted that there's about a 4-5% decrease in win% by not scoring in the first. To put it in terms of odds and what you should expect to see if you bet the away team after a scoreless top ofthe first (you can fudge the numbers as you see fit, but that's a general starting point)....

                      opening line... after scoreless top 1st inning
                      -120...+100
                      -110...+109
                      +100...+120
                      +110...+132
                      +120...+144
                      +130...+156
                      +140...+169
                      +150...+182
                      +150...+195
                      +170...+207
                      Comment
                      • matt711
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-09-12
                        • 2283

                        #116
                        I hate betting on Minni......just one of those teams that always seems to lose when I take them..
                        Comment
                        • paco
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 05-07-09
                          • 62873

                          #117
                          I just don't see why U are fading the tigers already against bottom feeding twins
                          Comment
                          • No coincidences
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 76300

                            #118
                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                            CLE -119 (3.57U to win 3)
                            CHW +110 (2U to win 2.2)
                            MIN +1.5 -130 (2.6U to win 2)
                            PIT -115 (1.15U to win 1)
                            NYY -115 (1.15U to win 1)
                            Adding 2U to NYY -122.
                            Comment
                            • tatddy
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 03-02-10
                              • 10779

                              #119
                              Tailing you on Yankees. On the other side in chi/kc game.

                              Gl!
                              Comment
                              • No coincidences
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-18-10
                                • 76300

                                #120
                                Originally posted by tatddy
                                Tailing you on Yankees. On the other side in chi/kc game.

                                Gl!
                                BOL my man.
                                Comment
                                • red12sox
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-28-14
                                  • 1034

                                  #121
                                  Playing the red Sox and nationals so far tonight. Probably indians later.
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #122
                                    Adding 2U to both PIT and CLE. Each -119.
                                    Comment
                                    • No coincidences
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-18-10
                                      • 76300

                                      #123
                                      Bet against LAA and TOR the last two nights. CJ Wilson and RA Dickey have allowed 0 runs in 14 IP.

                                      Comment
                                      • BigDofBA
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 09-30-09
                                        • 19313

                                        #124
                                        Make sure you leave Quintana in so he gives up the lead again idiot. Ventura sucks.
                                        Comment
                                        • curtrambus
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-13-12
                                          • 1118

                                          #125
                                          Don't look now folks. ... he's back! I'm tailing you all season every play pretty sure this funk is over let's do this!
                                          Comment
                                          • tatddy
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 03-02-10
                                            • 10779

                                            #126
                                            Ty for the Yankees pick!
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #127
                                              Originally posted by tatddy
                                              Ty for the Yankees pick!


                                              Should've bought out of CHW, especially since I knew you were on them and it got into the bullpens tied late. Had a chance but didn't pull the trigger.
                                              Comment
                                              • No coincidences
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-18-10
                                                • 76300

                                                #128
                                                Originally posted by curtrambus
                                                Don't look now folks. ... he's back! I'm tailing you all season every play pretty sure this funk is over let's do this!
                                                Thanks. Hope you're right. Momentum is just the next day's starting pitcher, though.
                                                Comment
                                                • No coincidences
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                  • 76300

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                  Make sure you leave Quintana in so he gives up the lead again idiot. Ventura sucks.
                                                  He is an awful manager. Absolutely brutal.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • No coincidences
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                    • 76300

                                                    #130
                                                    For Thursday:

                                                    NYM +115 (4U to win 4.6)

                                                    Might add FF tomorrow.

                                                    Also like Houston.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BigDofBA
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 09-30-09
                                                      • 19313

                                                      #131
                                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                      For Thursday:

                                                      NYM +115 (4U to win 4.6)

                                                      Might add FF tomorrow.

                                                      Also like Houston.
                                                      How good is the dude that is starting on the bump for Houston tomorrow?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • tatddy
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 03-02-10
                                                        • 10779

                                                        #132
                                                        Originally posted by No coincidences


                                                        Should've bought out of CHW, especially since I knew you were on them and it got into the bullpens tied late. Had a chance but didn't pull the trigger.
                                                        I was on KC...but I'm sure that's what you meant. Was a pen game and you got +$ so can't say you made a bad play at all.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • No coincidences
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-18-10
                                                          • 76300

                                                          #133
                                                          Originally posted by tatddy
                                                          I was on KC...but I'm sure that's what you meant. Was a pen game and you got +$ so can't say you made a bad play at all.
                                                          Yeah, sorry. Meant KC. Once it gets into the later innings tied in a KC/CHW matchup -- game over.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Rbyrne
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 02-10-10
                                                            • 3054

                                                            #134
                                                            Anyone who has any common sense would have known Cj Wilson turned things around in spring training and was gonna be lights out his first start vs an overrated Cano, Cruz and mariners lineup.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mdunlap3
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-18-13
                                                              • 1847

                                                              #135
                                                              Houston is horrible. 7 K in 3 innings lol
                                                              Comment
                                                              • No coincidences
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-18-10
                                                                • 76300

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by Rbyrne
                                                                Anyone who has any common sense would have known Cj Wilson turned things around in spring training and was gonna be lights out his first start vs an overrated Cano, Cruz and mariners lineup.
                                                                CJ Wilson "turns things around" every ST.

                                                                Then he regresses back into CJ Wilson again.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • No coincidences
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                                  • 76300

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Should've added that Mets FF. Damn that was easy money.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • No coincidences
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                                    • 76300

                                                                    #138
                                                                    PHI +129 (2U to win 2.58)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • curtrambus
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-13-12
                                                                      • 1118

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Twins could be the worst team in the league this year.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • No coincidences
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                                        • 76300

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Are you kidding me with this fvcking inning, Philly?

                                                                        Two outs, no one on. Infield hit to Ortiz (?), infield hit to Ramirez (?), walk, infield hit, walk, three-run triple. 5-0.

                                                                        Comment
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