Stifler's MLB Modified 2015

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  • Kubala
    SBR Hustler
    • 02-04-15
    • 68

    #71
    apr.23.2015

    #18 nyy (a): yankees -100.
    Comment
    • Kubala
      SBR Hustler
      • 02-04-15
      • 68

      #72
      APR.23.2015

      #18 NYY (A): YANKEES -100

      Record:
      S4: 10W : 1L Units: -21.46U
      Comment
      • Kubala
        SBR Hustler
        • 02-04-15
        • 68

        #73
        APR.24.2015

        No Plays
        Comment
        • Kubala
          SBR Hustler
          • 02-04-15
          • 68

          #74
          APR.25.2015

          #7 TBR (C) TAMPA BAY ODDS TBD
          #19 TOR (A) TAMPA BAY ODDS TBD
          #20 CLE (A) CLEVELAND +105

          Pending:
          #11 BOS (C): on next dd game
          #12 KCR (B): on next dd game
          #13 MIN (B): on next dd game
          #15 CHW (B): on next dd game
          Comment
          • Kubala
            SBR Hustler
            • 02-04-15
            • 68

            #75
            APR.25.2015

            #7 TBR (C) TAMPA BAY -115
            #19 TOR (A) TAMPA BAY -115
            #20 CLE (A) CLEVELAND +105

            Record:
            S4: 12W : 1L Units: -19.46U

            Pending:
            #8 SEA (C): on next dd game
            #11 BOS (C): on next dd game
            #12 KCR (B): on next dd game
            #13 MIN (B): on next dd game
            #15 CHW (B): on next dd game
            #17 LAA (B): on next dd game
            #20 CLE (B): on next dd game


            APR.26.2015

            No games
            Comment
            • Kubala
              SBR Hustler
              • 02-04-15
              • 68

              #76
              Apr.27.2015

              #11 bos (c) toronto +135
              #21 bal (a) baltimore -145
              Comment
              • Kubala
                SBR Hustler
                • 02-04-15
                • 68

                #77
                Apr.27.2015

                #11 bos (c)toronto +135
                #21 bal (a) baltimore -145 Postponed

                Record:
                S4: 12W : 1L Units: -19.46U
                Comment
                • Kubala
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 02-04-15
                  • 68

                  #78
                  Apr.28.2015

                  #21 bal (a) baltimore -115
                  Comment
                  • skyscrapers
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 05-02-11
                    • 6168

                    #79
                    The game is postponed for a 2nd day
                    Comment
                    • Kubala
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 02-04-15
                      • 68

                      #80
                      APR.28.2015

                      Baltimore game suspended because of the riots. We will simply play BAL in their next game for the "A" bet, whenever it is.
                      Comment
                      • Kubala
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 02-04-15
                        • 68

                        #81
                        Apr.29.2015

                        #11 bos (d) toronto +115
                        #12 kcr (b) kansas city +105
                        #20 cle (b) kansas city +105
                        #21 bal (a) baltimore -110
                        #22 tor (a) toronto +115
                        #23 ari (a) arizona -115
                        #24 hou (a) houston -100
                        Comment
                        • skyscrapers
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 05-02-11
                          • 6168

                          #82
                          Anyone still updating this thread?
                          Comment
                          • msangreal
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 04-06-15
                            • 2

                            #83
                            Originally posted by skyscrapers
                            Anyone still updating this thread?
                            Would doubt it - way in the negative, she gone kaboom!!!!
                            Comment
                            • skyscrapers
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 05-02-11
                              • 6168

                              #84
                              Originally posted by msangreal
                              Would doubt it - way in the negative, she gone kaboom!!!!
                              Ya I guess there's a reason why Stifler decided not to continue to post this system himself. Didn't feel confident enough.
                              Comment
                              • Rainemaker
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 12-06-12
                                • 138

                                #85
                                .resuscitate stifler sys S1 and S2

                                Hey all, as you can see I don't post much but followed Stifler sys for a few yrs and found it to be good for his S1 and S2..

                                I will post the plays I think that follow these in an effort to give back. These were what i saw as best of the best.. Always thought he played too many systems.. Will try to reach out to him when my posts get up to 40 to figure out one detail regarding games having to be consec home and away
                                Comment
                                • Rainemaker
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 12-06-12
                                  • 138

                                  #86
                                  S1 for today

                                  Giants.. A bet
                                  Cards... A bet
                                  Brewers (cub fade).. A bet

                                  S2

                                  Rangers.. A bet

                                  The following are on watchlist, once their streak ends will become S2.

                                  Streaking winners.. Twins

                                  Streaking losers.. Whorioles, Rockies, A's
                                  Comment
                                  • Rainemaker
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 12-06-12
                                    • 138

                                    #87
                                    Also I don't blindly follow sys A. B. C. And D. But will specify for tracking purposes for people who do. Today I will play all 3 of his S1 and the S2 all for a U a piece.

                                    Will chase as I see fit based on handicapping and pcts that I find to be favorable using my experiences.

                                    I will try to avoid laying high juice by playing -1 when need be. This is combo ML/RL or maybe even parlay if the situation is worthwhile using probability model to match with what I feel is worth it.

                                    I will post whenever I am doing something special whenever I am able but sometimes i play really late to gather all info needed.

                                    Play on, Fade, Monitor, or ignore and modify.

                                    Best of Luck : )

                                    If I suck balls you will know because I will stop posting ; )
                                    Comment
                                    • Rainemaker
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 12-06-12
                                      • 138

                                      #88
                                      bonus play

                                      Double header sys.. Dated back a decade to win more than it loses.. Play on home team in G2 of DH..

                                      ChiSox is the play... B bet

                                      Marquis does in fact suck rooster, and can't even take advantage of an AB being in AL park. Really like anyone vs him anyway.

                                      Play or Fade
                                      Comment
                                      • Rainemaker
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 12-06-12
                                        • 138

                                        #89
                                        Suck rooster = suck C0ck
                                        Comment
                                        • imotiv8
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 12-28-09
                                          • 892

                                          #90
                                          Originally posted by Rainemaker
                                          Hey all, as you can see I don't post much but followed Stifler sys for a few yrs and found it to be good for his S1 and S2..

                                          I will post the plays I think that follow these in an effort to give back. These were what i saw as best of the best.. Always thought he played too many systems.. Will try to reach out to him when my posts get up to 40 to figure out one detail regarding games having to be consec home and away
                                          Awesome Rainemaker!
                                          Comment
                                          • Rainemaker
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 12-06-12
                                            • 138

                                            #91
                                            Not an awesome reboot on first day back

                                            1-3 on Stif systems so far.. But they are chasers so that's to be expected.

                                            S1 - cards lost (a), giants lost (a), brewers won (a)

                                            S2 - rangers lost (a)

                                            Bonus play on DH sys won easy though thanks to Marquis opening up the lunch line as expected (b)

                                            2-3 on posted plays yest

                                            For today..

                                            S1 - Cards (b), giants (b), Cards (a) (pirate fade)

                                            S2 - Rangers (b), Angels (a), Yanks (a) (oriole fade)

                                            Watchlist,.

                                            Streaking winners - Twins, Nats, Jays

                                            Streaking losers - Rox, A's, BoSox, Tribe
                                            Comment
                                            • Rainemaker
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 12-06-12
                                              • 138

                                              #92
                                              how i am playing it today

                                              Just in case you are unaware, S1 and S2 are very close. The only difference I know of is that S1 starts the 3rd game after the streak is broken while S2 starts the immediate game after the streak. This means if you play them both you can have some heavy can casualties on a losing streak of 5 or 6 games. You can also cash nicely but I dont want a rollercoaster.

                                              Therefore I will likely only play S1 unless the plays are light. There are a lot of plays today so my focus is recovering the 1.6 u lost yest in S1 and gaining a U for each series. Not trying to win 2 u profit on Cards today.

                                              So I divided the 1.6 loss by 3 (because there are 3 S1 games today) and put 2 thirds of the loss on the U for the Cards and the last third on the U in the Giants game.

                                              So for me it looks like..

                                              Cards to win 2.08

                                              And Giants to win 1.54

                                              Will be patient and wait for the S2 to become S1. It does not matter if S2 plays win, they still always become S1 eventually either way.

                                              Rangers 2 u play to win 2.8 u

                                              Since I played Rangers yest I continued with that S2 for better or worse. If they happen to lose today they become S1 tomorrow either way and I may play both depending on how today shakes out.
                                              Comment
                                              • Rainemaker
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 12-06-12
                                                • 138

                                                #93
                                                Bonus play (s)

                                                This is an under sys I've been doing for years. It is based solely on starting pitcher adjusted ERA. So play game or first 5.. I sometimes play both or 1 or the other if I trust/don't trust the bullpen.

                                                Tex/Tampax Under 7

                                                May chase later with other play if the top play loses or is close to losing..

                                                Sea/Oak Under 7..

                                                Not being greedy only want 1 u
                                                Comment
                                                • Rainemaker
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 12-06-12
                                                  • 138

                                                  #94
                                                  first mistake.. wont be last

                                                  Angels are S1 and a B (astro fade)

                                                  Since I missed it yest will play as an A today
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Rainemaker
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 12-06-12
                                                    • 138

                                                    #95
                                                    stats thru sun

                                                    S1

                                                    Cards (b) loser
                                                    Cards pirate fade (a) loser

                                                    Giants (b) winner
                                                    Angels (a) winner

                                                    S2

                                                    Rangers (b) winner
                                                    Yanks (a) winner

                                                    Record of how I bet it..

                                                    S1.. 3-3 -1.14 u

                                                    S2.. 1-1 +1.8 u

                                                    Bonus plays 2-0 +2 u

                                                    Watchlist...

                                                    Streaking winners - Nats, Sea, Doyers

                                                    Streaking losers - Rox, A's, Braves
                                                    Last edited by Rainemaker; 05-11-15, 11:18 AM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Rainemaker
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 12-06-12
                                                      • 138

                                                      #96
                                                      upcoming plays and possible plays?

                                                      S1

                                                      Cards (c) resumes vs Tribe on Tues 5/12

                                                      Phils (b) Pirate fade.. Play today if you wish or wait until next Pirate home game since their streak was a Home losing streak. From what I read from Stifler posts you wait to stay true to sys.

                                                      Rangers (a) this was a road winning streak.. Now Rangers at home play at own risk or wait till next road trip

                                                      Tomorrow - Jays (a) Oriole fade.. this was a road losing streak and now they are at home need clarification like the ones above if anyone is certain.


                                                      S2

                                                      Twins (a) Game is tomorrow... Winning streak started at home, continued on road.

                                                      BoSox (a) Losing streak started at home then dropped 2 on road. Play at own risk.

                                                      Tribe (a) Game is tomorrow... Losing streak started on road then dropped 2 at home. Play at your own risk

                                                      Jays (a) was a home winning streak and now on road, advised to wait till next home stand
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Rainemaker
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 12-06-12
                                                        • 138

                                                        #97
                                                        update

                                                        Sorry I couldn't post how I bet sys yest.. Dang mobile data wasn't working. I personally went 1-1 and lost a u anyway the way I played it.

                                                        Results yest..

                                                        S1... 1-1

                                                        S2... 1-1

                                                        I also figured out BoSox wasn't a play, it was a fade so it should have been A's (but they were on losing streak and you are supposed to no play conflicting skids) but scored it as I posted it and corrected it by removing it below... Also Tribe is a fade as well on the S2 list above and is corrected below for today. Phils pirate fade (c) cannot be a play today as expected since they now lost 3 in row

                                                        Sorry for the mistakes, doing best I could considering I've done all this on the road.

                                                        Plays today

                                                        S1

                                                        Cards (c)
                                                        Jays oriole fade (a)

                                                        Jays as a play on (a) will become S1 tomorrow

                                                        S2

                                                        Jays (b)
                                                        Cards tribe fade (a)
                                                        Twins (a)


                                                        Watchlist

                                                        Streaking winners - Nats, Sea, Doyers, Pitt, Milw

                                                        Streaking losers - Rox, Oak, Phils, Reds
                                                        Last edited by Rainemaker; 05-12-15, 01:43 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Rainemaker
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 12-06-12
                                                          • 138

                                                          #98
                                                          my card today

                                                          Played Cards as a B and Jays as an A

                                                          Best of Luck however you choose to play : )
                                                          Comment
                                                          • imotiv8
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 12-28-09
                                                            • 892

                                                            #99
                                                            Nice job Rainemaker
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Rainemaker
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 12-06-12
                                                              • 138

                                                              #100
                                                              anyone seen stifler?

                                                              I guess its just you and I in hear imotiv8.. Anyone seen Stif anywhere? Once I get up to 40 posts I will message him myself to iron out details cause I wanna do this right and hopefully win him some money for all he's done here the past few yrs
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Rainemaker
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 12-06-12
                                                                • 138

                                                                #101
                                                                bonus play

                                                                Mets fall into maiden starter sys... Been playing for years and keep playing because its good. Young arm most people haven't heard of... Dogged most of time in these situations and win more than they lose..

                                                                Bonus plays streaking so here we go..

                                                                1 u on Mets
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Rainemaker
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 12-06-12
                                                                  • 138

                                                                  #102
                                                                  totals..

                                                                  S1 was 2-0 yest

                                                                  Record of how I played..

                                                                  5-3... +2.14

                                                                  S2 was 2-1 yest... I don't play S2 unless I specify.. Not because its not good or profitable.. I just think a person should play 1 or the other.

                                                                  3-4.... +1.65

                                                                  Bonus... 0-1

                                                                  2-1 +1 u
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Rainemaker
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 12-06-12
                                                                    • 138

                                                                    #103
                                                                    plays for 5/13

                                                                    S1

                                                                    Oak bosox fade (a)
                                                                    Jays (a)
                                                                    Rangers (b)

                                                                    S2

                                                                    Twins (b) s1 tomorrow
                                                                    Milw (a)
                                                                    Nats (a)
                                                                    BoSox (a)
                                                                    Braves (a)

                                                                    Watchlist

                                                                    Streaking winners - Doyers, Sea, Pitt

                                                                    Streaking losers - Rox, Phils, Miami
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • imotiv8
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 12-28-09
                                                                      • 892

                                                                      #104
                                                                      Nice job, is there anything you want me to ask Stiffler for you?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Rainemaker
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 12-06-12
                                                                        • 138

                                                                        #105
                                                                        The biggest question is am I doing it right? He was pretty slick posting and I feel scatterbrained when incorporating streaks that are home and away.. Like BoSox fade today.. Streak started for them at home and now they are on road and then you have conflicting streaks that throw games out.. But when that streak ends like Oak winning yest because the game was thrown out yest cause they were on skid. does it activate then?

                                                                        No doubt his sys wins.. Because I followed him a long time. I don't want to F it up and maximize the potential for anyone who follows here.

                                                                        Hope all that makes sense.
                                                                        Comment
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