El3m3nt and Co.'s All Things MLB

[Louisvillekid1]

As of one the sharpest guys on the forum and the only golf matchup you had posted won by 10 casey vs deleat...

I went crazy on amount of plays cuz its masters but I'd bet your money on these 2

Garcia -120 vs holmes if you want you can hedge like 30% of it on rickie vs holmes as it is a holmes fade. However We are very strict on a 2x play and its the combination of garcia and holmes here... even the line is telling as garcia is 10 cents higher than rickies vs JB. JB is one of the top players this year and just out of his mind so far but thats why we get the value here.

Also Na over lowry... Lowry isn't ready for this and Na might just be primed for a lil run... If he struggles early we all know he will beat himself up and parlay those mistakes, but lowry gonna try to hard and really struggle...

as Much as we have, those 2 are very strong...

Rest of plays posted in the bases thread and I could speak on this all night...

Its chalky but some just made no sense... Like the Todd matchup -160 or the furyk -145, those are crazy mismatches and should be higher...

We don't like Reed, Spieth (one of my Favs) moore or palmer this week... Spieth as good and special as he is, isn't ready to be matched up w/ the top of the world.

Went a lil crazy on futures but the matchups will profit I promise...

Thanks for your contribution to site as I always jump to your threads...

[High3rEl3m3nt]

thanks for the kind words and write up. Tried to slap together a few rosters last night on DK and just couldn't get into it. I am mostly a one-dimensional bettor and MLB has my attention. I did throw a half unit on Adam Scott -135 vs Phil. Will try to tune into the Masters over the weekend. GL, man. Let us know if any of your futures are in the running on Sunday

@thecutter I like that the Rangers will be seeing Graveman for the first time today, where the edge goes to the pitcher. Martinez was solid in '14, and if I am not mistake, the A's saw their fair share of him. The Rangers' bullpen, catcher, Andrus (looked like he might have tweaked his hamstring or calf last night--could be nothing, or he might have acted like it was an issue to offset his terrible play at SS. I am laying off this one. Ever so slight lean to over 3.5 first five.

GL.

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Nats TT Under 3 -110 (to win .5)

[High3rEl3m3nt]

that Rangers A's FF moved up to 4, with the over being shaded. To move a FF total from 3.5 to 4 typically means--and I know guys tend to mock my reads, but smart/sharp money came in.

'Ol lefty is having himself a nice first round.

Astros TT under 4 -105 (to win .5)

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Rangers FF +139 (to win .5)

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Tigers TT under 4.5 -120 (to win .5)

[High3rEl3m3nt]

ytd 8-5-1 +0.22 units

Brewers -127 to win .5
Tigers Indians Over 8 -120 to win .5

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Nationals Phillies Under 7.5 -110 to win .5

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Rays FF +115 to win .5

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Cubs TT Under 4.5 -115 to win .5

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Two par 5's remaining on the back 9. Adam Scott needs to birdie one of them..thinking the 13th.

[High3rEl3m3nt]

rays were a terrible bet, given I was not aware of their pitching plans. Unbelievable comeback to tie it. Go fish lol

[High3rEl3m3nt]

11-7-1 +.64 units

Lucky that the Cubs did not make more out of their bases loaded with less than two outs scoring opportunities. That looks like a convincing win but the Cubs were a few swings away from making me sweat that total or lose it altogether. In fact, had that game been played in the summer, assuming that no rain had moved through the area--good totals tip for the summer, I'd lost it.

SBRodds really is a terrific resource for being able to quickly reference last year's conditions, which I used to see weather, wind, humidity, etc. of games in Coors stadium during late march and early April of 20014 and 2013. Always nice to cross reference. Should have done a lot more homework on the Rays game, as it would have likely prevented me from touching that game. Had no idea they were doing a pitching by committee for that game, which saw Erasmo Ramirez make an appearance in the third inning.

For looking at current odds, line movement on first fives, team totals, and everything else, sportsoptions is must. It features Odds for offshore and Vegas. I believe they are still running a free trial. Check it out.

Fired away on M's A's over 7 +110 (not counting), which is about an easy of a hit as you can ask for. Unofficially over a unit in the black. Either winning bets by a wide margin or losing by an equally wide margin e.g Brewers, Rays, and yesterday's Tigers TT under. Will probably be stuck on a half unit size for a bit. Still finding my bearings.

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Red Sox Yankees Under 8.5 -105 to win .5

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Tigers FF -110 (to win .5)

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Mariners Athletics under 7.5 -115 to win .5 (5dimes)

Going against the grain on this one

[High3rEl3m3nt]

New England Revolution -108 to win .5 (non record play that I like today)

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Note: McCutchen is listed as doubtful today (knee)

[mcmc]

Red Sox Yankees Under 8.5 -105 to win .5

The Yanks OF destroyed this under. Those OF boots were actually called doubles?????

[High3rEl3m3nt]

That was a tough loss. I haven't been watching, but I can only imagine. Hopefully the other two plays cash.

[High3rEl3m3nt]

I will say that using a conservative unit approach sure helps to not get tilted off semi bad beats. Yes, you got to pick more winners than losers, but money management helps to preserve my mental well being

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Phillies FF -106 to win .5

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Mets +106 to win .5

[High3rEl3m3nt]

raise the white flag. Straight owned today. Damn.

[High3rEl3m3nt]

12-11-1 -1.61

Taking Sunday off. GL gents.

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Mets under 7 -122 to win .5

[High3rEl3m3nt]

M'S Dodgers Under 7 +100 to win 1

[High3rEl3m3nt]

13-12-1 -2.11

Royals -127 to win .5 unit

Snagged this last night on 5dimes at a better number, but for all intended purposes, I still like the Royals at -127. Faded the M's against left handed pitching and was a bit fortunate that Rodney imploded in the 9th, despite Justin Turners boneheaded play on the bases. Astros TT under has been a decent bet to look at, especially if the total is at 4.

Anyone watch the M's Dodgers game last night--Vin Scully had a funny quip to the effect: "Jackie Robinson once stole home and Robinson Cano tried to walk home." that made lol. Nothing better than listening to Mr. Scully kick knowledge effortlessly. Another fun fact that Mr. Scully shared: the first known shift occurred in the late 1800s.

Anyhow, good luck on your bets today!

[High3rEl3m3nt]

second 1 unit play of the season

Phillies TT under 3 -110 to win 1

[High3rEl3m3nt]

14-13-1 -1.75

Marlins Mets Under 7.5 -120 to win .75

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Athletics royals over 7.5 -110 to win .5

[High3rEl3m3nt]

16-13-1 -.5 units

Marlins mets over 6.5 -110 to win 1 unit

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Also, likely a play on Astros team total under

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Astros tt under 4 -110 to win 1.5

[High3rEl3m3nt]

Yankees Rays Over 7 +110 (5dimes RJ) to win .5