Home Run Bailey is -160 tonight

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Home Run Bailey is -160 tonight


    Yes, Kendrick is bad, and yes, the Phils are average (at best). I know Bailey's finally turned a corner, somewhat, but I can't justify this price or make sense of the line being that high. Can you?
  • tatddy
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-02-10
    • 10779

    #2
    No. PHI are the play weather they win or lose. Game is a flip at +146.
    Comment
    • YOUNGBUCK
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 12-16-10
      • 6510

      #3
      Homer gets easy W, no bias here
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #4
        Originally posted by tatddy
        No. PHI are the play weather they win or lose. Game is a flip at +146.
        I have Cincy in the -140 to -145 range. I'm either way off, or I should throw a little on the Phils.
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          Originally posted by YOUNGBUCK
          Homer gets easy W, no bias here
          You think? I wouldn't hesitate, but I really don't like the idea of backing KK.
          Comment
          • YOUNGBUCK
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-16-10
            • 6510

            #6
            Yes I'm really confident in Reds I'm on them
            Comment
            • tatddy
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 03-02-10
              • 10779

              #7
              Originally posted by YOUNGBUCK
              Homer gets easy W, no bias here
              You could well be right man. The line says that you are. But the point is that PHI's win probability in this spot doesn't justify the price you're being asked to pay. This line appears to be about 10 cents off. It's starting to steam in your direction too.

              Kendrick had a fine start last year @ GA Ballpark and was a better pitcher on the road last year. I'm taking the +$ here in what I think is a coin flip.
              Comment
              • YOUNGBUCK
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 12-16-10
                • 6510

                #8
                Tat Bol fam
                Comment
                • tatddy
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-02-10
                  • 10779

                  #9
                  So now what? Just getting done with a dinner thing. Bets are cancelled?

                  Phi was def the right side Coiner
                  Comment
                  • No coincidences
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-18-10
                    • 76300

                    #10
                    Originally posted by tatddy
                    So now what? Just getting done with a dinner thing. Bets are cancelled?

                    Phi was def the right side Coiner
                    Mine was canceled at my book. I hit the FF +0.5 though.

                    I'll take a toss up at that price every day of the week.

                    Might hit Philly again today. Leake is a gascan.
                    Comment
                    • YOUNGBUCK
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 12-16-10
                      • 6510

                      #11
                      Homerun Bailey with 10ks over 8
                      Comment
                      • YOUNGBUCK
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 12-16-10
                        • 6510

                        #12
                        O ya and 0 walks suck on that Coin!!!!
                        Comment
                        • tatddy
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 03-02-10
                          • 10779

                          #13
                          Haha buck you know we had the right side at +145 bucker. Coin flip game just like I said. Homer is a witch though.

                          Hope your boys win now that my action was cancelled.
                          Comment
                          • No coincidences
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-18-10
                            • 76300

                            #14
                            Originally posted by YOUNGBUCK
                            O ya and 0 walks suck on that Coin!!!!
                            Yeah, Bailey's really "getting it" finally. Still, I'll take +145 in a 0-0 game any day.

                            What do you think about tonight's matchup? Hard not to fade Leake at that price.
                            Comment
                            • YOUNGBUCK
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 12-16-10
                              • 6510

                              #15
                              Originally posted by tatddy
                              Haha buck you know we had the right side at +145 bucker. Coin flip game just like I said. Homer is a witch though.


                              Hope your boys win now that my action was cancelled.
                              Ill never say it was right side haha
                              Comment
                              • YOUNGBUCK
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-16-10
                                • 6510

                                #16
                                I agree Coin steep for Leake but with pub pounding Philly got me thinking he's steep for a reason here
                                Comment
                                • YOUNGBUCK
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 12-16-10
                                  • 6510

                                  #17
                                  Bump this for my man Coin who forgot Ab Leakes big stick
                                  Comment
                                  • YOUNGBUCK
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 12-16-10
                                    • 6510

                                    #18
                                    No Homo
                                    Comment
                                    • tatddy
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-02-10
                                      • 10779

                                      #19
                                      Nice win man. I was on cincy
                                      Comment
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