mlb chase 2013

[Stifler]

30.05.2013

S3

(B Bet) NYY: NY Yankees 1,599 1,67u | NY Yankees 1,629 4,245u
(B Bet) Tor fade: Atlanta 1,565 1,77u | Atlanta 1,667 4,153u
(B Bet) Hou fade: Colorado 1,467 2,14u | Colorado 1,455 6,901u
(A Bet) Tex: Texas 1,709 1,41u

P1

(D Bet) D.Haren: Wash 2,69 0,592u | Wash 2,16 1,372u | Wash -1,5 2,47 2,016u | Washington 2,23 4,049u
(A Bet) D. Haren fade: Baltimore -1,5 2,56 0,641u

P2

(D Bet) D.Haren: Wash 2,69 0,592u | Wash 2,16 1,372u | Wash 1,676 4,385u | Washington 2,23 5,975u
(A Bet) D. Haren fade: Baltimore 1,769 1,30u
(A Bet) J.Guthrie fade: St.Louis 1,61 1,64u

P1 D.Haren series lost = -8,029 units
P2 D.Haren series lost = -12,324 units


records:
S1: W 19 | L 0 (+19,00 units)
S2: W 13 | L 0 (+13,00 units)
S3: W 89 | L 3 (+11,286 units)
P1: W 11 | L 1 (+2,971 units)
P2: W 14 | L 1 (+1,676 units)
P3: W 12 | L 0 (+12,00 units)


pending:
- P3 M.Cain fade, C Bet on next start on the road
- P3 J.Vargas fade, C Bet on next start on the road
- P3 M.Bumgarner, C Bet on next start on the road
- P2 J.Guthrie fade, B Bet on next start
- S2 LAA, B Bet on 07.06.2013
- S3 NYY, C Bet on 31.05.2013
- S3 Hou fade, C Bet on 31.05.2013

________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

[chound]

P1 Haren fade -1.5 was a win

[Stifler]

- parlayed Angels with Bayern Munich ml (German Cup - soccer). Cant see them having any trouble with Stuttgart at all. They will be motivated enough to get the triple to complete a great season. Game will be played tomorrow. (Bayern ml odds = 1,199 / LAA odds = 1,402)

31.05.2013

S3

(C Bet) NYY: NYY 1,599 1,67u | NYY 1,629 4,245u | NY Yankees 1,917 7,541u
(C Bet) Hou fade: Col 1,467 2,14u | Col 1,455 6,901u | LAA + Bayern ml 1,681 14,744u

P3

(C Bet) M.Cain fade: Ari 1,943 1,06u | Col 1,943 2,185u | St.Louis 1,69 6,152u
(A Bet) M.Scherzer: Detroit 1,855 1,17u

________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

[Grinder12000]

Is that the first P loss ever? If so - well done Stiffler. Can't complain about 1 P loss in how many chases??

[Valand]

Well they only problem is that Dante and Gustavo has to go to their national team to prep for confederation cup.

[Stifler]

Well they only problem is that Dante and Gustavo has to go to their national team to prep for confederation cup.

Honestly, not a big deal. Dante is the bigger loss...Boateng + van Buyten is solid enough for Stuttgart and they wont get that much work anyway. Gustavo probably wouldnt start - Martinez + Schweinsteiger will start on the "Double Six" (does this term even exist in english?).

I wouldnt be surprised to see a blowout in this game.

Is that the first P loss ever? If so - well done Stiffler. Can't complain about 1 P loss in how many chases??

Backtested numbers were perfect for the listed pitcher the last 3 years. But backtested, so nothing special in my eyes. I always care about live performances.

[illisdre]

LAA are raping us again. i hate the angels.

[sportscreep1]

LAA are raping us again. i hate the angels.

Typical, overpaid jerkoffs!!! This will be 2nd time all year, Hou won 3 in row, just blows my mind, they are a triple A team at best!!!

[illisdre]

Typical, overpaid jerkoffs!!! This will be 2nd time all year, Hou won 3 in row, just blows my mind, they are a triple A team at best!!!

And.. i mean. the odds were -250 or so.. we've seen so many huge favourite games just get brutalized.. almost makes me want to start a system fading heavy favs.

[dalogester]

Stifler, should we apply the same strategy for the upcoming D bet?? Between this Houston fade D bet and TDK's Houston fade D bet I am going to be risking over 80 units otherwise.. good god!

[illisdre]

Stifler, should we apply the same strategy for the upcoming D bet?? Between this Houston fade D bet and TDK's Houston fade D bet I am going to be risking over 80 units otherwise.. good god!

at -225!! wow ... thats gonna be around 35 unit bet. i'm certainly going to mitigate it with something if i play it. I'm wary to go run line because LAA tends to suck. However, they do seem to get rallys and win by large margins when they win sometimes (never when its a system play)

i might do a mix of ML RL.. well i dunno yet.

[sausageman13]

LAA are raping us again. i hate the angels.

The good news is now we don't have to give a crap about who wins the soccer game tomorrow between Bayern Munich and Stutgardt!
Even though the Astro's suck, and they do, trust me I live in Houston, I will always be wary of fading them when they are +200 or more. They have beaten Detroit, Cleveland, 2 against the Rockies of late, and now come back into Anaheim and Win Game 1 just like they did first time around earlier this year. System or not too much chalk for my blood. Just my opinion!

[illisdre]

The good news is now we don't have to give a crap about who wins the soccer game tomorrow between Bayern Munich and Stutgardt!
Even though the Astro's suck, and they do, trust me I live in Houston, I will always be wary of fading them when they are +200 or more. They have beaten Detroit, Cleveland, 2 against the Rockies of late, and now come back into Anaheim and Win Game 1 just like they did first time around earlier this year. System or not too much chalk for my blood. Just my opinion!

I use my phone to bet. and can't string a parlay together. Thought the soccer game was before the Baseball game. So i layed it on a single bet. (then i was going to bet the amount + winning on LAA).
so the games tomorrow got 10 units on it to win 2 units.lol

its totally not worth the risk .. but im kinda feelin lazy to arbitrage it.

[Stifler]

31.05.2013

S3

(C Bet) NYY: NYY 1,599 1,67u | NYY 1,629 4,245u | NY Yankees 1,917 7,541u
(C Bet) Hou fade: Col 1,467 2,14u | Col 1,455 6,901u | LAA + Bayern ml 1,681 14,744u

P3

(C Bet) M.Cain fade: Ari 1,943 1,06u | Col 1,943 2,185u | St.Louis 1,69 6,152u - ppd
(A Bet) M.Scherzer: Detroit 1,855 1,17u

records:
S1: W 19 | L 0 (+19,00 units)
S2: W 13 | L 0 (+13,00 units)
S3: W 90 | L 3 (+12,286 units)
P1: W 11 | L 1 (+2,971 units)
P2: W 14 | L 1 (+1,676 units)
P3: W 12 | L 0 (+12,00 units)


pending:
- P3 M.Cain fade, C Bet on next start on the road
- P3 J.Vargas fade, C Bet on next start on the road
- P3 M.Bumgarner, C Bet on next start on the road
- P2 J.Guthrie fade, B Bet on next start
- P3 M.Scherzer, B Bet on next start
- S2 LAA, B Bet on 07.06.2013
- S3 Hou fade, D Bet on 01.06.2013

________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

[Stifler]

- parlayed the D Bet again ofc. LAA + Bayern ml and Real Madrid ml.

01.06.2013

S2

(A Bet) LAA: LA Angels 1,444 2,252u

S3

(D Bet) Hou fade: Col 1,467 2,14u | Col 1,455 6,901u | parlay 1,681 14,744u | LAA+Bayern+Real 2,203 20,603u

P2

(A Bet) M.Leake: Cincinnati 2,12 0,893u

P3

(C Bet) M.Bumgarner: SF 1,943 1,06u | SF 1,877 2,349u | SF - no line atm (game2)
(C Bet) M.Cain fade: Ari 1,943 1,06u | Col 1,943 2,185u | St.Louis - no line atm (game 1)
(A Bet) A.Harang fade: Minnesota 1,787 1,27u
(A Bet) B.Norris fade: LA Angels 1,444 2,252u(A Bet) G.Gonzalez: Washington 2,26 0,794u________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

[sportscreep1]

I parlayed the Angels with Penguins(NHL) and Lynx(WNBA)
Haha, what is wrong with me??
Damn Astros....

[Stifler]

- SF & Stl line added.

01.06.2013

S2

(A Bet) LAA: LA Angels 1,444 2,252u

S3

(D Bet) Hou fade: Col 1,467 2,14u | Col 1,455 6,901u | parlay 1,681 14,744u | LAA+Bayern+Real 2,203 20,603u

P2

(A Bet) M.Leake: Cincinnati 2,12 0,893u

P3

(C Bet) M.Bumgarner: SF 1,943 1,06u | SF 1,877 2,349u | SF 2,32 3,34u
(C Bet) M.Cain fade: Ari 1,943 1,06u | Col 1,943 2,185u | St.Louis 1,704 6,03u
(A Bet) A.Harang fade: Minnesota 1,787 1,27u
(A Bet) B.Norris fade: LA Angels 1,444 2,252u
(A Bet) G.Gonzalez: Washington 2,26 0,794u

________________________________________ ________________________________________ ________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

[knugen]

2-0 to real madrid

[huntley]

Angels have been by far the most frustrating team of this season....killin' me on this one cause I missed Real. Have any other soccer locks stif?

[tommpae]

2-2 can't belive it.....

[Bawth]

Angels have been by far the most frustrating team of this season....killin' me on this one cause I missed Real. Have any other soccer locks stif?

pick barcelona

[knugen]

2-0 to bayern munchen

[knugen]

Pheeww 3-2 win to munchen.. one to go

[illisdre]

can they get a run. wtf is going on. I have most of my bet at -1 ... yikes,. the games such a toss up.

[skyscrapers]

Had Trout not get picked off the Angels would be leading now

[sportscreep1]

What's wrong with Angels??? I know it's no more than coincidence, but come on!!! When we need them to win they lose, and when we fade them they win!!!! It's unbelievable!! Last time Hou won 3 in row was mid April!!! They suck!!!

[CheeseHead]

Horrible loss. Unbelievable..

[illisdre]

What's wrong with Angels??? I know it's no more than coincidence, but come on!!! When we need them to win they lose, and when we fade them they win!!!! It's unbelievable!! Last time Hou won 3 in row was mid April!!! They suck!!!

i think its more than coincidence. its more than that.
1. its the odds.. those last few games should not have been -300 for angels. They were complete coin flips.. had it not been a system play i would have pounded houston..
atleast Stiflers parlay saved ++++$$$$

this one failure.. will have a huge impact on the years results. When we see a line worse than -200 .. it should send alarm bells.

Today was a failure on epic proportions for me.. down 36 Units. all my bets failed.
Its painful because... I always slowly slowly build a bank roll over months.. and then lose all profit and then some in a single day.

[sausageman13]

Hate to say told you so but I warned everyone the other day of fading Houston when they are at +200 or more, especially against the Angels who have been so flaky this year. Sorry about your loss brother, be cautious with these huge juicy favorites, if it looks to good to be true it usually is. Think this chalky line against a bad Houston team that is on a roll was a sucker bet to begin with. I have to remind myself that even good teams lose 60-70 times a year, and a good hitter in baseball has a batting average of .300 which means he fails to reach 70% of the time. Baseball to me is a really hard game to cap. Just when I think I have it figured out teams that have the bases loaded and no outs can't find a way to score a run. Saw it numerous times today around the league. Good luck with your plays Sunday!

[tr4sh]

on the bright side, if bet C and D weren't parlayed, this series loss would be 80+ units. stay positive

[knugen]

on the bright side, if bet C and D weren't parlayed, this series loss would be 80+ units. stay positive

thats so true, stay positive guys.. and now houston have won 4 in a row, im gonna fade them on -1 RL , they will lose reeaally soon

[Stifler]

01.06.2013

S2

(A Bet) LAA: LA Angels 1,444 2,252u

S3

(D Bet) Hou fade: Col 1,467 2,14u | Col 1,455 6,901u | parlay 1,681 14,744u | LAA+Bayern+Real 2,203 20,603u

P2

(A Bet) M.Leake: Cincinnati 2,12 0,893u

P3

(C Bet) M.Bumgarner: SF 1,943 1,06u | SF 1,877 2,349u | SF 2,32 3,34u
(C Bet) M.Cain fade: Ari 1,943 1,06u | Col 1,943 2,185u | St.Louis 1,704 6,03u
(A Bet) A.Harang fade: Minnesota 1,787 1,27u
(A Bet) B.Norris fade: LA Angels 1,444 2,252u
(A Bet) G.Gonzalez: Washington 2,26 0,794u

- S3 Hou fade series lost = -44,388 units

records:
S1: W 19 | L 0 (+19,00 units)
S2: W 13 | L 0 (+13,00 units)
S3: W 90 | L 4 (-32,102 units)
P1: W 11 | L 1 (+2,971 units)
P2: W 15 | L 1 (+2,676 units)
P3: W 14 | L 0 (+14,00 units)


pending:
- P3 J.Vargas fade, C Bet on next start on the road
- P3 M.Bumgarner, D Bet on next start on the road
- P2 J.Guthrie fade, B Bet on next start
- P3 M.Scherzer, B Bet on next start
- P3 B.Norris fade, B Bet on next start on the road
- P3 G.Gonzalez, B Bet on next start on the road
- S2 LAA, B Bet on 07.06.2013
- S2 LAA. B Bet on 02.06.2013


________________________________________ _____________________________________

all rules and qualifying teams for every system can be found on post #1-3

[hj443]

Are you going to post anything today?

[Grinder12000]

Give a the guy a chance to regroup.

I don't know about him but being a guy that posts picks I know I can take catastrophic losses hard. Not for ME losing but knowing others lost. That is the hard part.

[sportscreep1]

I thought we were still in a (b) bet for a CJ Wilson fade?? Anyone tell me when we hit that? Tia