Djokovic/Nadal in match thread

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  • shari91
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 02-23-10
    • 32661

    #1
    Djokovic/Nadal in match thread
    I'm starting this now as I think I'll be the only staff member around during the match and I don't want to have to worry about merging 50 threads all saying the same thing

    fwiw although I've probably posted it 10x now, I'm on Nadal and the Over 3.5 sets.

    Justin7 is on Djoko and the under for those who follow him and missed his post earlier.

    GL everyone!
  • Hawkeye2011
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-12-11
    • 840

    #2
    Im on Nadal!

    Get in the contest Shari....lets get people in it tonight
    Comment
    • King Mayan
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-22-10
      • 21326

      #3
      Shari should I go all in??
      Comment
      • Djstucky
        SBR MVP
        • 02-27-11
        • 2993

        #4
        Make it simple and inform us who is right...you or justin7...
        Comment
        • shari91
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 02-23-10
          • 32661

          #5
          Originally posted by King Mayan
          Shari should I go all in??
          hell no! Or if you must, tail Justin7.
          Comment
          • sneakerhead
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 07-14-10
            • 7727

            #6
            on over 3.5 sets
            Comment
            • BlurredOut
              SBR Sharp
              • 01-22-12
              • 430

              #7
              so many intelligent people with conflicting opinions on this match :P
              a toss up for sure, in both the ML and over/under!

              only wager I have so far is Joker to win 3-1. I'm also contemplating taking Nadal 3-2. thoughts?
              Comment
              • shari91
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 02-23-10
                • 32661

                #8
                Originally posted by Djstucky
                Make it simple and inform us who is right...you or justin7...
                lol I think I'm right obviously or I wouldn't have made the bet. I posted immediately after the Semi that if I could get a certain price or higher on Nadal, I was taking it and I got that price so I did. However I 110% guarantee you that Justin7 has made his bets on much more analysis than I have and is coming in with much greater angles because I also said at that time I'm not going to look at any more stats, etc. I'm betting based on what I've seen from these two. It worked with Nadal and Djoko in the Semis so I'm sticking with it. I'd say follow Justin7.
                Comment
                • Hawkeye2011
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 12-12-11
                  • 840

                  #9
                  Everyone aboard the Nadal train!
                  Comment
                  • BlurredOut
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 01-22-12
                    • 430

                    #10
                    I just wish the odds were a bit better on Joker... -150 is not too much fun. Nadal's price is so appealing, but I also smell a trap with it...
                    Comment
                    • hawley
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 05-10-10
                      • 14270

                      #11
                      Shari you have told me 100's of times you are the number 1 tennis capper on the site.

                      I am tailing you and fading justin based on your confidence.

                      Don't bury me Shari.
                      Comment
                      • Hawkeye2011
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-12-11
                        • 840

                        #12
                        Originally posted by hawley
                        Shari you have told me 100's of times you are the number 1 tennis capper on the site.

                        I am tailing you and fading justin based on your confidence.

                        Don't bury me Shari.
                        All aboard!
                        Comment
                        • Djstucky
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-27-11
                          • 2993

                          #13
                          I am liking the ml on Joker -145 to win the first set...
                          Comment
                          • hawley
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 05-10-10
                            • 14270

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Hawkeye2011

                            All aboard!
                            Shari absolutely fukn buried me late last year on a boxing pick she told me was a

                            Today I am going huge on Nadal on Shari's advice to make back what I lost plus interest
                            Comment
                            • Ernie Mccracken
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-11-11
                              • 1986

                              #15
                              I like Nadal in 3. He is on another level right now.
                              Comment
                              • shari91
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 02-23-10
                                • 32661

                                #16
                                Originally posted by BlurredOut
                                I just wish the odds were a bit better on Joker... -150 is not too much fun. Nadal's price is so appealing, but I also smell a trap with it...
                                Nadal was actually 10 cents higher in his match against Fed... I can only assume because so many were on the "Fed is playing so well" "we love Fed" train and people are questioning Djoko's fitness and allergies. Nadal and Djoko have never played here before but Djoko has beaten Nadal 6 in a row, 2 of them in Slams. So it makes sense for the line to be where it is. The line is saying Nadal has a 41% chance of winning. I have given Nadal more of a chance than that so I'm on him. Whether or not I'm mistaken, we'll find out soon
                                Comment
                                • shari91
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 02-23-10
                                  • 32661

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by hawley
                                  Shari you have told me 100's of times you are the number 1 tennis capper on the site.

                                  I am tailing you and fading justin based on your confidence.

                                  Don't bury me Shari.
                                  What?? I have never said that

                                  And for the record, that boxing pick was Lou's. Never again.

                                  If you're going to blindly tail anyone (which I think you're joking about anyway but just in case), tail Justin7. He's really gotten into tennis now and I guarantee you he has more to back up his pick than I do.
                                  Comment
                                  • Hawkeye2011
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 12-12-11
                                    • 840

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by hawley

                                    Shari absolutely fukn buried me late last year on a boxing pick she told me was a

                                    Today I am going huge on Nadal on Shari's advice to make back what I lost plus interest
                                    I got 400 on Nadal at +140.....

                                    Originally posted by Ernie Mccracken
                                    I like Nadal in 3. He is on another level right now.
                                    A wise man once said ^^^
                                    Comment
                                    • No coincidences
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-18-10
                                      • 76300

                                      #19
                                      5Dimes under 40.5 just jumped to +100.
                                      Comment
                                      • RedSox88
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 01-18-11
                                        • 912

                                        #20
                                        Hey guys Im on Nadal Tonight.

                                        Switched over from Betus to BetOnline. Like it there alot more

                                        Got a picture of my bet below.

                                        Basically risked 224 bucks to win just over 300 on nadal so lets do it!
                                        Attached Files
                                        Comment
                                        • iifold
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 04-25-10
                                          • 11111

                                          #21
                                          Nadal...

                                          Joker not on the good juice this year...

                                          Not the same machine...
                                          Comment
                                          • QuangX
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-03-11
                                            • 2756

                                            #22
                                            Question, I heard Djov aka the Joker might have some type of injuries, can anyone vertify this?
                                            Comment
                                            • tatddy
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 03-02-10
                                              • 10779

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                                              5Dimes under 40.5 just jumped to +100.
                                              Which means nothing.
                                              Comment
                                              • DiggityDaggityDo
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 11-30-08
                                                • 81454

                                                #24
                                                I'm big on joker.

                                                This is the firat tennis match i will watch in maybe 2.5 years.

                                                Wtf am i doing???
                                                Comment
                                                • Hawkeye2011
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 12-12-11
                                                  • 840

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by RedSox88
                                                  Hey guys Im on Nadal Tonight.

                                                  Switched over from Betus to BetOnline. Like it there alot more

                                                  Got a picture of my bet below.

                                                  Basically risked 224 bucks to win just over 300 on nadal so lets do it!
                                                  Originally posted by RedSox88
                                                  Hey guys Im on Nadal Tonight.

                                                  Switched over from Betus to BetOnline. Like it there alot more

                                                  Got a picture of my bet below.

                                                  Basically risked 224 bucks to win just over 300 on nadal so lets do it!
                                                  Originally posted by iifold
                                                  Nadal...

                                                  Joker not on the good juice this year...

                                                  Not the same machine...
                                                  Choo Choo!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Sport_Fish
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-06-10
                                                    • 4079

                                                    #26
                                                    Is anyone whose on Nadal today betting him for any angle other than 'Djoker's fatigue/breathing issues' and the 'extreme weather conditions'?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • shari91
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 02-23-10
                                                      • 32661

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by QuangX
                                                      Question, I heard Djov aka the Joker might have some type of injuries, can anyone vertify this?
                                                      As far as an actual injury, no I don't think so. He has been having difficulty breathing - he's attributed it to maybe hayfever and it was something that they were going to try to work on in the past 24hrs. Problem is it's going to be more humid tonight than it has been because we have a storm rolling in. Humidity = more difficulty breathing for everyone, let alone if you're already prone to those issues. Others are concerned about his fatigue because he had an almost 5hr match against Murray - again where his breathing was a major problem for 2 sets - and Nadal has had an extra day's rest. But these are pro athletes so I'm not sure how much stock I'd put into either of those angles. If someone is backing Nadal because they're hoping Djoko will be tired or short of breath, while both may be the case, they probably shouldn't bet Nadal at all or at least reduce their bet to a "fun" size.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Djstucky
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-27-11
                                                        • 2993

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                                        I'm big on joker.

                                                        This is the firat tennis match i will watch in maybe 2.5 years.

                                                        Wtf am i doing???
                                                        3D...don't fail us here...I am backing joker as well...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Hawkeye2011
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 12-12-11
                                                          • 840

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo
                                                          I'm big on joker.

                                                          This is the firat tennis match i will watch in maybe 2.5 years.

                                                          Wtf am i doing???
                                                          gtfo....ban please

                                                          Just kidding. But seriously, gtfo
                                                          Comment
                                                          • RedSox88
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 01-18-11
                                                            • 912

                                                            #30
                                                            Its gonna be a great match and i would lay huge odds this wont end in 3 sets its almost not possible.

                                                            Its true the jokovic absolutley owns nadal but nadal is playing better right now and djokovic is coming off 5 sets with less than 2 days rest.

                                                            Nadal is hungry and nadal gonna eat tonight.

                                                            Plus even if it is at worst a coin flip ill take nadal and thanks for the extra +135

                                                            GL
                                                            Comment
                                                            • shari91
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 02-23-10
                                                              • 32661

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Sport_Fish
                                                              Is anyone whose on Nadal today betting him for any angle other than 'Djoker's fatigue/breathing issues' and the 'extreme weather conditions'?
                                                              Yes. As I posted above, I don't think anyone should put too much into either of those potential factors. Maybe when they're live betting but it's not wise to fade the #1 player in the world because you hope he can't breathe or gets tired.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • secretstash
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 03-29-10
                                                                • 14907

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by RedSox88
                                                                Hey guys Im on Nadal Tonight. Switched over from Betus to BetOnline. Like it there alot more Got a picture of my bet below. Basically risked 224 bucks to win just over 300 on nadal so lets do it!
                                                                this is the funniest screenshot i ever seen

                                                                how bout CTRL PRINT-SCREEN brah?

                                                                -stash
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Hawkeye2011
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 12-12-11
                                                                  • 840

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Sport_Fish
                                                                  Is anyone whose on Nadal today betting him for any angle other than 'Djoker's fatigue/breathing issues' and the 'extreme weather conditions'?
                                                                  I am.... hes Rafa f'n Nadal
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • QuangX
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-03-11
                                                                    • 2756

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by shari91
                                                                    As far as an actual injury, no I don't think so. He has been having difficulty breathing - he's attributed it to maybe hayfever and it was something that they were going to try to work on in the past 24hrs. Problem is it's going to be more humid tonight than it has been because we have a storm rolling in. Humidity = more difficulty breathing for everyone, let alone if you're already prone to those issues. Others are concerned about his fatigue because he had an almost 5hr match against Murray - again where his breathing was a major problem for 2 sets - and Nadal has had an extra day's rest. But these are pro athletes so I'm not sure how much stock I'd put into either of those angles. If someone is backing Nadal because they're hoping Djoko will be tired or short of breath, while both may be the case, they probably shouldn't bet Nadal at all or at least reduce their bet to a "fun" size.
                                                                    Great info and analysis Shari n thanks!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RedSox88
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 01-18-11
                                                                      • 912

                                                                      #35
                                                                      damnit i suck! i new there was a way to do that thanks lol fml im gonna try that and repost so u can see quality difference
                                                                      Comment
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