Stacocakes BNP Paribas Open Thread

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  • BernardMadoff
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-12-09
    • 6679

    #211
    I wont bet on Soderling again in play against a guy of Murray's caliber, had to sweat that out. On to Wozzy now, lets get it Stac.
    Comment
    • Totolover1409
      SBR MVP
      • 06-14-08
      • 1400

      #212
      Guess we are all on Wozniacki tonight. Best of luck guys.
      Comment
      • Totolover1409
        SBR MVP
        • 06-14-08
        • 1400

        #213
        Let's go CAL (march madness)
        Comment
        • Totolover1409
          SBR MVP
          • 06-14-08
          • 1400

          #214
          what time is the wozni match??
          Comment
          • BernardMadoff
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 12-12-09
            • 6679

            #215
            Originally posted by Totolover1409
            what time is the wozni match??
            Just ended.
            Comment
            • Totolover1409
              SBR MVP
              • 06-14-08
              • 1400

              #216
              Comment
              • Stacocakes
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-10-08
                • 7126

                #217
                Wozniacki wins in straight sets
                Good end to the day
                Glad to see that everyone seemed to be on Wozniacki
                Comment
                • BernardMadoff
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-12-09
                  • 6679

                  #218
                  Originally posted by Stacocakes
                  Wozniacki wins in straight sets
                  Good end to the day
                  Glad to see that everyone seemed to be on Wozniacki
                  Yea strange, I figured her odds would get alot worse but not really.
                  Comment
                  • Stacocakes
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-10-08
                    • 7126

                    #219
                    Well guys I was doing some math here with regards to my +3300 Soderling outright trying to figure out how to hedge this thing out right now. I don't want to come along this far and have Robin lose today to Roddick and it all goes to waste. I was trying to figure out what price Soderling would be against Nadal and its tough to call. The last time the two played which was right at the end of 2009 Nadal was -125ish which is probably where the line would be around. Of course if he played Ljubicic instead in the finals the line would be Soderling as a big favorite. Thinking I could possibly wait until after the Nadal match to see who wins and then hedge out my Soderling outright BUT the bad thing is that I am not going to be around the computer the rest of the day so I have to do it now.Oh well. Betfair has a Soderling to "not win" bet of approximately -290 BUT I can't bet enough to successfully hedge the bet that way. So what I am going to have to do is to bet on Roddick today and then to bet on Soderlings opponent tomorrow if he makes it to the final. Should still be able to make some great money this way but I think it would have been easier to just bet the -290 not to win at Betfair if there was enough money available.

                    So today I am just going to have a bet on Roddick at +132

                    Nadal is going to be tough to beat here but at -600 or so against Ljubicic, pass.

                    Best of luck today guys. If you guys have Soderling outrights and are letting it ride, hope it hits. I don't have the balls haha
                    Comment
                    • Stacocakes
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 04-10-08
                      • 7126

                      #220
                      Well its a good thing I hedged out that future because Soderling lost.Would have came away with nothing from it had I let it ride till the final.

                      Ljubicic is another player that roddick has owned his whole career.They have played 12 times in their careers and Roddick has won nine of them. I don't really know how Ljubicic has come out of nowhere here to reach it to the final. He's knocked off both Djokovic and Nadal in the last week. He is obviously a man on a mission right now so I think I am just going to stay away from this match.

                      The womens final is going to be very interesting. Jankovic is 3-0 career head to head vs Wozniacki. 2 of those matches were in 2008 when Caroline was a totally different player so they don't hold much weight here. I think this match is a complete toss up so I see lots of value in the +130 you can get with Jankovic. I can't go all day with no action on tennis so that is the play that I am going to make. Jankovic +130

                      Best of luck today guys.Hopefully you all have made some money this tournament
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #221
                        I may play Jankovic-Wozniacki the same way I played Roddick-Soderling. Liked the over, but chose to go with the prop that the match ends in three sets for plus money instead of ponying up chalk for the actual over.
                        Comment
                        • Totolover1409
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-14-08
                          • 1400

                          #222
                          I really think Wozniacki is gonna dominate this game. I've been watching Jankovic and once she loses her spark, shes done with.

                          BOL Eagles and Staco, I will be staying away from this game and just watching.


                          On the other hand, CALs gonna DESTROY duke today
                          Comment
                          • BernardMadoff
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 12-12-09
                            • 6679

                            #223
                            Took Janko in play up a set at -252, hope it cashes.
                            Comment
                            • MUHerd37
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-23-09
                              • 12816

                              #224
                              Jankovic is straight running Wozniacki off the court. Jankvic has already broken her 4 or 5 times now and it's the 4th game of the 2nd set. Jankovic is striking the ball damn good and running Wozniacki around. Wozniacki doesn't look near as sharp as she did Friday.
                              Comment
                              • Totolover1409
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-14-08
                                • 1400

                                #225
                                Proved me wrong. Nice hit Staco!
                                Comment
                                • MUHerd37
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-23-09
                                  • 12816

                                  #226
                                  Roddick had break and set point but missed out and went on to lose the 1st set. Thanks Roddick. Ljubicic is all serve and not much else. When you get to actually return his serve you have to take advantage. Roddick didn't do that at all in the tiebreak. Two 2nd serves in a row from Ljubicic and Roddick returned both of em out. You have to take advantage of Ljubicic's 2nd serve!!!
                                  Comment
                                  • MUHerd37
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-23-09
                                    • 12816

                                    #227
                                    Roddick choked. He had a lot of break chances during 1 game in the 1st set and 1 game in the 2nd set and couldn't convert on any of them. In both tiebreaks it wasn't even close. Fukk you Roddick.
                                    Comment
                                    • Stacocakes
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 04-10-08
                                      • 7126

                                      #228
                                      Was very surprised Roddick lost that final. I didn't get a chance to see the match but you would have thought Ljubicics run could not last all the way to the end but I guess it did. Look for him to fall off the map again as usual though. He has cost me so much money in the past he is almost entering into James Blake territory as far as that goes. No one will ever top James though.

                                      Good to see that some of you guys were on Jankovic. Didn't think the match would be that one sided though.

                                      We have some good clay court events coming up in April and of course the French Open at the end of May. Can't wait for that. Will be good to see how Nadal fares on the clay. If he doesn't win everything on it then you will definately know something is very wrong.

                                      Hopefully you guys managed to make some money in the last week and a half. Always a pleasure talking tennis with everyone. See you at the French Open
                                      Comment
                                      • Totolover1409
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 06-14-08
                                        • 1400

                                        #229
                                        Great run in this tournament Staco. Your input and picks are really appreciated.
                                        Comment
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