2017 Tennis Season Thread, Picks, Discussion and everything else by Yours Truly

[Jeff_Black]

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R64
Tomas Berdych vs Ryan Harrison
Set Handicap: Tomas Berdych -2.5 sets @ 2.30 on Pinnacle
Stake: $121.60 for a profit of $158.08

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R64
Jeremy Chardy vs Kei Nishikori
Handicap: Jeremy Chardy +7 @ 2.05 on Pinnacle
Stake: $121.60 for a profit of $127.68

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R64
Dudi Sela vs Lucas Lacko
Handicap: Dudi Sela -4 @ 1.869 on Pinnacle
Stake: $121.60 for a profit of $105.67

[Jeff_Black]

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R64
Jo Wilfried Tsonga vs Dusan Lajovic
Total Score: Over 32 games @ 1.961 on Pinnacle
Stake: $121.60 for a profit of $116.86

[Jeff_Black]

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R64
John Isner vs Mischa Zverev
Moneyline: Mischa Zverev @ 2.969 on Pinnacle
Stake: $121.60 for a profit of $239.43

I'm gonna take a stab at this. Isner is better on the tour in best of three then he is at the slams. And it's R2 so there will likely be a few more upsets compared to round 1 where there weren't as many.
With William Hills chase the ace promo every man and their dog is going to be on Isner and while theyll make a profit of it i'll side the other way here. Risk but one I don't mind.

[Jeff_Black]

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R64
Alex De Minaur vs Sam Querrey
Total Score: Under 38.5 points @ 1.917 on Pinnacle
Stake: $121.60 for a profit of $111.51

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R64
Dan Evans vs Marin Cilic
Total Score: Under 37.5 @ 2.01 on Pinnacle
Stake: $121.60 for a profit of $122.82

[Conqueror]

You deserve a prize on the Mischa Zverev call.

[Jeff_Black]

Australian Open 2000, Men's Singles, R64
Karen Khanacov vs Jack Sock
Total Score: Under 39.5 @ 1.90 on Pinnacle
Stake: 121.60 for a profit of $109.44

[Jeff_Black]

You deserve a prize on the Mischa Zverev call.

Thanks heh. Don't know how popular it was here by everyone on another forum was on isner because of the chase the ace promo William hill have. Mischa looked the better guy as the match went on and I wasn't too fussed if he was playing from behind because isner always seems to struggle as the match wears on.
That said when he got broken in the fourth I thought he may have been done
Risk paid off this time with that said!

That said I don't know where this form from him has come from *shrug* ride it when it's hot I guess lol

Definately kind of makes up for a sub par day from me though

[Jeff_Black]

Australian Open 2000, Men's Singles, R64
Andy Murray vs Andre Rublev
2nd set Handicap: Andy Murray -2.5 @ 2.25 on Sportsbet
Stake: $121.60 for a profit of $152

[Jeff_Black]

Set Handicap: Tomas Berdych -2.5 sets @ 2.30 on Pinnacle (+$158.08)
Handicap: Jeremy Chardy +7 @ 2.05 on Pinnacle (-$121.60)
Handicap: Dudi Sela -4 @ 1.869 on Pinnacle (-$121.60)
Total Score: Over 32 games @ 1.961 on Pinnacle (-$121.60)
Moneyline: Mischa Zverev @ 2.969 on Pinnacle (+$239.43)
Total Score: Under 38.5 points @ 1.917 on Pinnacle (+$111.51)
Total Score: Under 37.5 @ 2.01 on Pinnacle (-$121.60)
Total Score: Under 39.5 @ 1.90 on Pinnacle (+$109.44)
2nd set Handicap: Andy Murray -2.5 @ 2.25 on Sportsbet (+$152)

YTD: 42 - 34 - 6 (+$759.21)
Bankroll: $2716.12 - 0 pending

[Jeff_Black]

Austraiian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R64
Pablo Carreno Busta vs Kyle Edmund
Moneyline: Pablo Carreno Busta @ 2.25 on Pinnacle
Stake: $135.81 for a profit of $169.76

[Jeff_Black]

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R64
Gael Monfils vs Alexandr Dolgopolov
Total Score: Over 37 @ 1.952 on Pinnacle
Stake: $135.81 for a profit of $129.29

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R64
Radek Stepanek vs David Goffin
Handicap: Radek Stepanek +6.5 @ 1.943 on Pinnacle
Stake: $135.81 for a profit of $128.07

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R64
Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Zverev
Total Games: Over 36 @ 1.869 on Pinnacle
Stake: $135.81 for a profit of $118.02

[Jeff_Black]

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R64
Ernesto Escobedo vs David Ferrer
Total Games: Over 37.5 Games @ 2.01 on Pinnacle
Stake: $135.81 for a profit of $137.17

[Conqueror]

Busta was another gem from you!

[Jeff_Black]

Even I did not think it would be that easy for him to win. Probably just more of a reward watching these two guys in their matches so far to date then anything. Thought it would be closer to pick em so when I saw Busta was higher I didn't mind the odds. If they were the other way around I would have thought theyd be about right lol.

[Jeff_Black]

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R64
Gilles Muller vs Milos Raonic
Total Score: Under 41 @ 2.00 on Pinnacle
Stake: $135.81 for a profit of $135.81

[Jeff_Black]

Moneyline: Pablo Carreno Busta @ 2.25 on Pinnacle (+$169.76)
Total Score: Over 37 @ 1.952 on Pinnacle (-$135.81)
Handicap: Radek Stepanek +6.5 @ 1.943 on Pinnacle (-$135.81)
Total Games: Over 36 @ 1.869 on Pinnacle(-$135.81)
Total Games: Over 37.5 Games @ 2.01 on Pinnacle (-$135.81)
Total Score: Under 41 @ 2.00 on Pinnacle (+$135.81)

YTD: 44 - 38 - 6 (+$521.54)
Bankroll: $2478.45 - 0 pending

[Jeff_Black]

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R32
Mischa Zverev vs Malek Jaziri
Handicap: Mischa Zverev -1.5 @ 2.01 on Pinnacle
Stake: $123.92 for a profit of $125.16

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R32
Stan Wawrinka vs Viktor Troicki
Total Score: Over 35.5 @ 2.02 on Pinnacle
Stake: $123.92 for a profit of $126.40

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R32
Steve Darcis vs Andreas Seppi
Handicap: Andreas Seppi -1.5 @ 1.961 on Pinnacle
Stake: $123.92 for a profit of $119.09

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R32
Tomas Berdych vs Roger Federer
Handicap: Roger Federer -2.5 @ 1.854 on Pinnacle
Stake: $123.92 for a profit of $105.83

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R32
Bernard Tomic vs Dan Evans
Handicap: Bernard Tomic -3 @ 1.909 on Pinnacle
Stake: $123.92 for a profit of $112.64

[Jeff_Black]

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R3
Andy Murray vs Sam Querrey
Handicap: Sam Querrey +8.5 @ 1.869 on Pinnacle
Stake: $123.92 for a profit of $107.67

[hedgejob]

I watched Tomic's last game and I'd be surprised if he wins more than 1 set if that.

[Jeff_Black]

Would need him to dig deep now, Evans has been good but didn't rate his win over Cilic as highly, would need a bit of fatigue to kick in now more then anything.

[Chaz22]

Man, another big day for you!

Course you gonna loose some, but overall terrific job so far.

BTW was very surprised bookies rated M. Zverev's chances practically even of winning Jaziri.

what was up with that? Was there some injury factor?

IMO Mischa is far more better....

I even see some problems for Andy.....

[Jeff_Black]

Handicap: Mischa Zverev -1.5 @ 2.01 on Pinnacle (+$125.16)
Total Score: Over 35.5 @ 2.02 on Pinnacle (+$126.40)
Handicap: Andreas Seppi -1.5 @ 1.961 on Pinnacle (+$119.09)
Handicap: Roger Federer -2.5 @ 1.854 on Pinnacle (+$105.83)
Handicap: Bernard Tomic -3 @ 1.909 on Pinnacle (-$123.92)
Handicap: Sam Querrey +8.5 @ 1.869 on Pinnacle (+$107.67)

YTD: 49 - 39 - 6 (+$981.77)
Bankroll: $2938.68 - 0 pending

Man, another big day for you! Course you gonna loose some, but overall terrific job so far. BTW was very surprised bookies rated M. Zverev's chances practically even of winning Jaziri.
what was up with that? Was there some injury factor?

Thanks, I was a bit surprised too, but I have to admit I didn't quite see this coming from him this year, and got a tad lucky he wasn't able to close it out against Garcia-Lopez in Round 1. Felt it should have been closer to 3 with the handicap but I imagine they took into account that he played 5 sets with Isner while Jaziri breezed through his matches, which whilst nice, he did get fortunate that he broke his opponent at the end of the third set serving for the match.
Don't know if he was injured, wonder if he just gave up, sprayed a lot of balls and hit quite a few double faults at the end, had the momentum for about half the game before wiltering. If he holds on to that third set it's a different story, but Mischa has shown a lot of fight this tournament already.

As for facing Murray, they are offering 9.5 on Pinnacle @ 1.813. Will think about it for a while before making a play. It is absolutely tempting.

Federer was one of the more easier surprises of the day, for mine. Better odds, same line for him against Kei, who to me was not as impressive as I had hoped. Will see...

[Jeff_Black]

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R3
Milos Raonic vs Gilles Simon
Total Score: Under 38.5 @ 1.854 on Pinnacle
Stake: $146.93 for a profit of $125.48

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R3
David Ferrer vs Roberto Bautista Agut
Handicap: David Ferrer +4.5 @ 2.00 on Pinnacle
Stake: $146.93 for a profit of $146.93

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R3
Grigor Dimitrov vs Richard Gasquet
Handicap: Richard Gasquet +3 @ 1.97 on Pinnacle
Stake: $146.93 for a profit of $142.52

I've actually liked Dimitrov this whole time and this morning have changed my mind, hard to ignore Gasquet is playing well but we'll see who's really been tested in this match up.

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R3
Alexander Zverev vs Rafael Nadal
Moneyline: Alexander Zverev @ 3.62 on Pinnacle
Stake: $146.93 for a profit of $384.96

Taking another risk here with some thought that Zverev has the weapons needed to trouble Nadal, and at the same time that Nadal hates playing against, Height, range with his shots and a good first serve. For some reason also Nadal never seems to have too of an easy match against the German players and the way they play, think to his win against Mayer in R1, losing to Dustin Brown a few years ago at Wimbledon, losing the first set to Brands on clay (whos not great on clay). Never seen him beat Kohlscriebber easily, think hes beaten him on grass too.
Nadal is going to be 32 this year, a little slower, a little older, a little balder. Not looking into his win against Baghdatis too much, a terrible mover in comparison to Zverev but Zverev has both the movement and range on his shots not to mention a backhand that can with hold Nadal's forehand to hopefully make this an interesting match. Could be a changing of the guard type of match if Zverev has his mental game on.

[Conqueror]

Tailed your Alexander Zverev play.

[Jeff_Black]

Definitely more of a risk this time around, and saw the odds moved in Nadals favour overnight so I thought why not. Bookies wouldn't set it low if they didn't think Zverev had a chance to win.
Will be interesting to see where Nadal physical level is at after an uninterrupted and uninjured preseason. Or whether these earlier round exits are a sign of things to come.
Hope the kid puts on a show and maybe the young legs kick in if it's a long match

[gorwin068]

Zverev took the third set by a close tiebreak, leading 2-1. But then he is loosen again in the fourth.
Possibly we will have a final set ... High quality match

[gunslinger572]

Zverev took the third set by a close tiebreak, leading 2-1. But then he is loosen again in the fourth.
Possibly we will have a final set ... High quality match

Certainly making it hard to go to bed...what a match so far

[hedgejob]

He had his chances.

[gorwin068]

Certainly making it hard to go to bed...what a match so far

Definitely the Match of the tournament so far. They just have a 37 shot rally !!!
Sensational !!!
Nadal breaks back again, leading 3-2 with a break up. Zverev has injured his leg after that epic rally though.

[Jeff_Black]

Hah the opposite happened, he was the one struggling physically and cramping and Nadal was on the other side looking fresh as a daisy, ah well.
Only thing I can fault him with his serving (no pun intended)

[Don_Omarion]

depending on performance, Fed ? or Nishi ?

for me, I like FED all the way

[Jeff_Black]

depending on performance, Fed ? or Nishi ? for me, I like FED all the way

Yeah me too

Total Score: Under 38.5 @ 1.854 on Pinnacle (-$146.93)
Handicap: David Ferrer +4.5 @ 2.00 on Pinnacle (+$146.93)
Handicap: Richard Gasquet +3 @ 1.97 on Pinnacle (-$146.93)
Moneyline: Alexander Zverev @ 3.62 on Pinnacle (-$146.93)

YTD: 50 - 42 - 6 (+$687.91)
Bankroll: $2644.82 - 0 pending

[Jeff_Black]

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R16
Andy Murray vs Mischa Zverev
Handicap: Mischa Zverev +9 @ 2.02 on Pinnacle
Stake: $132.24 for a profit of $134.89

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R16
Jo Wilfried Tsonga vs Dan Evans
Total Score: Under 37 @ 1.909 on Pinnacle
Stake: $132.24 for a profit of $120.21

Australian Open 2000, Mens Singles, R16
Roger Federer vs Kei Nishikori
Handicap: Roger Federer -2.5 @ 1.934 on Pinnacle
Stake: $132.24 for a profit of $123.51

[Jeff_Black]

Handicap: Mischa Zverev +9 @ 2.02 on Pinnacle (+$134.89)
Total Score: Under 37 @ 1.909 on Pinnacle (-$132.24)
Handicap: Roger Federer -2.5 @ 1.934 on Pinnacle ($123.51)

YTD: 52 - 43 - 6 (+$814.07)
Bankroll: $2770.98 - 0 pending

[pabonaparte]

Excellent work so far, Jeff_Black!