yisman's ATP/WTA picks thread

[yisman]

She's the superior player and getting extremely favorable odds.

[Cassidy]

Becouse their matchs are hella fixed; just look at those suspicious turnovers today 6-0 1-6 2-6

[yisman]

it certainly seemed like it was fixed.

onto 5/22:

I'm posting who I like, and then I'll finalize odds and unit amounts later.

ATP

Benneteau over Hernandez +148, risk 6
Alves over Kubot +210, risk 4
Vanek over Hrbaty +118, risk 1 unit
Machado over Ascione -175.5, risk 5

WTA

Keothavong over A.Bondarenko +410, risk 4
Kutuzova over Rezai +235, risk 1.5 units

[yisman]

too tired to do odds and unit sizes


I'll wake up in a few hours for that

[yisman]

odds and units added

[yisman]

ATP

Junqueira over Capdeville +144, risk .75 units: +1.08
Santoro over Hernandez +178, risk 5 units: -5
Gicquel over Chela +154, risk 10 units: -10
Petzschner over Koubek +142, risk 8 units: -8

WTA

Parmentier over Lepchenko +148, risk 3 units: +4.44
Ani over Yakimova +285, risk 1 unit: -1
Coin over Vesnina +370, risk 2 units: +7.4
Niculescu over Groenefeld +450, risk 5 units: +22.5!!!!
U.Radwanska over Koryttseva +134, risk 1.5 units: +2.01
Tanasugarn over Kutuzova +285, risk 8 units: -8

May 19: 5-5, +5.43

Lousy odds.

ATP

Hidalgo over Chela +270, risk 5 units: -5
Hanescu over Granollers -161, risk 4 units: +2.48
Junquiera over Koellerer +174, risk 1 unit: -1
Benneteau over Massu -120, risk 8 units: +6.67

WTA

Yakimova over Rezai +235, risk 3 units: -3
Niculescu over Beygelzimer -238, risk 6 units +2.52
Barrois over Medina Garrigues +620, risk 1 unit: retired. Medina quit, robbing me
Kustova over Sharapova +820, risk 2 units: -2

May 20: 3-4, +.67

ATP

Benneteau over Koellerer +158, risk 7 units: +11.06
Hernandez over Chela +142, risk 5 units: +7.1

WTA

Keothavong over Olaru +104, risk 5 units: +5.2
Voskoboeva over Dulgheru +102, risk 7 units: -7
Barrois over Hradecka +136, risk 2 units: -2
Niculescu +370 over Rezai, risk 10 units: -10

May 21: 3-3, +4.36

[yisman]

ATP

Benneteau over Hernandez +148, risk 6: +8.8
Alves over Kubot +210, risk 4: -4, brutal loss
Vanek over Hrbaty +118, risk 1 unit: +1.18
Machado over Ascione -175.5, risk 5: +2.85

WTA

Keothavong over A.Bondarenko +410, risk 4: -4
Kutuzova over Rezai +235, risk 1.5 units: -1.5

May 22: 3-3, +3.33


overall after 19 days: 70-87, +58.93 units

[BobHarvey]

Yisman,

Any thoughts on Groth -130 over Lacko in the qualifier?

[yisman]

sorry I missed it, Bob. I'm normally not around much on Friday heading into Saturday.

I wouldn't have bet it either way, myself.


Moving on to today:

I have no doubt there's value to be had on the women's side as well, but I simply ran out of time. Simply a few ATP picks...

[yisman]

Karlovic over Hewitt +210, risk 7 units
Golubev over Gremelmayr +100, risk 3 units
Gil over Ferrer +650, risk 2 units
Petzschner over Polansky +130, risk 5 units

[yisman]

#&$^%@&$^@%#^#@

Karlovic was up 2-0 and then lost three straight.

[losturmarbles]

shit's rigged for live betting yis

[yisman]

Golubev won in straight sets as an underdog.


May 24: 2-2, +.5


overall after 20 days: 72-89, +59.43 units
2-2 day. +.5 units.

[yisman]

I just spent an hour and a half on this. Here are the players I'm taking.

Istomin - hu
Devilder - hl
Zverev
Phau - hl
Schwank
acasuso

keothavong - hl
sugiyama - hu
Tanasugarn - hu
flipkens
Mattek??? hl
South - hl
Strycova - hu
kirilenko

I will update with lines and units later

[yisman]

May 25 ATP and WTA

ATP

Istomin over Giraldo +245, risk 2 units
Devilder over Wawrinka +1600, risk 1.5 units
Zverev over Starace 100, risk 6 units
Phau over Chardy +520, risk 1.5 units
Schwank over Rufin -625, risk 6.25 units
Acasuso over Ventura -128, risk 5 units

WTA

Keothavong over Safina +2300, risk .5 units
Sugiyama over Rezai +310, risk 5 units
Tanasugarn over Pin +162, risk 5 units
Flipkens over Foretz +188, risk 1 unit
Mattek over V.Williams +1300, risk 1 unit
South over Larcher de Brito +360, risk 3 units
Strycova over Dominguez +128, risk 1 unit
Kirilenko over Rogowska -769, risk 10 units

[Fiasco]

Tailed you on Zverev over Starace just for the action

GL today

[yisman]

Schwank lost. Serves me right for taking chalk.

Devilder at +1600: 3-6, 7-5, 6-2, 4-6, 4-6

Mattek at +1300 took Williams to three sets

South at +360 took the first set 6-0, but then dropped 6-7. 5-7

She should've won that.

Bad day because my big upsets didn't hit.

[yisman]

add:

Phau over Chardy +660, risk 1 unit
Andreev over Fognini -154, risk 2 units

WTA

Morita over Garbin, +126, risk 1 unit

[yisman]

Tailed you on Zverev over Starace just for the action

GL today

retired at 7-6, 5-7, 0-1

Was hoping for an odd winner today.

[shantystar]

you lost!

[EaglesPhan36]

You should send a hitman out on Schwank. What a miserable performance. I know his year has been shit, but losing to a qualifier in straight sets like that? Sheesh.

[yisman]

you lost!

baseborn! swine! scoundrel!

[yisman]

You should send a hitman out on Schwank. What a miserable performance. I know his year has been shit, but losing to a qualifier in straight sets like that? Sheesh.

Agreed. For anyone who wants to know why I primarily take underdogs and always avoid heavy chalk, today was exhibit A. I finally took heavy chalk and lost both.

[yisman]

ATP

Istomin over Giraldo +245, risk 2 units: +4.9
Devilder over Wawrinka +1600, risk 1.5 units: -1.5 #&$^%^#
Zverev over Starace 100, risk 6 units: retired
Phau over Chardy +520, risk 1.5 units: didn't happen
Schwank over Rufin -625, risk 6.25 units: -6.25
Acasuso over Ventura -128, risk 5 units: +3.91

WTA

Keothavong over Safina +2300, risk .5 units: -.5
Sugiyama over Rezai +310, risk 5 units: -5
Tanasugarn over Pin +162, risk 5 units: +8.1
Flipkens over Foretz +188, risk 1 unit: +1.88
Mattek over V.Williams +1300, risk 1 unit: -1
South over Larcher de Brito +360, risk 3 units: -3
Strycova over Dominguez +128, risk 1 unit: -1
Kirilenko over Rogowska -769, risk 10 units: -10

add:

Phau over Chardy +660, risk 1 unit: didn't happen
Andreev over Fognini -154, risk 2 units: +1.3

WTA

Morita over Garbin, +126, risk 1 unit: -1

Every time I pick someone and they take the first set 6-0, they go on too lose, it seems.

[cuteboy86hi]

I was about to follow ur picks but decided against it cos whenever i tail someone he starts loosing.
Really surprised by u missing out on rufin.

[yisman]

First losing day in a while.

May 25

5-9, -9.16


overall after 21 days: 77-98, +50.27 units

[losturmarbles]

yis i followed some of your atp picks this morning, lol i skipped Schwank bc of the chalk. matchbook didnt have any wta matches up. but a +unit day for me. thanks.

[yisman]

I'll try to do better tomorrow. I've learned my lesson. Nothing beyond -200. I'm 0-2 on heavy chalk and -16.25. I actually had a good day on my normal plays, but the chalk buried me.

[yisman]

ATP

Schuettler over Gicquel +270, risk 4 units
Ljubcic over Ferrero -130, risk 3 units
Tursunov over Clement +168, risk 10 units
Baghdatis over Monaco +410, risk 2 units
Benneteau over Tsonga +196, risk 5 units
Santoro over Rochus -125, risk 3 units
Korolev over Gimeno-Traver -161, risk 2 units

WTA

Rybarikova over Mladenovic -192, risk 12 units
Bammer over Dechy -116, risk 6 units
Santangelo over Martic +164, risk 7 units
U.Radwanska over Wickmayer +285, risk 2 units
Dokic over Sprem +136, risk 1.5 units
Peng over Martinez Sanchez +162, risk 3 units

[yisman]

add:

Tursunov +188, risk 3 units

["Sic"]

Love Tursunov...its my POD...I hit Crivoi and Rybarikova already and Troicki about to win for me so I need Tursunov for a really good day...Not sure whats gonna happen with Ferrero but thats a small play for me

["Sic"]

I want to take the magician but I cant hes too old...I kinda think Rochus will take it but it is possibly Santoros last Frenchy

["Sic"]

Tursunov killing himself with unforced errors...Clement takes the first set...and rather easily...Tursunov is the better player he needs to step his game up this set

[yisman]

ATP

Schuettler over Gicquel +270, risk 4 units: -4
Ljubcic over Ferrero -130, risk 3 units: -3
Tursunov over Clement +168, risk 10 units: pending
Baghdatis over Monaco +410, risk 2 units: -2
Benneteau over Tsonga +196, risk 5 units: -5
Santoro over Rochus -125, risk 3 units: pending
Korolev over Gimeno-Traver -161, risk 2 units: retired

WTA

Rybarikova over Mladenovic -192, risk 12 units: +6.25
Bammer over Dechy -116, risk 6 units: +5.17
Santangelo over Martic +164, risk 7 units: -7
U.Radwanska over Wickmayer +285, risk 2 units: -2
Dokic over Sprem +136, risk 1.5 units: +2.04
Peng over Martinez Sanchez +162, risk 3 units: -3

add:

Tursunov +188, risk 3 units

Down, but I'll be up if Tursunov can win.

[yisman]

May 27 ATP and WTA

ATP

Gulbis +136 over Almagro, risk 2 units
Lopez over Tipsa +148, risk 7 units
Hanescu over Youzhny +240, risk 8 units
Petzschner over Verdasco +3700, risk 1.5 units
Kendrick over Simon +620, risk 1 unit
Sela over Cilic +800, risk 2 units
Kiefer over Ferrer +700, risk 5 units


WTA

Barrois over Azarenka, +2000, risk 2 units
Tanasugarn over Ivanovic +1200, risk 2 units
Sharapova over Petrova +138, risk 2 units