Another major, another chance to fade Serena

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  • yisman
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 09-01-08
    • 75682

    #36
    [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
    [/quote]

    [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
    Comment
    • Grivas_Digeni
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 05-08-15
      • 5307

      #37
      sensational.. was she so good because she wanted to rest before doubles?
      Comment
      • tecmoslayer
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-07-14
        • 528

        #38
        Your Theory Sucks.
        Originally posted by QuantumLeap
        Fading the Butt Sisters in their doubles match.

        This started out -136 for the Williams' sisters. The odds now favor their opponents.

        Makarova and Vesnina have 2 Grand Slam doubles titles and 6 runners-up so they are no slouches.

        Makarova E/Vesnina E -112 over Williams S/Willams V


        Comment
        • QuantumLeap
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-22-08
          • 6878

          #39
          Originally posted by tecmoslayer
          Your Theory Sucks.
          Yes, I'm afraid you're right. So now put on a set of balls and make some picks so I can criticize your theories too.

          Edit: I just took a look at your posts to see if you may have made some picks already. Nope. It seems you are a ghost account just set up to criticize people. You are truly a coward.

          I would suggest to anyone to click on this clown's posts to see what I'm talking about.
          Comment
          • QuantumLeap
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 08-22-08
            • 6878

            #40
            Originally posted by QuantumLeap
            Yes, I'm afraid you're right. So now put on a set of balls and make some picks so I can criticize your theories too.

            Edit: I just took a look at your posts to see if you may have made some picks already. Nope. It seems you are a ghost account just set up to criticize people. You are truly a coward.

            I would suggest to anyone to click on this clown's posts to see what I'm talking about.
            I just went over the matches where I bet Serena only. Two of the spreads against her won on the game spread (I took the spread on the sets which lost). She then won by 1/2 point against Kerber in her most recent match.

            So if I play my spots on the game spread only I may have a better time.
            Comment
            • yisman
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 09-01-08
              • 75682

              #41
              faded Serena again and again and lost repeatedly

              lost again today taking Kerber +4.5
              [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
              [/quote]

              [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
              Comment
              • Lightning
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 05-15-16
                • 647

                #42
                I don't think the strategy is one you could hit repeatedly, because bookmakers set their odds in such a way that you can't make money that way.

                I think it should be applied on a case by case basis... i.e. when you get a +6.5 at even money, take it. A -4.5 though - the value was on Serena, not her opponent.
                Comment
                • maletaja
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 01-09-12
                  • 319

                  #43
                  Its very simple. Serena CARES spread semis, final and takes every point seriously. Early rounds she doesnt care
                  About game. Actually serve saved Serena. Longer rallies Serena cant fight anymore
                  I hope to get in the future juisy lines for laying Serena. Slow hardcourt or clay could cause her much trouble
                  Comment
                  • QuantumLeap
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 08-22-08
                    • 6878

                    #44
                    Originally posted by Lightning
                    I don't think the strategy is one you could hit repeatedly, because bookmakers set their odds in such a way that you can't make money that way.

                    I think it should be applied on a case by case basis... i.e. when you get a +6.5 at even money, take it. A -4.5 though - the value was on Serena, not her opponent.
                    Yeah, I didn't take every match. I applied it on a case by case basis. It went 2-2 in matches I took if I were to take the game spread instead of the series spread on that one match. It could have gone 3-1 but missed by 1/2 game in the final.

                    I think I'll continue this in her next major.
                    Comment
                    • QuantumLeap
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 08-22-08
                      • 6878

                      #45
                      Originally posted by maletaja
                      Its very simple. Serena CARES spread semis, final and takes every point seriously. Early rounds she doesnt care
                      About game. Actually serve saved Serena. Longer rallies Serena cant fight anymore
                      I hope to get in the future juisy lines for laying Serena. Slow hardcourt or clay could cause her much trouble
                      This is good input. Thanks for contributing.

                      Comment
                      • QuantumLeap
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 08-22-08
                        • 6878

                        #46
                        Looks like I failed to fade Serena in her doubles match with Venus where they lost in the Olympics.
                        Comment
                        • QuantumLeap
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-22-08
                          • 6878

                          #47
                          Bump.
                          Comment
                          • beefcake
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-26-09
                            • 14029

                            #48
                            Typical Serena and her camp..Blaming inury for the loss...
                            Comment
                            • Grivas_Digeni
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 05-08-15
                              • 5307

                              #49
                              Originally posted by QuantumLeap
                              This is good input. Thanks for contributing.

                              Did she care about last night's semi?
                              Comment
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