2016 European/US Hardcourt swing picks

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  • Conqueror
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-08-13
    • 16778

    #71
    Jeff,

    I'm on Simon ML, which is pretty much my only today.
    Comment
    • Jeff_Black
      SBR MVP
      • 04-04-15
      • 3571

      #72
      Popular play today, for a dog. Good to see it come off!
      Comment
      • fitguy67
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 03-13-11
        • 5082

        #73
        2016 threads: 69-58, +7.961u (+5.17% of 154u risked)
        Comment
        • Jeff_Black
          SBR MVP
          • 04-04-15
          • 3571

          #74
          ATP Miami Masters 1000, R16
          Richard Gasquet vs Tomas Berdych
          Moneyline: Richard Gasquet @ 2.36 on Pinnacle
          Stake: 1u play

          ATP Miami Masters 1000, R16
          David Goffin vs Horacio Zeballious
          Total Score: Under 20.5 @ 1.715 on Pinnacle
          Stake: 1u play

          ATP Miami Masters 1000, R16
          Kei Nishikori vs Roberto Bautista Agut
          Set Handicap: Kei Nishikori -1.5 sets @ 1.781 on Pinnacle
          Stake: 1u play
          Comment
          • Jeff_Black
            SBR MVP
            • 04-04-15
            • 3571

            #75
            ATP Miami Masters 1000, Quarter Finals
            Tomas Berdych vs Novak Djokovic
            Set Handicap: Novak Djokovic -1.5 sets @ 1.434 on Pinnacle
            Stake: 5u play

            Normally don't go for the inferior odds but honestly with what I saw against Berdych against Gasquet and with his poor second serving I expect Djokovic to punish that even more severly. Ain't gonna beat him winning 20-30% of second serves.
            That and I think Novak's been in good enough form. Saw enough against Thiem to suggest that.

            ATP Miami Masters 1000, Quarter Finals
            David Goffin vs Gilles Simon
            Moneyline: David Goffin @ 1.826 on Pinnacle
            Stake: 1u play
            Comment
            • Jeff_Black
              SBR MVP
              • 04-04-15
              • 3571

              #76
              26% second serves in this time around, scoreline flatters him a bit
              Comment
              • fitguy67
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 03-13-11
                • 5082

                #77
                2016 threads: 72-60, +9.738u (+5.97% of 163u risked)
                Comment
                • JohnnyRudeboy
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-30-09
                  • 1646

                  #78
                  Originally posted by Jeff_Black
                  ATP Miami Masters 1000, Quarter Finals
                  Tomas Berdych vs Novak Djokovic
                  Set Handicap: Novak Djokovic -1.5 sets @ 1.434 on Pinnacle
                  Stake: 5u play

                  Normally don't go for the inferior odds but honestly with what I saw against Berdych against Gasquet and with his poor second serving I expect Djokovic to punish that even more severly. Ain't gonna beat him winning 20-30% of second serves.
                  That and I think Novak's been in good enough form. Saw enough against Thiem to suggest that.

                  ATP Miami Masters 1000, Quarter Finals
                  David Goffin vs Gilles Simon
                  Moneyline: David Goffin @ 1.826 on Pinnacle
                  Stake: 1u play
                  Yea, decent form

                  Comment
                  • Jeff_Black
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-04-15
                    • 3571

                    #79
                    ATP Miami Masters 1000, Final
                    Novak Djokovic vs Kei Nishikori
                    Set Handicap: Novak Djokovic -1.5 sets @ 1.641 on Pinnacle
                    Stake: 4u play
                    Comment
                    • Conqueror
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-08-13
                      • 16778

                      #80
                      Originally posted by Jeff_Black
                      ATP Miami Masters 1000, Final
                      Novak Djokovic vs Kei Nishikori
                      Set Handicap: Novak Djokovic -1.5 sets @ 1.641 on Pinnacle
                      Stake: 4u play
                      Great play. Tailing. Can't see any other result here.
                      Comment
                      • Jeff_Black
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-04-15
                        • 3571

                        #81
                        I tried to talk myself out of it but I couldn't. Goffin was excellent in his Semi Final, I think it was one of the best matches he's played at Miami. It looks easier because it was decided in two sets but IMO it was certainly not easy for Djokovic I reckon. The other worry and the thing that impressed me was Djokovic braved the heat well as well. It will probably be played in more sunny conditions compared to playing a tad later on in the afternoon which is my main worry but then we have to look to the other side where Nishikori doesn't handle the heat as well.

                        Nishikori has beaten some good players but I can't see they played their best or pushed him much apart from Monfils a little. Kyrgios wasn't the same player compared to his previous matches and missed several much needed first serves especially at the end there. I think Kei will need to be at a better level then what he has shown here but it's been an excellent tournament and effort from him.

                        Only hoping that Novak doesn't have a lapse in his concentration. However he's gotten better in all his tournaments as the matches have gone on so hopefully he can hold it together for another game.
                        He hasn't dropped a set since losing the first to Fragentelo which was probably his worst by far during this US hardcourt swing so hopefully he gets the job done.
                        Comment
                        • Jeff_Black
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-04-15
                          • 3571

                          #82
                          Onwards and upwards to the new thread: http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...l#post25530767
                          Comment
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