Matt's POD Picks

[matt1216]

No hate. When I said typo, I didn't mean typo as in a losing play or what you're thinking. Was just confused by the explanation as it made it look like you were backing Zhang so was thinking you may have posted it the wrong way round.

No sir, I honestly felt Zhang would play a shit as match joint from the US open Qualies to a small challenger in China. Millman needed it more as well. The odds too me looked a bit off. Good luck tomorrow.

[matt1216]

3rd September Challenger:

- Koolhof ML 3.50 Risk 50$ to win 125$

GL

[matt1216]

Fck me, my auto correct on my IPhone screws on my sentences up.

[matt1216]

3rd September US Open:

- Granollers/Lopez Doubles ML 2.50 Risk 100$ to win 150$

- Azarenka ML 1.80 Risk 175$ to win 140$

- Wawrinka 1st set ML 1.71 Risk 150$ to win 107$

Both Doubles teams have played very well, but I think Granollers/Lopez are a bargin at this price. When Marc Lopez can actually serve well, they are hard to beat

Azarenka has played very well, and she is getting close to her old form. Makarova has played well too, but she never should have beat Bouchard. Bouchard blew multiple break points, she complained about the heat, and she was ultimately useless in the big points. The books also opened Aza @1.40 and the public has pounded Makarova from 3.00 all the way to 2.10 is...

Stanimal to take set 1. I expect a Nishikori to be stiff after a long match with Raonic. Not even his regular amount of rest. The lactic acid build up should hamper Nishi big time. Im also willing to bet he concedes the match after set 1. I would put more but Wawa is also hard to back at high stakes.




GL

[HatersGonnaHate]

He played a kid that was on fire.. Talent wise, he's progressing. I think he will continue to get better and better. I can only be concerned with the matchup.

he got the job done but he was lucky to get out of there with the win. He is clearly the more talanted player but i was afraid he would come out flat and he did but he recovered and got the win. good work

[PremierUA1995]

@Matt

I like your point of view @@ Azarenka & Stan matches ... but why many people placed huge bets on Makarova that her line dropped from 3.10 to 2.15 ???? Have you watched Azarenka last match which she won hardly 2-1 ??? no play for me here but I think something is strange here , I Wish AZARENKA wins for you

Best Of Luck , man

[matt1216]

@Matt

I like your point of view @@ Azarenka & Stan matches ... but why many people placed huge bets on Makarova that her line dropped from 3.10 to 2.15 ???? Have you watched Azarenka last match which she won hardly 2-1 ??? no play for me here but I think something is strange here , I Wish AZARENKA wins for you

Best Of Luck , man

The books had Makarova @3.00 to open, which is pretty damn good. If I wasn't thinking, and I impulse wagered, I would throw money on that. Azarenka is fine. Like I said Bouchard should have won. She missed so many easy chances.

[matt1216]

he got the job done but he was lucky to get out of there with the win. He is clearly the more talanted player but i was afraid he would come out flat and he did but he recovered and got the win. good work

Yeah you're right, chung(the winner of last tournament) lost big time. I got away with that one

[Snowball]

agree on Azarenka. I think you're also better off taking Stan for 1st set than match.
the narrative that Nishikori is worn down from the long match could prove to be an
incorrect assumption, however. So he is done 2:30am, goes to bed at 4 or even 5,
sleeps, hangs around, sleeps again. Don't see it as a factor for a 3pm start.
Stan was beat up physically in the Robredo match. Remember his knee. If Nish can outlast Raonic he can outlast Stan. He's thinner, less affected by heat and more even keel player. He will lurch and frustrate the opponent. Another hot day.
I have Nish to win a set but see myself adding him to win or with pts before matchtime.

[Hardcoar]

No hate. When I said typo, I didn't mean typo as in a losing play or what you're thinking. Was just confused by the explanation as it made it look like you were backing Zhang so was thinking you may have posted it the wrong way round.

I think Matt's actual point is just what you said – it doesn't make sense for Zhang to be a slight favorite under the circumstances. Matt thought the line is "weird" and is telling the tale.

[matt1216]

3rd September Challenger:

- Clezar ML 1.67 Risk 145$ to win 96$


GL

[matt1216]

3rd September US Open:

- Chan Y.J/Hutchings R. Doubles ML 2.50 Risk 100$ to win 150$


GL

[matt1216]

3rd September US Open:

- Djokovic/Murray Over 3.5 sets + Berdych ML 2.25 Risk 200$ to win 250$


GL

[matt1216]

3rd September Challenger:

- Singh ML 2.05 Risk 125$ to win 132$

- Cepelova ML 1.91 Risk 125$ to win 117$

- Ozaki ML 2.60 Risk 100$ to win 160$



GL

[matt1216]

102-88 +1670

Today: 4-5 -80$


Summary:

Tough Day for the Doubles team Huching/Chan. Up 5-1 serving for the set and they lose the set 7-5. Shit happens. They lose 10-7 in a super tiebreaker in 3rd set. Ozaki up 5-4 serving for set, completely shits the bed loses match 7-6 6-0.

Pending Murray +2.5 sets + Berdych ML Risk 200$ to win 250$



GL

[matt1216]

4th September Challenger/US Open:

- Lindell ML 3.50 Risk 100$ to win 250$

- Kubler ML 1.63 Risk 150$ to win 92$

- Granollers/M. Lopez Doubles 2.20 Risk 120$ to win 150$

- Wozniaki ML + Monfils +2.5 sets 1.91 Risk 225$ to win 209$

* Pending from yesterday*

Murray +2.5 sets +Berdych ML 2.25 Risk 200$ to win 250$



GL

[matt1216]

4th September US Open/Challenger:

- Mina ML 1.95 Risk 125$ to win 121$

- Hingis/Pennetta Doubles 1.67 Risk 225$ to win 150$



GL

[reddevil84]

Matt I like Berdych but why do you think he is only -140 right now? looks like a trap

I mean he should be at least -200, more experience at this level, best hu record, Cilic coming from a 5 set match...

Cilic beat him in 3 at Wimbly but different surface and it was earlier stage

[matt1216]

Matt I like Berdych but why do you think he is only -140 right now? looks like a trap

I mean he should be at least -200, more experience at this level, best hu record, Cilic coming from a 5 set match...

Cilic beat him in 3 at Wimbly but different surface and it was earlier stage

Yeah, I clearly didn't think this match through at all. Berdych beat scrubs all tournament.

[Marillion]

Any reason why you took Mina? I am not criticizing because of the outcome (it was as close as a match can be), it's just I liked Lama.

[felix_felicus7]

Hi Matt, thought you were abandoning those 2 legged chalky traps going forward?! Easy to say now but I reckon you're (your) better off taking the straight 3-1sets @ 3.50 for novak yesterday or roger today & not have to worry about combining with a dmoney fave. Your (you're) >3.5sets & +2.5sets lines imply that you think the result will be 1-3 sets anyway. GL going forward.

[matt1216]

Any reason why you took Mina? I am not criticizing because of the outcome (it was as close as a match can be), it's just I liked Lama.

I saw Mina vs Lakksonen a few weeks back... That kid is gonna be good. He's better than Lama, but he's French. He crumbles under any pressure. Rediculous

[matt1216]

Hi Matt, thought you were abandoning those 2 legged chalky traps going forward?! Easy to say now but I reckon you're (your) better off taking the straight 3-1sets @ 3.50 for novak yesterday or roger today & not have to worry about combining with a dmoney fave. Your (you're) >3.5sets & +2.5sets lines imply that you think the result will be 1-3 sets anyway. GL going forward.

I was abandoning it, I just thought their was value this time. In general I think I have only posted a few of those plays recently. I'm trying to get away from them in general though

[felix_felicus7]

Thanks for the reply Matt - personally I think there's much more than a 28.5% chance of fed winning 3-1 ie good value, compared to the 52% relative chance your monfils/woz parlay represents ie less value. Your cash tho ;-)

[matt1216]

Well, Monfis wins set 1.... That's all I need.. Let's go Wozniaki!

[matt1216]

4th Sept WTA:

Anna-Lena Friedsam ML 2.40 Risk 125$ to win 175$



GL

[EaglesPhan36]

Well, Monfis wins set 1.... That's all I need.. Let's go Wozniaki!

CaroWozniacki
https://twitter.com/CaroWozniacki

[matt1216]

I wouldn't mind pulling on that pony tail!

[fitguy67]

bac2bak aces that were unsee-able, let alone un-hittable...

this is an upgraded monfils...same other-wrldly skills...but now incorporating for the first time something he's always been low on...

vitamin "C"...composure...

this match is amazing eye-candy

___________

but unfortunately same old focus and gas-tank that runs dry after 4 sets...

hell of an entertaining 4-sets tho' that just COULD have had a surprise ending to boot...but after those MP's evaporated it was all over but the crying for the frenchman

[matt1216]

4th September WTA:

- Y. Duan ML 1.69 Risk 125$ to win 86$



GL

[fitguy67]

matt, here's a pleasant "why did u bet on _________" after the event question

what did u see in friedsam over cepelova who had three recent straight-set same-surface wins over her...

i thought you were just mindlessly
trolling for plus-odds...but there obviously was more to it than what could be gleaned from the tennisexplorer.com page

[matt1216]

matt, here's a pleasant "why did u bet on _________" after the event question

what did u see in friedsam over cepelova who had three recent straight-set same-surface wins over her...

i thought you were just mindlessly
trolling for plus-odds...but there obviously was more to it than what could be gleaned from the tennisexplorer.com page

Fitguy, I do very well on odds from 2.00-2.50... I'm hot garbage on anything over 3.50ish and anything under 1.50ishh. First off, I look at the opening odds on Friedman. 2.2ish I believe. That right there gets me scratching my head. You know the public will pound Cepelova at the decent short odds of 1.60ish on a 3-0 head to head record. Seems obvious right? Next, I comes the did I see either player play recently? Yes, I saw cepelova struggle on her serve. I felt with the odds the books were lining people up for an epic burial. After all, the group WE are up against are brilliant.

[matt1216]

Sorry, I'm mostly on a IPhone when I type. Auto correct always has it's say,lol

[matt1216]

107-91+1898$

Today: 5-3 +228$



GL

[matt1216]

5th September Challenger:

- Van Der Duim ML 3.75 Risk 100$ to win 275$

- Molchanov ML 2.15 Risk 125$ to win 143$

- Beck ML 1.67 Risk 140$ to win 93$

*Monfils +2.5 sets + WozniaCki ML 1.91 Risk 225$ to win 209$ *pending from yesterday.




GL