Matt's POD Picks

[matt1216]

adding:

Martin ML 1.83 x 2 units





GL

[felix_felicus7]

Fabrice Martin?

[matt1216]

Fabrice Martin?

Yeah, I fell for the odds. I can't believe Wozniak threw her match as well. The most disgusting thing I've seen

[unlearn]

updated record? or are you not doing that anymore, lol

He's spinning so badly he's not even calculating his negative PSI anymore. New thread coming shortly.

[pattymayo]

adding:

Wozniak ML 1.31 x 6 units



GL

sweet jesus matty

don't even bother updating the record. this is bad

[matt1216]

He's spinning so badly he's not even calculating his negative PSI anymore. New thread coming shortly.

Im actually not as bad as u think lately 19-18

[matt1216]

ttd:

18-30 -96.3

42-57 -119.5
For whatever reason I see to have lost my all my large plays(Paire 10 units/LU Y 10 units/Wozniak 26 units). I'm hitting my small wagers the last few days at a 60% average. I believe things are finally turning around. I was about -140 units befor my recent decent run of Wins. Being more selective is paying off



good luck moving forward guys

[matt1216]

Wozniak 6** units ^^^ corrected

[matt1216]

ATP:

Carreno-Busta 1st set ML 1.71 x 3 units

Struff ML 2.00 x 2 units




GL

[matt1216]

ATP:

Melzer G. ML + Thiem ML 2.90 x 2 units




GL

[matt1216]

ATP:

Young ML 1.61 x 5 units



GL

[Hardcoar]

Didn't you bet on Young last week against Sela??

[kendy]

@hardcoar does it mean he can't bet On him again? am sure this week isn't Young vs Sela.

[brodie]

42-57 -119.5
Being more selective is paying off

[brodie]

just playing matt, why do you like donald today? young is way too unreliable for my money right now.

[Ronald S.]

matt can I get your thoughts on ginepri/falla?

[matt1216]

Hey guys, sorry I was out all day. Trying to be more selective these days. I liked Donald because I figured he would come out hard after that embaressing loss in his last outing... Plus it's a ATP 500. Motivation should be there.

[FlipsideRM]

This young match reminds me of WTA, neither can hold serve. I wouldn't be surprised if Donald loses now after blowing the second

[matt1216]

All good man. I liked young because I thought he would come out hard after that embaressing loss last time out.

[matt1216]

More plays later....I have to enjoy this awsome weather up in the northwest

[FlipsideRM]

Had 2 break points there and blew it. He'll blow it, guy has the mind of a 2 year old

[matt1216]

ATP:

Tiafoe +1.5 sets 2.15 x 2 units



GL

[brodie]

This young match reminds me of WTA, neither can hold serve. I wouldn't be surprised if Donald loses now after blowing the second

did u have a stream for this match or just watching the score?

ATP:

Tiafoe +1.5 sets 2.15 x 2 units



GL

im on the + games... lets get it!!

[FlipsideRM]

did u have a stream for this match or just watching the score?



im on the + games... lets get it!!

Score. No stream for it, donald looks in control but you never know with him

[matt1216]

Adding last play:

Tomljanovic +1.5 sets 2.15 x 2 units

Petkovic isn't nearly as dominant on this surface. I think there's decent value here.




GL

[pattymayo]

Hey guys, sorry I was out all day. Trying to be more selective these days. I liked Donald because I figured he would come out hard after that embaressing loss in his last outing... Plus it's a ATP 500. Motivation should be there.

6 plays today = more selective?

[matt1216]

6 plays today = more selective?

Yeah I forgot about those earlie plays. I put them in yesterday so it felt like yesterday... I'm only using small money until I see the large play now...

[felix_felicus7]

Yeah I forgot about those earlie plays. I put them in yesterday so it felt like yesterday... I'm only using small money until I see the large play now...

As you mentioned in your last grading Matt, the big plays have been quite negative for you & overexpose your bankroll too much. Your small grinding plays are more likely to get you back under -100.

[matt1216]

ATP:

Gabashvilli +1.5 sets + Monaco ML 1.95 x 4 units

Melzer J. +1.5 sets + S.Johnson ML 2.25 x 4 units

Michilecka ML 4.60 x 2 units

I know Monaco may start slow after tournament finals/Wins but, you have to keep in mind there's not a lot of clay season for him left.... The points are here for him to grab again. Gabashvilli has played alright on clay. He's 0-3 vs Nieminen but 2 of those 3 matches went 3 sets. None of these matchups were on clay. Gabashvilli when on is a solid clay courter.

Melzer J. Is decent on clay. It's been awhile since he played but he's playing at home here. Andujar coming off a tournament win.... He one of those guys that either engaged in the match, or he dosnt show up at all. In current form Andujar can win this but after a tournament win and in Austria, I don't think it will be easy.

S.Johnson, not exactly playing great right now but hardcourt is his best surface. He's at home in a ATP 500 event. I think he gets the job done tomorrow.

My last play is more or less hoping that Cuevas dosnt give two shits about this match after two big tournament wins. Physically he has to be tired. Mentally maybe he's insulted by having to play this match after his current wins. Again, more of a hopefully reasoning then a matchup discussion.



GL

[matt1216]

ATP:

Matosevic ML 1.95 x 2 units

LU Y. ML 1.57 x 3 units



GL

[unlearn]

ATP:

Matosevic ML 1.95 x 2 units

LU Y. ML 1.57 x 3 units



GL

What's your paypal so I can send you some cash for the steady fade material?

[felix_felicus7]

ATP:

Gabashvilli +1.5 sets + Monaco ML 1.95 x 4 units

Melzer J. +1.5 sets + S.Johnson ML 2.25 x 4 units

Michilecka ML 4.60 x 2 units

I know Monaco may start slow after tournament finals/Wins but, you have to keep in mind there's not a lot of clay season for him left.... The points are here for him to grab again. Gabashvilli has played alright on clay. He's 0-3 vs Nieminen but 2 of those 3 matches went 3 sets. None of these matchups were on clay. Gabashvilli when on is a solid clay courter.

Melzer J. Is decent on clay. It's been awhile since he played but he's playing at home here. Andujar coming off a tournament win.... He one of those guys that either engaged in the match, or he dosnt show up at all. In current form Andujar can win this but after a tournament win and in Austria, I don't think it will be easy.

S.Johnson, not exactly playing great right now but hardcourt is his best surface. He's at home in a ATP 500 event. I think he gets the job done tomorrow.

My last play is more or less hoping that Cuevas dosnt give two shits about this match after two big tournament wins. Physically he has to be tired. Mentally maybe he's insulted by having to play this match after his current wins. Again, more of a hopefully reasoning then a matchup discussion.



GL

Hey Matt, why still so stubborn with these chalky +1.5 sets lines? I wish you would go back & see actually how many of these have hit? Why not just take the overs or the 2-1 sets, so you don't feel you have to parlay it with some other chalky ML?

[matt1216]

Hey Matt, why still so stubborn with these chalky +1.5 sets lines? I wish you would go back & see actually how many of these have hit? Why not just take the overs or the 2-1 sets, so you don't feel you have to parlay it with some other chalky ML?

Yeah, I stopped with the parlays now. Today was a reminder of why I stopped befor... I will go back to my regular ML plays.

[matt1216]

What's your paypal so I can send you some cash for the steady fade material?

Impressive isn't it?

[matt1216]

ATP:

Swartzman ML 3.00 x 2 units

Becker ML 1.91 x 3 units


GL