Kucera's tennis picks

Kucera · 07-08-14, 03:19 AM

Meusburger - Smitkova (Meusburger@1.61) - 3 units

Kucera · 07-08-14, 03:36 AM

Davydenko P. - Rola (Davydenko P.@3.80) - 0.5 unit

Kucera · 07-08-14, 04:25 AM

Rosol - Zverev (Zverev@3.75) - 0.5 units

Kucera · 07-08-14, 04:45 AM

Netherlands Scheveningen Challenger
Zeballos - Darcis (Zeballos@1.59) - 2 units

Kucera · 07-08-14, 07:36 AM

Originally posted by Kucera

DOUBLE
Mayer - Berrer (Mayer@1.25) + Carreno Busta - Brown (Carreno Busta@1.51)
Total odds 1.89 - 2.5 units

WIN +2.23 units

Overall score: 8-7-1
Profit: +3.75 units

Kucera · 07-08-14, 11:34 AM

Originally posted by Kucera

Meusburger - Smitkova (Meusburger@1.61) - 3 units

WIN +1.83 units

Overall score: 9-7-1
Profit: +5.58 units

Kucera · 07-08-14, 11:49 AM

Originally posted by Kucera

A big mistake by Sbobet in my opinion...

Slovenia Portoroz Challenger
Kavcic - Kaplja (Kavcic -1.5 Sets@1.30) - 12 units

WIN +3.60 units

Overall score: 10-7-1
Profit: +9.18 units

Kucera · 07-08-14, 02:17 PM

Kuznetsov Al. - Sock (Kuznetsov Al.@2.46) - 1 unit

Kucera · 07-08-14, 02:22 PM

DOUBLE
Ito - Johnson (Johnson@1.38) + Groth - Jaziri (Groth@1.50)
Total odds 2.07 - 1.5 units

Kucera · 07-08-14, 06:05 PM

Originally posted by Kucera

Kuznetsov Al. - Sock (Kuznetsov Al.@2.46) - 1 unit

LOSS -1 unit

Overall score: 10-8-1
Profit: +8.18 units

Kucera · 07-08-14, 06:05 PM

Sijsling - Sorensen (Sijsling@1.70) - 2 units

Kucera · 07-09-14, 07:56 AM

Valuebet based on large mistake by 5dimes. Hope the bet doesn't get cancelled though, otherwise this is already a winning play

Stakhovsky - Karlovic (Over 22.5@1.83) - 4 units

credit to professionalAD

Kucera · 07-09-14, 09:59 AM

Originally posted by Kucera

Valuebet based on large mistake by 5dimes. Hope the bet doesn't get cancelled though, otherwise this is already a winning play

Stakhovsky - Karlovic (Over 22.5@1.83) - 4 units

credit to professionalAD

VOID

Overall score: 10-8-2
Profit: +8.18 units

Kucera · 07-09-14, 10:01 AM

Originally posted by Kucera

Netherlands Scheveningen Challenger
Zeballos - Darcis (Zeballos@1.59) - 2 units

WIN +1.18 units

Overall score: 11-8-2
Profit: +9.36 units

Kucera · 07-09-14, 12:58 PM

Originally posted by Kucera

Sijsling - Sorensen (Sijsling@1.70) - 2 units

LOSS -2 units

Overall score: 11-9-2
Profit: +7.36 units

Kucera · 07-09-14, 01:43 PM

Originally posted by Kucera

DOUBLE
Delic - Giraldo (Giraldo@1.35) + Koolhof - Lopez Perez (Lopez Perez@1.32)
Total odds 1.79 - 2 units

WIN +1.58 units

Overall score: 12-9-2
Profit: +8.94 units

Kucera · 07-09-14, 01:48 PM

Originally posted by Kucera

Rosol - Zverev (Zverev@3.75) - 0.5 units

LOSS -0.5 units

Overall score: 12-10-2
Profit: +8.44 units

Kucera · 07-09-14, 01:56 PM

Originally posted by Kucera

Davydenko P. - Rola (Davydenko P.@3.80) - 0.5 unit

WIN +1.40 units

Overall score: 13-10-2
Profit: +9.84 units

Kucera · 07-09-14, 01:59 PM

Originally posted by Kucera

DOUBLE
Ito - Johnson (Johnson@1.38) + Groth - Jaziri (Groth@1.50)
Total odds 2.07 - 1.5 units

Bet was paid out by Marathon (rules: 1st set must be finished in order to get paid)

WIN +1.61 units

Overall score: 14-10-2
Profit: +11.45 units

Kucera · 07-09-14, 04:15 PM

Slovenia Portoroz Challenger
Kocevar Desman - Mektic (Mektic@1.70) - 2 units

zec · 07-09-14, 05:09 PM

These odds are all over the place. William hill 1.7 but bet365 1.25??? Looks like a winner to me

Kucera · 07-09-14, 06:03 PM

Yeah it's pretty funny. Looks like all the books that are terrible at setting opening odds (Bwin, Bet365, Marathon,...) opened the line very low disregarding the fact that Kocevar actually beat Mektic in the last round of qualies. When Pinnacle opened their price some books just closed the line altogether and some had increased it massively.

Mektic was seeded first in qualifications and lost to Kocevar 7-6 in 3rd set in the last round. I'm sure that he already had the info that he will play the main draw no mather what happens. Kocevar is playing the tournament of his life in his home country, but I know him quite well and don't expect that his already poor ranking will improve drastically in the next couple of years. I think he has reached his limit at this tournament and can't beat Mektic twice + the price from William Hill is very generous.

Kucera · 07-09-14, 06:41 PM

Groth - Mahut (Mahut@1.60) - 2 units

Kucera · 07-10-14, 03:45 AM

DOUBLE
Gimeno Traver - Lopez (Gimeno Traver +1.5 Sets@1.38) + Sela - Karlovic (Karlovic@1.29)
Total odds 1.77 - 2 units

Honeybadger44 · 07-10-14, 03:59 AM

Originally posted by Kucera

Yeah it's pretty funny. Looks like all the books that are terrible at setting opening odds (Bwin, Bet365, Marathon,...) opened the line very low disregarding the fact that Kocevar actually beat Mektic in the last round of qualies. When Pinnacle opened their price some books just closed the line altogether and some had increased it massively.

Mektic was seeded first in qualifications and lost to Kocevar 7-6 in 3rd set in the last round. I'm sure that he already had the info that he will play the main draw no mather what happens. Kocevar is playing the tournament of his life in his home country, but I know him quite well and don't expect that his already poor ranking will improve drastically in the next couple of years. I think he has reached his limit at this tournament and can't beat Mektic twice + the price from William Hill is very generous.

They did not have the info. There was a possibility of one high seeded player withdrawing, but in the end he decided to play. Urbanija's withdrawal came out of nowhere. He acctually played doubles with Kocevar, after the last round of qualies, which can show you that his problems surfaced later...

Kucera · 07-10-14, 04:16 AM

Wow thank you, you're informed very well

Still at this price I think it is valuable to go with Mektic, can't see Kocevar beat him twice. Price down to 1.53 at William Hill btw, but slowly rising at other books...

Honeybadger44 · 07-10-14, 04:48 AM

I don't know. Maybe it does hold some value. I caught bit of his match against Cipola and he was pretty solid. Haven't seen any Kocevar's matches though. So, I don't have enough info about this one and will probably just watch it, without making a bet. Good luck with your bets!

Kucera · 07-10-14, 12:56 PM

Originally posted by Kucera

Groth - Mahut (Mahut@1.60) - 2 units

LOSS -2 units

Overall score: 14-11-2
Profit: +9.45 units

Kucera · 07-10-14, 02:41 PM

Rosol - Lopez (Rosol@2.25) - 1 unit

Kucera · 07-10-14, 03:23 PM

Originally posted by Kucera

DOUBLE
Gimeno Traver - Lopez (Gimeno Traver +1.5 Sets@1.38) + Sela - Karlovic (Karlovic@1.29)
Total odds 1.77 - 2 units

WIN +1.54 units

Overall score: 15-11-2
Profit: +10.99 units

Kucera · 07-10-14, 06:19 PM

DOUBLE
Petkovic - Voegele (Petkovic@1.31) + Isner - Sock (Isner@1.31)
Total odds 1.72 - 2 units

Kucera · 07-11-14, 03:55 AM

Cuevas - Olivo (Over 20@1.71) - 1.5 units

Kucera · 07-11-14, 04:35 AM

Slovenia Portoroz Challenger
Desein - Edmund (Desein@2.38) - 1 unit

credit to HoneyBadger

Kucera · 07-11-14, 05:06 AM

Originally posted by Kucera

Slovenia Portoroz Challenger
Kocevar Desman - Mektic (Mektic@1.70) - 2 units

WIN +1.40 units

Overall score: 16-11-2
Profit: +12.39 units

Kucera · 07-11-14, 05:36 AM

Originally posted by Kucera

Cuevas - Olivo (Over 20@1.71) - 1.5 units

LOSS -1.50 units

Overall score: 16-12-2
Profit: +10.89 units