My Original tennis picks

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  • Hardcoar
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-17-13
    • 15606

    #386
    I figured it's implied that he considers the odds-drift an overreaction and as such a good bet.
    Comment
    • ayororick
      SBR Hustler
      • 08-08-13
      • 94

      #387
      Appears to me he's only making the play because he can't bet on the favorite. Just because you can't bet one way doesn't mean you have to bet the other. Betting 101 really.
      Comment
      • Hardcoar
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-17-13
        • 15606

        #388
        I agree with that, but it's about reading in between the lines as well.
        Comment
        • matt1216
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-27-11
          • 14683

          #389
          Originally posted by ayororick
          So you're betting on him purely because you don't want to lay chalk? You really have a problem. You're just betting on everything to dig yourself out of a hole. Although I highly doubt you're actually betting real money at this point.
          Dude. , what r u talking about? Use your brain for a minute... When everybody and there dog are on one side and the odds are bRely moving at certain books, obviously I'm not gonna be on the favorite.
          Comment
          • matt1216
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-27-11
            • 14683

            #390
            Originally posted by ayororick
            Appears to me he's only making the play because he can't bet on the favorite. Just because you can't bet one way doesn't mean you have to bet the other. Betting 101 really.
            Your trying to give me tips on how to wager ? Lmfao Create a thread and I will be more than happy to troll your plays
            Comment
            • Simon Gruber
              SBR MVP
              • 05-02-13
              • 2342

              #391
              Let's hammer Dustov tonight, what do ya say? 50 units? 100?
              Comment
              • matt1216
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 10-27-11
                • 14683

                #392
                Originally posted by Simon Gruber
                Let's hammer Dustov tonight, what do ya say? 50 units? 100?
                Yeah, I'm actually liking him tonight. I'll post a play here shortly
                Comment
                • Hardcoar
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-17-13
                  • 15606

                  #393
                  RICH IRON VEIN DETECTED!!
                  Comment
                  • matt1216
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-27-11
                    • 14683

                    #394
                    Dustov ML 2.05 x 5 units

                    I like Dustov here, if he keeps his first serve percentage up, he should be ok. He beat Kokkinakis, Russle, Krajicek, and McDonald.... He had some issues with Kraijeck but the American had some amazing returns that day. Other than that Fahruk has been steady.

                    Kudla beat quigley in 3 sets:/, Smychek in 2 sets, and JP smith in 3 sets..... From what I saw Smychek did not play well, he consistantly made forehand errors into the net... Kudla was ok. The next Day Kudla play JP Smith.... He shoulda lost that match but JP Smith choked near the end of the second set.... The 3rd set between the two had long rallies, and I could tell Smith was gassed. Kudla has not really impressed me this tourney. To add Kudla has played doubles every day up to this point as well, I would figure he may be tired. Also Dustov has not won a title in 3 years or so now... I'm pretty sure he will give it his all today. I would expect the public to be on Kudla here as well. Let's see what happens

                    GL
                    Comment
                    • Hardcoar
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-17-13
                      • 15606

                      #395
                      1. Simon is being sarcastic because he's a bitch.
                      2. Dustov was playing far worse against McDonald than in previous rounds. Also, his injury concerns me as it could have been exacerbated.
                      3. Damn those odds are shit and I'll tell you once again: Accepting bad lines repeatedly will assure long-term loss.

                      Best of luck!
                      Comment
                      • Marillion
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-06-14
                        • 1453

                        #396
                        I like Kudla here but am somewhat hesitating to bet on him (or, rather, WAS hesitating, then the line went down and at these odds, it is no play for me). At something like 1.7, I'd maybe take Denis. He is a more solid baseliner and a good returner, so Dustov's serve won't be that much of a factor.

                        Anyway, GL, I may well be wrong in what I said above.
                        Comment
                        • matt1216
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-27-11
                          • 14683

                          #397
                          Originally posted by Hardcoar
                          1. Simon is being sarcastic because he's a bitch.
                          2. Dustov was playing far worse against McDonald than in previous rounds. Also, his injury concerns me as it could have been exacerbated.
                          3. Damn those odds are shit and I'll tell you once again: Accepting bad lines repeatedly will assure long-term loss.

                          Best of luck!
                          Why are the odds Shit? They have never played and Kudla has shown to flop big time at times.
                          Comment
                          • Hardcoar
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 02-17-13
                            • 15606

                            #398
                            They are shit because @ 2.3 is freely available. If you bet on such terrible odds compared to market lines you have to be a much better capper (in order to gain a great enough edge) to be successful.
                            Comment
                            • Simon Gruber
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-02-13
                              • 2342

                              #399
                              Originally posted by Hardcoar
                              1. Simon is being sarcastic because he's a bitch.
                              2. Dustov was playing far worse against McDonald than in previous rounds. Also, his injury concerns me as it could have been exacerbated.
                              3. Damn those odds are shit and I'll tell you once again: Accepting bad lines repeatedly will assure long-term loss.

                              Best of luck!
                              I wasn't being sarcastic at all. I've never come into this thread, any of Matt's threads, or yours and trolled in the least bit.
                              Comment
                              • Hardcoar
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-17-13
                                • 15606

                                #400
                                Comment
                                • Simon Gruber
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 05-02-13
                                  • 2342

                                  #401
                                  I think you're confusing me with someone else HC.
                                  Comment
                                  • Hardcoar
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 02-17-13
                                    • 15606

                                    #402
                                    Originally posted by Simon Gruber
                                    Let's hammer Dustov tonight, what do ya say? 50 units? 100?
                                    Originally posted by Simon Gruber
                                    50 units on Farukh tonight?
                                    Comment
                                    • Simon Gruber
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-02-13
                                      • 2342

                                      #403
                                      Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                      Lost a bit of money this afternoon on the Phillies and the Bryan Brothers @ 1.6 down 1 set to love. I was interested in getting your opinion on this match because I liked Dustov, and was hoping to win some of my money back.
                                      Comment
                                      • Hardcoar
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 02-17-13
                                        • 15606

                                        #404
                                        Ok, well I gave my honest opinion above. 50 units sounds like a terrible idea if you're actually speaking in terms of units (and not dollars). Dustov @ 2.3+ might be worth a try, but I prefer the over here with medium stakes. See my thread though.
                                        Comment
                                        • matt1216
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-27-11
                                          • 14683

                                          #405
                                          Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                          They are shit because @ 2.3 is freely available. If you bet on such terrible odds compared to market lines you have to be a much better capper (in order to gain a great enough edge) to be successful.
                                          Yeah that makes sense, but since these guys have never played I think the market under/over estimates each opponent
                                          Comment
                                          • Simon Gruber
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 05-02-13
                                            • 2342

                                            #406
                                            6 foot 5 and can't make a first serve. Who's he coached by Cilic?
                                            Comment
                                            • matt1216
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-27-11
                                              • 14683

                                              #407
                                              Fck me, Kudla plays his best match of the week, farruhk plays his worst.... I guess that's why he's still around 150 in the world
                                              Comment
                                              • matt1216
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-27-11
                                                • 14683

                                                #408
                                                Originally posted by matt1216
                                                ​43-75 -72.85 units
                                                47-79 -69.7 units
                                                Comment
                                                • matt1216
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-27-11
                                                  • 14683

                                                  #409
                                                  Zopp ML + Saville ML 2.10 x 5 units

                                                  Zominicj/Stosur Doubles + Delic ML 2.00 x 3 units

                                                  Melinikova ML 2.25 x 2 units




                                                  GL
                                                  Comment
                                                  • matt1216
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-27-11
                                                    • 14683

                                                    #410
                                                    Djokovic to win 1st set 1.65 x 3 units

                                                    1st set Under 12.5 games 1.44 x 5 units


                                                    GL
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ayororick
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 08-08-13
                                                      • 94

                                                      #411
                                                      Federer to win the first in a tiebreak was like printing money. Easiest fade out there.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Hardcoar
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 02-17-13
                                                        • 15606

                                                        #412
                                                        What is this new trend of bashing on Matt? Seriously... wow!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • brodie
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-25-13
                                                          • 2212

                                                          #413
                                                          Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                                          What is this new trend of bashing on Matt? Seriously... wow!
                                                          he brings it on himself really
                                                          Comment
                                                          • SirtySree
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 12-19-13
                                                            • 2365

                                                            #414
                                                            Originally posted by brodie
                                                            he brings it on himself really
                                                            this.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • matt1216
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-27-11
                                                              • 14683

                                                              #415
                                                              Originally posted by brodie
                                                              he brings it on himself really
                                                              Hows that? Because my record is poor? I don't understand it. Federer barely hung on in that first set being pushed to break point multiple times.... Maybe not the wisest choice on my part but it should have hit.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • matt1216
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 10-27-11
                                                                • 14683

                                                                #416
                                                                Krajicek ML 2.40 x 5 units




                                                                GL
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JC1186
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-21-14
                                                                  • 1070

                                                                  #417
                                                                  Matt if I were you I'd take some time off tennis betting. It's a pretty clear cut case imo. That you need it that is.

                                                                  Come back with a fresh thread and a better approach. The one thing many have criticized you for is betting too frequently. And they're bloody spot on! You lack discipline. You lack mental prowess. Simples.

                                                                  I think you've earned respect from us on here persevering with this thread. However I've got a feeling it isn't doing your mental state any good having to chase all these loses.

                                                                  You shouldn't care about your rep on here. But I think you do. Which is why this thread is probably just bringing you down.

                                                                  That's my 2 cents. Feel free to correct me if I'm wrong.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • matt1216
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-27-11
                                                                    • 14683

                                                                    #418
                                                                    Originally posted by JC1186
                                                                    Matt if I were you I'd take some time off tennis betting. It's a pretty clear cut case imo. That you need it that is.

                                                                    Come back with a fresh thread and a better approach. The one thing many have criticized you for is betting too frequently. And they're bloody spot on! You lack discipline. You lack mental prowess. Simples.

                                                                    I think you've earned respect from us on here persevering with this thread. However I've got a feeling it isn't doing your mental state any good having to chase all these loses.

                                                                    You shouldn't care about your rep on here. But I think you do. Which is why this thread is probably just bringing you down.

                                                                    That's my 2 cents. Feel free to correct me if I'm wrong.
                                                                    Thanks man, dealing with the critics a lot does take a toll mentally. I do feel I have had a lot of bad luck. I think I'm doing fine overall. I'm going to slow it down big time here shortly.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • matt1216
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-27-11
                                                                      • 14683

                                                                      #419
                                                                      Damn, as much as I figured Djokovic would win, it was still tough to see Fed lose
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Hardcoar
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 02-17-13
                                                                        • 15606

                                                                        #420
                                                                        CEK IT OUT NOW!!


                                                                        Bemelbubs is one of the best fades there is. Belgian is the next French thing to Frenchness.
                                                                        Comment
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