EP36's Fuzzy Tennis Balls

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  • Yezzir
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 03-29-10
    • 933

    #2696
    Won on a Krajonivic/Thiem/Rola parlay.

    Going for a Gombos/Cuidinelli/Anderson one now.
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #2697
      Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
      8.1.14
      Segovia Challenger: Menendez-Maceiras @ +110

      Add...

      DC: Johnson +3.5 @ -120
      DC: Gasquet @ +115
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #2698
        Well if Groth-Paes can finish yesterday's parlay, I'll be feeling pretty good about the end of the week. Pretty ho-hum for the week, but that's kinda how I felt about this tournament. Hopefully Gascan & Raonic move through for at least a passable Final.

        Donald Young must have gotten an Obama boost in DC.
        Comment
        • beefcake
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-26-09
          • 14029

          #2699
          Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
          Well if Groth-Paes can finish yesterday's parlay, I'll be feeling pretty good about the end of the week. Pretty ho-hum for the week, but that's kinda how I felt about this tournament. Hopefully Gascan & Raonic move through for at least a passable Final.

          Donald Young must have gotten an Obama boost in DC.
          LOL...yeah this gives him just enough points to stay around long enough to piss us off even more..
          Comment
          • EaglesPhan36
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 12-06-06
            • 71662

            #2700
            2014 Season Overall Profit: +1.32
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #2701
              Originally posted by beefcake
              LOL...yeah this gives him just enough points to stay around long enough to piss us off even more..
              BTW superb call on Goffin. Hope you played it for a good chunk of $!
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #2702
                8.2.14
                DC: Gasquet-Pospisil Tie Break [YES] @ +100
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #2703
                  Simple Simon.
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #2704
                    2014 Season Overall Profit: +1.82
                    Comment
                    • Hardcoar
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-17-13
                      • 15606

                      #2705
                      Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                      Well if Groth-Paes can finish yesterday's parlay, I'll be feeling pretty good about the end of the week. Pretty ho-hum for the week, but that's kinda how I felt about this tournament. Hopefully Gascan & Raonic move through for at least a passable Final.

                      Donald Young must have gotten an Obama boost in DC.
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #2706
                        8.3.14
                        ATP Toronto Q: F.Martin @ +145
                        Comment
                        • plankton43
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 12-13-11
                          • 251

                          #2707
                          Martin is 12 for 13 on BP's saved, I hope he can finish strong. Nice recovery that service game.
                          Comment
                          • plankton43
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 12-13-11
                            • 251

                            #2708
                            Make that 13 of 14 BP's saved with a 4-3 hold, wow.
                            Comment
                            • plankton43
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 12-13-11
                              • 251

                              #2709
                              Damn, tough beat.
                              Comment
                              • EaglesPhan36
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 12-06-06
                                • 71662

                                #2710
                                Worth the try.
                                Comment
                                • sluggy1616
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 07-21-13
                                  • 1317

                                  #2711
                                  Hope the Rogers Cup is getting a write up? If no time a quick futures summary would be cool. Got bet points ready for ya.
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #2712
                                    2014 Season Overall Profit: +1.32
                                    Comment
                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 12-06-06
                                      • 71662

                                      #2713
                                      ATP Rogers Cup Mini-View
                                      Top seed Djokovic is 25-4 all-time at this event and won it two of the last three years. Federer is 27-8 win two titles, the last coming in 2006. Andy Murray is also a dual Champ in 2009 & 2010, but has done little here since then and is seeded 8th this week. Milos Raonic was a finalist in 2013 and Gasquet has made two Finals. Watch both of them this week. This event plays similar to a Grand Slam with Djokovic, Nadal, Murray & Federer winning titles here in ten straight years.. The last time one of those four did not win the title at the Rogers Cup was 2003 when Andy Roddick won.

                                      Seeded Upset Alert
                                      Seeds have lost at least three times in their 1st matches of the Rogers Cup since 2010 with five seeds dropping each of the last two years. Three seeds who seem prone to a potential early loss are David Ferrer, Andy Murray & Fabio Fognini. Ferrer could have the easiest draw with Mahut or Russell, but he's been bad at this tournament. Murray may have the toughest task as Giraldo or Kyrgios will be in his way. The young Aussie would be very tough on this surface. Fognini faces Youzhny. Neither puts a lot of trust out there right now, but the surface should suit the Russian slightly better.

                                      More Upsets (1st Round)
                                      Kyrgios over Giraldo
                                      Thiem over Simon
                                      Schnur over Seppi

                                      All have their drawbacks, but all also have something to like. Kyrgios has to show he can handle the transition from grass to hard courts + the success that has come his way. Thiem has a quick turnaround from losing in Kitzbuhel and the surface switch, but goes against Simon who has lost his 1st-up at the Rogers Cup four straight years. Schnur is a Canadian qualifer who had never made a main draw before this tournament. Seppi has been in below average form most of the year and this is a poor surface mostly for him. If Schnur can keep his head, he might pull off his 1st main draw win.

                                      1st Round Qualifiers to Watch
                                      Qualifiers don't have a great track record in the last three years here at just 5-11 in the 1st round against non-qualifiers. Still, some match-ups to watch in the 1st round that could yield some profit.

                                      Tomic vs. Karlovic
                                      The Aussie is 3-0 vs. Karlovic, including a three set win in the Bogota Final to capture that tournament's title. If the price is right, I'd look to Tomic (gulp)

                                      Paire vs. Falla
                                      Never one to be trusted, Paire has shown some signs of life in recent weeks. His serve looks better and he pumped 17 aces in one of his qualifying matches. Falla generally is a not a PTP-er this time of the year on this surface, so if you can stomach it - Paire should be a solid shot in round one although it might be pricier than you want to take. **Double gulp

                                      Futures
                                      Dimitrov +1500
                                      Raonic +1200
                                      Federer +350

                                      Dimitrov is one I would probably invest small on and perhaps wait to see his fitness level in his 1st match coming off the flu. Still, if he's fit - he is in Wawrinka's quarter and has an easier path to the quarters. He simply needs to prove health and the ability to play top tennis during this swing. Raonic looked solid in DC and has a draw that could lend him to another deep run at the Rogers Cup in front of the home fans. Federer will have to work through some rust potentially, but his draw looks very nice with John Isner maybe being his toughest out in getting to the semis. Djokovic is too short for me @ +120even if he looks a pretty good bet to be in the Final.
                                      Comment
                                      • plankton43
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 12-13-11
                                        • 251

                                        #2714
                                        I'm liking Grigor's draw myself, but I'm just concerned about what kind of condition he will be in. I'm liking Lopez +150 over Bautista, Stepanek +110 over Monfils, and Istomin +245 over Cilic for tomorrow. I do like Kyrgios +115 over Giraldo as well. This really is a great time for tennis.
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #2715
                                          Yeah I definitely would not invest on a Dimitrov future until after you see him play a match. Honestly, you could do that with all three guys and not lose a ton on price. Sometimes it's well worth it to watch a match and maybe lose +200+300 off a +1500 future
                                          Comment
                                          • plankton43
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 12-13-11
                                            • 251

                                            #2716
                                            Agreed, that will definitely be wiser. BOL on any futures/plays you take.
                                            Comment
                                            • FlipsideRM
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 09-28-11
                                              • 10518

                                              #2717
                                              Like Paire as well but no play for me, never know what you're gonna get from him
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #2718
                                                Prices seem fair on Paire at -170 and Tomic at -140. Shitfest of the 1st round is Young vs. Dancevic. Seems like the perfect spot for Young to suck, but you could surround Dancevic with Victoria Secret models and ask me to back him by fukking my way to the middle like a sexual tootsie pop ... and I would pass.
                                                Comment
                                                • lucasdawg
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-19-13
                                                  • 3399

                                                  #2719
                                                  like N Kyrgios over Giraldo, hoping his serves will win him the match.
                                                  how do you think cilic will go against istomin, seems to me istomin been off
                                                  the ball lately. might also go on the aussies hewitt against benneteau, he didnt
                                                  seem that great while hewitt stayed with raonic. might also tial on tomic, can
                                                  never trust that guy though.
                                                  Last edited by lucasdawg; 08-03-14, 09:24 PM.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • sluggy1616
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 07-21-13
                                                    • 1317

                                                    #2720
                                                    Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                    Prices seem fair on Paire at -170 and Tomic at -140. Shitfest of the 1st round is Young vs. Dancevic. Seems like the perfect spot for Young to suck, but you could surround Dancevic with Victoria Secret models and ask me to back him by fukking my way to the middle like a sexual tootsie pop ... and I would pass.
                                                    Stay away from the Donald. He kept his cool and knew his place cause he was playing much better players all week. If Dance can gain any traction, Donald's sense of entitlement might show back up and he will blow the match.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #2721
                                                      Anyone who bets either side of that match is nuts. I'm sure Dancevic will get action just because it's a Canadian playing in Canada angle which is terrible. Watching him quit last week was disgusting, so I could care less if he puts his big boy shoes on and rolls. He's just as big a chance to get double bageled with what we saw last week.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • matt1216
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-27-11
                                                        • 14683

                                                        #2722
                                                        Take the over... Dancevic can win this but Donald is in better form.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #2723
                                                          8.4.14
                                                          ATP Toronto: Benneteau +1.5 sets @ -130
                                                          ATP Toronto Parlay: Paire + Anderson @ -106


                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #2724
                                                            Going to be rain delays at some point in Toronto. Be prepared. Hopefully it's more hit & miss like DC the other day.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #2725
                                                              Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                              8.4.14
                                                              ATP Toronto: Benneteau +1.5 sets @ -130
                                                              ATP Toronto Parlay: Paire + Anderson @ -106

                                                              Add...
                                                              Aptos Challenger: DiWu @ +160
                                                              Comment
                                                              • domz248
                                                                Restricted User
                                                                • 06-02-10
                                                                • 1341

                                                                #2726
                                                                Benneteau is looking good need this rain delay to end so I can cash the plus 1.5 and bet baseball tigers
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #2727
                                                                  Supposed to be resuming soon.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #2728
                                                                    The French don't fukk it up today. Now if Anderson will wake up.....
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #2729
                                                                      Some good rebounding from Anderson & Paire today and DiWu to boot. Masters bets will all be one unit or risking one unit this week. Good luck.

                                                                      Icing my f-ing Achilles right now. Tendonitis is a bitch. Always stretch well kids. Fukkkkk.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                                        • 71662

                                                                        #2730
                                                                        2014 Season Overall Profit: +3.82
                                                                        Comment
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