Matt's Tennis picks

matt1216 · 10-01-13, 03:10 AM

play #13 above suspended due to Simon backing out.

matt1216 · 10-01-13, 03:14 AM

Originally posted by Jago2008

Some nice wins, Matt what do you think about Ferrer and Raonic?

I like raonic a lot. Even though he won in Bangkok he should still be good to go. He's gunning for London. He has an outside shot at it. Ferrer, this maybe a case where his level of play is finally slipping. Like federer. If pospisils ankle is 100%, it could be a close match. Do u trust ferrer is still ferrer. I don't. It's up to u tho

matt1216 · 10-01-13, 03:20 AM

Nice Dog in Lisicki comes thru!!

Jago2008 · 10-01-13, 03:22 AM

Originally posted by matt1216

I like raonic a lot. Even though he won in Bangkok he should still be good to go. He's gunning for London. He has an outside shot at it. Ferrer, this maybe a case where his level of play is finally slipping. Like federer. If pospisils ankle is 100%, it could be a close match. Do u trust ferrer is still ferrer. I don't. It's up to u tho

Appreciate you taking the time to respond, I do feel that both will win, hence a parlay thread I created, not great value though obv. @ -300+ for both.

matt1216 · 10-01-13, 04:00 AM

Your chances are solid. It's been upset city tonight so far. Good luck tho

matt1216 · 10-01-13, 04:13 AM

2 last plays:

Oct 01, 2013 02:10:00 AM
Single #309854008

Tennis - ATP Challenger (Game) Moneyline

If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.

ATP Challenger Tour - Mons Challenger, Belgium

Dancevic, F 2.05 Oct 01/13@03:00a

Competitor: Bachinger, M

Web CA$ 300.00 CA$ 315.00

Oct 01, 2013 02:09:37 AM
Single #309854003

Tennis - ATP Challenger (Game) Moneyline

If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.

ATP Challenger Tour - Mons Challenger, Belgium

De Schepper, K 1.57 Oct 01/13@03:00a

Competitor: Brown, Dustin

Web CA$ 400.00 CA$ 228.57

GL

matt1216 · 10-01-13, 04:18 AM

I will tally up winners and +- cash in the morning

Undefined1 · 10-01-13, 04:34 AM

Matt. Stephens is a HEADCASE. don't touch her..

Bouchard Wins 2nd set 6-1 after losing first set 6-1.

lucasdawg · 10-01-13, 04:46 AM

i had a late pay out with my last parlay since simon dropped out

chucked 1unit on
Set Betting
S Stephens 2-1 @ 4.33

and parlay 1unit
M Chiudinelli v J Chardy
Total Sets
Over (2.5)
S Stephens v E Bouchard
Total Sets
Over (2.5)

@ $5.63 odds

Hardcoar · 10-01-13, 04:49 AM

Originally posted by matt1216

I don't think so. Wawrinka is pushing for that top 8 spot. A lot to play for here. He's had a few days rest. Seppi hasnt played a lot lately. Maybe a tight set in there, but wawrinka should get through

Who doesn't think Wawrinka should get through. The question is not whether "he should get through". The question is whether he'd win this match 5/6 times or more.

frugalgambler · 10-01-13, 04:57 AM

Originally posted by Jago2008

Frugal it might be time to parlay Texas, Cleveland, and Tampa bay again.

Jagoff, Zhang did fold and Bouchard is staging a comeback in the 2nd. Stick to MLB dude. You are good at losing money there.

frugalgambler · 10-01-13, 05:01 AM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Who doesn't think Wawrinka should get through. The question is not whether "he should get through". The question is whether he'd win this match 5/6 times or more.

To be fair, Raonic, Gasquet and Wawrinka (Tsonga as well) do have a lot to play for, to qualify for London. So parlaying them was not a bad idea. But yeah, Wawrinka did look a bit shaky in ~~Tokyo~~ previous tourney in asian boondocks.

Hardcoar · 10-01-13, 05:50 AM

It's a terrible f*cking idea AT THESE ODDS. Don't you people get it already??

lucasdawg · 10-01-13, 06:02 AM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

It's a terrible f*cking idea AT THESE ODDS. Don't you people get it already??

but for people playin with big bank rolls its ease money if they are willing to risk it

Hardcoar · 10-01-13, 06:04 AM

What about the one out of five times he loses? How's your bank-roll then? Shit doesn't turn to gold simply because you buy a lot of it.

matt1216 · 10-01-13, 06:04 AM

Alright! 2-0 on my large wagers tonight!!!! Totaling roughly 1500$. Still about 15 other games to go thru.

matt1216 · 10-01-13, 06:06 AM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

It's a terrible f*cking idea AT THESE ODDS. Don't you people get it already??

I took 600$ and turned it to a little over 17,000 now. By doing some of this. I don't alwYs reccomend it tho

lucasdawg · 10-01-13, 06:22 AM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

What about the one out of five times he loses? How's your bank-roll then? Shit doesn't turn to gold simply because you buy a lot of it.

i never said my bank roll, my bank roll probs nothing compared to high rollers and its obvious yours isnt too.

but to some people who have 30k to blow its ease just putting it on 3 favs and then making profit its their risk their balls.

lucasdawg · 10-01-13, 06:23 AM

Originally posted by matt1216

I took 600$ and turned it to a little over 17,000 now. By doing some of this. I don't alwYs reccomend it tho

its obvious who would wanna place a large wager on small odds with lots of risk but to the people who do and win congrats to them, like you sir

jjgold · 10-01-13, 06:29 AM

Matty dangerous strategy although your doing well

Be careful and pick your spots

lucasdawg · 10-01-13, 08:02 AM

anyone know whats up with the chardy match delay in second set?

matt1216 · 10-01-13, 09:21 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

Matty dangerous strategy although your doing well

Be careful and pick your spots

Thanks man..... Yea many less picks coming. I just wanted to see how I would do with a cluster of picks. I had to rarely on my big games yesterday.

Hardcoar · 10-01-13, 09:36 AM

Originally posted by lucasdawg

i never said my bank roll, my bank roll probs nothing compared to high rollers and its obvious yours isnt too.

but to some people who have 30k to blow its ease just putting it on 3 favs and then making profit its their risk their balls.

1. "You" can be – and in the case above is – a general term not referring to any one person in particular. I thought English is your first language.

2. My bankroll isn't in the hundreds of thousands of USD indeed. That has absolutely nihl relevance to anything I've discussed though. In fact, the entire point I was unsuccessfully trying to get across is that a shitty bet doesn't become less shitty by being larger.

3. The risk and balls is always the bettor's, regardless of the stakes. With this is mind, it's hard to actually say you're outright wrong, despite missing half the truth.

4. I haven't a clue about Chardy, I'm afraid.

Hardcoar · 10-01-13, 09:37 AM

Originally posted by matt1216

I took 600$ and turned it to a little over 17,000 now. By doing some of this. I don't alwYs reccomend it tho

I truly am very happy for you, but that is completely beside the point. I was arguing that this one particular bet was whoreshit because the odds did not reflect the chances Wawrinka had of winning at all.

That said, I'm glad you realize it's not a good general strategy and wish you the best of continued luck as well!

matt1216 · 10-01-13, 11:44 AM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

I truly am very happy for you, but that is completely beside the point. I was arguing that this one particular bet was whoreshit because the odds did not reflect the chances Wawrinka had of winning at all.

That said, I'm glad you realize it's not a good general strategy and wish you the best of continued luck as well!

I totally understand what your saying. There will be days where +400 games are winning off the hook. In the long run I would be screwed. Yesterday the books had us set up for des aster I believe. Forcing guys to parlay a lot games with heavy chalk. I was just lucky to have hit the large plays. Tonight individual picks should be better. I personally don't like a lot of parlays.

always appreciate the input Coar..... Good luck today/tonight and going forward

Hardcoar · 10-01-13, 11:52 AM

Who was forced to bet anything?

matt1216 · 10-01-13, 11:55 AM

Originally posted by Hardcoar

Who was forced to bet anything?

Your right. Lol

matt1216 · 10-01-13, 11:56 AM

ytd: 16-12 +1120.07$

matt1216 · 10-01-13, 12:12 PM

I'm gonna give the Frenchmen a shot here. He's been playin decent on hardcourts lately. His opponent hasnt played a ton on hardcourts lately.

Oct 01, 2013 10:09:16 AM
Single #309870012

Tennis - ATP Challenger (Game) Moneyline

If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.

ATP Challenger Tour - Mons Challenger, Belgium

Gicquel, M 1.80 Oct 01/13@11:00a

Competitor: Rochus, O

Web CA$ 375.00 CA$ 300.00

GL

Hardcoar · 10-01-13, 12:19 PM

Originally posted by matt1216

Your right. Lol

Sometimes you're just too much of a conspiracy theorist for your own good I feel.

matt1216 · 10-01-13, 12:24 PM

Play #2

Oct 01, 2013 10:22:46 AM
Single #309870973

Tennis - ATP Challenger (Game) Moneyline

If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.

ATP Challenger Tour - Sacramento Challenger, CA, USA

Kyrgios, N 1.67 Oct 01/13@12:00p

Competitor: Ram, R

Web CA$ 450.00 CA$ 300.00

GL

matt1216 · 10-01-13, 12:29 PM

Play #3 Last afternoon play:

Oct 01, 2013 10:21:07 AM
2 Team Parlay #309870906

Tennis - ATP Challenger (Game) Moneyline

If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.

ATP Challenger Tour - Sacramento Challenger, CA, USA

Ebden, M 1.22 Oct 01/13@11:00a

Competitor: Krajicek, A

Tennis - ATP Challenger (Game) Moneyline

If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.

ATP Challenger Tour - Sao Paulo 4 Challenger, Brazil

De Bakker, T 1.53 Oct 01/13@11:00a

Competitor: Arguello, F

Web CA$ 350.00 CA$ 302.92

GL

petac · 10-01-13, 12:44 PM

let is all ride on Roanic tonight. Soeda wouldn't beat him if they played 1000 times. Free money at -900 .

matt1216 · 10-01-13, 01:57 PM

Originally posted by petac

let is all ride on Roanic tonight. Soeda wouldn't beat him if they played 1000 times. Free money at -900 .

Lol fck that. I seen that big lankey bastard lose questionable matches.

matt1216 · 10-01-13, 02:25 PM

Play #4

Oct 01, 2013 11:50:27 AM
Single #309879183

Tennis - ATP Challenger (Game) Moneyline

If either player retires before the match is completed then the event will be settled as no action.

ATP Challenger Tour - Sao Paulo 4 Challenger, Brazil

Schwank, E 1.77 Oct 01/13@01:00p

Competitor: Souza, J

Web CA$ 400.00 CA$ 307.69

GL