Flieger's Daily Tennis Picks (2013)

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  • Michael_Flieger
    SBR Sharp
    • 03-04-13
    • 290

    #106
    Murray -5' -115 (Seppi): 2.30/2.00 win

    -43.78 + 2.00 = -41.78 units
    Comment
    • Michael_Flieger
      SBR Sharp
      • 03-04-13
      • 290

      #107
      Melzer off his game, missing easy shots. Needs to wake up in second set.
      Comment
      • CaptainOmar111
        SBR MVP
        • 02-11-13
        • 2024

        #108
        Originally posted by Michael_Flieger
        Murray -5' -115 (Seppi): 2.30/2.00
        Fuckkkin bookies lowered the rate from 1.11 ML A.Murray to be only 1.07 WTF !!!
        Comment
        • Ambition
          SBR MVP
          • 11-17-11
          • 2060

          #109
          Ferrer is totally blowing the first set right now.
          Comment
          • Michael_Flieger
            SBR Sharp
            • 03-04-13
            • 290

            #110
            Almagro +105 (Gasquet): 4.00/4.20 loss

            following a proven winner on this, no opinion myself

            -41.78 + -4.00 = -45.78 units
            Comment
            • Michael_Flieger
              SBR Sharp
              • 03-04-13
              • 290

              #111
              Lindstedt/Zimonjic -170 (Dodig/Melo): 1.70/1.00 win

              [ this was carried forward from the other day, never counted ]

              3-parlay

              Tsonga -205 (Cilic) loss
              Berdych -325 (Querrey) win
              Djokovic -1600 (Haas)

              11.15/11.90 loss

              -45.78 + -10.15 = -55.93 units

              [ this is why you can't trust Tsonga. In fact I more than bailed out of what I lost on all Tsonga bets via live betting, but it would have been past posted if I'd put it here. For those who didn't see, Cilic played better than last night, and Tsong was his usual semi-impressive, semi-unimpressive self. One simply cannot rely on the guy to win. I wasn't betting on Tsong, I was betting against Cilic, who I consider maybe 5% mentally better than Tsonga. They're actually in the same class to me; guys who can beat almost anyone but frequently just play stupidly or weak-mindedly. In fact, Cilic did that here. He made numerous bad decisions, as he did against Isner last night, but Tsonga couldn't exploit enough of them. Murray should beat Cilic fairly easily. ]
              Comment
              • Michael_Flieger
                SBR Sharp
                • 03-04-13
                • 290

                #112
                5d offering live betting on Radwanska-Flipkens. I'm going to try to get Radwanska when she gets down. Might not happen, but she usually does. Also pondering US in soccer, +1 at around -120.
                Comment
                • Michael_Flieger
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 03-04-13
                  • 290

                  #113
                  I dig Simon, he is a great talent. Don't like Tipsarevic, he's a head case. One smart guy I tail is on Tips, was my only reservation.
                  Comment
                  • Michael_Flieger
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 03-04-13
                    • 290

                    #114
                    LIVE A. Radwanska -127 (Flipkens): 2.54/2.00 win

                    [1-4]

                    -55.93 + 2.00 = -53.93 units
                    Comment
                    • Michael_Flieger
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 03-04-13
                      • 290

                      #115
                      5dimes story... while watching tennis, i hit a live under on the NIT game, md-alabama. 125' under LIVE. maybe 8 minutes before half. well i didn't notice, the 125' said FIRST HALF. so later i log back in and the bet is canceled. not switched to FULL GAME as i and anyone else was obviously assuming, but simply canceled. i told them i dont agree with that way of doing it. i had just looked at the number and never noticed it said 1h. the real line was 58, so no one betting 125' would have thought it was a 1h line, especially not more than halfway through the half. and it's not like they wouldn't notice if people were trying to take advantage of their mistake. in my view, their operator's typo should be corrected, not the bet canceled. they don't agree.

                      as always, i guess the moral is: READ YOUR penetrating TICKET.

                      just irritated because the under is looking good.
                      Comment
                      • Michael_Flieger
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 03-04-13
                        • 290

                        #116
                        2-parlay

                        Djokovic -1640 (Haas) loss
                        USA-Mexico 3 under -201

                        4.68/2.76 loss

                        -53.93 + -4.68 = -58.61 units
                        Comment
                        • CaptainOmar111
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-11-13
                          • 2024

                          #117
                          Originally posted by Michael_Flieger
                          2-parlay

                          Djokovic -1640 (Haas)
                          USA-Mexico 3 under -201

                          4.68/2.76
                          Djokovic Odds was 1.08 in my sportbook but suddenly it is 1.05 now , But 1st set winner " Djokovic " @ 1.11 is good surely .
                          Comment
                          • Michael_Flieger
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 03-04-13
                            • 290

                            #118
                            Originally posted by CaptainOmar111
                            Djokovic Odds was 1.08 in my sportbook but suddenly it is 1.05 now , But 1st set winner " Djokovic " @ 1.11 is good surely .
                            Maybe. I don't know. To me, he can lose set and still win match, so you have a very different incentive. Non-hard incentives are always riskier bets. I would think he takes it, though. Haas has been playing very well. Djokovic wants to start hot, I would think, not ease into this. This time of night, all parties should be awake and firing on all cylinders, unlike, perhaps, Melzer, who looked like he was awakened too early in the first set.
                            Comment
                            • Hardcoar
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 02-17-13
                              • 15606

                              #119
                              Originally posted by Michael_Flieger
                              I dig Simon, he is a great talent. Don't like Tipsarevic, he's a head case. One smart guy I tail is on Tips, was my only reservation.
                              Link please. More quality input is always appreciated.
                              Comment
                              • Michael_Flieger
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 03-04-13
                                • 290

                                #120
                                Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                Link please. More quality input is always appreciated.
                                Are we allowed to link to other forums here?
                                Comment
                                • Michael_Flieger
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 03-04-13
                                  • 290

                                  #121
                                  Sharapova -625 (Errani): 6.25/1.00 win

                                  -58.61 + 1.00 = -57.61 units
                                  Comment
                                  • Michael_Flieger
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 03-04-13
                                    • 290

                                    #122
                                    Ferrer -790 (Melzer): 7.90/1.00

                                    i dont see any way melzer hangs with ferrer.

                                    -57.61 + 1.00 = -56.61 units

                                    hope you got some of that live, i added a little at -350, and it went all the way down to -135 in 5dimes.
                                    Comment
                                    • Michael_Flieger
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 03-04-13
                                      • 290

                                      #123
                                      Sharapova -920 (Jankovic): 9.20/1.00 win
                                      Jankovic +6 -155 (Sharapova): 3.10/2.00 loss

                                      -56.61 + -2.10 = -58.71 units
                                      Comment
                                      • Michael_Flieger
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 03-04-13
                                        • 290

                                        #124
                                        Berdych -205 (Gasquet): 6.30/3.00 loss
                                        S. Williams -445 (A. Radwanska): 8.90/2.00 win

                                        -58.71 + -4.30 = -63.01 units
                                        Comment
                                        • CaptainOmar111
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-11-13
                                          • 2024

                                          #125
                                          Still thinking about Serena Williams !!! she is not perfect in this tournament !!! but if the line of +1,5 sets for Serena moved from 1.08 to 1.10 , I will pick +1,5 !!! Good Luck
                                          Comment
                                          • Michael_Flieger
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 03-04-13
                                            • 290

                                            #126
                                            Originally posted by CaptainOmar111
                                            Still thinking about Serena Williams !!! she is not perfect in this tournament !!! but if the line of +1,5 sets for Serena moved from 1.08 to 1.10 , I will pick +1,5 !!! Good Luck
                                            I think that wins, but what about playing it this way? Serena -355 to win first set. If she loses, or is losing, you can decide to chase on the second set for about the same price.
                                            Comment
                                            • Michael_Flieger
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 03-04-13
                                              • 290

                                              #127
                                              Arizona +160 (Ohio State): 2.00/3.60 loss

                                              -63.01 + -2.00 = -65.01 units
                                              Comment
                                              • Michael_Flieger
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 03-04-13
                                                • 290

                                                #128
                                                Wichita State -200 (LaSalle): 4.00/2.00 win

                                                -65.01 + 2.00 = -63.01 units
                                                Comment
                                                • CaptainOmar111
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-11-13
                                                  • 2024

                                                  #129
                                                  Line for Serena +1,5 sets is 1.10 now ( -1000 ) thinking to pick it !!!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Michael_Flieger
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 03-04-13
                                                    • 290

                                                    #130
                                                    Wichita State-LaSalle 134' under -106: 5.30/5.00 win

                                                    -63.01 + 5.00 = -58.01 units
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Michael_Flieger
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 03-04-13
                                                      • 290

                                                      #131
                                                      Petrova/Srebotnik -190 (Kuznetsova/Pennetta): 3.80/2.00 win

                                                      -58.01 + 2.00 = -56.01 units
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Michael_Flieger
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 03-04-13
                                                        • 290

                                                        #132
                                                        Louisville -10' -109 (Oregon): 5.45/5.00 loss
                                                        Michigan State-Duke 133' under -105: 5.25/5.00 win
                                                        Florida-Florida Gulf Coast 135' under -107: 5.35/5.00 win
                                                        Florida -13' -109 (Florida Gulf Coast): 5.45/5.00 loss

                                                        -56.01 + -.80 = -56.81 units
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Michael_Flieger
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 03-04-13
                                                          • 290

                                                          #133
                                                          Florida -1050 (Florida Gulf Coast): 10.50/1.00

                                                          -56.81 + 1.00 = -55.81 units
                                                          Comment
                                                          • CaptainOmar111
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-11-13
                                                            • 2024

                                                            #134
                                                            Originally posted by Michael_Flieger
                                                            Sharapova -920 (Jankovic): 9.20/1.00 win
                                                            Originally posted by Michael_Flieger
                                                            S. Williams -445 (A. Radwanska): 8.90/2.00 win
                                                            This is the best system !!! betting many units on 99% won bets , if you collect 10 bets like this each day , you will make 10 : 20 units per day which is awesome Good Luck
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Michael_Flieger
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 03-04-13
                                                              • 290

                                                              #135
                                                              Originally posted by CaptainOmar111
                                                              This is the best system !!! betting many units on 99% won bets , if you collect 10 bets like this each day , you will make 10 : 20 units per day which is awesome Good Luck
                                                              Thanks. If it works, it's great. But have to be extremely careful. Look at Djokovic. He lost at -1600. Ouch.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • CaptainOmar111
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-11-13
                                                                • 2024

                                                                #136
                                                                Originally posted by Michael_Flieger
                                                                Thanks. If it works, it's great. But have to be extremely careful. Look at Djokovic. He lost at -1600. Ouch.
                                                                Iam sure using this system better than the risky bets you play !!! and Djkovoic was not -1000 but lower so avoid him , also he was not in form !!! you should know the players status before you bet !!! Anyway , I wish you the best !!! Good Luck
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Michael_Flieger
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 03-04-13
                                                                  • 290

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Pous Tio -345 (Muhammed): 3.45/1.00 win

                                                                  -55.81 + 1.00 = -54.81 units
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Michael_Flieger
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 03-04-13
                                                                    • 290

                                                                    #138
                                                                    Duke-Louisville 137' under -103: 5.15/5.00

                                                                    -54.81 + -5.15 = -59.96 units
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Hardcoar
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 02-17-13
                                                                      • 15606

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Originally posted by CaptainOmar111
                                                                      Iam sure using this system better than the risky bets you play !!! and Djkovoic was not -1000 but lower so avoid him , also he was not in form !!! you should know the players status before you bet !!! Anyway , I wish you the best !!! Good Luck
                                                                      Just curious as to how many bets you've settled using your system so far. Could you tell us please?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • CaptainOmar111
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-11-13
                                                                        • 2024

                                                                        #140
                                                                        @Michael - do you think Sorana Cirstea can win today against Tatiana Malek ??

                                                                        It is in the 1st round of WTA Charleston , the game will be after 7 hours !!!
                                                                        Comment
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