HC, was just wondering if the odds I booked it at were decent. The local book im using has awful spreads on tennis between dogs and favorites (example -140 favorite and even for the dog). Additionally, Johnson was approximately 1.8 at -2.5 games so I was just curious if this was a decent line or as bad as what else I was offered. I'm guessing these odds were far from the best.
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HC, was just wondering if the odds I booked it at were decent. The local book im using has awful spreads on tennis between dogs and favorites (example -140 favorite and even for the dog). Additionally, Johnson was approximately 1.8 at -2.5 games so I was just curious if this was a decent line or as bad as what else I was offered. I'm guessing these odds were far from the best.Comment -
to answer you the best going around an hr before the match was 2.35-2.40
most of the odds comparison sites like livescore etc show you the odds avail pre match even after its finished if you wanted to check whether you got decent odds at your local.Comment -
Yeah this was my misunderstanding entirely. My apologies!
Whether the line offered on favorites' spread is terrible depends on how large the spread is, but most likely in this case it was yes. The -2.5 on Pinnacle dropped to below @ 1.85 pretty quickly an hour or so before the match. The 2-0 line isn't terrible compared to market lines (by which I mean current odds, typically on Betfair and Pinnacle, although margins apply to Pinnacle odds), but I don't like it, because losing a set in the process happens so easily.
Consider this: The probability of a player winning the match 2-0 equals the probability of winning set one with the probability of winning set two. Johnson was around @ 1.7 market odds to win the first set, and 1.7 squared is 2.89. That makes 2.5 (which wasn't available anywhere) look bad. Granted, one might argue that if Johnson wins set one he is likelier to win set two (which is true), but I find it a better option to simply disregard that and instead bet on him to win the first set, circumventing the shittier part of the bet as well as its risk.Comment -
Ginepri couldn't take 1:st despite breaking twice.
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I was about to write "Who the f*ck is Klara Koukalova".
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Market holds Zakopalova as a very marginal favorite (@ 1.98), but I think those odds should be inverted, and then some.Comment -
Time to do the old-fashioned dumb-bitch-foot-fault-double-fault-point-penalty-break-dance!Comment -
Klara looks like shit early on, in terms of body-language not least.Comment -
I agree but I have seen several of her matches this year (including yesterday) and she just looks like Grumpy Cat all the time, no matter if she has just hit a winner and is a set up or has lost several games in a row.Comment -
Delbo lost 4 games in a row to Peliwo after being up 6-2 2-0. Does anyone know what's going on?Comment -
This match is a lot better than I'd expected.Comment -
Peliwo @ 5 seems really good at this point to be honest.Comment -
i agree although he just lost his serve as i write and will probably drop off from here, but he looks ok
nice young fighter with a bit of go in himComment -
Well what I meant was with him up 5-2 @ 5 seems ridiculous. I guess the money is smarter than I am.Comment -
Delbonizio not looking very solid today. Peliwo is pretty damn impressive (compared to my expectations).Comment -
Peliwo @ 10 on that SP... what the f*ck??Comment -
i thought i said i agreed no, do I need to get that verified?
glad this one has gone to a 3rd set i havent watched this canook beforeComment -
I'm not following you at all... what are you talking about? Do you think I was arguing with you? I wasn't, if that's the case. I think post #13771 had you confused, but I phrased it like that because I wanted to clarify at what point I held that view.Comment -
i was being sarcastic in my prev post as us aussies tend to do, and the one before that agreed as it looked stupid if one was watching, similarly the 13 that was avail in the tie (i dont bet live btw, just an observation)Comment -
Sometimes sarcasm is hard to detect in text form.Comment -
Vinci fighting now lol!Comment -
Some sick play on the return and Vinci with the fightback breaks a bitch against the match and brings us to five all 2:nd!Comment -
So your saying 1:1,000,000 ?Comment -
What is this? Is this how "luck" feels??Comment -
berrer is soft not to finish that match.Comment -
Lots of shit I'm liking today!Comment -
Come on GGL... do what you do best!!Comment -
Choke on that c0ck... you know you want to!Comment -
Had GGL +2.5 and Fabbiano in a parlay @ 3.20ish for a few hundred today. Have no idea why GGL was the underdog.. but still went with the cap knowing he's capable of stinking it up big time!
Which he almost did after being a set and a break up.Comment -
Btw I suggest people keep a close eye on how Rybarikova performs today. Next up she'll have Carla and going on what I saw yesterday, the Spaniard is primed to be upset!
Think we'll get some decent odds on that play. Just have to make sure Magdalena's up for it.Comment -
Sure, unless Rybarikova loses.Comment -
Well yes, that's a given. Was going to spell it out but thought it was obvious. To the non anals at least.
Anyway I'm not interested unless it's Rybarikova who wins.
She's a good Indoor HC player and I think she'll be a good match up to cause the upset.Comment -
lol Alund 2-6 0-5 to GhemComment
