Vaughany's Soccer Plays...

[Vaughany]

Portuguesa and Cruzeiro scored, only game without another goal is the one I picked!

[Vaughany]

haaaaaa spoke too soon! Vasco get a second!

[Vaughany]

That covers the Betis loss even if it stays like this now, one more goal and I'll be very happy!

[Vaughany]

shiiiiit Vasco almost make it 3-2!

[Vaughany]

looks like it's just gonna be a half-profit winner. 45 shots on goal in this game (26 on target) between the two, and 20 corners!!

[plekz]

Done for the night Vaugh?

[Vaughany]

Weekend review:

Pending plays:

Moderate stakes on:

Roma PK @ -178 at home to Napoli (Serie A, Friday);

Roma/Napoli Over 1 goal 1st half @ -131;

yeah in theory they should be winning this or drawing at worse. I'll be bold and say that Napoli are over-rated currently. The likes of Montella and Fabio Cannavaro have come out saying that they are favourites to win the Scudetto which I think is absolute nonsense! Napoli's defence is very average, they have a host of full-backs who are not defensively sound - Maggio, Armero, Zuniga and Mesto...they are all attack-minded players, especially the first three and leave a lot of space in behind that can be exploited. In the centre they have Raul Albiol, Britos, Fernandez, and P. Cannavaro to choose from, none of whom are world-class players or IMO anywhere near world class. Obviously Reina on his day can be unbeatable, but he can also drop clangers at times.

IMO, people seem to be ignoring the fact that Napoli conceded two sloppy goals at Chievo and it could easily of been 4 or 5 as the home side had multiple chances which they didn't take. It's also been forgotten that Napoli only drew at home against a side in Sassuolo who had previously lost 7-0 at home to Inter, and then after drawing at Napoli went and lost 3-1 at Parma despite having an extra man for half the game! And they beat a very poor Milan side away which on paper is impressive, but that was only because Balotelli had a slight off-day and missed his first penalty in 23 attempts! Milan had 56% possession, 8 corners to 2, 22 attempts on goal to 9, and Reina had to make 7 saves compared to Abbiati's 1. Then in the CL Arsenal completely outplayed them at Emirates Stadium, and they only scraped a win at home to Dortmund after conceding late despite Dortmund having 10 men for half the game.

Don't get me wrong, there is always going to be the potential there for Napoli to slaughter teams with the depth in quality that they've got going forward. With three decent attacking wing-back options in Zuniga, Armero, and Maggio, then Insigne, Merterns, Callejon, Hamsik, Pandev, and Higuain as attacking alternatives you have to be concerned, especially as Roma are going to have to have an off day eventually. The international break is my biggest concern as it could ruin Roma's momentum, and I think it's been kinder to Napoli as there two key players Higuain and Hamsik didn't go off with their National Team so were able to rest and recuperate. The only Napoli players that did feature in Internationals were their Swiss trio Behrami, Dzemaili, and Gokhan Inler, and then Armero for Colombia. Roma on the other hand had Strootman, Pjanic, and Gervinho all involved - Strootman and Gervinho have come back with slight injuries so may not even start tomorrow and Pjanic played over 150 minutes for Bosnia over 2 important games. So this is a concern and why I'm not betting large on Roma PK, but may add more live-in-play if they are looking like they are in control.

Originally Posted by Vaughany
Parlay (double): Varese PK (-225) & Chelsea ML (-400);

Parlay (double): Varese PK (-250) & Blackburn PK (-250);

Parlay (double): Chelsea ML (-400) & Celta Vigo PK (-187.5)...




Originally Posted by Vaughany
Small stake parlay:

Parlay (double): Nancy PK (-275 at home to Clermont) & Lens PK (-275 at home to Nimes);


Nancy have got a new Coach Pablo Correa who was a fan favourite when he used to play for the club as a striker along side Tony Cascarino. He played for 5 years at the club and knows what it's all about and will be serious about getting them back in the promotion hunt after being relegated from Ligue 1 last season and starting this one off badly. In addition to that, Clermont have three of their regular back-four unavailable due to being suspended: Lippini (9 apps), Avinel (7 apps), & Da Silva (7 apps). Midfielder Betsch (9 apps) is also out due to injury, and strikers Videmont (5 apps, 1 goal), and Capelle (2 apps) are injured.

So with the defensive absentees for Clermont, and Nancy having a new Coach who has demanded that his team play with a high-intensity I also like the value for their to be at least 1 goal in the 1st half...

Even if he confesses to have changed, Pablo Correa is a strong supporter of a football commitment. "I come with my energy to try to inject a dose of intensity. I will insist on it, because the team needs to increase the intensity to hurt the opponent. This is what saves a duel and take the ball. This is true in all areas of the game is already seen in practice today. This is normal, because the players want to show.We now see in a long time and also match."




Originally Posted by Vaughany
Gone small on a couple of 1st half overs as teams have nothing to play for so should in theory play more openly, and small on a few parlays...

Parlay (treble): England U21s ML (-1000 at home to Lithuania U21s), Bosnia ML (-300 away at Lithuania), Sweden/Germany Over 1.5 goals (-500), & Real Betis PK (-350 at home to Elche);
...




Originally Posted by Vaughany

Parlay (treble): Iceland PK (-700), England PK (-900), & Man Utd PK (-450)...




Originally Posted by Vaughany
Moderate stake on:

Parlay (treble): Israel PK (-500 at home to Northern Ireland), Germany PK (-350 away at Sweden), & Man Utd PK (-450 at home to Southampton);

With Northern Ireland missing Johnny Evans and Gareth MaCauley I don't see them out-scoring Israel away and the home side will be buoyed after grabbing a draw at Portugal away and won't want to and ruin that by not beating Northern Ireland at home a few days later!

No Zlatan for Sweden so don't see how they beat Germany unless something random happens like an early red card for away side. Germany had great players on the bench last Friday like Sidney Sam, Kruse, Goetze, Draxler, and Hummels so even if they make changes it still going to be a very strong team with players who will keen to impress. Schweini's 100th game as well.




Originally Posted by Vaughany
Conference play for Saturday (small stake):

Halifax PK @ -176 at home to Welling United...




Originally Posted by Vaughany

Small stake on AZ Alkmaar -1 A.H. @ -110 at home to Cambuur (Dutch Eredivisie, Sunday)...

Torino PK @ -227 live

Small stake parlay:

Nancy/Clermont Over 0.75 goals 1st half @ -122...

Nancy have got a new Coach Pablo Correa who was a fan favourite when he used to play for the club as a striker along side Tony Cascarino. He played for 5 years at the club and knows what it's all about and will be serious about getting them back in the promotion hunt after being relegated from Ligue 1 last season and starting this one off badly. In addition to that, Clermont have three of their regular back-four unavailable due to being suspended: Lippini (9 apps), Avinel (7 apps), & Da Silva (7 apps). Midfielder Betsch (9 apps) is also out due to injury, and strikers Videmont (5 apps, 1 goal), and Capelle (2 apps) are injured.

So with the defensive absentees for Clermont, and Nancy having a new Coach who has demanded that his team play with a high-intensity I also like the value for their to be at least 1 goal in the 1st half...

Even if he confesses to have changed, Pablo Correa is a strong supporter of a football commitment. "I come with my energy to try to inject a dose of intensity. I will insist on it, because the team needs to increase the intensity to hurt the opponent. This is what saves a duel and take the ball. This is true in all areas of the game is already seen in practice today. This is normal, because the players want to show.We now see in a long time and also match."

Small stake on:

Chateauroux win/draw (double chance) @ -131 at home to Caen...

Having a stab at this as Chateauroux is usually a tough place to go to - last season they only lost twice at home, one loss was a tight 3-2 loss to Angers who managed to score two goals in injury time and Angers ended up coming 5th in the league, and then they lost 4-0 to Nantes but Chateauroux only had 10 men for half the game, and Nantes ended up getting promoted to Ligue 1. This season they've had one slip up at home when they were whooped 4-0 by Tours so hopefully that's their one big loss per season at home out of the way!

My other reason for playing it is because Caen have some key players unavailable due to combination of injuries and suspensions. The regular central defensive partnership consisting of Wague (9 apps, 1 goal) & Felipe Saad (9 apps) will be broken up as both are out. In addition to those two, midfielders Rothen (8 apps, 1 goal), Agouazi (10 apps), and strikers Kodjia (10 apps, 2 goals), & Nangis (2 apps) will also be missing. I'm thinking Chateauroux scrape a 1-1 draw which has been the common result when these two have met previously. The last 5 games between these two in Chateauroux have ended a draw, and 4 of them have been 1-1 each time!

Toulouse PK @ +106 away at Reims...

Small stake on:

Hoffenheim/Leverkusen Over 3 goals @ -111...

Over 3.75 goals @ -200 live-in-play in Botafogo/Vasco game (2-1, 57 mins)...

Seems to be a back-and-forth game, Botafogo have had 11 shots on-target, 7 off-target, Vasco have had 9 on-target and 4 off-target.

Decent enough weekend, should of had more confidence in Roma though and gone bigger. Man Utd only drawing was annoying as well as halved my profits.

[Vaughany]

	Conference Betting Record:
	Bet:	Odds:	Stake:	Profit:
316018374-1
68	3:28pm 6-Aug-13	10-Aug-13	Soccer
Total	Forest Green Rovers/Hyde FC (O 2.5 and 3) for Game.	108	50	54
316774477-1
90	2:07am 11-Aug-13	11-Aug-13	Soccer
Handicap	Cambridge United (+0) vs Halifax Town for Game.	-208	208	100
316789102-1
94	4:14am 11-Aug-13	11-Aug-13	Soccer
Handicap	Cambridge United (-1) vs Halifax Town for Game.
[Live! 1-1]	-120	-120	120	100
317037688-1
109	2:41pm 12-Aug-13	13-Aug-13	Soccer
Handicap	Braintree Town (+0) vs Woking for Game.	-131	131	100
317038817-1
110	3:11pm 12-Aug-13	13-Aug-13	Soccer
Handicap	Lincoln City (+0) vs Macclesfield Town for Game.	-170	55	32.35
317039219-1
111	3:17pm 12-Aug-13	13-Aug-13	Soccer
Handicap	Aldershot Town (+0) vs Dartford FC for Game.	-152	76	50
317039219-2
112	3:17pm 12-Aug-13	13-Aug-13	Soccer
Handicap	Alfreton Town vs Kidderminster Harriers (+0) for Game.	-180	90	-90
317119785-1
114	1:06pm 13-Aug-13	13-Aug-13	Soccer
Total	Alfreton Town/Kidderminster Harriers (O 2.5 and 3) for Game.
[Live! 2-0]	-156	-156	78	50
319247077-1
172	6:01am 26-Aug-13	26-Aug-13	Soccer
1H Total	Alfreton Town/Hereford United (O 1) for 1st Half.	-111	55.5	50
319247483-1
173	6:05am 26-Aug-13	26-Aug-13	Soccer
1H Total	Nuneaton Town/Kidderminster Harriers (O 1) for 1st Half.	-126	63	Cancelled
319247904-1
174	6:10am 26-Aug-13	26-Aug-13	Soccer
Handicap	Chester vs Forest Green Rovers (+0) for Game.	-151	75.5	50
320064810-1
205	0:47am 31-Aug-13	31-Aug-13	Soccer
1H Total	Forest Green Rovers/Alfreton Town (O 1) for 1st Half.	-118	118	100
321319167-1
7	0:32am 7-Sep-13	7-Sep-13	Soccer
1H Total	Braintree Town/Forest Green Rovers (O 1) for 1st Half.	-112	56	50
321319425-1
8	0:35am 7-Sep-13	7-Sep-13	Soccer
1H Total	Hyde FC/Cambridge United (O 1) for 1st Half.	-128	64	Cancelled
323331818-1
65	10:36am 17-Sep-13	17-Sep-13	Soccer
1H Total	Hyde FC/Woking (O 1) for 1st Half.	-114	57	-57
323331818-2
66	10:36am 17-Sep-13	17-Sep-13	Soccer
1H Total	Tamworth/Kidderminster Harriers (O 1) for 1st Half.	-120	60	Cancelled
323331818-3
67	10:36am 17-Sep-13	17-Sep-13	Soccer
1H Total	Welling United/Forest Green Rovers (O 1) for 1st Half.	-121	60.5	50
323332749-1
68	10:42am 17-Sep-13	17-Sep-13	Soccer
Handicap	Salisbury City (+0) vs Braintree Town for Game.	-115	57.5	Cancelled
323976213-1
75	2:59pm 20-Sep-13	21-Sep-13	Soccer
Total	Aldershot Town/Wrexham (O 2) for Game.	-172	86	Cancelled
323976213-2
76	2:59pm 20-Sep-13	21-Sep-13	Soccer
Handicap	Alfreton Town (+0) vs Barnet for Game.	-101	50.5	50
323976213-3
77	2:59pm 20-Sep-13	21-Sep-13	Soccer
Handicap	Braintree Town (+0) vs Southport for Game.	-181	90.5	50
323976213-4
78	2:59pm 20-Sep-13	21-Sep-13	Soccer
Handicap	Cambridge United (+0) vs Forest Green Rovers for Game.	-117	58.5	50
327988492-1
21	6:11am 8-Oct-13	8-Oct-13	Soccer
Handicap	Alfreton Town (+0) vs Chester for Game.	-199	99.5	-99.5
327988492-2
22	6:11am 8-Oct-13	8-Oct-13	Soccer
Handicap	Hyde FC vs Gateshead (+0) for Game.	-165	82.5	50
327988492-3
23	6:11am 8-Oct-13	8-Oct-13	Soccer
Handicap	Kidderminster Harriers (+0) vs Forest Green Rovers for Game.	-141	70.5	50
327988579-1
24	6:13am 8-Oct-13	8-Oct-13	Soccer
1H Total	Braintree Town/Welling United (O 1) for 1st Half.	-114	57	50
327988579-2
25	6:13am 8-Oct-13	8-Oct-13	Soccer
1H Total	Kidderminster Harriers/Forest Green Rovers (O 1) for 1st Half.	-130	130	100
328284622-1
3	6:27am 10-Oct-13	12-Oct-13	Soccer
Handicap	Gateshead (+0) vs Alfreton Town for Game.	-168	715.5	425
329732176-1
1	12:01pm 17-Oct-13	17-Oct-13	Soccer
Handicap	Macclesfield Town (+0) vs Southport for Game.
[Live! 1-0]		-156	78	-78
329742758-1
2	1:06pm 17-Oct-13	17-Oct-13	Soccer
Total	Macclesfield Town/Southport (O 2.5 and 3) for Game.
[Live! 1-1]		-137	137	100
329755099-1	2:29pm 17-Oct-13	19-Oct-13	Soccer
22	Halifax Town (+0) vs Welling United for Game.	-176	88	50
			Total stake:	Profit:
			£3,218.50	£1,436.85
	Total plays:	Winners:	Pushes:	Losses:
	31	22	5	4
		70.97%	16.13%	12.90%

Conference play for Saturday (small stake):


Halifax PK @ -176 at home to Welling United...

[plekz]

Vaughny:

What's your thoughts so far for CL this week? (btw your conference stats are retarded (in a good way)

I like CHE (no Kevin Prince for Schalke) - ARS (playing VERY good soccer right now) - ATL (Austria shouldnt be much problems, defeat on sat is a bit worrying though) - BARCA (No Balotelli for Milan, and Messi is back) - REAL (JUVE's head will still be spinning from the epic failure y-day and their current form is less then stellar) - PSG (Zlatan show) - GALA (They have Drogba FC Copenhagen doesn't)

Torn on CSKA - MAN C , MAN U - REAL S , LEV - SCH & BEN - OLY

[Vaughany]

Small play on Siena PK @ -130 at home to Palermo...

[Vaughany]

Vaughny:

What's your thoughts so far for CL this week? (btw your conference stats are retarded (in a good way)

I like CHE (no Kevin Prince for Schalke) - ARS (playing VERY good soccer right now) - ATL (Austria shouldnt be much problems, defeat on sat is a bit worrying though) - BARCA (No Balotelli for Milan, and Messi is back) - REAL (JUVE's head will still be spinning from the epic failure y-day and their current form is less then stellar) - PSG (Zlatan show) - GALA (They have Drogba FC Copenhagen doesn't)

Torn on CSKA - MAN C , MAN U - REAL S , LEV - SCH & BEN - OLY

yep you are thinking along same lines as myself. I have a parlay of Barca DNB, Galatasary to win, and Atletico to win so far. Really a must win game for Galatasary, and I actually think the Atletico loss at wknd may be a good thing as Simeone will give them a kick up the ass and hopefully will serve as a wake up call. Had they of comfortably won that game at Espanyol then they may have then gone to Austria thinking it would be a walk-over, but now they will want to rebound with a big performance.

Chelsea is very tempting seeing as Boateng, Farfan, and Huntelaar are all out for Schalke, and potentially Jermaine Jones and Marco Hoger as well. Always a very tough place to go to but with Schalke's dodgy defense combined with injuries Chelsea really should be getting a draw at worse so will probably play the Chelsea DNB.

Will be looking at the BTTS and/or Over 2.5 lines for Arsenal/Dortmund, Man U/Sociedad, Lev/Shakhtar

[plekz]

yep you are thinking along same lines as myself. I have a parlay of Barca DNB, Galatasary to win, and Atletico to win so far. Really a must win game for Galatasary, and I actually think the Atletico loss at wknd may be a good thing as Simeone will give them a kick up the ass and hopefully will serve as a wake up call. Had they of comfortably won that game at Espanyol then they may have then gone to Austria thinking it would be a walk-over, but now they will want to rebound with a big performance.

Chelsea is very tempting seeing as Boateng, Farfan, and Huntelaar are all out for Schalke, and potentially Jermaine Jones and Marco Hoger as well. Always a very tough place to go to but with Schalke's dodgy defense combined with injuries Chelsea really should be getting a draw at worse so will probably play the Chelsea DNB.

Will be looking at the BTTS and/or Over 2.5 lines for Arsenal/Dortmund, Man U/Sociedad, Lev/Shakhtar

Where do you grab all your soccer info btw? I'm just now getting back into soccer after a hiathus of like 10+ years haha.

[Vaughany]

Where do you grab all your soccer info btw? I'm just now getting back into soccer after a hiathus of like 10+ years haha.

just their official websites, twitter, club forums/fan sites, dedicated league news sites like football-italia.net, insidespanishfootball.com

[andy888888]

Whats pk?? I cant seem to find this option on betvictor?

[sweepem]

Chelsea is very tempting seeing as Boateng, Farfan, and Huntelaar are all out for Schalke, and potentially Jermaine Jones and Marco Hoger as well. Always a very tough place to go to but with Schalke's dodgy defense combined with injuries Chelsea really should be getting a draw at worse so will probably play the Chelsea DNB.

Hildebrandt, KP Boateng and Jones are back and should start on Tuesday.

[plekz]

Hildebrandt, KP Boateng and Jones are back and should start on Tuesday.

Sources would help alot.

[Vaughany]

Whats pk?? I cant seem to find this option on betvictor?

PK is "pickem" same as Draw no bet

[Vaughany]

Kevin Prince Boateng
Ghana midfielder Kevin-Prince Boateng will start training with his German side Schalke today (Monday) after recovering from the injury, GHANAsoccernet.com can exclusively reveal.
The 26-year-old hoping that he will be fit enough to face English side Chelsea in the UEFA Champions League tomorrow as he is the club’s key player in continental competition.
Boateng missed Schalke’s 3-2 win over Eintracht Braunschweig on Saturday because of a knee injury, ending suspicion that he faked injury to avoid the crucial World Cup playoff win over Egypt in Kumasi last week.
He also missed Sunday’s training session at the Gelsenkirchen but the utility player has now recovered from the setback and he is ready to start training today.
“Kevin will be back on board on Monday,” Schalke sporting director Horst Heldt said.
Coach Jens Keller of the Bundesliga side Schalke added that his injured two regulars Kevin-Prince Boateng and Timo Hildebrand are looking very fit for the Chelsea challenge.
“With Timo he looks very good, with Kevin also good,” Keller said after the 3-2 win at Eintracht Braunschweig Gelsenkirchen.
Boateng was not even part of the travelling party to the Eintracht-Stadion for the 3-2 victory in Saturday’s German Bundesliga match.
This shows that he has not recovered from the knee injury that kept him out of the Black Stars’ 6-1 win over Egypt on Tuesday.
The midfielder sustained the injury just two days before he was supposed to have joined the Black Stars to prepare for the Egypt match.
The timing of the injury prompted fears that he had faked the setback to avoid the tough match while preserving his hopes of playing at the 2014 World Cup which guarantees huge publicity.
This revelation puts an end to the suspicion that he is fooling Ghanaians to enable him play at the World Cup which has got a higher profile.
Boateng has been accused of picking and choosing which matches he wants to play for Ghana and avoids tough qualifying matches in Africa.
But the midfielder has genuine knee problems which have seen him undergo surgeries for about SIX TIMES on the troublesome left knee.
The Schalke midfielder suffered a knee injury while playing for the German club during a league match two weeks ago.
Black Stars coach Kwesi Appiah was hoping further tests on the left knee problem could clear Boateng to play for Ghana in the match.
But the tests in Germany revealed that Boateng must undergo treatment for the injury which meant he will not be available for the match against Egypt.


Read more: http://omgghana.com/kevin-prince-boa...#ixzz2iMPvWNet
Follow us: @omgghanadotcom on Twitter | OMGGhana on Facebook

[Vaughany]

On Sunday returned goalkeeper Timo Hildebrand (lumbago) and U.S. international Jermaine Jones (knee problems) one day after their forced breaks at promoted Eintracht Braunschweig (3:2) into the training of the Royal Blues back.


On Monday sporting director Horst Heldt also announced the re-entry of Kevin-Prince Boateng (knee) in the preparation. While Jones (knee problems) could complete the entire program, Hildebrand trained initially dosed.
Knee problems Hoger

More concerned prepares the leaders Schalke against further infringement by Marco Hoger. The midfielder had to be substituted in Brunswick before half-time (36) the game with thick bandaged right knee and taken to hospital on Saturday night. An MRI should provide information about the injury.
"Marco has been kicked and twisted it the right knee," Heldt said. "The knee was unstable. Marco could only run in one direction. That does not sound good in any case on."

[plekz]

So they are 'in' but unclear wether they start, more then likely then they'll be subbed in later in the game.

[Vaughany]

Small play on Brno/Teplice Over 1 goal 1st half @ -123...

Brno have either scored or conceded (more often the latter) at least 1 goal in the 1st half of each of their 5 home games this season. Teplice have scored or conceded 1 goal in every 1st half they've had apart from the opening game of season at Znojmo.

[Vaughany]

Brno not playing their top scorer Markovic Probably going to play for the 0-0 despite being at home!

[DA_MOSS]

Let's hope Teplice gets that goal for you then.. got some small action on their ml

[Vaughany]

I dont think they will, looks like they are just keeping it tight and waiting to counter, not created hardly anything

[Vaughany]

Teplice are just letting Brno come at them knowing that they aren't good in final third

[DA_MOSS]

Can't watch it, but trying to follow on flashscore.. That's what it seems like too.. Maybe a breakaway?

[Vaughany]

maybe in second half, looks like they are just trying to keep it at 0-0 at moment

[Vaughany]

Sonds/Odense Over 1st half @-133

[azsportswin]

Just looking at game stats, seems like Brno outplaying Teplice, now 1-0 Brno.....maybe Teplice over confident coming into game and Brno very hungry to beat them??

[Vaughany]

Haha of course brno score wothin 5 mins of second half!! Always happens when i bet 1st half over and doesmt hit

[Vaughany]

And teplice equalise! Jus typical. Gonna be one of those days!

[plekz]

2 - 1 Brno

[Vaughany]

Now 2-1!! And sonds odense game looks like its gonna be same

[DA_MOSS]

Gonna be one of those days!

Feeling the same way on my end

[plekz]

3 - 1 Brno