The ultimate Dutch Soccer thread

[Kryptonite]

It would be a nice idea to post all Dutch soccer picks here.

I will post my plays here and keep a record. Dutch soccer is by far my best subject, following it for over 15 years. Last season´s ROI was over 115% (more than 200 picks).

Odds are available (among others) at all major Asian bookies, so no obscure bookies.

Goal is a minimum of 110% ROI.
Let´s cash!
One pick for Sunday 26-09:

Excelsior - Vitesse DNB @ 1,90

[pdc]

i like breda tomorrow............what do u think about them???

[birdmanweezy]

good luck

[minet123]

Cash'em BIG

[Kryptonite]

i like breda tomorrow............what do u think about them???

NAC Breda should win, but I don´t see much value in the odd (around 1,50). I don´t like betting such low odds on mediocre teams like NAC Breda. But most likely they will win (something like 2-1).

Also have a small lean to NEC - Feyenoord DNB @ 1,82, but I don´t play it for the record of this thread. For the record of this thread I will only play very strong plays.

[Lakers1905]

Goodluck

[Josu]

Good luck. Much of a Superman-fan with a nickname like that?

[Kryptonite]

Good luck. Much of a Superman-fan with a nickname like that?

Not really, I just like the name

Excelsior - Vitesse: 0-2
Bet won.

Record: 1-0-0 (W-L-V)
Staked: 100 (I will use flatstakes, for simplicity I use 100 euro each bet)
Returned: 190
ROI: 190 %

The lean on Feyenoord lost (3-0), but that was no official play.

This is gonna be a good season. The only disadvantage is that there are not that many bets. For example basketball and baseball teams play many times a week and Dutch Eredivisie is just 9 games in a week where I play maybe 3 or 4 games. But the games I play are usually very strong with high value.

[Supamanu]

Nice pick bro, love the Dutch leagues so I'll look forward to your input on the games!!!

[pdc]

hey how r u bro.......waiting for ur knowledge on tomorrows game, vitesse should roll with willem numbers but im gonna wait for ur input on this game, lets make some cash this weekend.

[Kryptonite]

I really like Vitesse for tonight´s game. After rather poor performances in the first 4 games, they are improving each game and all the new players are getting used to each other. The last 3 games Vitesse played really solid, with an underserved 2-1 loss at Heerenveen, a very good home game against NAC (0-0) where they created many chances but failed to score and a deserved victory at Excelsior (0-2).
Willem II haven´t convinced me yet and lost 7 games in a row. Last week they had a small loss at NAC (2-1), but NAC could easily have scored a few more.
Vitesse have the better squad and the better form and they should dominate this game.
Unfortunately odds dropped already and the -1,0 AH isn´t available anymore, so the best bet for me on this game is Vitesse -1,25 @ 1,95. I see still value in this odd.

Vitesse -1,25 @1,95 tb Willem II

[pdc]

thanks for the advice bro, im gonna take the chalk for easy money. willem have to make points sooner or later, hopefully they wont start today on the road.

STRAIGHT BET
[8502] VITESSE -225

243 / 108

[Sanka]

-1.25 is up to 2.06 now at 12bet (5dimes 1.98, pinny 2.05).

Already had this one locked & loaded @1.95 since last night, just added a prop bet on Pröpper to score @4.10 (he's the starting striker for Vitesse tonight).

[pdc]

I increased my bet to win .5x because i dont like nothing on the board today, just waiting fr wozniaki at night, but for the moment thats all for me.

STRAIGHT BET
[8502] VITESSE -225

113 / 50

[chopstick88]

Tailed at -1. Hope we cash this one

[ukbsktbll]

We going to see any goals in this one?

[Josu]

We going to see any goals in this one?

Both teams have had chances to score. They both fail to capitalize. Willem are owning the second half. Vitesse were the most dangerous team in the first half.

[Kryptonite]

Vitesse - Willem II : 0-0 FT

Vitesse started pretty good, missed some chances, but played very sloppy the whole game.
Disappointing game, last games they played better.
More games to come this weekend, will have previews up soon!


New record:
1W-1L
Staked: 200
Returned: 190
ROI: 95%

[ukbsktbll]

what do you think of Ajax and PSV tomorrow?

[JohnAnthony]

I'll be sure to follow this gl!

[Kryptonite]

Saturday 18:45 CET
NAC Breda - NEC:
This game is a no-bet as the odds are correct in my opinion. (2,05 for home-win).
No bet

Saturday 20:45 CET
Excelsior - Roda JC:
Everyone expected Excelsior to relegate, but they are doing pretty good with already 3 wins in 7 matches. It has to be said that all 3 opponents played very weak against Excelsior and underestimated them a bit.
Roda JC started the season good with only 1 loss in 7 matches (at Ajax), 3 wins and 3 draws against PSV, Twente and Heerenveen. They play nice and have a far better team than Excelsior. Also, 2 Excelsior strikers are missing this game due to an injury and a suspension.
I expect the quality difference is just too big and see Roda winning this one.
Roda -0,5@2,16


Sunday 12:30 CET
Ajax - Utrecht
Ajax are the biggest favourite for the title now, and they have an impressive home record (last season 16wins-1draw) with scoring lots of goals and conceding very few. That´s the reason they are getting big handicaps at home. They face Utrecht, and that´s a pretty good team aiming for a top 5 spot. They have a good defense. In the last few weeks in the Europa League, they kept clean sheets against Liverpool, Celtic and Napoli. It´s not that easy to score a lot of goals against Utrecht and therefore I think the handicap on Ajax of -1,75 or -2,0 has no value and is not worth taking. I´m not touching Utrecht either cause I don´t like betting against Ajax at home.
No bet

Other previews will come later!

[ukbsktbll]

sorry i didnt notice Ajax and PSV werent till sunday

[bostonbruins]

On Roda too, GL

[Kryptonite]

Roda didn´t even play their best match, but were still very dominant (66% ball possession) and won 2-1 thanks to a late goal.
New record:
2W-1L
Staked: 300
Returned: 406
ROI: 135%
-----------------------

Sunday 14:30 CET:
Heerenveen - ADO Den Haag
Before the season, Heerenveen aimed for a top 6 spot. Heerenveen struggled in some matches in the beginning of the season, but their potential is very high. I believe in this team and they already showed some good football last week against Roda, where they deserved the victory but gave away a 2-0 lead (2-2).
ADO main objective was to avoid relegation. They did surprisingly well so far, showing some nice football with lots of goals, but all their 3 wins were against low quality teams. Also their defense is shaky, conceding 16 goals in 7 matches.
I believe Heerenveen is just a class above ADO and Heerenveen, being a good homeside just should win this match without too many problems.
I will play Heerenveen -0,5@1,64 cause the -1,0 is pretty low, only 1,97, so I chose the safer bet. HEERENVEEN -0,5@1,64


Sunday 14:30 CET:
AZ - Heracles
AZ should win this match, but the odds are too low for me considering the fact they had a hard Europa League match in Belarus last thursday (4-1 loss) and they don´t score that easy. (only 7 goals in 7 matches)
NO BET


Sunday 14:30 CET:
De Graafschap - Feyenoord
No bet, as I can´t trust Feyenoord in this spot. Last week they played an awful match and the team just lacks experience and talent. Graafschap at home is a hard working team and it´s not an easy match for Feyenoord.
NO BET


Sunday 14:30 CET:
Twente - Groningen
Groningen have very good results, 4wins-3draws, but I think they had a few lucky moments and they are not as good as the ranking (3rd spot) suggests. For example last week at PSV they were pretty poor, but with some luck they managed to get to 1-1.
Twente is very solid with a very good defense, conceding only 3 goals in 7 matches.
Twente is just better than Groningen and they should win this match at home.
TWENTE -1,0 @1,96


Sunday 16:30 CET:
PSV - VVV
No bet because PSV just came back from their thursday Europa League match in Ukrain and their key striker Berg is suspended. Ofcourse PSV should win, but the handicap is pretty high (-2 or more) and I see no value in this match.
NO BET


SO MY BETS ARE:

HEERENVEEN -0,5@1,64
TWENTE -1,0 @1,96

GL

[ukbsktbll]

Ajax not trying at all? Just weird to seem them down by 2.

[Kryptonite]

Ajax not trying at all? Just weird to seem them down by 2.

They tried, but they just had a bad day. And Utrecht defense is very good as I said.
Utrecht +2,0 was very good value, but I didn´t have the balls to go against Ajax at home. But predictions are always easy after the game

Twente 4-2 W
Heerenveen 0-0 L

New record:
3W-2L
Staked: 500
Returned: 602
ROI: 120 %

Next round is in 2 weeks, because of international football.

[hitman2010]

nice job, well done Kryp.

[Kryptonite]

Saturday card:

18:45 CET
Ajax - NAC Breda
Pick: Ajax -2,0 @ 1,75

19:45 CET
Utrecht - De Graafschap
Pick: Utrecht -1,25 @ 2,02

19:45 CET
VVV Venlo - AZ Alkmaar
Pick: AZ Alkmaar -0,5 @ 1,75

20:45 CET
Feyenoord - Twente
Pick: Twente -0,5 @ 2,00

GL

[Masu485]

do u like the Utrecht/De Graaf Over 3?

[Kryptonite]

No, Utrecht has a strong defense, I don´t think over 3 has value.

[Kryptonite]

From last week:
Pick: Ajax -2,0 @ 1,75 W (3-0)
Pick: Utrecht -1,25 @ 2,02 L (2-2)
Pick: AZ Alkmaar -0,5 @ 1,75 W (1-0)
Pick: Twente -0,5 @ 2,00 W (1-0)

New record:
6W-3L
Staked: 900
Returned: 1152
ROI: 128 %

Friday 22 october 20:45 CET:
NAC Breda - Roda
Pick: Roda DNB @1,94

Plays for saturday and sunday will follow later

[Kryptonite]

Sunday 24 October:
12:30 CET
Excelsior - Ajax
Ofcourse there is a big chance that Ajax will win, but handicap of -2,0 is no value for me.
NO BET

14:30 CET
PSV - Feyenoord
Feyenoord have a very young team without many experienced players. Especially in away matches they are pretty poor. PSV should dominate this game and win pretty easy.
PSV -1,25 @ 1,78

AZ - Willem II
AZ are playing pretty good, but they have difficulties with scoring goals. Willem II is ranked at the bottom, but it seems their play is improving the last games. A -2,0 handicap for a team that doesn´t score that easy is not worth taking here.
NO BET

Twente - ADO
ADO is surprisingly ranked 6th, but for me it´s just a matter of time before they will be back around place 12. Twente at home should be too much for them.
Twente -1,5 @ 1,83

16:30 CET
Vitesse - Utrecht
Vitesse has a lot of talented players, but they are not yet a real team. Utrecht is missing some players, but they are the better team and a lot more experienced. I see Utrecht as a clear favourite and take the DNB.
Utrecht DNB @ 1,88

[Blue_Chips]

How about the totals? Do you have any plays on those?

[Kryptonite]

How about the totals? Do you have any plays on those?

I almost never bet totals. I think totals are more unpredictable than sides.

[whareouttogetme]

Ajax

some amazing saves in the last few mins of injury time though