Demize21 official 2010 Thread

[demize21]

all picks from here on out will be posted here mainly Brazil/ South American cups, leagues, etc...

will try to post plays at least an hour before game time, for those who followed my 2H
system it was very profitable last year and im hoping for the same results, 2H plays come off the board pretty fast so i usually post those on spreadsheet first and some books don't offer but mainly for those who don't know it.

2H system
say you pick a team to win or draw and your team is down by1,2 goals @ 45th minute or "even" for that matter play the team to win or draw 2H what ever original bet was you get tremendous value and most time you win both or break even it hit for roughly 90% last year
Same goes for overs if you pick total over 2.5 and it is 1-0 or 0-0 @ 45th' play over 1.5 2H for double the original bet this saved my A$$ an many occasions and i still continue to use it in other leagues as well mainly top flight leagues will have 2H plays posted up until halftime some leave on longer but you might have to take a gamble here and there on extra time hoping the scores don't change etc.. for most part that's what i do and it has worked out well.with this system you have to have the most up to the minute score tracker of live feeds and be ready at drop of a dime to place the wagers due to the fact as said above they tend to take lines down pretty quickly!

Copa libertadores playoffs have started as well as Brazil state cups which is a nice way to start off the year if you know the teams players etc.... first official plays to be posted tonight might wait another week before i start posting copa plays but brazil plays will be on here starting tonight for tomorrows action

any questions info etc.. feel free to chime in to help the cause in breaking the books!!!!

BOL to all this year, lets have a lot of fun but most importantly GET THAT MONEY!!!!!!!

[mihaita666]

good luck amigo...

[Smogs]

Looking forward to it, your spreadsheet from last year was very impressive

[Jimmy0607]

LEts do this!!!!!$$$$$$

[demize21]

ty but got a little greedy the beginning of the new year on bowl games etc im actually down for the year cause i added 100 to my accounts for the new year but hoping to have same results with S. America and brazil and went on a nice WC streak one day which made a nice amount of change as for all that question edits i only edit when raising wagers if line has not changed and put in notes and delete errors posted but will do my best to keep as accurate as possible hence starting the thread.

again BOL to all and hope we all have a very profitable year

on a side note Ive been riding the jets last 4 weeks with local on ML making a killing i think they pull off the upset ML and double up on spread NFL for those who don't know

[TurkzZ]

BOL

[demize21]

Carioca - Copa Guanabara 1/23
Flamengo RJ -1.5 +110 1u Great value here IMO full squad Adriano & Love starting in Vagners debut bangu is playing poorly and definitely the weaker team even against the B squad i would take this line all day petrovic will play as sub also among most of the starters only one out is Maldonado recovering from injury,like the over 2.5 but @-181 kind of high but can easily be a 3-1 game so small play on over 3 -128 .5u

Macae (Carioca) x AmericaRJ (Carioca) Over 2.5 -153 .5u like the over here macae score and tend to give up a lot of goals as well and i feel America is due for a breakout game so i have a small lean on America RN


Torneo Paulista 1/23
Ponte Preta SP -1 +105 1u playing a weaker team @ home ties in their last 2 games and tend to not give up many goals at home leaning towards under 2.5,3 2-0 prediction

Portuguesa SP pk+105 1u Portuguesa (Paulista) x Bragantino (Paulista) Over 2.5 -142 1u
Portuguesa playing some really good futbol right now and i don't see them slowing down anytime soon overs IMO is a gimme and like the value on the PK since they are playing away might end up in a 2-2 draw

Sao Paulo SP -1½,-2 +103 1u over 2.5 -166 1u after a slow poor start i see SP come home to their true form and blowing away Rio Claro SP

Gaucho - Copa Fernando Carvhalo 1/23
waiting for lines to be posted for this cup tend to post last minute but leaning
Juventude & over 2.5
Nova Hamburgo & over 2.5

EPL 1/23
Manchester United (Alt 1) -2 -134 1U

EL2 1/23
Bury FC -166 1u Smogs tail

Germany Bundesliga
FC Bayern Munich DNB -175 1u Smogs tail

i use 3 books Greek, BetUSA , & Bet Phoenix whichever gives the best lines etc
as for 2H plays BetUSA
BOL

[Wilforth]

BOL

[demize21]

Tnx Bud anything good for this weekend i haven't heard from u in a bit

[spartangreen]

Good luck on the plays this weekend.

[demize21]

Tnx u too

[Jimmy0607]

Demize what book do you use for 2nd half plays , I use Sportsbook (Im in the US) since they have the most games

[demize21]

betusa but good to know another i like having options betusa tends to mainly post top flight leagues 2H plays and sometimes you catch lower leagues etc and they take lines down quick thats why most the time i take a gamble on extra time for 1H that nothing will change sometimes they leave the lines during the half and sometimes they take them off @ half tricky but profitable if you stay on top of the scores time etc

[demize21]

sportsbook is pretty much the same as betusa same book makers i was told one day i called

[demize21]

i have called bet phoenix in past and asked for games not posted and gotten lines over phone but never tried 2H plays with them will see tomorrow usually on live chat or phone with them all day

[jw]

I'm going to tail your Flamengo game ... had a couple of plays lined up for today in England and slept past the start ... duh .. I knew I should have played them last night or set an alarm.

[TurkzZ]

are these regional leagues taken as seriously as the Seria A ? by the big clubs

[demize21]

are these regional leagues taken as seriously as the Seria A ? by the big clubs

some say are more coveted as all clubs play for instance flamengo started Adriano vagner love etc
and are taken as serious if not more serious, serie ABCD have only been around since 71 they only had these cups which hold more meaning to the clubs as stated above vagner said this was his most anticipated debut its an honor to play for top teams in these games
so if big names didn't care they would save there stars for other venues

also the big clubs in each region are playing for bragging rights this is where the big "classicos" were mainly derived from FLA/FLU FLA/VASCO etc....

2-0 vagner just scored again

[demize21]

aweswome adriano to vagner goooooooooooooooooooooolllllllllllll

[demize21]

just gave up PK

[demize21]

Adding

Carioca 1/23
America RJ pk,+½ -120 .5u

Gaucho 1/23
Juventude RS -½,-1 -135 1u Juventude RS X Ulbra RS Over 2.5,3 -108 .5u

Novo Hamburgo RS -½,-1 +125 .5u Novo Hamburgo RS X Brasil de Pelotas RS Over 2½,3 -109 .5u

[demize21]

Carioca - Copa Guanabara 1/23
Flamengo RJ -1.5 +110 1u Loss 1u
Great value here IMO full squad Adriano & Love starting in Vagners debut bangu is playing poorly and definitely the weaker team even against the B squad i would take this line all day petrovic will play as sub also among most of the starters only one out is Maldonado recovering from injury,like the over 2.5 but @-181 kind of high but can easily be a 3-1 game so
small play on over 3 -128 .5u Push

Macae (Carioca) x AmericaRJ (Carioca) Over 2.5 -153 .5u WIN .5u

like the over here macae score and tend to give up a lot of goals as well and i feel America is due for a breakout game so i have a small lean on America RN
Torneo Paulista 1/23
Ponte Preta SP -1 +105 1u Push
playing a weaker team @ home ties in their last 2 games and tend to not give up many goals at home leaning towards under 2.5,3 2-0 prediction Portuguesa SP pk+105 1u Push
Portuguesa (Paulista) x Bragantino (Paulista) Over 2.5 -142 1u Loss 1u

Portuguesa playing some really good futbol right now and i don't see them slowing down anytime soon overs IMO is a gimme and like the value on the PK since they are playing away might end up in a 2-2 draw

Sao Paulo SP -1½,-2 +103 1u WIN 1u over 2.5 -166 1u WIN 1u
after a slow poor start i see SP come home to their true form and blowing away Rio Claro SP

Gaucho - Copa Fernando Carvhalo 1/23 waiting for lines to be posted for this cup tend to post last minute but leaning Juventude & over 2.5 Nova Hamburgo & over 2.5

EPL 1/23 Manchester United (Alt 1) -2 -134 1U WIN 1u

EL2 1/23 Bury FC -166 1u Smogs tail WIN 1u

Germany Bundesliga FC Bayern Munich DNB -175 1u WIN 1u
Smogs tail

i use 3 books Greek, BetUSA , & Bet Phoenix whichever gives the best lines etc as for 2H plays BetUSA BOL

Adding Carioca 1/23
America RJ pk,+½ -120 .5u WIN .5u

Gaucho 1/23
Juventude RS -½,-1 -135 1u WIN /Push +.5u
Juventude RS X Ulbra RS Over 2.5,3 -108 .5u WIN +.5u

Novo Hamburgo RS -½,-1 +125 .5u WIN /Push +.25u
Novo Hamburgo RS X Brasil de Pelotas RS Over 2½,3 -109 .5u Loss .5u

Today
10-3-5 +4.75u
YTD
10-3-5 +4.75u

[Busterflywheel]

Whats your record?

[demize21]

easy cheesy was adding it up i was calculating should have stated but all units posted is to win eithier .5 1 2 etc
but all can look at sheet for actual winnings since i bet in dollars there so can see net profit loss etc

[spartangreen]

nice start to the weekend.

[demize21]

ty i should have posted how im calculating units im just gonna take whatever posted say 1u if wins i put win loses i put loss and push but as stated above for those willing to calculate to a T what the numbers are feel free or look at spreadsheet for exact amounts gained or lost
but win/loss record will be accurate i just bet dollar amounts and 1 unit to me is 1% of my bankroll and .5 half etc you get the jist

[demize21]

Today
10-3-5 +4.75u
YTD
10-3-5 +4.75u

will have tomorrows games posted tonight hopefully by midnight
BOL to all this weekend

[waco66]

i'll be waiting for your picks demize21...solid day capping!2

[demize21]

ty bro ill try my best as a reminder the brazil cup games or domestic leagues are a big deal to players teams etc so they play these games as they would their respective serie A B C league games and its\ gets very competitive unlike most other domestic cups these alot so cap them like you would a serie A, B game cause now the starters will play regularly and big games are coming up against arch rivals flamengo also waiting on papers for ramon to be finalized another addition from CSKA that plays well with vagner and should feature in next game at maracana killer squad this year and are big favorites to win the carioca libertadores and brazil A again as long as we can keep these loans past july which is in the works

[demize21]

Carioca 1/24

Boavista RJ X Duque de Caxias RJ Over 3 +105 .5u

Boavista RJ -.5,-1 +105 .5u

Friburguense RJ pk,-.5 -108 1u

Volta Redonda RJ +1.5 -123 1u

Vasco Da Gama RJ pk,+.5 -115 2u

VascodaGama (Carioca) X Botafogo RJ (Carioca) Over 2.5 -142 1u

Americano Campos -.5 +120 .5u

Paulista 1/24

SantoAndre(Paulista) -153 1u

PaulistaFC (Paulista) X SantoAndre (Paulista) Over 2.5 -133 1u

Corinthians (Paulista) X OesteFC (Paulista) Over 2.5 -153 1u

Palmeiras SP -1.5 +110 .5u

Palmeiras SP X Ituano SP Under 2.5,3 +102 .5u

Sao Caetano SP -1 +102 .5u

Mirassol SP pk,-.5 +110 .5u

Santos(Paulista) -153 1u

Botafogo SP pk,-.5 +110 .5u

Gaucho 1/24

Internacional RS -1 -105 1u

Avenida RS pk -123 .5u

Gremio RS X Veranopolis RS Over 3 -104 1u

ITA serie A 1/24

InterMilan (SerieA) X ACMilan (SerieA) Over 2.5 -117 1u

Spain liga 1/24

CF Villarreal X Real Zaragoza Over 2.5 -129 1u smogs tail

CF Villarreal -1 -111 1u

Real Madrid -2 -110 .5u

Germany Bundesliga1/24

VFL Wolfsburg -1 -129 .5u

Germany Bundesliga 2 1/24

Arminia Bielefeld -1,-1.5 +100 .5u


YTD
10-3-5 +4.75u

BOL

[svenodds]

Santo Andre

[demize21]

Adding

ITA Serie A 1/24

AC Milan (Alt 1) pk +105 1u

[demize21]

Santo Andre

thx dude

for those following second half system if you played Valencia and score is still 0-0 or if they at down at 45' pound the 2H same goes for over 2.5 and better if its 0-0 or 1-0 play over 1.5 for 2H great value on both is score stays like this if you played the dra if its 1-0 pound other team and if 0-0 play draw again 2H

[demize21]

Adding

Spain Liga 1 2H 1/24

2CFValencia(LigaBBVA)(2ndHalf) 2h +110 1u

2CFValencia (LigaBBVA)(2ndHalf) X 2CDTenerife (LigaBBVA)(2ndHalf) Over 1.5 2h +100 .5u

[demize21]

Adding

Germany Bundesliga 2H 1/24
21899Hoffenheim (2ndHalf) +240 1u