I know I have an edge even without posting here and even if I didn't have an edge I'd also know it without posting here because I track all my bets. Draws are inefficient because the dumbass market doesn't bet draws at all. Years ago when I tried betting only on favs it didn't work out because at least 30% of the games ended in draws, so I figured I might as well bet on the draws because no matter how strong a fav looks they always find a way to draw often enough. E.g. home team goal stats are 30:10 and away team stats are 15:40 so you might think "surely the home team will win by at least a goal" but nope, it's going to end 1:1 and the bookies collect all the square money on fav ML.
-
Comment -
gaze just post your plays, you just look like an idiot otherwise.
going from betting the fav to laying the fav doesnt make you Einstein reincarnated.Comment -
You clowns want free money? Bordeaux +1.5 will cover 90%, 10k to win 4160.Comment -
Fukin clowns lmao, 0:1 HT to 3:1 FT happens like once per season in france at these odds. Fortunately I was ready for them to clown it up.
Comment -
sorry but that looks like you said Bordeaux +1.5 , yet the ticket seems to be for a over? Did I misinterpret something?Comment -
also on a side note I think you should be banned for going down the scummy tout route
nothing worse in this industry than touts
actually nothing worse in the world than touts
already bad enough this disease is infesting all of the internet with investment/selfhelp/guru/etc scamming millions of gullible people out of their hard earned money
also I'm not too sure why you think you need an edge as a tout lol there isn't one in the gambling industry that actually makes money from gamblingComment -
Lol if it weren't for that last second goal you'd all be like "anybody can hit such odds, there was no edge." No more free money for you!Comment -
just remember my friend
money is not everything
don't sell your soul just for a few coinsComment -
"If you have a shit BR like me"
then bets 10k on one game. Fraud, others have been ran off the forum for less.Comment -
Actually there is very little difference. If I post a draw @3.5 it doesn't matter if it's a $50 or $1k bet, the only thing that matters is edge. I can consistently hit 10% roi at pinny closing lines, up to 20% at higher odds. Low odds still give me trouble. I often feel more confident in a pick @2.5 than @1.7. The former makes 12.5% roi at 45% win rate while the latter makes 2% at 60% win rate, almost a waste of time.Comment -
I'll give y'all one more safe-ass free money bet. Rio Ave +0 @1.45 $10k 90%. Gil Vicente is trash, should be @6.Comment -
I had a job for 2 full years with a 1+1 hour commute which slowed me down. Also I believe my first good system at that time was on horses and I abandoned racing a long time ago. Basically I can tell which horse is good value in the minute before the off but nobody would pay for such last minute picks. Also the limits are much lower, even $500 on a horse drops the price.Last edited by Gaze73; 12-09-19, 02:20 PM.Comment -
I said the first one was 90% and according to odds it was 95% at HT and 98% before the final whistle, yet you act like it was such a horrible play. I made money on it anyway. Rio Ave won too of course. 1.45 is not trash when it's 90% not gonna lose. Finding an edge at low odds is harder than at high odds but if you find it it's almost like free money. I'm testing a goal in first half strategy and am 17-0 so far at avg. odds 1.4. If it goes to 50-15 like I expect then I'll know it's free money but there's very few picks so it's gonna take months.Comment -
OMFG this is killing me , my stomach hurts from the sheer stupidity of this waste of skin who keeps repeatedly telling us about how much money he makes and can make ,then posts a "free money wager " that loses , then says working for something is a waste of time and can't get a $1000 loan and he's going to live like a king < I really would love to stop reading this crap , but it's like a train wreck waiting to happen and you can't look away cause you want to see what asinine thing he's going to say next . .................waiting........lolComment
Free money.