BTJ Challenge - Soccer plays (Round3)

lom bylyri · 06-11-17, 08:05 AM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Plays #25/26. WC Qual (CONCACAF):

* PANAMA -0.5 (-111). 111 TO win 100.

* COSTA RICA -1.75 (-109). 109 to win 100.

Are you talking Costa Rica vs. T&T ? If so, where did you get those odds ? ... 5d has CR at -415.

ChuckyTheGoat · 06-11-17, 02:17 PM

Yes, Lom. That game vs T/T.

I listed the handicap line. You reference the -0.5 3-way line. I think -415 is a perfectly good play.

I expect the Ticos to win > 85% of time in that game. Last game, they really SHOULD have won, but some a-hole picked up a red-card.

ChuckyTheGoat · 06-12-17, 01:22 AM

Getting reamed on these plays.

Pretty close to conceding + paying off.

shocka1212 · 06-12-17, 10:54 AM

6/12/17 12:45pm International Soccer 1 Uzbekistan (WC-Qual)/Iran (WC-Qual) Under 2 -131*

lom bylyri · 06-12-17, 11:18 AM

Originally posted by shocka1212

6/12/17 12:45pm International Soccer 1 Uzbekistan (WC-Qual)/Iran (WC-Qual) Under 2 -131*

I like that one too. Iran hasn't conceded in last 7 games and don't score a lot. They need the win though to automatically go to Russia 2018. Get it cuz just went up to -138.

lom bylyri · 06-12-17, 11:22 AM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Yes, Lom. That game vs T/T.

I listed the handicap line. You reference the -0.5 3-way line. I think -415 is a perfectly good play.

I expect the Ticos to win > 85% of time in that game. Last game, they really SHOULD have won, but some a-hole picked up a red-card.

I think they should win also, but at -415 ML is too much to back them on a single play. The Panamanian a-hole should have been expelled as well, but the one that retaliate always gets it ...

shocka1212 · 06-12-17, 11:31 AM

Originally posted by lom bylyri

I like that one too. Iran hasn't conceded in last 7 games and don't score a lot. They need the win though to automatically go to Russia 2018. Get it cuz just went up to -138.

I bet it before I posted it..... don't fall for the trap in the Latvia match. Actually think that one goes over

lom bylyri · 06-12-17, 11:47 AM

Originally posted by shocka1212

I bet it before I posted it..... don't fall for the trap in the Latvia match. Actually think that one goes over

Friendly between two shity teams. Not worth even thinking about it. Can go either way.

shocka1212 · 06-12-17, 12:12 PM

Originally posted by lom bylyri

Friendly between two shity teams. Not worth even thinking about it. Can go either way.

thought the same way. I don't bet friendlies.. Iran up 1-0... hopefully they just sit back and start wasting time

lom bylyri · 06-12-17, 12:33 PM

Originally posted by shocka1212

thought the same way. I don't bet friendlies.. Iran up 1-0... hopefully they just sit back and start wasting time

Yeah I saw that. Was hoping for a 0-0 first half. Very dangerous. Pray that Uzby don't go all out to tie it and leave spaces behind. Fingers crossed.

ChuckyTheGoat · 06-12-17, 01:06 PM

Lom, you're thinking about it wrong. Value is value. I like the -.5 (-415). Don't shy away from play, just b/c of heavy price.

Good luck on the Asian plays, boys. Dammit, I gotta pull my head out of my ass.

shocka1212 · 06-12-17, 01:32 PM

Originally posted by lom bylyri

Yeah I saw that. Was hoping for a 0-0 first half. Very dangerous. Pray that Uzby don't go all out to tie it and leave spaces behind. Fingers crossed.

unreal..... garbage, thats what I get for not hedging.. the over 1.5 was +400 right before that one.. had that Latvia match all figured out... decided to be conservative and just play the one I had a real good feeling about. garbage 88' goal

shocka1212 · 06-12-17, 03:24 PM

Sampaio Correa MA at Confianca SE - Brazil Serie C - Regular Season
over 2.5 goals is at +121

not a bad match to consider

lom bylyri · 06-12-17, 04:55 PM

Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat

Lom, you're thinking about it wrong. Value is value. I like the -.5 (-415). Don't shy away from play, just b/c of heavy price.

Good luck on the Asian plays, boys. Dammit, I gotta pull my head out of my ass.

I know my man. I have C.Rica in two parlays. I think they will win. But then again nothing is set in stone in this business as you know. God knows I've lost bets close to -1000 favorite. But good luck to us. And

You'll never walk alone !

lom bylyri · 06-12-17, 06:00 PM

Originally posted by shocka1212

Sampaio Correa MA at Confianca SE - Brazil Serie C - Regular Season
over 2.5 goals is at +121

not a bad match to consider

Do you feel real good about this. Cuz I have to be honest, I know shit about Brazil's serie C. And I'm willing to consider anything after that 88' min goal.

ChuckyTheGoat · 06-15-17, 01:50 AM

Got buried in this thread. Will pay off BTJ when I get back next week.

ChuckyTheGoat · 06-21-17, 10:50 PM

BTJ has been paid a $20 pizza coupon.

I just couldn't get momentum going this round. Some bad plays, some bad beats, etc.

Will tally up the damage. I don't want to force any more plays.

ChuckyTheGoat · 06-21-17, 11:23 PM

Got buried pretty hard here:

* ytd: (28 plays) -789...on 2983 Risked.

BeatTheJerk · 06-22-17, 08:42 PM

I tried to pm you & it says your box is full.

ChuckyTheGoat · 06-22-17, 09:05 PM

Cleared it out.

BeatTheJerk · 06-25-17, 08:06 PM

Don't make another challenge regarding myself, thanks in advance.