Zizou's 2014/15 plays

[zizoudane10]

Now that I've got a little more time again to join the discussions I'll start my own thread again to post some plays here and there.

You know how this works: 10 units is my max play (5% of BR), and I am playing 1-10 units. So 1 unit = 0.5% of BR, 3 units = 1.5% of BR and so on. If I post 5/10 units, that doesn't mean that I am playing 0.5 units, it means that I am playing 5 units out of 10 which would be the max play. Most likely we will never see a 10/10 here in this thread, the last 10/10 I played was in April 2012.... My staking (1/10, 2/10, 3/10 and so on) is based on my confidence that this play hits, and the value I see in it. So a lot of value doesn't mean I am placing many units on it. I might see a lot of value in a @30 for example, but I am only playing it with 0.5/10.

Anyways, I hope some of you guys join the discussions and we have a good time in this thread!

EDIT: 1 unit=100€, 10 units=1000€

[swordsandtequila]

[dk70]

yes

[ParlayininHTown]

Looking forward to see what you have in store for us, Zizer.

Best of luck.

[zizoudane10]

Play 1: LIVE Hungary, Cup, Pecsi - Debrecen, (21 Minute) over 0.5 1st half @1.89 (188bet), 2/10

(You guys know I always lose the first pick in a thread, so careful here )

[cashin81]

zizzer cashews is feeling 43, dont worry

[zizoudane10]

zizzer cashews is feeling 43, dont worry

Cashews, this didn't work.
Cashews, whyyyyyy?

[zizoudane10]

Play 2, Chile, Cup, Nublense - Temuco, Nublense -1.5 @2.11 (Pinnacle) 3/10

[zizoudane10]

I'll have a closer look for possible live plays in the HSV - Bayern match. Only fear I have is that Bayern might be cool with a simple win. But if they want to play, it could be a desaster for the HSV.

[zizoudane10]

Damn, goal for Bayern way to early, was hoping for a better line

[addictedto]

Simple calculations - your bankroll is 20 000 Euro.

So you are saying you have not bet more than 1000 since 2012?

[cashin81]

Simple calculations - your bankroll is 20 000 Euro.

So you are saying you have not bet more than 1000 since 2012?

lol Zizzers you have mr "im banned from every book on earth" on your ass.
zizzers i need 3-0

[zizoudane10]

Simple calculations - your bankroll is 20 000 Euro.

So you are saying you have not bet more than 1000 since 2012?

lol Zizzers you have mr "im banned from every book on earth" on your ass.
zizzers i need 3-0

We already had that in the past pal, I posted screens etc. Will not do this again. As far as I am concerned you can believe I play with pennies, I am cool with that.
To summarize: No, I don't always have exactly 20k spread on multiple books, but it usually is around this figure. Most of it, (~10k) is usually on Pinnacle, the rest spread between 8-15 other books (depends on time of the year, which sports are on etc). When I drop a lot (which rarely happens, but of course it does) and I feel I don't have enough money in a certain book, I am cashing some in, when I am up a lot, I cash out. Simple as that.
And yes, I didn't even once bet 10/10 since 13.04.2012, and it was in fact 14,1227 units. ~8 units about 10 hours before the game started, and another ~6 units 2 hours before the start when it was confirmed that the info I had was true. It was a Ligue 2 game in France, Metz - Monaco, I had Monaco pk (AHC +0) and Monaco won 2:0 with goals from Giuly and Salli.
I don't have a) the need to lie on the internet, and b) if anyone doesn't want to believe anything I say, I am 100% cool with it.

[zizoudane10]

Play 1: LIVE Hungary, Cup, Pecsi - Debrecen, (21 Minute) over 0.5 1st half @1.89 (188bet), 2/10

(You guys know I always lose the first pick in a thread, so careful here )

0:0 HT, -2 units

Play 2, Chile, Cup, Nublense - Temuco, Nublense -1.5 @2.11 (Pinnacle) 3/10

3:1 FT with the late goal for the win, +3.33 units

[zizoudane10]

Updated record:

1 win, 1 loss ---> +1.33 units

[zizoudane10]

Play 3, Copa Sudamericana, Atletico Nacional (Col) - Cesar Vallejo (Per), Atletico Nacional -1.5 @2.21 (sbo) 2/10

[zizoudane10]

Play 4 LIVE, Colombia, Copa Postobon, Deportes Tolima - Patriotas FC (22. Minute, 1:0), Tolima -0.5 @1.875 (bet365) 1.5/10

[zizoudane10]

Play 5 LIVE, Bolivia, Bolivar - The Strongest (1:0 HT), over 2.5 @2.02 (sbo) 2/10

[zizoudane10]

Play 6, Mexico, Cup, Tigres UANL - Santos Laguna, over 2.5 @1.92 (Pinnacle) 2.5/10

[zizoudane10]

That's it for today, will check the results in the morning and see how much damage these plays meant for the bankroll and update the record.
Good luck with your bets guys

[zizoudane10]

Play 3, Copa Sudamericana, Atletico Nacional (Col) - Cesar Vallejo (Per), Atletico Nacional -1.5 @2.21 (sbo) 2/10

1:0, well deserved loser, Nacional didn't do enough and can't score for shit... -2 units

Play 4 LIVE, Colombia, Copa Postobon, Deportes Tolima - Patriotas FC (22. Minute, 1:0), Tolima -0.5 @1.875 (bet365) 1.5/10

Unlucky loss, up 2:0 and directly after that they were sleeping for a few seconds and got the 2:1.... -1.5 units

Play 5 LIVE, Bolivia, Bolivar - The Strongest (1:0 HT), over 2.5 @2.02 (sbo) 2/10

4:2, real easy bet, should have gone bigger here. +2.04 units

Play 6, Mexico, Cup, Tigres UANL - Santos Laguna, over 2.5 @1.92 (Pinnacle) 2.5/10

Winner after 1st half and 2:4 FT, +2.3 units

[zizoudane10]

Updated record:

3 win, 3 loss ---> +2.17 units

[zizoudane10]

Play 7 LIVE, Netherlands, Cup, Roda JC - Sparta (2:2), over 1 in extra time @2.09 (188bet) 0.5/10

Just a small try, careful here

[zizoudane10]

A red card never helps for an over...

[zizoudane10]

Nice, we were lucky here, even with the red card! 4:2

[hotelis]

you know im rooting for you! go get em Ziz! gl

[gooner89]

Why did the Tolima bet lose? If you took them at -0.5, then the score is 1.5:1, meaning they still win by half a goal, or am I missing something here?

[zizoudane10]

Play 7 LIVE, Netherlands, Cup, Roda JC - Sparta (2:2), over 1 in extra time @2.09 (188bet) 0.5/10

Just a small try, careful here

4:2 FT, +0.545 units

[zizoudane10]

Updated record:

4 wins, 3 losses ---> +2.715 units

[zizoudane10]

you know im rooting for you! go get em Ziz! gl

I know pal, check in from time to time, love to hear your opinion!

Why did the Tolima bet lose? If you took them at -0.5, then the score is 1.5:1, meaning they still win by half a goal, or am I missing something here?

They were up 1:0. Then I took the AHC -0.5. Asian handicaps always start from 0:0, goals before are useless. So they had to win the rest of the game, again. They scored the 2:0 and the bet would have been one, but conceided directly afterwards so the score was 2:1, but for my bet the score was 1:1, meaning the result for me was 0.5:1.

[gooner89]

I see. In hindsight I should have known it was AHC, especially as I use Bet365 as my main book and never seen a straight up handicap as -0.5. :doh:
Thanks for clearing it up though

[zizoudane10]

I see. In hindsight I should have known it was AHC, especially as I use Bet365 as my main book and never seen a straight up handicap as -0.5. :doh:
Thanks for clearing it up though

No problem man
Normally I write "AHC", forgot it here, but I thought it was clear.
Keep checking in man and share your ideas to some games!

[zizoudane10]

Play 8, Copa Sudamericana, Boca Juniors - Cerro Porteno, Boca Juniors AHC-1 @2.30 (Pinnacle), 1.5/10

Play 9, same game, over 3 @3.85 (marathon) 0.5/10

Play 10 LIVE, USA, New York RB - Sporting Kansas City (0:0, Minute 21), over 2 @1.94 (188bet) 3/10

[zizoudane10]

Play 8, Copa Sudamericana, Boca Juniors - Cerro Porteno, Boca Juniors AHC-1 @2.30 (Pinnacle), 1.5/10

Play 9, same game, over 3 @3.85 (marathon) 0.5/10

1:0 FT, push and loss, -0.5 units

Play 10 LIVE, USA, New York RB - Sporting Kansas City (0:0, Minute 21), over 2 @1.94 (188bet) 3/10

2:1 FT, +2.82 units

[zizoudane10]

Updated record:

5 wins, 4 losses, 1 push ---> +5.035 units