Can someone care to explain me these odds?
Chile vs Ecuador WTF
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mytsunamiSBR Sharp
- 12-10-11
- 281
#1Chile vs Ecuador WTFTags: None -
VaughanySBR Aristocracy
- 03-07-10
- 45563
#2See further down in forum. Both teams only need a point qualifyComment -
VaughanySBR Aristocracy
- 03-07-10
- 45563
#3See further down in forum. Both teams only need a point qualifyComment -
tauraSBR Rookie
- 09-13-12
- 20
#4h2h or goal difference, which one counts first? if it's goal difference then even if uruguay wins and chile/ecuador loses both can advance. anyways ill put some money on ecuador just cause of the juicy oddsComment -
vasilli07SBR MVP
- 05-08-11
- 3955
#5Ecuador has a +5 GD, Chile +3 and Uruguay -1. As long as both teams don't lose by 3 goals or more, they should both still go through even if there is a winner in their game. Uruguay will have to beat Argentina by at least 2 goals to overtake Chile(if they lose by 3 goals) and Ecuador(if they lose by 5 goals). Do I see that happening? Very slim chance.Comment -
andy888888SBR MVP
- 09-27-12
- 1288
#6so is anyone going to play this one or not?Comment -
tauraSBR Rookie
- 09-13-12
- 20
#7thanks vasili..since everyone is betting on the draw i might go against itComment -
andy888888SBR MVP
- 09-27-12
- 1288
#8might just play chile ML, my beloved Arturo to prove everyone wrongComment -
vasilli07SBR MVP
- 05-08-11
- 3955
#9Yes, if playing a side, I will also go with Chile. Ecuador is a horrible away team, winless so far in 7 away games, scoring 4 goals and conceding 11.Comment -
EaglesPhan36SBR Aristocracy
- 12-06-06
- 71662
#10I understand the concept here too that one point guarantees them both to get in ... but I don't think Chile know how to play it safe. Realistically, the chances of Uruguay beating Argentina by a large enough goal differential to overtake either team is fairly remote one would think. Ecuador especially appears in no danger of losing out in that scenario with a +5 goal margin, while Uruguay is -1. Even if Ecuador gets smoked by three goals ... anyone think Uruguay is going to beat Argentina by three to make up that sort of difference?
Chiile is +3, so they would have to get beat by at least two I would think for Uruguay to entertain maybe a really long shot at tying them for goal differential if they can beat Argentina by two. Uruguay though from all reports seem pretty well resigned to being a playoff team and don't seem to mind.
I'm very tempted to try Over 2 goals in the match. Need to see lineups to make sure both coaches are at least on appearances going to field a strong enough side to expect goals. But if it's a mostly normal XI for both ... Chile has only had one match in qualifying not see at least two goals.
If anyone has a link to lineups ... post away for the curious.Comment -
VaughanySBR Aristocracy
- 03-07-10
- 45563
#13Expected Chile lineup:
Bravo; Isla, Medel, González y Mena; DÃaz, Vidal y Aránguiz; Valdivia, Sánchez y VargasComment -
EaglesPhan36SBR Aristocracy
- 12-06-06
- 71662
#15Well if that Chile lineup is close to what they field ... that doesn't look like a squad that's going to sit around and look for a draw. Tough not to like goals as long as Vargas & Sanchez are in there.Comment -
lucasdawgSBR MVP
- 02-19-13
- 3399
#16going with chile for this, uruaguay game is at the same time so i expect chile to secure a win at home to make sure there position is solid.Comment -
lucasdawgSBR MVP
- 02-19-13
- 3399
#18from 10 attempts, ecuador has never beaten chile in a world cup qualifer at satiago. they are 6-0-0 scoring 19 and conceded 2 in the last 6 home matches. where as ecuador are 1-3-2 scoring 6 and conceding 7 on away in the last 6 matches. chile have won 6 consecutive matches at home i really doubt the fans would accept a draw.Comment -
bigboiiSBR Rookie
- 10-09-13
- 10
#19what about URuguay v Argentina tongiht??.. Will Uruguay be up for the win?? they have there full squad where as Argentina are playing with a depleted one.. no aguero, higuain, di maria etc...Comment -
andy888888SBR MVP
- 09-27-12
- 1288
#20wouldn't be surprised to see a draw with uruguay, i know they are fielding a stronger team but head to head, argentina haven't lost to uruguay in 90 mins for a while nowComment -
lucasdawgSBR MVP
- 02-19-13
- 3399
#21i also took uruaguay in a separate play, i think they should win argentina playin with subsComment -
andy888888SBR MVP
- 09-27-12
- 1288
#22well the lines on a draw in chile look to have moved more into Chile's favourComment -
andy888888SBR MVP
- 09-27-12
- 1288
#23Goaaaaaaaalllllllllll sancheeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeezzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz zzzComment -
andy888888SBR MVP
- 09-27-12
- 1288
#24BANG 2-0!!!! don't do a repeat against colombia on me now please Chile!Comment -
lucasdawgSBR MVP
- 02-19-13
- 3399
#252-1 zzzz lets hope chile can hold itComment -
andy888888SBR MVP
- 09-27-12
- 1288
#26played a small one on the draw just incase.
same with argentina tooComment -
lucasdawgSBR MVP
- 02-19-13
- 3399
#27chile and uruguay pulled thru for me pre dece night thanks for the thread made me put some late playsComment -
VaughanySBR Aristocracy
- 03-07-10
- 45563
#28I imagine a lot got burnt by those draw odds thinking it was fixed, just like Shakhtar/Juve last seasonComment
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