played lok. moskow pk, +1/2 against cska moskow. I wonder how the absence of love will affect cska.
-
Comment -
holy smokes, cska is smoking them 2-0 already.Comment -
Great work Zizou! Especially love your record keeping and transparency.10 corners (no corner after the 50' minute
), +1.3875 units
2:2 FT, +1.68 units
1:2 HT & FT, +2.1 units
1:1 FT, -1.5 units
Alex spot on pal, nice one!
+3.6675 units today, I guess we are happy
Pregame bets: 4 wins - 3 loss - 0 push, +2.0175 units
Live bets: 10 wins - 10 loss - 1 push, +6.0825 units
Comment -
Haha in my book it is pretty cool.
Was away all day yesterday, enjoying sunday in the sun, didn't find time to post, sorry.
Thx my man. I think that's the way everyone should do it. It's just fair. And it isn't much work, too. If one wants to run a thread I think it's only cheap and fair to post a record. It's up to everyone to decide not to do it of coure, but I like possible followers to see how we are rollin' so far.
Yeah, exactly. It was pretty funny, cinema was almost empty, most of the guys probably partying and enjoying the warm weather etc. So we were in this with only about 10 other people. There were 2 muslimas in front of us, with headscarf and everything, and I said to my girl: "Watch out, I guess they won't like this....". And yes, they left the building after about 30 minutes Religion is such a funny thing....
Me and the girl both loved the film. When it ended and we were going back outside, there was another couple directly behind us and she said to him: "Seriously, wtf, I'm never going to the movies with you again. What a fukkin piece of shit was this film?? Are you kidding? Next time I'm the one choosing the movie or nobody. Honestly, that was the worst film I ever saw in my entire life." and so on.
It was pretty hilarious, because me and my girl were looking at each other and said: Well, guess we were the only ones in the room that liked the film.Comment -
Well, had a few nice plays today, wasn't able to post a single one because sbr obviously is not able to get the site up and running. This is the first time in about 18 hours the site is up and running. Great fukking job guys, really good
Comment -
And I thought it was only me with this problem. Wonder what's up.Comment -
One play so far for me only:
Ventspils - Maccabi Haifa, Haifa -1.5 @2.22 (Pinnacle) 1.5/10
Hope I'm home later, if so --> possible livebets incoming.Comment -
just wondering...are u considering any " match fixing" when betting against Latvian teams?
lol
Comment -
YES. Always. Not today though. I expekt this 1st match to be clean (but I expect Maccabi to win with a 2 goal difference nonetheless), but be prepared for next week. Ventspils will go down big time next week. Remember my words.Comment -
Plzen - Kalju should be high scoring too. Kalju played like crap yesterday, hard to say if it was fixed or if they had a bad day - but 0-4 down to Plzen who are dodgy anyway imo, should be goals/pens etc in return leg.
The Khazak side Shakhtar Karangdy (sp) was the biggest fix 3-0 over Korce, on tues............
This is the Kalju game (min 2.15)...
Comment -
Yeah, saw the game. Goal Nr.2 and Nr.4 are quite funny
Gonna def keep an eye on that one live.Comment -
Adding: Botev Plovdiv - VfB Stuttgart, under 2.5 @2.27 (Pinnacle) 1.5/10
and
Estoril - Hapoel Ramat Gan, over 2.5 @1.89 (marathonbet) 2/10
and
Estoril - Hapoel Ramat Gan, over 1.5 1st half @2.63 (bet365) 0.75/10
and
Häcken - Thun, over 2.5 @1.83 (Pinnacle) 1.5/10
and
Swansea - Malmö FF, over 2.5 @1.88 (Pinnacle) 1/10
most likely some livebets (when I'm home by game start).Comment -
I'm on the same overs, only differ on Botev/Stuttgart, went over on that one too. No particular reason, line movement more than anything. Good luck.
Comment -
Let's hope these work out
Stuttgart without Harnik and Gentner, main reason for me to jump on the under. Plovdiv isn't a bad team and are normally capable of playing solid defense. Wanted to take the under 3 first, but the nice odds got me here. Stuttgart doesn't need to go crazy here scoring one after another, they should easily get the job done back at home.
BOL pal!Comment -
penetrating Estoril brings me slightly in the red today.
Staked too much on them obv. Thought would be a good bet though. Game is fast and has its chances as well, but they just can't find the back of the net.
Comment -
just looking at the bet365 stats it appears that Ramat Gan just parked the bus. What are your expectations and potential lines for the next game these two play in Israel?Comment -
0:0 FT, -1.5 units
Game was clean (as expected), Maccabi was way over Ventspils heads even though they didn't even put 100% in it.
Pound every HC you can get in the 2nd game. Honestly.
1:1 FT, +1.905 units
Very very good bet, could have even ended 0:0. Was a snooze fest.
0:0 FT, -2 units
and
0:0 FT, -0.75 units
25 shots, no goals, I can't put them in cause I'm not the one who's on the pitch. Happens.
1:2 FT, +1.245 units
Yep, good.
4:0 Ft, +0.88 units
Very good bet, staked it only with 1 unit though because I wasn't too sure how much value was left there. Should have staked more, but that's easy to say after the game.
-0.22 units today, no problem, happens. Lost 2.75 units on Estoril, which were two dumb bets when you see the result, but that would be too easy. If we could turn the time back a few hours I would still make the same bet. Without Estoril we would be up a nice chunk, now with them we lost lousy 22€, okay.
I posted no live bets because there was really nothing I liked too much. No need to force plays when there are none that are worth playing.
Pregame bets: 7 wins - 6 loss - 0 push, +1.7975 units
Live bets: 10 wins - 10 loss - 1 push, +6.0825 unitsComment -
No expectations as of now. But I will come back to this one!
HC=Handicap (European)
AHC=Asian Handicap
HC-1=AHC-1.5, HC-2=AHC-2.5 and so on.
HC+1=AHC+0.5, HC+2=AHC+1.5 and so on.
Asian Handicaps are explained here: http://www.footballtip.co.uk/asian-h...-explained.php
Let's say we have: Team A vs Team B. Let's assume you take the HC-1 on Team A. Team A wins 1:0 (2:1, 3:2, 4:3 and so on), you lose. Team A wins 2:0 (3:0, 4:0, 3:1, 4:2 and so on), you win. Draw you lose. B wins, you lose.
Now the same thing again with AHC-1: Team A wins 1:0 (2:1, 3:2, 4:3 and so on), you get your cash back. Team A wins 2:0 (3:0, 4:0, 3:1, 4:2 and so on), you win. Draw you lose. B wins, you lose.Comment -
Besiktas v Laci friendly 2mor, Zizou - could be a fun one.
At the moment Appollon Limassol are the ones to look out for, their friendly results so far are so funny but not sure when they play again......Comment -
And in Austria
It's funny how all clubs love to have their training camps in Turkey to fix some games and all the Turkish clubs go to Austria to fix their games over there Every year again. Thx for reminding me, might have missed it 2mor!
Yeah, Appollon did some funny things in the last few games, totally crazy. Have them on my list of suspicious teams for a long time now.
Really looking forward to Ventspils next week.... They are going to make money. For sure. I have a few other games the next week that might get real interesting. Can't wait.
And to all the guys: Don't ruin odds like Maccabi next week with betting on low limit whoreshit books. Wait til the big ones (Pinny etc) come out, after that it's the time to pound them. No need to ruin another marathonbet account f.e. by putting the max on it and ruin the odds on the market later.Comment -
Thanks. I wasn't familiar with the HC, just the AHC.Comment -
what if ventspils doesnt fix that game? i mean they have a chance of qualifying for the next round? but still, im looking for the HC also. cant wait
Comment -
Sorry pal, didn't have time to answer lately. Let's assume Ventspils doesn't fix and really tries hard to reach the next round. Even then I am pretty confident that Maccabi will net a few times. Maccabi was all over Ventspils in the 1st match, and they didn't even try real hard because they knew a 0:0 would be totally okay. They are the far superior team. But of course, if Ventspils doesnt fix it is not as easy as it is with fixing We will see what happens tomorrow, but yeah, I'm confident.
Comment -
Plzen - Kalju should be high scoring too. Kalju played like crap yesterday, hard to say if it was fixed or if they had a bad day - but 0-4 down to Plzen who are dodgy anyway imo, should be goals/pens etc in return leg.
The Khazak side Shakhtar Karangdy (sp) was the biggest fix 3-0 over Korce, on tues............
This is the Kalju game (min 2.15)...
ZIZOU where are you?
Comment -
hahahComment -
Z, haven't been following what you buys were talking about with the Plzen matches...you think fix for the overs or what was your general consensus?Comment -
No real odds movements suggest it wasnt fixed. Plzen are on fire anyway, considering they are scoring 4+ goals in their own league 6-2 seems a reasonable score.... it was always gonna be a training type game. Kalju are run by Russians, (i think,) so you never know....
The first game in Estonia, probably was fixed, look at the last goal above.....
this is the game today - the goal to make it 2-1 was great, i needed it!
Comment -
^720p that shit!Comment -
First of all: Jalgpalliklubi Nõmme Kalju is a well known club when it comes to fixing. The football in Estonia in general is corrupt to the bone. Fixing is the daily standard there, in every league (that you can bet on).
The 1st game might even have been clean. I'm not sure about that one. Plzen is the far better team, no doubt about that. Two goals in the 1st game looked real fishy, but then again, the goalie just isn't very good and some things like those just happen with bad players. Doesn't mean it wasn't fixed, but could very well have been clean.
This match... Well.... Kalju knew for sure that they were out after the 0:4 in the first one. Time to make money. (And I think Plzen was in on this)
Just think about the massive number of bets they have won with just this one game: 1st team to score Kalju. After that, Plzen to win 1st half. Over 1.5 1st half. Over 2.5 1st half. Over 7.5 (@15 btw). Over 4.5 2nd half. Plzen over 5.5 team goals. Kalju over 1.5 team goals. Plzen to win after being behind. Kalju to score in both halfs. Bts. I saw this game. These guys are ruthless. Period. Fenerbahce might be suspended from the European stage for match fixing (which is right and correct and good). But in the end, who gives a fukk? UEFA-Mafia? Naaaah, they don't give a shit. Watch what happens in the Qualifiers each year. And I'm not talking about surprises like Differdange -> clean game, fair game, fair result. Watch what the teams like Skenderbeu, or the Estonian, the Latvian, the Georgian etc etc etc teams are doing there. Each and every year. And you just know it. You can watch live what happens to the lines in the big Asian books in 90% of the time with these matches. These are not accusations or anything, it's a fact that these teams are making a killing, every year again. They don't give a shit about the sport. And the fukking UEFA and their Mafia-Boss Platini (He learned from the even bigger guy Sepp Blatter who learned it all from the German Adidas Boss btw) just sit and watch. It's disgusting (not from a punters point of view, but from a guy who loves sports point of view. And even as a punter you are sometimes pissed when you made a well thought pregame bet and you suddenly see what happens to the odds live and you know: Yep ok, it's gone cause they do it again. Even punting would be a lot easier for us often if we didn't have to take possible fixes in EVERY league on earth into our thoughts).Comment -
Just for your guys interest:
Watch out if the book from Thomas Kistner "FIFA-Mafia" is available in English yet! If it is: Buy it, and read it. And this isn't some conspiracy nut shit. This is fukking real.
Also look for the book from Jürgen Roth - "Unfair Play"
And of course everyone knows Declan Hill.
Buy all of these books if you are seriously interested in soccer. Honestly.Comment
