Everyone wants to rant and rave about fixed matches on here, but they missed this one

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  • AussiePunter123
    SBR MVP
    • 12-29-13
    • 1473

    #1436
    Originally posted by AussiePunter123
    Some odd prices in Cortulua v America De Cali.

    Away team last won head to head, away from home, in 2010. In fact, they have won only 1 away game between the 2 clubs in about 12 games.

    Yet, they are clear favourites at 2.00 (1x2) and 1.50 (DNB). Conversely, the home team started at 2.60 odd (1x) but keep blowing out into the mid 3.00 area.

    NO official play or lean. Just a heads up to see how this one pans out, for the learning experience.
    Away team won. Surprise, surprise. lol
    Comment
    • AussiePunter123
      SBR MVP
      • 12-29-13
      • 1473

      #1437
      For those interested, a lot of money for Hansa Rostock U19 in Germany. (DNB 1.60 Bet 365)

      No official play, just a heads up to those interested.

      BOL and sex to all.
      Comment
      • Alex41
        Restricted User
        • 03-25-14
        • 1

        #1438
        Hi Aussie, how do you see the price volume on bet365?
        Comment
        • AussiePunter123
          SBR MVP
          • 12-29-13
          • 1473

          #1439
          I dont see price volume, i am just going by the drop in odds suggesting that heaps of people are hammering the line.
          Comment
          • shhplit
            SBR High Roller
            • 04-04-10
            • 102

            #1440
            Originally posted by AussiePunter123
            I dont see price volume, i am just going by the drop in odds suggesting that heaps of people are hammering the line.
            how can you say this when it could be injuries or something of the sort?

            you said earlier that a lot of money was coming in on them....a drop in odds doesnt suggest lots of people are hammering the line always i thought?
            Comment
            • Unsteeled101
              SBR Sharp
              • 10-05-12
              • 395

              #1441
              El Minya - Petrojet Odds for away team is dropping. Just sharing
              Comment
              • TheSportsAnalyst
                SBR MVP
                • 09-12-11
                • 1156

                #1442
                'Morning everyone.

                Why we're having a 41% drop on Handball team Austria U20?
                NO FIX HERE.

                It's just some good tipster which spotted out a probably weak line (and I totally agree).
                No reason to consider Krems such a big favourite here.
                Coral still have Austria at 11.00 which is huge, while you can have a safer +4.5 @1.95 handicap pretty much everywhere.
                They've lost only by 5 against Bregenz and by 2 against table leader Alpha recently, both definitely better teams than Krems.

                Cheers.
                Comment
                • addictedto
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-03-08
                  • 1935

                  #1443
                  Originally posted by TheSportsAnalyst
                  'Morning everyone.

                  Why we're having a 41% drop on Handball team Austria U20?
                  NO FIX HERE.

                  It's just some good tipster which spotted out a probably weak line (and I totally agree).
                  No reason to consider Krems such a big favourite here.
                  Coral still have Austria at 11.00 which is huge, while you can have a safer +4.5 @1.95 handicap pretty much everywhere.
                  They've lost only by 5 against Bregenz and by 2 against table leader Alpha recently, both definitely better teams than Krems.

                  Cheers.
                  I spotted this game as well being on the top of the list in OP. Staying away though cause handball is not my sport at all.
                  Comment
                  • JackyLePaysan
                    SBR Hustler
                    • 03-02-14
                    • 69

                    #1444
                    In Cricket, in the ICC World Twenty20,Bangladesh - West Indies.
                    Betting on: West Indies
                    Total matched on this event: €758,128
                    Betting summary - Volume: €719,610
                    Last price matched: 1.38
                    Does anyone have an explanation ? I checked other games of the same competition and the amounts matched are really really lower than on this one !
                    Comment
                    • TheSportsAnalyst
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-12-11
                      • 1156

                      #1445
                      West Indies is a very popular and strong team and the biggest % of the money is on them to win @1.35
                      Plus I cannot see where did u found another ICC World Twenty20 match scheduled for today in order to make a proper comparison!

                      Pretty likely outcome but definitely nothing strange.
                      Comment
                      • tipsadontlikehim
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-14-13
                        • 2569

                        #1446
                        nice find but don't know anything about cricket the amount of money is huge though

                        are you from france ?
                        Comment
                        • tipsadontlikehim
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-14-13
                          • 2569

                          #1447
                          oh well thanks TSA
                          mate, do you think it's still worth it playing this team at 1.35 ? i like sometimes playing this kind of odds when the final result is very likely to be a winner
                          Comment
                          • JackyLePaysan
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 03-02-14
                            • 69

                            #1448
                            Yes I am.
                            It's just that I find it strange that the odd is still at 1.38 even though 94% of the bets are placed on West Indies.
                            Comment
                            • TheSportsAnalyst
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-12-11
                              • 1156

                              #1449
                              The amount is pretty big because:
                              1. Cricket is one of the most popular sports in UK, Betfair biggest market
                              2. Twenty20 is the one of the biggest events in cricket
                              3. Cricket is a very good market for traders
                              4. WestIndies, as I said, is a very popular team and they're few classes above Bangladesh.

                              If it's worth at 1.35?
                              IMO Yes, but I'm a WI fan so don't take my advice in this case.
                              Comment
                              • tipsadontlikehim
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-14-13
                                • 2569

                                #1450
                                Originally posted by TheSportsAnalyst
                                The amount is pretty big because:
                                1. Cricket is one of the most popular sports in UK, Betfair biggest market
                                2. Twenty20 is the one of the biggest events in cricket
                                3. Cricket is a very good market for traders
                                4. WestIndies, as I said, is a very popular team and they're few classes above Bangladesh.

                                If it's worth at 1.35?
                                IMO Yes, but I'm a WI fan so don't take my advice in this case.
                                ok thanx

                                bienvenue Jacky
                                Comment
                                • JackyLePaysan
                                  SBR Hustler
                                  • 03-02-14
                                  • 69

                                  #1451
                                  Kelantan - Johor FC : line is dropping hard on Johor FC !
                                  Went from 3.00 to 2.40 in less than an hour !
                                  Game is starting in about an 1 1/2 hour !
                                  Comment
                                  • tipsadontlikehim
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-14-13
                                    • 2569

                                    #1452
                                    thanks will have a look
                                    Comment
                                    • TheSportsAnalyst
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-12-11
                                      • 1156

                                      #1453
                                      Originally posted by TheSportsAnalyst
                                      The amount is pretty big because:
                                      1. Cricket is one of the most popular sports in UK, Betfair biggest market
                                      2. Twenty20 is the one of the biggest events in cricket
                                      3. Cricket is a very good market for traders
                                      4. WestIndies, as I said, is a very popular team and they're few classes above Bangladesh.

                                      If it's worth at 1.35?
                                      IMO Yes, but I'm a WI fan so don't take my advice in this case.
                                      Forgot to add that I think 1.35 is valuable because to me it's pretty much impossible Bangladesh will beat West Indies.
                                      The only reason why odds are 1.35 and not 1.20 or lower is because WI lost by 1 against India in the opener.
                                      Market overreaction imo.
                                      If West Indies will los today their Twenty20 is already over after only 2 matches.
                                      Comment
                                      • tipsadontlikehim
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-14-13
                                        • 2569

                                        #1454
                                        thanx TSA
                                        Comment
                                        • TheSportsAnalyst
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-12-11
                                          • 1156

                                          #1455
                                          Originally posted by JackyLePaysan
                                          Kelantan - Johor FC : line is dropping hard on Johor FC !
                                          Went from 3.00 to 2.40 in less than an hour !
                                          Game is starting in about an 1 1/2 hour !
                                          Good look Jacky!

                                          I think this have to be followed closely.

                                          3.10 on Paddy and Malaysian leagues are not so clear afterall...
                                          Comment
                                          • tipsadontlikehim
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-14-13
                                            • 2569

                                            #1456
                                            but nothing wrong on betfair...
                                            Comment
                                            • TheSportsAnalyst
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-12-11
                                              • 1156

                                              #1457
                                              In this case to me it's definitely more relevant that the only asian bookie which listed the game already removed it from the list.
                                              Opened at 2.65 and closed at 2.25 before blackout.

                                              It's a 15% drop on a high limit operator in a very suspicious league followed by a removal from the book. Worth a look imo.
                                              Comment
                                              • TheSportsAnalyst
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-12-11
                                                • 1156

                                                #1458
                                                I'm talking about the 1X2 option of course.
                                                Comment
                                                • addictedto
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-03-08
                                                  • 1935

                                                  #1459
                                                  Histon - Gloucester - Away win @2.00 (this one is dropping all the way from 2.30 - 2.40). The asian bookies moved the asian handicap too.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Unsteeled101
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 10-05-12
                                                    • 395

                                                    #1460
                                                    Originally posted by addictedto
                                                    Histon - Gloucester - Away win @2.00 (this one is dropping all the way from 2.30 - 2.40). The asian bookies moved the asian handicap too.
                                                    just bet mine @1.89
                                                    Comment
                                                    • addictedto
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 07-03-08
                                                      • 1935

                                                      #1461
                                                      Johor game just started, 5th minute, let's see what happens there.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • tipsadontlikehim
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-14-13
                                                        • 2569

                                                        #1462
                                                        Originally posted by addictedto
                                                        Johor game just started, 5th minute, let's see what happens there.
                                                        Johor behind 1-0 so far and odds look normal to me
                                                        1.50 - 4.00 - 6.00
                                                        Comment
                                                        • addictedto
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-03-08
                                                          • 1935

                                                          #1463
                                                          Look at Turkey U17 -Norway U17 Home Win @1.83 - this is some real shit LOL
                                                          Comment
                                                          • addictedto
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-03-08
                                                            • 1935

                                                            #1464
                                                            Oops odds @ Paddy just went from 1.83 to 1.72, so had to take it @ 1.72 Damn it
                                                            Comment
                                                            • addictedto
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 07-03-08
                                                              • 1935

                                                              #1465
                                                              Originally posted by tipsadontlikehim
                                                              Johor behind 1-0 so far and odds look normal to me
                                                              1.50 - 4.00 - 6.00
                                                              Johor scored
                                                              1-1
                                                              Comment
                                                              • SarahPalin
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-26-13
                                                                • 1489

                                                                #1466
                                                                • Total matched on this event:$3,929,879
                                                                • Betting summary - Volume:$3,734,217

                                                                  that much on cricket really though?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TheSportsAnalyst
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-12-11
                                                                  • 1156

                                                                  #1467
                                                                  It's Betfair and it's in-play, more than normal...
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SarahPalin
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-26-13
                                                                    • 1489

                                                                    #1468
                                                                    Turkey U17 -Norway U17 Home Win @1.83 prob going to play this why you think though?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TheSportsAnalyst
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-12-11
                                                                      • 1156

                                                                      #1469
                                                                      LOL West Indies already 11 runs with no elimination.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • addictedto
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 07-03-08
                                                                        • 1935

                                                                        #1470
                                                                        80th minute in play in Hong Kong - South China - Pegasus 2:2
                                                                        Not normal that the draw is priced @1.80 so late in the game.


                                                                        Match Odds- Matched:EUR 123,841




                                                                        I mean I definitely expect another goal here.
                                                                        Comment
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