KATCHASE's Soccer Unders Project

KATCHASE · 05-17-13, 10:36 AM

Brutal game. Damn

KATCHASE · 05-17-13, 10:41 AM

- Adding Ruch game

Friday, May 17:

RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
AMKAR VS. FK ROSTOV - Under 2.5 @ 1.67 (2.99 units to win 2 units)

POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
RUCH VS. POGON Szczecin - Under 2.5 @ 1.8 (2.5 units to win 2 units)

KATCHASE · 05-17-13, 11:36 PM

A sad state of affairs today going 0-2 (-5.49 units). I believe this puts me in the hole with both my 1 and 2 unit Standard plays now. This is quite disappointing given my model's positive pre-posing and early posting results. I guess I'll keep going for the time being, (partly in hopes that things will turn around), but mostly for the purpose of keeping myself disciplined collecting data for the drawing board.

KATCHASE · 05-17-13, 11:47 PM

Friday Results:

Standard Plays: 0-0-2 (-5.49 units)
Under 3.5 Goal Plays: 0-0 (0 units)

Originally posted by KATCHASE

Friday, May 17:

RUSSIA PREMIER LEAGUE
AMKAR VS. FK ROSTOV - Under 2.5 @ 1.67 (2.99 units to win 2 units)

POLAND EKSTRAKLASA
RUCH VS. POGON Szczecin - Under 2.5 @ 1.8 (2.5 units to win 2 units)

Record (Standard Plays): 27-0-26 (-6.89 units)
1 Unit Plays: 12-0-14 (-5.46 units)
2 Unit Plays: 15-0-12 (-1.43 units)

Record (Under 3.5 Goal Plays): 12-1 (+9 units)
1 Unit Plays: 11-1 (+8 units)
Parlays: 1-0 (+1 unit)

KATCHASE · 05-18-13, 09:38 AM

Saturday, May 17:

BELARUS VYSSHAYA LIGA
NAFTAN VS. FC MINSK - Under 3.5 @ 1.15 (5.56 units to win 1 unit)

EGYPT PREMIER LEAGUE
BANI SWEIF VS. EL GOUNAH - Under 3.5 @ 1.12 (8.33 units to win 1 unit)

KATCHASE · 05-18-13, 05:33 PM

Saturday Results:

Standard Plays: 0-0-0 (0 units)
Under 3.5 Goal Plays: 2-0 (+2 units)

Originally posted by KATCHASE

Saturday, May 17:

BELARUS VYSSHAYA LIGA
NAFTAN VS. FC MINSK - Under 3.5 @ 1.15 (5.56 units to win 1 unit)

EGYPT PREMIER LEAGUE
BANI SWEIF VS. EL GOUNAH - Under 3.5 @ 1.12 (8.33 units to win 1 unit)

Record (Standard Plays): 27-0-26 (-6.89 units)
1 Unit Plays: 12-0-14 (-5.46 units)
2 Unit Plays: 15-0-12 (-1.43 units)

Record (Under 3.5 Goal Plays): 14-1 (+11 units)
1 Unit Plays: 13-1 (+10 units)
Parlays: 1-0 (+1 unit)

KATCHASE · 05-19-13, 10:56 AM

Sunday, May 19:

SPAIN SEGUNDA B GROUP 4
SAN ROQUE VS. ECIJA - Under 2.5 @ 1.55 (1.82 units to win 1 unit)

i97g · 05-19-13, 11:15 AM

Originally posted by KATCHASE

Sunday, May 19:

SPAIN SEGUNDA B GROUP 4
SAN ROQUE VS. ECIJA - Under 2.5 @ 1.55 (1.82 units to win 1 unit)

do you have any input on top league matches? Not all sites offer leagues such as Spain B. Thoughts?

stemellor · 05-19-13, 12:39 PM

Originally posted by KATCHASE

Saturday Results:

Standard Plays: 0-0-0 (0 units)
Under 3.5 Goal Plays: 2-0 (+2 units)

Record (Standard Plays): 27-0-26 (-6.89 units)
1 Unit Plays: 12-0-14 (-5.46 units)
2 Unit Plays: 15-0-12 (-1.43 units)

Record (Under 3.5 Goal Plays): 14-1 (+11 units)
1 Unit Plays: 13-1 (+10 units)
Parlays: 1-0 (+1 unit)

Keep knocking them in Kat

KATCHASE · 05-19-13, 04:18 PM

I'm really trying to be as selective and careful as possible with my Under 3.5's. It helps that my first filter is hitting at around 90%, but from there I try to narrow my list down to only a few select plays. It's like a minefield where I'm trying to avoid those hidden bombs. I know they're inevitable, but I've just got to keep building up those units so I can sustain a hit or two every once in a while and still be profitable long term.

Things are looking good right now for my U3.5's, but one of my goals is to rework my U3.5 's model to find a system that is profitable for U2.5's. Betting on games with lower odds is so much less stressful. Gathering data every day is a lot of work, but I think I'm getting closer.

KATCHASE · 05-19-13, 06:14 PM

- Adding All Boys game

Sunday, May 19:

SPAIN SEGUNDA B GROUP 4
SAN ROQUE VS. ECIJA - Under 2.5 @ 1.55 (1.82 units to win 1 unit)

ARGENTINA PRIMERA DIVISION
ALL BOYS VS. SAN LORENZO - Under 2.5 @ 1.5 (2 units to win 1 unit)

ARGENTINA PRIMERA DIVISION
ALL BOYS VS. SAN LORENZO - Under 3.5 @ 1.16 (6.25 units to win 1 unit)

KATCHASE · 05-20-13, 09:29 AM

Monday, May 20:

RUSSIA DIVISION 1
VOLGAR-ASTRAKHAN VS. SIBIR - Under 3.5 @ 1.16 (6.25 units to win 1 unit)

EGYPT PREMIER LEAGUE
SMOUHA VS. MISR ELMAQASAH - Under 3.5 @ 1.14 (7.14 units to win 1 unit)

KATCHASE · 05-20-13, 09:36 AM

Sunday Results:

Standard Plays: 0-0-2 (-3.82 units)
Under 3.5 Goal Plays: 1-0 (+1 units)

Originally posted by KATCHASE

Sunday, May 19:

SPAIN SEGUNDA B GROUP 4
SAN ROQUE VS. ECIJA - Under 2.5 @ 1.55 (1.82 units to win 1 unit)

ARGENTINA PRIMERA DIVISION
ALL BOYS VS. SAN LORENZO - Under 2.5 @ 1.5 (2 units to win 1 unit)

ARGENTINA PRIMERA DIVISION
ALL BOYS VS. SAN LORENZO - Under 3.5 @ 1.16 (6.25 units to win 1 unit)

Record (Standard Plays): 27-0-28 (-10.71 units)
1 Unit Plays: 12-0-16 (-9.28 units)
2 Unit Plays: 15-0-12 (-1.43 units)

Record (Under 3.5 Goal Plays): 15-1 (+12 units)
1 Unit Plays: 14-1 (+11 units)
Parlays: 1-0 (+1 unit)

KATCHASE · 05-20-13, 06:41 PM

Monday Results:

Standard Plays: 0-0-0 (0 units)
Under 3.5 Goal Plays: 2-0 (+2 units)

Originally posted by KATCHASE

Monday, May 20:

RUSSIA DIVISION 1
VOLGAR-ASTRAKHAN VS. SIBIR - Under 3.5 @ 1.16 (6.25 units to win 1 unit)

EGYPT PREMIER LEAGUE
SMOUHA VS. MISR ELMAQASAH - Under 3.5 @ 1.14 (7.14 units to win 1 unit)

Record (Standard Plays): 27-0-28 (-10.71 units)
1 Unit Plays: 12-0-16 (-9.28 units)
2 Unit Plays: 15-0-12 (-1.43 units)

Record (Under 3.5 Goal Plays): 17-1 (+14 units)
1 Unit Plays: 16-1 (+11 units)
Parlays: 1-0 (+1 unit)

stemellor · 05-21-13, 01:23 AM

Nice Kat. Keep up the good work!

KATCHASE · 05-22-13, 09:33 AM

Wednesday, May 22:

BELARUS VYSSHAYA LIGA
FC MINSK VS. SACHTER SOLIGORSK - Under 3.5 @ 1.2 (5 units to win 1 unit)

GREECE FOOTBALL LEAGUE
DRAMAS VS. AEL LARISSA - Under 2.5 @ 1.4 (2.5 units to win 1 unit)

MOROCCO BOTOLA
FUS RABAT VS. KAC KENITRA - Under 2.5 @ 1.4 (2.5 units to win 1 unit)

MOROCCO BOTOLA
FUS RABAT VS. KAC KENITRA - Under 3.5 @ 1.13 (7.69 units to win 1 unit)

KATCHASE · 05-22-13, 01:37 PM

Great day today going 4-0...

Wednesday's Results:

Standard Plays: 2-0-0 (+2 units)
Under 3.5 Goal Plays: 2-0 (+2 units)

Originally posted by KATCHASE

Wednesday, May 22:

BELARUS VYSSHAYA LIGA
FC MINSK VS. SACHTER SOLIGORSK - Under 3.5 @ 1.2 (5 units to win 1 unit)

GREECE FOOTBALL LEAGUE
DRAMAS VS. AEL LARISSA - Under 2.5 @ 1.4 (2.5 units to win 1 unit)

MOROCCO BOTOLA
FUS RABAT VS. KAC KENITRA - Under 2.5 @ 1.4 (2.5 units to win 1 unit)

MOROCCO BOTOLA
FUS RABAT VS. KAC KENITRA - Under 3.5 @ 1.13 (7.69 units to win 1 unit)

Record (Standard Plays): 29-0-28 (-8.71 units)
1 Unit Plays: 14-0-16 (-7.28 units)
2 Unit Plays: 15-0-12 (-1.43 units)

Record (Under 3.5 Goal Plays): 19-1 (+16 units)
1 Unit Plays: 18-1 (+15 units)
Parlays: 1-0 (+1 unit)

atofsu32111 · 05-24-13, 06:45 AM

Misr Lel Makasa vs. Telephonaat Beni Suef under? looks good

KATCHASE · 05-24-13, 09:52 AM

Originally posted by atofsu32111

Misr Lel Makasa vs. Telephonaat Beni Suef under? looks good

Yeah, it looks good...At a quick glance it appears to meet all my criteria.

KATCHASE · 05-24-13, 01:44 PM

Friday, May 24:

MOROCCO BOTOLA
MOGHREB TETOUAN VS. WYDAD CASABLANCA - Under 3.5 @ 1.13 (7.7 units to win 1 unit)

KATCHASE · 05-24-13, 04:17 PM

Originally posted by atofsu32111

Misr Lel Makasa vs. Telephonaat Beni Suef under? looks good

Originally posted by KATCHASE

Yeah, it looks good...At a quick glance it appears to meet all my criteria.

Nice hit here. Wish I could have got this game 'officially' posted, but my Internet kept crashing on me. Oh well, Moghreb hit, so all's good.

KATCHASE · 05-24-13, 05:43 PM

Friday's Results:

Standard Plays: 0-0-0 (0 units)
Under 3.5 Goal Plays: 1-0 (+1 unit)

Originally posted by KATCHASE

Friday, May 24:

MOROCCO BOTOLA
MOGHREB TETOUAN VS. WYDAD CASABLANCA - Under 3.5 @ 1.13 (7.7 units to win 1 unit)

Record (Standard Plays): 29-0-28 (-8.71 units)
1 Unit Plays: 14-0-16 (-7.28 units)
2 Unit Plays: 15-0-12 (-1.43 units)

Record (Under 3.5 Goal Plays): 20-1 (+17 units)
1 Unit Plays: 19-1 (+16 units)
Parlays: 1-0 (+1 unit)

KATCHASE · 05-25-13, 07:29 AM

Saturday, May 25:

RUSSIA DIVISION 1
UFA VS. SPARTAK NALCHIK - Under 2.5 @ 1.57 (1.76 units to win 1 unit)

KATCHASE · 05-25-13, 12:22 PM

- Adding Wydad Fes game

Saturday, May 25:

RUSSIA DIVISION 1
UFA VS. SPARTAK NALCHIK - Under 2.5 @ 1.57 (1.76 units to win 1 unit)

MOROCCO BOTOLA
WYDAD FES VS. FUS RABAT - Under 2.5 @ 1.40 (2.5 units to win 1)

KATCHASE · 05-25-13, 03:23 PM

Saturday Results:

Standard Plays: 2-0-0 (+2 units)
Under 3.5 Goal Plays: 0-0

Originally posted by KATCHASE

Saturday, May 25:

RUSSIA DIVISION 1
UFA VS. SPARTAK NALCHIK - Under 2.5 @ 1.57 (1.76 units to win 1 unit)

MOROCCO BOTOLA
WYDAD FES VS. FUS RABAT - Under 2.5 @ 1.40 (2.5 units to win 1)

Record (Standard Plays): 31-0-28 (-6.71 units)
1 Unit Plays: 16-0-16 (-5.28 units)
2 Unit Plays: 15-0-12 (-1.43 units)

Record (Under 3.5 Goal Plays): 20-1 (+17 units)
1 Unit Plays: 19-1 (+16 units)
Parlays: 1-0 (+1 unit)

KATCHASE · 05-26-13, 06:38 AM

Sunday, May 26:

MOROCCO BOTOLA
MEKNES VS. OLYMPIQUE KHOURIBGA - Under 2.5 @ 1.4 (2.5 units to win 1 unit)

MOROCCO BOTOLA
MEKNES VS. OLYMPIQUE KHOURIBGA - Under 3.5 @ 1.12 (8.34 units to win 1 unit)

stemellor · 05-26-13, 09:30 AM

Awesome run you're on. BoL for today's picks as well.

KATCHASE · 05-28-13, 06:08 AM

Sunday Results:

Standard Plays: 0-0-1 (-2.5 units)
Under 3.5 Goal Plays: 0-1 (-8.34 units)

Originally posted by KATCHASE

Sunday, May 26:

MOROCCO BOTOLA
MEKNES VS. OLYMPIQUE KHOURIBGA - Under 2.5 @ 1.4 (2.5 units to win 1 unit)

MOROCCO BOTOLA
MEKNES VS. OLYMPIQUE KHOURIBGA - Under 3.5 @ 1.12 (8.34 units to win 1 unit)

Record (Standard Plays): 31-0-29 (-9.21 units)
1 Unit Plays: 16-0-17 (-7.78 units)
2 Unit Plays: 15-0-12 (-1.43 units)

Record (Under 3.5 Goal Plays): 20-2 (+8.66 units)
1 Unit Plays: 19-2 (+7.66 units)
Parlays: 1-0 (+1 unit)

KATCHASE · 05-30-13, 01:17 AM

I made a mistake with Sunday's MEKNES VS. OLYMPIQUE KHOURIBGA (Under 3.5) result. The game actually finished at 2-1, making this a a winner!

Here are the revised results for Sunday...

Sunday Results:

Standard Plays: 0-0-1 (-2.5 units)
Under 3.5 Goal Plays: 1-0 (+1 unit)

Originally posted by KATCHASE

Sunday, May 26:

MOROCCO BOTOLA
MEKNES VS. OLYMPIQUE KHOURIBGA - Under 2.5 @ 1.4 (2.5 units to win 1 unit)

MOROCCO BOTOLA
MEKNES VS. OLYMPIQUE KHOURIBGA - Under 3.5 @ 1.12 (8.34 units to win 1 unit)

Record (Standard Plays): 31-0-29 (-9.21 units)
1 Unit Plays: 16-0-17 (-7.78 units)
2 Unit Plays: 15-0-12 (-1.43 units)

Record (Under 3.5 Goal Plays): 21-1 (+18 units)
1 Unit Plays: 20-1 (+17 units)
Parlays: 1-0 (+1 unit)

stemellor · 05-30-13, 03:55 AM

Always nice to wake up and have 10 more units than you thought!

KATCHASE · 05-30-13, 06:51 AM

Thursday May 30:

IRAN DIVISION 1
SARCHESME VS. PAS HAMEDAN - Under 2.5 @ 1.44 (2.27 units to win 1 unit)

KATCHASE · 05-30-13, 08:18 AM

Originally posted by stemellor

Always nice to wake up and have 10 more units than you thought!

Very nice indeed...I was watching the results on Soccer24 and the last goal was either a mistake or disallowed.

KATCHASE · 05-30-13, 08:27 AM

- Adding Naftan game

Thursday May 30:

IRAN DIVISION 1
SARCHESME VS. PAS HAMEDAN - Under 2.5 @ 1.44 (2.27 units to win 1 unit)

BELARUS VYSSHAYA LIGA
NAFTAN VS. BREST - Under 3.5 @ 1.18 (5.56 units to win 1 unit)

KATCHASE · 05-30-13, 01:29 PM

Thursday's Results:

Standard Plays: 1-0-0 (+1 unit)
Under 3.5 Goal Plays: 1-0 (+1 unit)

Originally posted by KATCHASE

Thursday May 30:

IRAN DIVISION 1
SARCHESME VS. PAS HAMEDAN - Under 2.5 @ 1.44 (2.27 units to win 1 unit)

BELARUS VYSSHAYA LIGA
NAFTAN VS. BREST - Under 3.5 @ 1.18 (5.56 units to win 1 unit)

Record (Standard Plays): 32-0-29 (-8.21 units)
1 Unit Plays: 17-0-17 (-6.78 units)
2 Unit Plays: 15-0-12 (-1.43 units)

Record (Under 3.5 Goal Plays): 22-1 (+19 units)
1 Unit Plays: 21-1 (+18 units)
Parlays: 1-0 (+1 unit)

Zeca · 05-31-13, 02:56 AM

Originally posted by KATCHASE

Thursday's Results:

Record (Standard Plays): 32-0-29 (-8.21 units)
1 Unit Plays: 17-0-17 (-6.78 units)
2 Unit Plays: 15-0-12 (-1.43 units)

Record (Under 3.5 Goal Plays): 22-1 (+19 units)
1 Unit Plays: 21-1 (+18 units)
Parlays: 1-0 (+1 unit)

Nice work KATCHASE. I believe you will need a huge sample for the 3,5 unders with this odds, right? Do you have any target sample size in mind for this?