Katchase's Soccer Totals

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • trayman
    SBR Hustler
    • 11-13-12
    • 57

    #246
    Gratz, waiting for today's picks =)
    Comment
    • KATCHASE
      SBR MVP
      • 01-06-10
      • 1755

      #247
      Sorry...I'm a little late posting today.

      Thursday, December 13:

      No qualifying plays today.
      Comment
      • KATCHASE
        SBR MVP
        • 01-06-10
        • 1755

        #248
        Friday, December 14 Plays:

        BELGIUM BELGACOM LEAGUE
        Vise Vs. Sint Niklaas - Over 2.5 @ 1.7 ($100 to win $70)

        MOROCCO BOTOLA
        Wydad Fes Vs. Hoceima - Under 2.5 @ 1.4 ($100 to win $40)

        GL
        Comment
        • Tim Gerry Mander
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 11-14-12
          • 869

          #249
          Thanks Katchase,

          Let's hope it is a profitable weekend!
          Comment
          • 16johnnymac
            SBR MVP
            • 10-27-10
            • 3499

            #250
            i have hoceima under 2 -123 is and vise under 2 1/2 - 3 are these still vible plays ??

            UOTE=KATCHASE;17115656]Friday, December 14 Plays:

            BELGIUM BELGACOM LEAGUE
            Vise Vs. Sint Niklaas - Over 2.5 @ 1.7 ($100 to win $70)

            MOROCCO BOTOLA
            Wydad Fes Vs. Hoceima - Under 2.5 @ 1.4 ($100 to win $40)

            GL[/QUOTE]
            Comment
            • KATCHASE
              SBR MVP
              • 01-06-10
              • 1755

              #251
              Johnny...the Vise game is an OVER play. As far as the Hoceima game at under 2, I think it's worth a try, but it's really up to you.
              Comment
              • trayman
                SBR Hustler
                • 11-13-12
                • 57

                #252
                Playing this over. GL guys
                Comment
                • Tim Gerry Mander
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-14-12
                  • 869

                  #253
                  Hope you played the under Johnny
                  Comment
                  • 16johnnymac
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-27-10
                    • 3499

                    #254
                    I did thank you

                    UOTE=Tim Gerry Mander;17124090]Hope you played the under Johnny[/QUOTE]
                    Comment
                    • KATCHASE
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-06-10
                      • 1755

                      #255
                      Finished up 1-1 on the day. I'm working on Saturday's games now and hoping for a killer day tomorrow.
                      Comment
                      • Tim Gerry Mander
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-14-12
                        • 869

                        #256
                        Greek div 2 multi?
                        Comment
                        • etishere
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 01-24-12
                          • 17

                          #257
                          hah, I think I will just stick to going under for all the Greek FL games, lol

                          8 out of 8 under in that league the other day? that was amazing!
                          Comment
                          • 23Edler_Salo6
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 02-08-12
                            • 200

                            #258
                            I multied the three games.. U2.5 except for Panionios v. O is U3.5 for -333, because Greece
                            Comment
                            • KATCHASE
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-06-10
                              • 1755

                              #259
                              Saturday, December 15 Plays:

                              SCOTLAND DIVISION 2
                              Forfar Athletic Vs. Arbroath - Over 2.5 @ 1.5 ($100 to win $50)

                              GERMANY OBERLIGA MITTELRHEIN
                              Alfter Vs. Bruhl - Over 2.5 @ 1.65 ($100 to win $65)

                              SCOTLAND DIVISION 2
                              Queen's Park Vs. Elgin City - Over 2.5 @ 1.55 ($100 to win $55)

                              TURKEY SUPERLIGA
                              Genclerbirligi Vs. Besiktas - Over 2.5 @ 1.65 ($100 to win $65)

                              UNITED ARAB EMIRATES UAE LEAGUE
                              Alwahada Vs. Al Jazira - Over 2.5 @ 1.45 ($100 to win $45)

                              WALES PREMIER
                              Newtown Vs. Afan Lida - Over 2.5 @ 1.36 ($100 to win $36)

                              ENGLAND BLUE SQUARE NORTH
                              Boston Vs. Droylsden - Over 2.5 @ 1.36 ($100 to win $36)

                              MOROCCO BOTOLA
                              Raja Beni Mellal Vs. Difaa El Jadidi - UNDER 2.5 @ 1.45 ($100 to win $45)
                              Comment
                              • KATCHASE
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-06-10
                                • 1755

                                #260
                                Adding...

                                MOROCCO BOTOLA
                                KAC Kenitra Vs. Berkane - UNDER 2.5​ @ 1.45 ($100 to win $45)
                                Comment
                                • Tim Gerry Mander
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-14-12
                                  • 869

                                  #261
                                  Lots of plays
                                  Comment
                                  • KATCHASE
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-06-10
                                    • 1755

                                    #262
                                    Originally posted by Tim Gerry Mander
                                    Lots of plays
                                    Yeah, when it rains it pours. It'll be an exciting day for sure.
                                    Comment
                                    • Tim Gerry Mander
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 11-14-12
                                      • 869

                                      #263
                                      What a disaster
                                      Comment
                                      • KATCHASE
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-06-10
                                        • 1755

                                        #264
                                        Originally posted by Tim Gerry Mander
                                        What a disaster
                                        Totally and utterly. At 2-7 it's by far a total disaster... I could have made my picks by throwing darts at today's schedule and had better results!!! Every single game that lost today was by one freaking goal! One!! Either ONE short for the overs or ONE too may for the unders! One! One goal!!!

                                        Ok, enough ranting...time to press on and dig myself out of this hole. I might be good fade material for a while, but I still have a lot of faith in the basis of my system and I don't plan on giving up just yet.

                                        (P.S. My thanks goes out to everyone who has accompanied me (both silently and not) along this journey...Your company and support is appreciated.)
                                        Comment
                                        • Boxing Champ
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-11-11
                                          • 3358

                                          #265
                                          With the odds you are playing 1.36 and 1.4 and 1.5
                                          For every game you lose you need to win at least 2, 3 games..
                                          You went 2-7 and lost about $600
                                          If you keep averaging those odds in order to win your money back
                                          you have to win about 15 games in a row...
                                          That is not the way to go....
                                          I can't believe everyone is just blindly following...
                                          I would love to challenge you in a contest...
                                          I'm not hating..
                                          I wish everyone all the luck and hope everyone wins money in the end..
                                          Comment
                                          • Tim Gerry Mander
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 11-14-12
                                            • 869

                                            #266
                                            That's the problem with this system, you need to hit at least 75% winners to break even.

                                            Katchase, hopefully Johnny Mac read them wrong and went the opposite way for a 5-2 cash!

                                            Never mind, Greek Div 2 tonight!
                                            Comment
                                            • KATCHASE
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-06-10
                                              • 1755

                                              #267
                                              Boxing Champ...Thanks for your input. I agree...With the odds I'm playing, I'm walking a very fine line. But as I've stated before, this system is an experiment and this thread is for tracking.

                                              To be clear, my "regular" ($100) plays are variations of my "system" ($200) plays which I am constantly revising, tweaking and back testing. My "system" plays criteria have remained constant but have diminished in quantity as the season as progressed.

                                              With regard to following, I am very conscientious about posting a very clear, concise and accurate record after every day - whether good or bad. I think it's important for everyone to know exactly what kind of results to expect, so I wouldn't call this exactly blind following. Every handicapper has good days and bad days. Today was a bad day. Am I feeling discouraged? Yes. Do I want to give up? Not yet.
                                              Comment
                                              • Boxing Champ
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-11-11
                                                • 3358

                                                #268
                                                Originally posted by KATCHASE
                                                Boxing Champ...Thanks for your input. I agree...With the odds I'm playing, I'm walking a very fine line. But as I've stated before, this system is an experiment and this thread is for tracking.

                                                To be clear, my "regular" ($100) plays are variations of my "system" ($200) plays which I am constantly revising, tweaking and back testing. My "system" plays criteria have remained constant but have diminished in quantity as the season as progressed.

                                                With regard to following, I am very conscientious about posting a very clear, concise and accurate record after every day - whether good or bad. I think it's important for everyone to know exactly what kind of results to expect, so I wouldn't call this exactly blind following. Every handicapper has good days and bad days. Today was a bad day. Am I feeling discouraged? Yes. Do I want to give up? Not yet.
                                                I wish you all the luck my friend..
                                                Everyone had those days at one time or another, days like this kill your bankroll, because you can't help but chase and no matter what game you play, you always lose. The trick is to stop for couple of days or more or you will lose in one day..everything you won in the past week or even a month.
                                                You have to accept a temporary defeat, retreat and wait for another day..
                                                Comment
                                                • KATCHASE
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-06-10
                                                  • 1755

                                                  #269
                                                  Record To Date:
                                                  63-36 (63.6%) -$417
                                                  (All Posted Plays)
                                                  16-7 (69.6%) -$150
                                                  (System Plays)
                                                  2-7, -$528
                                                  (Last day: Sat, Dec 15/12)


                                                  Saturday, December 15 Results:SCOTLAND DIVISION 2
                                                  Forfar Athletic Vs. Arbroath - Over 2.5 @ 1.5 ($100 to win $50)...LOSE
                                                  GERMANY OBERLIGA MITTELRHEIN
                                                  Alfter Vs. Bruhl - Over 2.5 @ 1.65 ($100 to win $65)...LOSE
                                                  SCOTLAND DIVISION 2
                                                  Queen's Park Vs. Elgin City - Over 2.5 @ 1.55 ($100 to win $55)...LOSE
                                                  TURKEY SUPERLIGA
                                                  Genclerbirligi Vs. Besiktas - Over 2.5 @ 1.65 ($100 to win $65)...LOSE
                                                  UNITED ARAB EMIRATES UAE LEAGUE
                                                  Alwahada Vs. Al Jazira - Over 2.5 @ 1.45 ($100 to win $45)...LOSE
                                                  WALES PREMIER
                                                  Newtown Vs. Afan Lida - Over 2.5 @ 1.36 ($100 to win $36)...WIN
                                                  ENGLAND BLUE SQUARE NORTH
                                                  Boston Vs. Droylsden - Over 2.5 @ 1.36 ($100 to win $36)...WIN
                                                  MOROCCO BOTOLA
                                                  Raja Beni Mellal Vs. Difaa El Jadidi - UNDER 2.5 @ 1.45 ($100 to win $45)...LOSE
                                                  MOROCCO BOTOLA
                                                  KAC Kenitra Vs. Berkane - UNDER 2.5​ @ 1.45 ($100 to win $45)...LOSE
                                                  Comment
                                                  • KATCHASE
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-06-10
                                                    • 1755

                                                    #270
                                                    Sunday, December 16 Plays:

                                                    SPAIN PRIMERA DIVISION
                                                    Valencia Vs. Rayo Vallecano - Over 2.5 @ 1.65 ($200 to win $130)

                                                    BOLIVIA LIGA DE FUTBOL PROF: APERTURA
                                                    The Strongest Vs. Bolivar - Over 2.5 @ 1.55 ($100 to win $55)

                                                    GHANA PREMIER LEAGUE
                                                    Berekum Arsenal Vs. King Faisal - Under 2.5 @ 1.4 ($100 to win $40)

                                                    GREECE FOOTBALL LEAGUE
                                                    Kavala Vs. Dramas - Under 2.5 @ 1.42 ($100 to win $42)

                                                    SPAIN SECUNDA DIVISION B - GROUP 4
                                                    Cadiz Vs. Jaen - Under 2.5 @ 1.57 ($100 to win $57)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Tim Gerry Mander
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-14-12
                                                      • 869

                                                      #271
                                                      Just multied all 10 games in the Greek Div 2 UNDER 2.5 goals.

                                                      Good luck to all.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • KATCHASE
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-06-10
                                                        • 1755

                                                        #272
                                                        Ok, now two disaster days in a row means it's time to take a break from my totals for now.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Tim Gerry Mander
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 11-14-12
                                                          • 869

                                                          #273
                                                          Unlucky Katchase.

                                                          Started off well, but 2 bad days destroyed it!

                                                          2-7 Sat
                                                          1-4 Sun

                                                          How about the goal flood in Greece yesterday?

                                                          Keep working the model
                                                          Comment
                                                          • KATCHASE
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-06-10
                                                            • 1755

                                                            #274
                                                            Ok, I'm changing things up a bit. I will be posting for tracking purposes ONLY and don't recommend tailing any of these plays since I won't be betting any of these games myself just yet.

                                                            Thursday, December 20:

                                                            SPAIN PRIMERA DIVISION
                                                            ESPANYOL VS. DEP. LA CORUNA - UNDER 3.5 @ 1.33 (1 unit to win 0.33 units)

                                                            GREECE: GREEK CUP
                                                            PIERIKOS VS. LEVADIAKOS - OVER 2.5 @ 2.15 (1 unit to win 1.15 units)

                                                            NETHERLANDS KNVB BEKER
                                                            GRONINGEN VS. AJAX - UNDER 2.5 @ 2.75 (1 unit to win 1.75 units)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • KATCHASE
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-06-10
                                                              • 1755

                                                              #275
                                                              Decent start to the change up going 2-1, +0.48 units.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Tim Gerry Mander
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 11-14-12
                                                                • 869

                                                                #276
                                                                This might be something that interests you:

                                                                Betfred Sports is the wholly owned US subsidiary of Betfred Group, a UK-based bookmaker that owns and operates over 1500 betting shops in the UK.


                                                                All you need to do is pick the games where both teams will score.

                                                                Using your model, would this be something you could help us with?

                                                                Maybe run all the games in the list through your simulator and let us know which ones look like OVERS?

                                                                Betfred Sports is the wholly owned US subsidiary of Betfred Group, a UK-based bookmaker that owns and operates over 1500 betting shops in the UK.


                                                                Check the side menu for "goals galore" - there are 3 different match lists, you get paid a fixed odds depending on the number of games you select.

                                                                If you can help us with, it would be much appreciated.

                                                                Thanks Katchase.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • KATCHASE
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-06-10
                                                                  • 1755

                                                                  #277
                                                                  Sounds interesting. I'll look into it.

                                                                  Thanks
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Tim Gerry Mander
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-14-12
                                                                    • 869

                                                                    #278
                                                                    Katchase's Goals Galore
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Tim Gerry Mander
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 11-14-12
                                                                      • 869

                                                                      #279
                                                                      Sorry I'm cluttering your thread, but here are a list of games I like so far for the GG:

                                                                      Southamption v Sunderland
                                                                      Everton v West Ham
                                                                      Leeds v Middlesborough
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • KATCHASE
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-06-10
                                                                        • 1755

                                                                        #280
                                                                        Originally posted by Tim Gerry Mander
                                                                        Sorry I'm cluttering your thread, but here are a list of games I like so far for the GG:

                                                                        Southamption v Sunderland
                                                                        Everton v West Ham
                                                                        Leeds v Middlesborough

                                                                        I'm still considering how I can work my system into this. Right now my plate is pretty full between my sides, re-working my totals and Christmas around the corner. If you want to post your leans for tracking here I don't mind. It would give me a starting point and some data to work with.

                                                                        Comment
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...