10000000 million will die from coranavirus.

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  • Big Bear
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 11-01-11
    • 43253

    #141
    Comment
    • Chi_archie
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-22-08
      • 63165

      #142
      Originally posted by PharaohUB
      Fairlay now has a market that pays 5-1 on your money if you think the regular Flu will kill more people that COVID-19 in year 2020.
      wait, so if bet on on Flu you can get 500 back if you wager 100 and Flu has more deaths from 1-1-20 to 12-31-20?

      is this US deaths or worldwide?

      I ran some numbers yesterday and I believe I figured out if #'s were reliable that Corona is killing more on avg per day now than Flu in a pretty bad season does. (we don't know how bad the next season starting in Sept/Oct for 2020-2021 will be. )

      so its basically just a bet to see if Coronavirus can catch up during the spring and summer months in the western hemisphere and if be more deadly than next Fall's flu strains
      Comment
      • TheLock
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 04-06-08
        • 14427

        #143
        Originally posted by lakerboy
        Actually 100 million sorry

        This post isn’t going to age well.

        Fear mongering at its worst right here.
        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74817

          #144
          Originally posted by TheLock
          This post isn’t going to age well.

          Fear mongering at its worst right here.
          Perhaps it’s time Lakeshow take a timeout from thread starts, quarantine not treating him well.

          Perhaps.
          Comment
          • Big Bear
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 11-01-11
            • 43253

            #145
            Originally posted by KVB
            Perhaps it’s time Lakeshow take a timeout from thread starts, quarantine not treating him well.

            Perhaps.
            he is all over this virus
            Comment
            • PharaohUB
              SBR MVP
              • 01-23-07
              • 4865

              #146
              Originally posted by Chi_archie
              wait, so if bet on on Flu you can get 500 back if you wager 100 and Flu has more deaths from 1-1-20 to 12-31-20?

              is this US deaths or worldwide?

              I ran some numbers yesterday and I believe I figured out if #'s were reliable that Corona is killing more on avg per day now than Flu in a pretty bad season does. (we don't know how bad the next season starting in Sept/Oct for 2020-2021 will be. )

              so its basically just a bet to see if Coronavirus can catch up during the spring and summer months in the western hemisphere and if be more deadly than next Fall's flu strains
              Yes that's correct. I'm not sure who's funding the market but now there is a huge spread now +100/-700. When I posted +400 was available.
              Comment
              • Auto Donk
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 09-03-13
                • 43558

                #147
                gotta have something to bet on, I guess......

                sbr probably regretting giving my innovative, first on the scene "coronavirus death pool" thread the deep six......
                Comment
                • Auto Donk
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 09-03-13
                  • 43558

                  #148
                  good to see big bear still posting.... he's our f'n canary in a coal mine.....

                  if the virus hasn't taken his dainty lil' flaky ass out yet, no way it is a concern to the rest of us here....
                  Comment
                  • stevenash
                    Moderator
                    • 01-17-11
                    • 65450

                    #149
                    Originally posted by Mackballs
                    As long as no dogs die from it I don't give a fukk
                    This
                    Comment
                    • KVB
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 05-29-14
                      • 74817

                      #150
                      There have been about 15,500 deaths worldwide.

                      If we get 15,500 deaths everyday for 6,451 days, or about 17 and a half years, then maybe...lol.

                      But we won't get nearly that rate of deaths. I don't think we see 100 million deaths in our lifetime.

                      With only about 350,000 cases worldwide, there likely won't even be 100 million infected before the Kung Flu is an afterthought and not reported at all.

                      Comment
                      • konck
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-17-06
                        • 12554

                        #151
                        Idiots with fake number just shut your useless pie holes and go buy toilet paper but shove some of it in your other ass.
                        Worse attempt at attention whoring for gayboy....lakerboy
                        Comment
                        • TheLock
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 04-06-08
                          • 14427

                          #152
                          Is 100,000,000 still the official estimate?
                          Comment
                          • cyclingbettor
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 08-26-15
                            • 497

                            #153
                            Originally posted by KVB
                            There have been about 15,500 deaths worldwide.

                            If we get 15,500 deaths everyday for 6,451 days, or about 17 and a half years, then maybe...lol.

                            But we won't get nearly that rate of deaths. I don't think we see 100 million deaths in our lifetime.

                            With only about 350,000 cases worldwide, there likely won't even be 100 million infected before the Kung Flu is an afterthought and not reported at all.

                            I don't know about 100 million, but you do understand how exponential growth works, right?
                            Comment
                            • TheLock
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 04-06-08
                              • 14427

                              #154
                              Originally posted by cyclingbettor
                              I don't know about 100 million, but you do understand how exponential growth works, right?
                              Yes, since COVID-19 broke out, every person on the Internet is an expert on exponential growth.

                              But KVB and I are responding to the ridiculous claim that 100,000,000 people will die from COVID-19.
                              Comment
                              • juicername
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 10-14-15
                                • 6906

                                #155
                                Well, 100m is reasonable since technically it has the potential to kill an infinite amount of people. It's never going away but will be part of our lives, just like the flu is.
                                Comment
                                • cyclingbettor
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 08-26-15
                                  • 497

                                  #156
                                  Originally posted by TheLock
                                  Yes, since COVID-19 broke out, every person on the Internet is an expert on exponential growth.

                                  But KVB and I are responding to the ridiculous claim that 100,000,000 people will die from COVID-19.
                                  In the absence of doing anything to stop it, what do you suppose a realistic estimate would have been? Not trying to have a gigantic argument about it, just legitimately curious. Sorry if this has all been discussed in another thread already. There's, uh, a few threads on this subject. Feel free to point me towards another post.
                                  Comment
                                  • nyplayer33
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 09-27-06
                                    • 8303

                                    #157
                                    Issue is people are sick.....miss work..ecomomy blows. That being said, one dr in NY has had huge success in treatment.
                                    Comment
                                    • nyplayer33
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 09-27-06
                                      • 8303

                                      #158
                                      Cant have a number to die..too much unknown..treatments etc. How can u predict amount dead if you dont know if Plasma treatment will work..too many variables
                                      Comment
                                      • nyplayer33
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 09-27-06
                                        • 8303

                                        #159
                                        I expect treatment will work within 30 to 60 days
                                        Comment
                                        • TheLock
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 04-06-08
                                          • 14427

                                          #160
                                          Originally posted by juicername
                                          Well, 100m is reasonable since technically it has the potential to kill an infinite amount of people. It's never going away but will be part of our lives, just like the flu is.
                                          Technically, my aunt would be my uncle if she had b a l l s.
                                          Comment
                                          • juicername
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 10-14-15
                                            • 6906

                                            #161
                                            Originally posted by nyplayer33
                                            I expect treatment will work within 30 to 60 days
                                            Yeah ... probably not.

                                            Even if they do find a vaccine that might work, it'll take quite some time before released to the public and then you have to actually produce the vaccine in enough quantities as well.

                                            "Taking a vaccine candidate all the way to regulatory approval typically takes a decade or more, and why President Trump sowed confusion when, at a meeting at the White House on 2 March, he pressed for a vaccine to be ready by the US elections in November – an impossible deadline. “Like most vaccinologists, I don’t think this vaccine will be ready before 18 months,” says Annelies Wilder-Smith, professor of emerging infectious diseases at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine. That’s already extremely fast, and it assumes there will be no hitches."
                                            Comment
                                            • juicername
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 10-14-15
                                              • 6906

                                              #162
                                              Originally posted by TheLock
                                              Technically, my aunt would be my uncle if she had b a l l s.
                                              You think the virus will just magically disappear?
                                              Comment
                                              • TheLock
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 04-06-08
                                                • 14427

                                                #163
                                                Originally posted by juicername
                                                You think the virus will just magically disappear?
                                                No, sir, I do not.

                                                Please provide a timeline for when COVID-19 can “technically kill 100,000,000 people”.
                                                Comment
                                                • juicername
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 10-14-15
                                                  • 6906

                                                  #164
                                                  Originally posted by TheLock
                                                  No, sir, I do not.

                                                  Please provide a timeline for when COVID-19 can “technically kill 100,000,000 people”.
                                                  No idea sir. But we'll get there, which was my smart-ass point
                                                  Comment
                                                  • cyclingbettor
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 08-26-15
                                                    • 497

                                                    #165
                                                    Originally posted by TheLock
                                                    No, sir, I do not.

                                                    Please provide a timeline for when COVID-19 can “technically kill 100,000,000 people”.
                                                    In about 6-8 months, given how fast things are spreading right now. I'm not saying that's what will happen, seeing as we're shutting down half the world to prevent that. But I thought the point of shutting down half the world was to avoid that possibility?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TheLock
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 04-06-08
                                                      • 14427

                                                      #166
                                                      "Case fatality rates have been very confusing," says Dr. Steven Lawrence, an infectious disease expert. Here's why.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cyclingbettor
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 08-26-15
                                                        • 497

                                                        #167
                                                        Fair enough to say that pinpointing the death rate is not an easy thing to do at this stage. Would it be better to state the problem in terms of number of infected people? Because I feel that 200 million infected people in the US over the next 4 months is a major problem anyway, regardless of exactly how many of them die. And my concern goes beyond just the number of deaths - people who need to be intubated or put on ventilators is still a problem, even if they don't die. And, of course, there's the overcrowding issue. So I'm not nearly as obsessed with the death rate calculation that most people seem to be.

                                                        As for the death rate itself, I haven't seen a reason to dismiss the current 1-1.5% estimate anyway. I mean, where is this 0.5% death rate in Germany coming from? If I take today's numbers, there are 351 deaths / 50,871 cases = 0.69%. But that's not how the death rate is being estimated is it? I mean, c'mon. I may not be a medical expert, but I'm pretty sure the death rate from those cases will be quite a bit higher than 0.69%. And in other countries, the death rate is a lot higher than Germany. So when the 1-1.5% number is being estimated, it's not like they're forgetting to account for the number of cases that weren't detected.

                                                        I suppose what I really hope is that we're beyond the "this is stupid, there's no way the numbers could possibly get that large" stage. At this point all we're doing is waiting for the numbers to level off so that things can start getting back to normal.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TheLock
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 04-06-08
                                                          • 14427

                                                          #168
                                                          My prediction is that when all is said and done, the death rate from COVID-19 will be 0.5%

                                                          And yes, the death rate matters.

                                                          Being alive >>>>>>> Being dead.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • packerd_00
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 05-22-13
                                                            • 17804

                                                            #169
                                                            Chinese need to pay big when this is all said and done.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TheLock
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 04-06-08
                                                              • 14427

                                                              #170
                                                              Only 99,968,000 more people have to die from COVID-19 for the 100 million prediction to be correct.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • cyclingbettor
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 08-26-15
                                                                • 497

                                                                #171
                                                                Originally posted by TheLock
                                                                Only 99,968,000 more people have to die from COVID-19 for the 100 million prediction to be correct.
                                                                Lol, well, if enough people are listening to stuff like that, maybe we will take a run at that number. Hopefully most people are taking the lockdown seriously and it can end soon.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cyclingbettor
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 08-26-15
                                                                  • 497

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Originally posted by cyclingbettor
                                                                  I'm not saying that's what will happen, seeing as we're shutting down half the world to prevent that.
                                                                  In case you're not clear about my position on the subject.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Chi_archie
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 07-22-08
                                                                    • 63165

                                                                    #173
                                                                    Originally posted by Hman
                                                                    LB forget the flu

                                                                    Look at the deaths so far for Corona

                                                                    On pace for less than 15,000 in 1 full year.

                                                                    Would be tough to even reach 1 million

                                                                    People are irresponsibly inflating the numbers helping contribution to panic
                                                                    Originally posted by Hman
                                                                    Arch, China already has it under control and shutting down much of their facilities to battle it (allegedly)

                                                                    You don't think us and other countries are capable of the same?
                                                                    less than a month ago
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TheLock
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 04-06-08
                                                                      • 14427

                                                                      #174
                                                                      Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                                      Actually 100 million sorry

                                                                      Thread title “100,000,000 will die from coronavirus”

                                                                      Fear mongering at its best.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • cincinnatikid513
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 11-23-17
                                                                        • 45360

                                                                        #175
                                                                        Originally posted by unde0087
                                                                        Meanwhile Influenza continues to kill 1000X the people across the world yet no one is out cleaning out TP for that. Oh no corona killed 6 people? Lets close the US border and all events while it kills 9 people in the next 3 months. Make sure you buy shit that is marked up 200Xs to save yourself from the bullshit virus that is killing no one but old ass people that already had medical issues.
                                                                        actually young healthy people are dying too
                                                                        Comment
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