Players Talk this shit.
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Living on sponge cake, watching the sun bake...
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do you realize there are surveillance teams watching this place right now?Comment -
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Good stuff Grapes.
KVB's word for the day...DANK!
Now, pick it, pack it, fire it up, come aloooong...
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Birds exacting their revenge from years of being hunted by cats...
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Forget what I would do, WTF is she doing on that door?Comment -
Fidel must be f'd up...Comment -
Its Friday Jmon
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Indy Pacers -1
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how come booya doesn't post in here, cause fairy seaweed?Comment -
Yeah, I read that the first time. I suppose it was her effort to get it just perfect. Of course, I'm not complaining about the extra time, the view was nice.
I’m heading out with the kids for a nice bike ride, it’s Friday and I don’t want to do much work.
But I will offer this for tonight’s game between Miami and Charlotte. Often used numbers, enough to comprise a decent share of the marketplace (a share that the books love to eat up) that are non-predictive go so far as to give Charlotte the win in this game.
Figure these guys and those who bet with them to have Charlotte winning by as many as 6 points in a game around 195 or 196 points.
Sharper forecasts really give Miami the nod and one of the sharper, most dynamic lines I can make give Miami about a 5 point win, a little less as certain market based metrics pull the line down a bit. Sharper lines figure a 198 or 199 point game, a little more than the unsophisticated bettors.
I’m not offering much now as far as who is where and what pressure is where but you can see that the books have a nice split situation on their hands.
Sure, I could say watch out for the one point Charlotte win, or something, but I think it’s best to just say going with my sharpest model, if you re in for the long haul, is always pretty safe and it’s either Miami +2 or to win with better than +115, anything less would be not worth it.
This is because it’s not a bad idea to pass on this game as nothing really indicates the model has to hit. Looking at short term metrics, they too are a bit split and there is no outright reason why Charlotte couldn’t take this game. It’s just the nature of the NBA marketplace, and because of that we can gain valuable information for future opportunities by simply watching this game.
Good Luck whatever your play.
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Oh yeah, I also have St Louis Blues to win at +108 and to come out of the West at +260, bought em a couple of days ago.
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KVB...can you define your terms in laymen...like when you say unsophisticated= general public? I like to learn and consider myself educated, but I have to read your stuff twice for some reason. (probably my own fault- I'm usually three shades of fukked up when I do).Yeah, I read that the first time. I suppose it was her effort to get it just perfect. Of course, I'm not complaining about the extra time, the view was nice.
I’m heading out with the kids for a nice bike ride, it’s Friday and I don’t want to do much work.
But I will offer this for tonight’s game between Miami and Charlotte. Often used numbers, enough to comprise a decent share of the marketplace (a share that the books love to eat up) that are non-predictive go so far as to give Charlotte the win in this game.
Figure these guys and those who bet with them to have Charlotte winning by as many as 6 points in a game around 195 or 196 points.
Sharper forecasts really give Miami the nod and one of the sharper, most dynamic lines I can make give Miami about a 5 point win, a little less as certain market based metrics pull the line down a bit. Sharper lines figure a 198 or 199 point game, a little more than the unsophisticated bettors.
I’m not offering much now as far as who is where and what pressure is where but you can see that the books have a nice split situation on their hands.
Sure, I could say watch out for the one point Charlotte win, or something, but I think it’s best to just say going with my sharpest model, if you re in for the long haul, is always pretty safe and it’s either Miami +2 or to win with better than +115, anything less would be not worth it.
This is because it’s not a bad idea to pass on this game as nothing really indicates the model has to hit. Looking at short term metrics, they too are a bit split and there is no outright reason why Charlotte couldn’t take this game. It’s just the nature of the NBA marketplace, and because of that we can gain valuable information for future opportunities by simply watching this game.
Good Luck whatever your play.
But have to give the famous gif of Fidel; I laugh my fukkin ass off ever time I see it.
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Digs....support your Fly Me that are scared and willing to post in PT. You are one of us now.
That place is scarey
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Fidel...hows Herby jones doing? You talk to him on your golf deal? Say hi for me.Comment
...the prick in rehab. 3rd...slaughtering me too. Starting to wonder, but will always go for it. Love the tag