The Seer's 2012 NCAAF & NFL thread

**The Seer** · 10-13-12, 11:06 PM

Originally posted by briedward

I think I'll be down 20 units today since I placed 8 units on the 2 unit plays. Arkansas bet cancellation wasn't helpful at all.

You should never do that. That's why I try to warn guys. With that many units in play I play smaller units, can't win 10 units every week.

**jihadvillager** · 10-13-12, 11:07 PM

You capped it correctly dead on- that's all that matters in the long run- lsu should have covered too- 4th and 19 you need 2 poss why not kick a fg

**briedward** · 10-13-12, 11:08 PM

5 dimes was a push. I'm not surprised. I won a Russian hockey bet once, and they cancelled it for a push since the team won in overtime in a shoot-out.

**jihadvillager** · 10-13-12, 11:17 PM

We gotta root tenn in guys

**briedward** · 10-13-12, 11:19 PM

I just put 1k -210 for Yankees to win tonight - lol

**briedward** · 10-13-12, 11:22 PM

Originally posted by jihadvillager

We gotta root tenn in guys

I'll be happy with a push - lol

**LawHog** · 10-13-12, 11:22 PM

Seer, out of curiosity, how can your Arkansas bet be graded a win? It seems like the 55-minute rule would make it a cancel.

**Pistol_Peter** · 10-13-12, 11:32 PM

Damn! Did Miss State really have to score a TD at the end with only 14 seconds left?

**moodyt2** · 10-13-12, 11:32 PM

bad day today boys. no breaks at all .

**moodyt2** · 10-13-12, 11:36 PM

New Mexico already up 14-0.

**briedward** · 10-13-12, 11:36 PM

Hawaii is off to a bad start - lol. I can't recall ever betting for Hawaii in the past.

**ninja33** · 10-13-12, 11:37 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

You should never do that. That's why I try to warn guys. With that many units in play I play smaller units, can't win 10 units every week.

I don't push a big bet across often, but I felt really good about that LSU game. 4th and 17 was just a killer.

Originally posted by Pistol_Peter

Damn! Did Miss State really have to score a TD at the end with only 14 seconds left?

Well, they were going to score regardless. I wish they had kicked a FG, I had Tennessee +10 as a teaser. It'll still pay some, but not as much as it could have. That, plus LSU, plus the arkansas no action....rough night. Although, if i get a miracle yankee win I should end up around even. which would be a god damned miracle.

**ninja33** · 10-13-12, 11:44 PM

AND vanderbilt dropped a TD with about 20 seconds left (in addition to some really really odd calls in the red zone that drive). unfortunately it happens, still been a great few weeks.

**The Seer** · 10-13-12, 11:44 PM

Originally posted by LawHog

Seer, out of curiosity, how can your Arkansas bet be graded a win? It seems like the 55-minute rule would make it a cancel.

Don't know but apparently I'm not the only one. If i wake up tomorrow & it's still there then I'll bre happy. SBR might know.

**Vinnie Paz** · 10-13-12, 11:46 PM

Damn
Hawaii might just be the worst fbs team

**curtrambus** · 10-13-12, 11:53 PM

Don't stop bellllliiieeevvviiinnnnn. Hold on to that feeeellliiiin. Hawaii homecoming on the island down 21-0 no problem.

**Pistol_Peter** · 10-13-12, 11:53 PM

La Tech is back in the GAME!

**moodyt2** · 10-13-12, 11:55 PM

why in the world would we bet on Hawaii. just wondering. oh well still alot of game left :/

**rfr3sh** · 10-13-12, 11:56 PM

Seer I got burried today as well , but only lost like 5% of my roll in all still pissed
Seer I will be here to discuss NFL picks tomorrow, I have my eye on Cleveland as of now

**briedward** · 10-14-12, 12:01 AM

I took the under 10.5 runs at -330 live play to hedge my Yankees bet - lol

**The Seer** · 10-14-12, 12:01 AM

Originally posted by rfr3sh

Seer I got burried today as well , but only lost like 5% of my roll in all still pissed
Seer I will be here to discuss NFL picks tomorrow, I have my eye on Cleveland as of now

I don't know If I'd say buried because I'm sitting at 12-11-1, -1.15 with 2 games going but I feel like it was worse, some bad beats.
Some guys may be 11-11-1, -3.15 depending on whether their book paid them for Arky or not. I just confirmed with another person though that BOvado paid the game. Either way I'm still working on NFL and actually feel good about it but alot of the teams I like would be getting the worst of the line movements.

**The Seer** · 10-14-12, 12:02 AM

Originally posted by briedward

I took the under 10.5 runs at -330 live play to hedge my Yankees bet - lol

you are a true risk taker, not me

**briedward** · 10-14-12, 12:03 AM

Yankees are done. I'd be willing to bet that Jeter has an ankle sprain.

Update - its even worse! Ankle fracture!

**briedward** · 10-14-12, 12:06 AM

My favorite NFL bet for tomorrow is to take the under 18.5 first half for MIA/STL

Anyone else like this bet?

**jihadvillager** · 10-14-12, 12:20 AM

People are expecting big wins every day- its a grind no one wins every week- gotta be consistent and keep an even keel

**briedward** · 10-14-12, 12:25 AM

I think I'm the greatest jinxer. I tail Seer more aggressively, and we have a tough night. Yankees get a miraculous bottom of the ninth, tying the game with 4 runs scored. I then place a live bet for the bottom of the 10th inning, detroit already completed their at-bat, and what happens...yankees don't score, later swisher screws up a fly ball and Detroit wins...my jinx is quite powerful.

**tr4sh** · 10-14-12, 12:27 AM

wow, I cant believe they let him run for a TD on 3rd and 25....

**moodyt2** · 10-14-12, 12:28 AM

Well guess we lost another bet. geez what a awful day

**Vinnie Paz** · 10-14-12, 12:30 AM

Bried settle down bro get some rest

My best nfl play is on the dolphins though. Highly doubt rams go into Miami and even muster up anything over 13

**moodyt2** · 10-14-12, 12:31 AM

well nevermind

**jihadvillager** · 10-14-12, 12:31 AM

It's almost break even day- not bad with the way we have been hitting. If you're jumping on after a hot streak you have to be prepared for potential reversion to the mean aka some losses after a hot streak. If you choose to be negative after any day where you don't come out with a big winner you're setting yourself up for failure and depression.

**Pistol_Peter** · 10-14-12, 12:32 AM

Damn! That was a nice TD run by La Tech!

**tr4sh** · 10-14-12, 12:33 AM

hahaha, I think they messed up, they needed to go for 2 to go down by 8 and now they're down by 9, wtf?

**The Seer** · 10-14-12, 12:33 AM

Originally posted by jihadvillager

People are expecting big wins every day- its a grind no one wins every week- gotta be consistent and keep an even keel

alot of debbie downers in here
you would think everyone went 5-15
probably won't lose but a couple of units tops

**The Seer** · 10-14-12, 12:37 AM

Originally posted by Vinnie Paz

Bried settle down bro get some rest

My best nfl play is on the dolphins though. Highly doubt rams go into Miami and even muster up anything over 13

I like it to0

alot of debbie downers in here

you would think everyone went 5-10

probably won't lose but a couple of units tops