The Seer's 2012 NCAAF & NFL thread

**The Seer** · 10-07-12, 12:45 PM

Originally posted by jihadvillager

No complaints at all- I am very grateful for your picks Seer! Just thought i lost my mind or missed a play! Thank you as always and BOL to us today.

No, it was me. I had it scribbled on paper as am games, afternoon, pm and was figuring in my head. When I put them in my notebook I noticed where I went wrong. Glad you keep track also. GL today.

**The Seer** · 10-07-12, 12:47 PM

pm game plays are gonna be Den, sea, jax, tn. I'm just weighing them now & looking for the best numbers.

**Lazyboy311** · 10-07-12, 01:20 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

pm game plays are gonna be Den, sea, jax, tn. I'm just weighing them now & looking for the best numbers.

Why jax? Anything under 7 looks to be a play on Chi to me. Tough, INT-making D (#5 in league) against inexperienced QB w/limited weapons (Robinson out also), a shaky O-line allowing 12 sacks YTD. Yeah Jax is at home, but they've been out scored 54-17 there, allowing 26+ points in 3/4 games. I know it's a square play, but I think the right side

**jihadvillager** · 10-07-12, 01:20 PM

Eyeing any halftime plays seer?

**The Seer** · 10-07-12, 01:26 PM

Originally posted by jihadvillager

Eyeing any halftime plays seer?

not on these early games

**Smoooookeyyyyy** · 10-07-12, 01:57 PM

Seer, I need a good parlay/teaser for the late games. Gimme something bust my bookie with :P

**hurricane1091** · 10-07-12, 02:22 PM

Minnesota & San Fran look to be a good teaser.

**Lazyboy311** · 10-07-12, 02:26 PM

Originally posted by hurricane1091

Minnesota & San Fran look to be a good teaser.

C'mon man...my titans are a lock. CJ.2k is gonna have a season-best 25 carries for 43 yds and a 9.5 score for dancing in the backfield. Yeah...we suck

**The Seer** · 10-07-12, 02:52 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

Sea/Carolina under 42 1/2 -110 1 unit

Afternoon games:
all the dogs
Sea +2 -110 1 unit
Jax +6 1/2 -110 2 units
TN +6 -110 2 units
Buffalo +10 -110 1 unit
Denver +6 -110 1 unit
might add Den/NE under before kickoff

**jihadvillager** · 10-07-12, 03:04 PM

sick call on pitt ML we needed that ML

**jihadvillager** · 10-07-12, 03:08 PM

Seer. my buddy has Pitt ML & NE ML parlayed 1 to win 1.1, he wants to get outta NE now. Woudl you take denver +6 for 1 and hope to shoot gap or would you take the guarantee push/+money with denver Moneyline for .5 unit

**jaeguyoon** · 10-07-12, 03:09 PM

whewww....thank god for the ml pick, put it in one of my open parlay, which still has 1 open slot left. thanks seer!

**The Seer** · 10-07-12, 03:20 PM

Originally posted by jihadvillager

Seer. my buddy has Pitt ML & NE ML parlayed 1 to win 1.1, he wants to get outta NE now. Woudl you take denver +6 for 1 and hope to shoot gap or would you take the guarantee push/+money with denver Moneyline for .5 unit

If I wanted to get out of NE Id probably take Den +6 and hope to middle

**The Seer** · 10-07-12, 03:20 PM

DNV/NE under 51 -110 1 unit

**jihadvillager** · 10-07-12, 03:24 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

If I wanted to get out of NE Id probably take Den +6 and hope to middle

Thanks seer- you're a mad man with that under 51 play. everyone else is on the over. i like it! books would love it too if the under hits. GL to us

**Smoooookeyyyyy** · 10-07-12, 03:32 PM

Pitt ML -180 1 unit - W (Don't know the unit win, but +1)
MIA +3 1/2 -115 1 unit W (Same but +1)
Indy +7 -110 1 unit W (Same but +1)
Clev +8 -110 1 unit L (So -1)
Wash +3 -105 1 unit L (-1)
KC +6 1/2 -110 1 unit W (+1)

4-2 Net gain of 2 units, depending on the juice.

**Smoooookeyyyyy** · 10-07-12, 03:33 PM

Forgot the ATL/Wash Under play, so 5-2, net gain of 3 so far.

**The Seer** · 10-07-12, 03:46 PM

Originally posted by jihadvillager

Thanks seer- you're a mad man with that under 51 play. everyone else is on the over. i like it! books would love it too if the under hits. GL to us

the pace looks good so far

Originally posted by Smoooookeyyyyy

Forgot the ATL/Wash Under play, so 5-2, net gain of 3 so far.

I'm always happy with 5-2, +2.85 units in the NFL but we have a few more to go

**2TrivBicc** · 10-07-12, 03:50 PM

Nice work thus far this weekend...

Keep doing work and BOL

**tusky26** · 10-07-12, 03:59 PM

Seer, you are crazy ON right now! How you do it man?!? I saw all those dawgs today and just couldn't pull the trigger. I am a packer fan by breeding, and a San Diego fan by birth. When I saw the Indy pick I thought you were crazy. I know the Pack ain't what they were, but indy secondary? Really? Rodgers should have destroyed them.

That is why I am the representative of the betting public and you are the master of Quan. Keep it up. I will not think anymore. Trust, Trust, TRUST in the SEER and ye shall be rewarded.

**J_smiff** · 10-07-12, 04:09 PM

Originally posted by tusky26

Seer, you are crazy ON right now! How you do it man?!? I saw all those dawgs today and just couldn't pull the trigger. I am a packer fan by breeding, and a San Diego fan by birth. When I saw the Indy pick I thought you were crazy. I know the Pack ain't what they were, but indy secondary? Really? Rodgers should have destroyed them.

That is why I am the representative of the betting public and you are the master of Quan. Keep it up. I will not think anymore. Trust, Trust, TRUST in the SEER and ye shall be rewarded.

Raji, Finley, and Benson injuries did them in. Seer got lucky on this one but I will ALWAYS take a COLTS WIN!

**The Seer** · 10-07-12, 04:30 PM

Originally posted by J_smiff

Raji, Finley, and Benson injuries did them in. Seer got lucky on this one but I will ALWAYS take a COLTS WIN!

It wasn't really lucky, just logic. GB coming off a battle with the saints going to the wire & now going on the road to play an out of conference game vs a perceived "bad" team; Indy had 2 weeks to prepare and would play as hard as they could after it was anounced their head coach had cancer. I was't sure they would win but it was a better chance than not that they would cover. Math models and such don't factor that type stuff in, you have to adjust.

**J_smiff** · 10-07-12, 04:39 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

It wasn't really lucky, just logic. GB coming off a battle with the saints going to the wire & now going on the road to play an out of conference game vs a perceived "bad" team; Indy had 2 weeks to prepare and would play as hard as they could after it was anounced their head coach had cancer. I was't sure they would win but it was a better chance than not that they would cover. Math models and such don't factor that type stuff in, you have to adjust.

No I get the logic here, but the Pack had 0 pass rush on Luck after Raji went down, and no run game without Benson (Colts biggest weakness on D), and they lose Rodgers' safety blanket in Finley when they were already missing Jennings. All these guys stay healthy it probably ends 35-17 Pack.

Solid win tho man. Playing the over in the night game tonight? Thats what I'm leaning with, maybe the Chargers with the points.

**jihadvillager** · 10-07-12, 04:46 PM

any 2h plays seer? tempting to play dennver 2h but seems like a square play always thinking mannign will come back.

**Smoooookeyyyyy** · 10-07-12, 05:06 PM

I thought about the U in the Den/NE game, but laid off.

**jaeguyoon** · 10-07-12, 06:00 PM

Nice call on the Seattle and the under. Hopefully the other dogs sneak in a back door cover

**Bostongambler** · 10-07-12, 06:01 PM

Looking at Sd tonight. gl

**bballs84** · 10-07-12, 06:06 PM

Disagree Boston.. Payton in the house and Drew going to break Record.. Look for 1st victory tonight

**The Seer** · 10-07-12, 06:09 PM

I'm looking at props mostly on this late game, cant hardly bet against Drew at home in the superdome in this night game while going for a record. The place will be nuts.

**Smoooookeyyyyy** · 10-07-12, 06:16 PM

5-2 Before: (+2.85 units)

DNV/NE under 51 -110 1 unit - L -1 Unit
Sea +2 -110 1 unit - W +1 Unit
Jax +6 1/2 -110 2 units - L -2 Units
TN +6 -110 2 units - L (Won't be 100% sure, but seems to be) -2 units
Buffalo +10 -110 1 unit - L -1 unit
Denver +6 -110 1 unit (Not calculating this one in yet.
Seattle U42 W (I didn't go back and find it, but I think it was a unit)

2-4 in the later part. -4 (I can't calculate juice) So that's up to you :P
5-2 before this post. +2.85

7-6 total (No DNV/NE sides yet)

Think the lines had to bring us down from yesterdays mauling.

**Smoooookeyyyyy** · 10-07-12, 06:19 PM

and Mcgahee might have ruined Peyton's come-back to cover.

**The Seer** · 10-07-12, 07:01 PM

Originally posted by Smoooookeyyyyy

and Mcgahee might have ruined Peyton's come-back to cover.

mcgahee sucking & rg3 injury were killers

**The Seer** · 10-07-12, 07:04 PM

I took these:
sacks over 4 -105 1 unit
Rivers under 282 1/2 -105 1 unit
Mathews over 69 1/2 -115 1 unit
Saints -3 1/2 -110 1 unit

**Smoooookeyyyyy** · 10-07-12, 09:12 PM

Got any play for tomorrow night? I need to double up. Going back to online betting and found $12 left in my account from last year. My bookie is out of commission after this week. Small town, no other bookies. Starting this week, operation turn $12 into $2000 haha.

**jihadvillager** · 10-07-12, 10:58 PM

Originally posted by The Seer

I took these:
sacks over 4 -105 1 unit
Rivers under 282 1/2 -105 1 unit
Mathews over 69 1/2 -115 1 unit
Saints -3 1/2 -110 1 unit

It was looking real dicey early on- but ended up being a 2 unit profit! I'll take it!