CanuckG and No Coincidences plays thread

**CanuckG** · 01-08-12, 03:22 PM

Yeah.....loss. If I knew Michigan has lost 10 straight to Wisky or something I would of passed on this. I like to fade those trends..

**CanuckG** · 01-08-12, 03:23 PM

Originally posted by CanuckG

Wisconsin -2.5 (-108) (1U) 2H vs Michigan

Loss.

12-10 +$344.87

**No coincidences** · 01-08-12, 04:20 PM

PIT/DEN over 34 (1U)

Arkansas State -110 (3U)

I would also tease both sides of the PIT/DEN game with the over, but I don't really feel comfortable going with either side as it is (lean Denver but only because every fave has covered so far).

**I am Happy** · 01-08-12, 05:53 PM

Nice over coin... Got it too

**No coincidences** · 01-08-12, 05:56 PM

Originally posted by I am Happy

Nice over coin... Got it too

So far so good.

I'm sure now that all of my total bets will be 1U or less I'll start hitting like crazy.

Had that ATL/NYG game not followed up the DET/NO under disaster, I would've put at least 5U on it.

**No coincidences** · 01-09-12, 03:23 PM

LSU +7/over 35.5 tease (+100 5Dimes) (2U)
LSU +3 (-120) 1U

I can see this game being in the 20-17 range either way. If it's a trap to take LSU, I'll bite. I think LSU will be looser, and they have the better special teams unit. They're more battle tested with the more experienced quarterback. I'll go small with the points.

I do think it could definitely go over the total as well, but not by much, so I'm not quite comfortable enough taking the actual over number.

**CanuckG** · 01-09-12, 03:59 PM

Looking at San Fran +16.5 but I want to see how the early CBB games play out first before I make a decision.

**No coincidences** · 01-09-12, 04:00 PM

Why not -- I've lost enough in this thread as it is....

LSU/Bama over 40.5 (1U)

Lean Oklahoma, West Virginia and Idaho State in hoops.

**CanuckG** · 01-09-12, 04:04 PM

Idaho State may be a play too. Good Luck No Coin.

**hydrosmak** · 01-09-12, 04:18 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Why not -- I've lost enough in this thread as it is....

LSU/Bama over 40.5 (1U)

Lean Oklahoma, West Virginia and Idaho State in hoops.

I say this breaks the thread jinx and starts you on a run.

**CanuckG** · 01-10-12, 12:07 AM

man that San Fran +16.5 would of been nice if I took it...

**No coincidences** · 01-10-12, 12:11 AM

Fade line movement = get burned.

It's one of the only certainties in my betting career.

I took Oregon on massive line movement alone last year and it went bust. I took LSU tonight because I thought they were the better team and chose to ignore the line....

**ApricotSinner32** · 01-10-12, 12:25 AM

You're letting short samples of results fluster you nocoin.

"I made a play based on a line move and it lost. I made a play against the line move and it lost."

2 game sample. If you think you made the right play and you know what you're doing than thats it. The decision was made before the game. The result does not matter. Getting too emotional.

**ZetaPsi808** · 01-10-12, 12:54 AM

no coin, are you and canuck trying to go tout sometime down the line?

good luck

**No coincidences** · 01-10-12, 10:50 AM

Originally posted by ZetaPsi808

no coin, are you and canuck trying to go tout sometime down the line?

good luck

I can't speak for Canuck (doubt it), but I'll go "tout" when hell freezes over. A) I'm not good enough to sell my picks to anyone, and B) I have no interest in stirring up the gambling gods.

Tuesday (1-10):

Grizzlies +3.5 (2U)
Kings +10 (2U)
Wizards -2 (2U)

**No coincidences** · 01-10-12, 10:52 AM

Originally posted by ApricotSinner32

You're letting short samples of results fluster you nocoin.

"I made a play based on a line move and it lost. I made a play against the line move and it lost."

2 game sample. If you think you made the right play and you know what you're doing than thats it. The decision was made before the game. The result does not matter. Getting too emotional.

Not just these two particular examples Patty.

Every time I fade line movement, my play loses. Some guys are good at picking their spots with faves, overs and public plays. I am not that guy. Never been able to spot the gift -- better at finding the rat.

**No coincidences** · 01-10-12, 10:56 AM

Baylor +3 (2U)
Iowa +14.5 (1U)

**PAULYPOKER** · 01-10-12, 12:55 PM

Coin I told you this before, you are your own worst enemy, you are too indecisive.............

**No coincidences** · 01-10-12, 01:07 PM

Originally posted by PAULYPOKER

Coin I told you this before, you are your own worst enemy, you are too indecisive.............

re: what? Last night's game?

**PAULYPOKER** · 01-10-12, 01:15 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

re: what? Last night's game?

In genaral,I witness you doing this daily,you have the tools to correct this, just go back and read your complete DIARY.............

**CanuckG** · 01-10-12, 04:09 PM

Sac Kings +9.5 (-110) (1U)
Memphis +3.5 (-110) (1U)

**YOUNGBUCK** · 01-10-12, 04:22 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Not just these two particular examples Patty.

Every time I fade line movement, my play loses. Some guys are good at picking their spots with faves, overs and public plays. I am not that guy. Never been able to spot the gift -- better at finding the rat.

Well spoken buddy let's get Wiz and Grizz tonight

**Cougar Bait** · 01-10-12, 06:16 PM

I like Baylor tonight as well, good luck gents.

**No coincidences** · 01-10-12, 06:21 PM

Toledo +5 (1U)

**No coincidences** · 01-10-12, 06:22 PM

Originally posted by Cougar Bait

I like Baylor tonight as well, good luck gents.

Let's get it pal.

**No coincidences** · 01-10-12, 06:27 PM

Penn +5.5 (1U)

**No coincidences** · 01-10-12, 06:53 PM

Cavs +6.5 (1U)

**No coincidences** · 01-10-12, 07:26 PM

Final card:

Grizzlies +3.5 (2U)
Kings +10 (2U)
Wizards -2 (2U)
Cavs +6.5 (1U)

Baylor +3 (2U)
Iowa +14.5 (1U)
Toledo +5 (1U)
Penn +5.5 (1U)

Lean T'Pups, Blazers and Illinois, but no plays there. Also would have taken UNI at +7, but no value left for me at +5.5.

Good luck everyone! Fade away!

**mikea33** · 01-10-12, 08:32 PM

On a lot of the same no coin lets cash em

**No coincidences** · 01-10-12, 08:53 PM

Nice effort by the Kings.

**I am Happy** · 01-10-12, 08:57 PM

yeah, no doubt.

**CanuckG** · 01-10-12, 09:01 PM

Wizards man that one seemed too easy. Need Grizz to step up cause the Kings suck!

**No coincidences** · 01-10-12, 09:05 PM

Originally posted by CanuckG

Wizards man that one seemed too easy. Need Grizz to step up cause the Kings suck!

I was going to go bigger on them, but after Sunday's debacle, no thanks.

**Ace_of_Spades** · 01-10-12, 09:27 PM

Fuk, should taken the Wiz, instead got sucked into a delicious line on the Boobcats and they suck. Thought they were strong at home.

**No coincidences** · 01-10-12, 09:35 PM

Did Iowa cover?

What a horrible pick.