1st 5 Is The Only Way To Play This Year...

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  • saints7011
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-21-09
    • 5544

    #1
    1st 5 Is The Only Way To Play This Year...
    few good bullpens if any...

    blown leads after 5 in just about every game...
  • MichaelWaters
    Restricted User
    • 05-19-11
    • 1525

    #2
    agreed. plus you know you are fked at 830 and not 1015
    Comment
    • jjgold
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 07-20-05
      • 388179

      #3
      So many close games this year
      Almost every team is dead even also
      I wonder how unders are doing in 1st 5 innings
      Comment
      • saints7011
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-21-09
        • 5544

        #4
        Originally posted by jjgold
        So many close games this year
        Almost every team is dead even also
        I wonder how unders are doing in 1st 5 innings
        thanks for saving my dead thread coach...

        its my honor to see you here...

        is the 1st 5 total the same as game total ?

        unders would be the play if they are...
        Comment
        • onetrickpony
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 08-23-10
          • 9434

          #5
          Originally posted by saints7011
          thanks for saving my dead thread coach... its my honor to see you here... is the 1st 5 total the same as game total ? unders would be the play if they are...
          WOW
          Comment
          • saints7011
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 09-21-09
            • 5544

            #6
            , and Im a PRO...
            Comment
            • TheGambler
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 07-16-06
              • 972

              #7
              i agree in that it has been very successful
              Comment
              • Djstucky
                SBR MVP
                • 02-27-11
                • 2993

                #8
                I don't have data at this point but I will look it up. Early in the year I was winning no score in first inning a bunch and under in 1st 5 and several games. If I had to guess I would say playing on the over in the 1st 5 and YES to score in the 1st inning would have been far more profitable in the last couple of weeks. The reason this may be a bit more accurate than a guess is because my bankroll said so. Pitchers always dominate early and then the bats come alive. Of course oddsmakers are all over this and will move lines accordingly but it takes them a bit of time in baseball it seems. I agree totally with saints statement the 1st 5 innings is better than playing the whole game so far this year. I don't know if I have ever seen a year that bullpens were this unreliable.
                Comment
                • Richkas
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-03-08
                  • 19396

                  #9
                  1st 5 Is The Only Way To Play This Year...

                  I used to like betting the UNDER this way but not no more
                  Comment
                  • firehoyt
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-02-10
                    • 3569

                    #10
                    There are way too many games going over these days!!!
                    Comment
                    • MrShrink
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-19-10
                      • 1054

                      #11
                      Originally posted by MichaelWaters
                      agreed. plus you know you are fked at 830 and not 1015
                      Originally posted by Djstucky
                      I don't have data at this point but I will look it up. Early in the year I was winning no score in first inning a bunch and under in 1st 5 and several games. If I had to guess I would say playing on the over in the 1st 5 and YES to score in the 1st inning would have been far more profitable in the last couple of weeks. The reason this may be a bit more accurate than a guess is because my bankroll said so. Pitchers always dominate early and then the bats come alive. Of course oddsmakers are all over this and will move lines accordingly but it takes them a bit of time in baseball it seems. I agree totally with saints statement the 1st 5 innings is better than playing the whole game so far this year. I don't know if I have ever seen a year that bullpens were this unreliable.
                      Also, pitchers (i believe) are lot more likely to modify their style in the offseason (adding pitches to their repertoire, changes in the action on those they already utilize, etc...). Scouting reports eventually catch up to this. The ? is, which pitchers are mentally sharp enough to use this "checked" status to their advantage and make the subsequent proper move in this game of chess. The answer is... not everyone is Greg Maddux... If they're figured out, they're figured. Just cut the cord and watch their numbers balloon... Another factor is the offseason jumbling of rosters. It is always to the advantage of the pitcher to have not been previously faced, whether they are the relocated or not.
                      Comment
                      • MrShrink
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-19-10
                        • 1054

                        #12
                        Oh, yeah... the heat, too. More impactful to a pitcher that exerts himself on every pitch through one half of each inning... Sweaty hands don't help your grip on the ball, either... Maybe they should put knobs on the ends of the balls.
                        Comment
                        • MrShrink
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-19-10
                          • 1054

                          #13
                          oh, and to mwalters....
                          Comment
                          • THEGREAT30
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 10-04-08
                            • 8970

                            #14
                            These posts pop up every year. Not saying they are right or wrong just stated the truth.
                            Comment
                            • kernssca
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 07-31-10
                              • 330

                              #15
                              there is no 1 way, just gotta know the bullpens and the offenses out there bet and be prepared to lose most of the time
                              Comment
                              • DemoralizdDreamr
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-04-11
                                • 4319

                                #16
                                Jut bet on pitchers who can potentially shut out the opposing team for the first 5 innings. if it 0-0 u got a push. If ur team scores, u win. So just look for good pitchers and shitty hitting matchups. Like Roy against the padres.
                                Comment
                                • face
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 01-31-11
                                  • 14740

                                  #17
                                  it's official, i don't know shit about baseball, i tried so hard.
                                  Comment
                                  • DemoralizdDreamr
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-04-11
                                    • 4319

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by face
                                    it's official, i don't know shit about baseball, i tried so hard.
                                    See if u can make some money on NBA tomorrow or NHL. Dont worry bro, we all have losing streaks. Just gotta fight through by losing just the minimal.
                                    Comment
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