OK... Who's got the balls to take the Thunder -4.5 Game 4
I'm thinking this should be a huge play. I see the Thunder winning this game by double digits and the series heading back to Dallas 2-2. Can anyone convince me that the Thunder shouldn't be a huge play?
the_situation
SBR MVP
10-22-10
2735
#2
I would certainly lean that way...but the Mavs are simply the better team, play great on the road and I wouldn't be suprised if they came in and won another one.
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face
SBR Posting Legend
01-31-11
14740
#3
here's my thing, so game two was no defense for mavs right? what happened tonight? solid defense. that means dallas can be COACHED and make smart ADJUSTMENTS. they are the veteran team. Kidd has been to postseason 15 YEARS IN A ROW. thunder is being outcoached and i think this will continue.
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phillybadboy
SBR Hall of Famer
12-11-09
9383
#4
Originally posted by t-wizzle
I'm thinking this should be a huge play. I see the Thunder winning this game by double digits and the series heading back to Dallas 2-2. Can anyone convince me that the Thunder shouldn't be a huge play?
i think u will bet thunder
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t-wizzle
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-18-09
38099
#5
Face, what happened late in the Game? The Thunder finally figured things out and were dominating the game. It wasn't enough because they were down by so many but i see no reason why they shouldn't win Game 4 easily.
Fellas, Game 4 should be a huge play on the Thunder. I'm telling you now, take the Thunder BIG. They will win this game fairly easily and bring the series back to Dallas tied up.
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BigDaddy
SBR Hall of Famer
02-01-06
8378
#6
+4.5 looks nice with dallas
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Sunde91
SBR Hall of Famer
11-26-09
8325
#7
Has to be a no play. Expect OKC to come out better sure, but the refs shouldn't be riding OKC as hard this game. OKC had twice as many throws, Dirk will play better and had ZERO shooting FT attempts. Cuban criticizing refs in game 2 might have affected that. OKC had more FT makes than FG makes.
OKC isn't playing Memphis or the entitled Lakers here, Dallas are beast road warriors with undying resolve that have won 4 road playoff games in a row, with 6-0 ATS this postseason, and 4.5 is a lot of points to lay against them. But then you think OKC is good enough to respond in a must win.
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yisman
SBR Aristocracy
09-01-08
75682
#8
What the heck? That line is very odd.
[quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
[/quote]
[quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
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CanuckG
SBR Posting Legend
12-23-10
21978
#9
OKC can't shoot that bad from beyond the arc like tonight and the refs will help being on OKC's side.
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jcubs55
SBR MVP
04-18-10
1023
#10
The line's usually won't change much throughout a series unless there is an injury or something... no more than 1-2 points at the most, with the latter being rare itself
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BigDofBA
SBR Posting Legend
09-30-09
19313
#11
I said before the series started OKC would split the first two games in Dallas and then win game 4 at home. I then said Dallas would win games 5 and 6 finishing the Thunder off in 6 games. Why change now?
Dallas will ease up knowing they regained homecourt. OKC will play their hear out knowing the season is pretty much on the line. The Thunder won't go 1 of 15 from downtown again.
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suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#12
The loss in Game 2 changed this series for the Mavs into a much more defensive one. I think Dallas took OKC too lightly in the first two games and they will not make that mistake again, playing better defense for the rest of the series. The slower pace of a more defensive game favours the Mavs, who have a much better halfcourt on both the offensive and defensive ends. It's the largest advantage the Mavs have in this series, as we've seen the Thunder have troubles playing halfcourt.
I think "the Thunder HAVE to play better in Game 4" is what's going through a lot of people's minds right now, but I don't see the appeal of laying OKC -4.5. I'm not convinced the Thunder will even win Game 4 let alone cover. I like Dallas to take Game 4.
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VegasInsider
SBR Posting Legend
12-12-10
14593
#13
I can't take em, don't have the stones.
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suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#14
Originally posted by BigDofBA
I said before the series started OKC would split the first two games in Dallas and then win game 4 at home. I then said Dallas would win games 5 and 6 finishing the Thunder off in 6 games. Why change now?
Dallas will ease up knowing they regained homecourt. OKC will play their hear out knowing the season is pretty much on the line. The Thunder won't go 1 of 15 from downtown again.
Would you ease up? I don't know how you can think that Dallas will be content with a split of the games in OKC. They regained homecourt and now is the time to put their foot down. Why would Dallas not come ready to play their best game of the series with the chance of going up 3-1 before returning home?
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suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#15
Originally posted by CanuckG
OKC can't shoot that bad from beyond the arc like tonight and the refs will help being on OKC's side.
A 36-18 differential in FTs attempted and you don't think the refs were already helping OKC at all tonight?
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phillybadboy
SBR Hall of Famer
12-11-09
9383
#16
i know one thing, all the sbr sharp will take thunder
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thejrichshow85
Restricted User
06-15-08
3342
#17
vegas is smart the public is going to pound Dallas like crazy but here's why im not.
-kD is going to drop a 40 spot
-Russel westbrook is going to land a triple double 18pts 10reb 14 ast 3 steals 1 block and a couple to's
FINAL SCORE OKC 111 DAL 85
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forzuto13
SBR Wise Guy
01-27-11
522
#18
Damn zig-zag has been accurate so far this conference finals, so I might play that one. But I want to see if Chicago will cover first on Sunday for game three. Then I might lean Okl City giving points.
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NBA_Brosuf
Restricted User
02-14-11
2489
#19
I'm just going to throw this out for giggles.
Here is Dirk's score sheet.
7-21 from the field
1-6 from the arc
3-3 from the line
total 18 points
Looks like Dirk did not even try or had his golden day and yet Mavs still wins.
Are you not scare of this stats here? How do you know that Dirk is not going to get his days for game 4? Does anybody has stats for Dirk when he has an off day and what his stats for the next game be like? I'm sure higher than 20 point per game. Trivia that to pick the winner.
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suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#20
Originally posted by forzuto13
Damn zig-zag has been accurate so far this conference finals, so I might play that one. But I want to see if Chicago will cover first on Sunday for game three. Then I might lean Okl City giving points.
How does one affect the other?
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Jimb0311
SBR Sharp
11-27-10
481
#21
Originally posted by suicidekings
How does one affect the other?
I'm guessing he wants to try the zig zag theory.
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suicidekings
SBR Hall of Famer
03-23-09
9962
#22
Originally posted by Jimb0311
I'm guessing he wants to try the zig zag theory.
Ok, but why would the outcome in one series be relevant to another? Zigzag doesn't imply correlation between different series...
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hockey216
SBR MVP
08-20-08
4583
#23
Zig-Zag theory has been perfect in both conf finals so far (take team that lost and play in next game). but dallas is a great road team. i think its a no-play. westbrook is an idiot. he doesn't move the ball well enough and relies on Durant to bail him out. if they do good job covering durant, thunder are toast. in game 4 dont expect refs to bail out okc all game long.
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BernardMadoff
SBR Hall of Famer
12-12-09
6679
#24
Originally posted by thejrichshow85
vegas is smart the public is going to pound Dallas like crazy but here's why im not.
-kD is going to drop a 40 spot
-Russel westbrook is going to land a triple double 18pts 10reb 14 ast 3 steals 1 block and a couple to's
FINAL SCORE OKC 111 DAL 85
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pitufo76
SBR High Roller
02-16-11
102
#25
i can see this game ending in a Dallas 98 Okc 103 but not double digits!!
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Qtip
SBR Sharp
02-18-11
367
#26
I think okc is the right bet, but the square in me is loving the +4.5 they giving dallas.
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vincanity15
SBR Wise Guy
01-31-11
762
#27
Originally posted by suicidekings
A 36-18 differential in FTs attempted and you don't think the refs were already helping OKC at all tonight?
Exactly and it was more like 36-12 if you take out the intentional fouls at the end of the game.
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t-wizzle
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-18-09
38099
#28
Originally posted by NBA_Brosuf
I'm just going to throw this out for giggles.
Here is Dirk's score sheet.
7-21 from the field
1-6 from the arc
3-3 from the line
total 18 points
Looks like Dirk did not even try or had his golden day and yet Mavs still wins.
Are you not scare of this stats here? How do you know that Dirk is not going
to get his days for game 4? Does anybody has stats for Dirk when he has an off day and what his stats for the next game be like? I'm sure higher than
20 point per game. Trivia that to pick the winner.
And how did the rest of the team play?
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yisman
SBR Aristocracy
09-01-08
75682
#29
if you've been betting using the zig zag theory this playoffs, you're in the hole big time
[quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
[/quote]
[quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
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t-wizzle
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
12-18-09
38099
#30
Forget about the zig zag guys. This play has nothing to do with zig zag. This is a great situational bet for a lot of reasons. It's a must win game for a very good Thunder team. Don't forget how huge the homecourt advantage is for Oklahoma City - Obviously they lost last night but winning back to back @ OKC is a very difficult thing to do. We saw what OKC did with their backs against the wall in the second half last night; they nearly made an incredible comeback. We also saw it against LA last year when the Lakers were leading in OKC in Game 3 already up 2-0 in the series but the Thunder came back and won. That tells me this is a very resilient team. Dallas relies a lot on perimeter scoring but it's much harder to make shots from the outside when you are playing in the other team's arena.
The Thunder are going to be a monster play for me. Haven't decided how much yet but definitely one of my biggest plays of the year.
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jjgold
SBR Aristocracy
07-20-05
388179
#31
Well it comes down to Durant
If he plays well they cover
No play for me
Gametime maybe 1st half play Okl city
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Raleigh77
Restricted User
12-28-09
320
#32
I like the play. Thunder -4.
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Junkyard Dog
SBR MVP
03-12-07
4552
#33
thunder will come out on fire compared to game 3. will probably play them for the 1h.
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d2bets
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
08-10-05
39995
#34
Would like to lay fewer, but this is a zag game. Zag = Thunder. I'm playing both of these series on zig-zag.
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Pivotpoint
SBR MVP
08-02-06
1762
#35
Sticking with Dallas. Mav's have been great for my bankroll during playoffs. Thunder needs to add a psychologist to their training staff