Line opened at 50.5. Is up to 60 in spots now. That field in San Diego is underwater, it's gonna be a sloppy mess tomorrow. Navy is going to run their triple option, ball control offense. Best play on the board, hands down.
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will tail u on this, u seem to have a nice grasp of the sport
Good Luck bud
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I absoltely love this play. Good luck.
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Where do you get the 50.5 opening line?
SBR has it at 60.5 and moving slightly down.
Under seems like a bet although I pledged never to bet under again.
Too much pressure.Comment -
at sbrodds.com the The Greek shows 50.5 for six minutes on the 12th. Most books show what you are saying, an open of around 60.5 with the line going down.Comment -
50.5
Line was never below 59. Nice research
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I saw the field condition on news. If they are able to drain all that water out before game time while still raining, that will be a miracle.Comment -
I'm not sure if the line was ever that low but this seems like a solid play, SDSU should win as wellComment -
I like this total as well; I'm all over the under.Comment -
Wet field, adverse weather conditions also means more turnovers...I'm leaning more towards the over.Comment -
Looks like a good one.Comment -
SDSU's offensive weapons are too athletic for the Middes and State has a hard time with the run. This one is going over. Aztecs -3.5 is the better bet IMHO.Comment -
I took under 60' like it more now looking at footage of the fieldComment -
Line did not open and was never close to 50.5
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havnt seen line around 50 where was it atComment -
I'm on Navy in this one, good luck to all you guys on the under..Comment -
Guys no no no no, please I am a totals guy and this one will sail over. Why don't you think the total is plummeting?? The field will be fine enough and will only benefit sdsu and their passing game. Navy will be forced to throw more bc their triple option won't be as effective because they are running sweeps not right up the middle, their ground game will be much slower on a wet/damp field. Sdsu-3 is the best play tonight but the over is also a strong play. Think about the bears game if the weather scares you too much. There's going to be minimal wind and no percipitation. Last two nights had both sides and total and I am quite certain of tonights as well. Good luck.Comment -
If they can get that field into decent condition I can't see this game going under. Navy put up 30+ in their last 5 games and San Diego State can sling the ball all over the field. Also neither defense has done anything impressive all year.Comment -
i agree. the only weather that i consider to favor the under decisively is strong wind (20+ mph) and that won't be an issue tonight. rain and snow often help the offense because they know where they are going and the conditions slow the defensive reactions more than the offense's initial movements. if anything, i'm glad that bad weather often pushes the total down because the public generally automatically takes the under in those cases. style-of-play-wise, Navy's defense will struggle to stop SDSU's passing game, but the offense is generally very good in the bowls even though opposition has extra time to prep for triple option (Navy 5-1 over last 6 bowls). also, if you look back the last few years, the pre-Christmas bowls generally skew pretty strongly to the over. both teams score 30+, i say.Last edited by BiffTFinancial; 12-23-10, 07:35 AM.Comment -
Man, that field looked like a mess when they showed it during the Boise/Utah game last night...
DocComment -
Since-the-game-will-be-on-the-water....you-have-to-go-with-the-old-navy!!
anchors-away-my-boys,anchors-away...
i-went-to-both-of-those-schools-so-not-sure-who-to-root-for.blog '09-'10: 37-16: +$31,900
mlb 2010; 16-12: +$4,540
gellyhoops 2010: 10-6 +$3,150
overall: 63-34 +$40,290Comment -
I am going to play Navy +9 with the under 66. Navy will keep the clock ticking and shorten the game up. After all the players and coaches watching that awful game last night with all the turnovers...i am sure the coaches will preach ball control before the game.Owner/Cool Works CupComment -
My bad on the opening line, I was looking at SBROdds, shoulda dug deeper I suppose, but I still think that Navy can chew up enough clock to keep this one under. Also, if they ARE forced to pass more, there is a good chance they get shutout completely, and the game ends something like SDSU 42-0. GL to all, whatever you decide on...Comment -
Under
This better winComment -
Also like the under, both teams will try for ball control, scoring in the red zone should be difficult so FG and missed FGs will happenComment -
The Under will cash with ease...OR ELSE!!Comment -
I wouldnt touch that total tonite. Too many unknowns. Look at last nites game. The field looked fine after everyone on the board was screaming under due to the rain. The fact of the matter is, Boise and especially Utah just couldnt take advantage of oppurtunities and the total stayed way under. I think SDSU should win this but who knows. I also know dont count out an NFL crew to get an NFL stadium ready by tonite. Those stadiums and workers know what they are doing. There will be very little resemblance of rainy days in SD by kick off.Comment -
Now I just need Diamond to put their line back up.
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I have to agree with Vitalogist, the under is the correct play and the field conditions will play a huge part. This game has a lot of eerie similarities to the 2010 Capital One Bowl between Penn State and LSU. Penn State came into that game averaging 30 pts on the year, LSU 26. The line, instead of being in the low 50's, closed at 44 with PSU a -2.5 favorite. The field conditions (which were not as bad as what Qualcomm has had to weather this week, pun intended) completely threw off the speed advantage of the LSU Tigers and limited both teams offensively. The final turned out to be a 19-17 PSU win.
I think tonight is going to play out in a similar fashion. I see both teams having a few uneventful first few possessions, and then minimal scoring in the first half. Probably a 10-6 or 13-7 game at the half. Scoring will be slightly up in the 2nd half, but not by much. Final will be 24-21 or 27-24, which means that the spread is pretty sharp.
The line has already dropped to 57.5 in the last few hours. I think those that are going to play the under should grab it now, because I can't see it doing anything but getting down to 56 by gametime.Comment -
Locked in at 58. GL guys.Comment -
i live in san diego as well and the weather is great, yea its cloudy but the sun is still shinning through and the temperature is great for football. the players will be energized and ready to go and the crew has all day to get the field dried up, yea it won't be dry but with no new rain today its just not going to be a big deal, i'm already locked it but just wanted to add my insightComment -
the weather was the same when we played Utah here in SD...the over under was 57...final score 38-34...it went over by the middle of the 3rd quarter!
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