Is Line Movement Really Important?

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  • Rich Boy
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-01-09
    • 9714

    #36
    The only way to beat line movement is to have more information than the sharps. Or just get that information before they do.

    Also knowing how much that information is worth in terms of win probability is key.

    If, on average, your not getting a better price than the no juice closing number then your handicapping process is flawed.
    Comment
    • RonPaul2008
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 06-08-07
      • 6741

      #37
      Originally posted by Rich Boy
      The only way to beat line movement is to have more information than the sharps. Or just get that information before they do.

      Also knowing how much that information is worth in terms of win probability is key.

      If, on average, your not getting a better price than the no juice closing number then your handicapping process is flawed.
      If you are beating the line movement you are a sharp.
      Comment
      • staf
        SBR MVP
        • 11-11-07
        • 2521

        #38
        Are there any sites that have a line movement history other than covers?
        Comment
        • obamaismyuncle
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-31-08
          • 17801

          #39
          Originally posted by pavyracer
          #1 opening line
          #2 line movement

          The opening line will always give you an idea what the right play is. Line movement confirms it. The art is to guess the right play before the line movement.
          this
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          • RonPaul2008
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 06-08-07
            • 6741

            #40
            "The art is to guess the right play before the line movement."

            No guessing is necessary and guessing it can be hard to do.
            Comment
            • jjgold
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-20-05
              • 388179

              #41
              I guess some games on overnights you can see which way public might go and then pound it but those games do not happen every nght

              Do many lines really move much off openers>>
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