ThaddeusB's "lock of the decade" - free points courteous of SBR

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  • ThaddeusB
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-10-10
    • 8874

    #1
    ThaddeusB's "lock of the decade" - free points courteous of SBR
    SBR is currently offering the following line (found under "tournaments") in the sportsbook:


    WHO WILL WIN 2010 CONNECTICUT SENATE RACE?

    DEMOCRATS-250
    FIELD+220


    This is an absolute give away. Blumenthal (the Democrat) hasn't led by less than 5 points in a single public poll all year. Based on recent poll data, he leads by 7-11 points, or about 2 standard deviations. In other words, he has 95+% to win based on the poll data.

    The Nevada Senate line is also great value (+200 on Republican to win), but is not a lock.

    Line closes at 5pm today and the max bet is 100 points. You can thank me for the free points later.
  • goofyre
    SBR MVP
    • 04-20-10
    • 1933

    #2
    Thanks for the advice. I went ahead and took the bet. I'll take a almost free pizza.
    Comment
    • Housemoney
      SBR MVP
      • 09-17-09
      • 3912

      #3
      Good find
      Comment
      • Boscoe
        SBR MVP
        • 02-08-10
        • 2811

        #4
        300 free points.
        Comment
        • nmr123321
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-06-10
          • 609

          #5
          lol
          Comment
          • ChileCheese
            SBR MVP
            • 11-07-09
            • 1957

            #6
            Blumenthals main competitor is Linda McMahon.. and has no chance to win. Im all over this bet.
            Comment
            • BatemanPatrickl
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 06-21-07
              • 18772

              #7
              Reid is 2 to 3 points behind in the polls. Not a lock but good value.
              Comment
              • milwaukee mike
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 08-22-07
                • 26914

                #8
                never underestimate the power of wrestling fans

                keep in mind many people that are fans of linda mcmahon's are anti-establishment and won't answer poll questions

                good luck but i wouldn't lay 250 on it
                Comment
                • Extra Innings
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 02-26-10
                  • 15058

                  #9
                  My SBR point computer group advisor alerted me to this play about a week ago.
                  Comment
                  • RollPlayer
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 07-26-10
                    • 779

                    #10
                    Thanks Thad if this hits I might just have to invest it in your sportsbook
                    Comment
                    • RonPaul2008
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 06-08-07
                      • 6741

                      #11
                      ...
                      Comment
                      • RonPaul2008
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 06-08-07
                        • 6741

                        #12
                        Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                        never underestimate the power of wrestling fans

                        keep in mind many people that are fans of linda mcmahon's are anti-establishment and won't answer poll questions

                        good luck but i wouldn't lay 250 on it
                        It's a huge scalp....just bet it and put a couple bucks on the other side at Matchbook.
                        If it isn't offered, somebody will take it if you offer it as a decent scalp against intrade.
                        Comment
                        • ThaddeusB
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 08-10-10
                          • 8874

                          #13
                          Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                          never underestimate the power of wrestling fans

                          keep in mind many people that are fans of linda mcmahon's are anti-establishment and won't answer poll questions

                          good luck but i wouldn't lay 250 on it
                          I'll offer you (or anoyone else) the other side for +500 so that you can bet 20 against me and 100 against SBR and come out either +20 or even with no risk.
                          Comment
                          • CarolinaDaze
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 11-07-09
                            • 6845

                            #14
                            Thanks for the info THAD im gonna roll with you.
                            Comment
                            • playersonly69
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-04-08
                              • 12827

                              #15
                              **** the democrats
                              Comment
                              • playersonly69
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-04-08
                                • 12827

                                #16
                                I didnt get any points today for posting
                                Comment
                                • over5.5
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 09-10-10
                                  • 530

                                  #17
                                  looks like ez money. thanks for the pick

                                  Comment
                                  • gamble
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-30-10
                                    • 1087

                                    #18
                                    thanks for the heads up, will look into it
                                    Comment
                                    • milwaukee mike
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 08-22-07
                                      • 26914

                                      #19
                                      ok thaddeus i'll take connecticut field for +500 for 20 points

                                      if i lose i'll pay you over 2 days or you can take it out of savings a
                                      if i win just add the 100 to savings a

                                      please confirm in this thread
                                      Comment
                                      • ThaddeusB
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 08-10-10
                                        • 8874

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                                        ok thaddeus i'll take connecticut field for +500 for 20 points

                                        if i lose i'll pay you over 2 days or you can take it out of savings a
                                        if i win just add the 100 to savings a

                                        please confirm in this thread
                                        Confirmed. Let me know which pay back option you prefer (makes no difference to me).
                                        Comment
                                        • yisman
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 09-01-08
                                          • 75682

                                          #21
                                          I would like the +500 as well.

                                          While the Dem candidate will probably win, the race has tightened up according to a poll today.


                                          40 to win 200?
                                          [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                          [/quote]

                                          [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                          Comment
                                          • FrozenMAN
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-23-09
                                            • 4334

                                            #22
                                            that's fuckin gay that they took em down already.....saw that a few days ago and then waited too long and now ****** over....so gay...SBR open it back up!
                                            Comment
                                            • milwaukee mike
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 08-22-07
                                              • 26914

                                              #23
                                              i'll just pay you back the 20 in this thread if blumenthal wins
                                              Comment
                                              • ThaddeusB
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 08-10-10
                                                • 8874

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by yisman
                                                I would like the +500 as well.

                                                While the Dem candidate will probably win, the race has tightened up according to a poll today.


                                                40 to win 200?
                                                OK, I'll take that. Good luck.
                                                Comment
                                                • Cougar Bait
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-04-07
                                                  • 18282

                                                  #25
                                                  Put 100 against Harry months ago...May 14 actually now that I am looking
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mr. leisure
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 01-29-08
                                                    • 17507

                                                    #26
                                                    Fox news just called the democrat as the winner in connecticut !!!!!!


                                                    Thanks ThaddeusB !
                                                    Comment
                                                    • over5.5
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 09-10-10
                                                      • 530

                                                      #27


                                                      51-47

                                                      Projected Winners Richard Blumenthal. close but i guess we got a winner.

                                                      wonder when they will become official and get paid?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • CarolinaDaze
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 11-07-09
                                                        • 6845

                                                        #28
                                                        Nice the major news networks say Blumenthal wins it, congrats all and Thanks again for that one Thad.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • tblues2005
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 07-30-06
                                                          • 9235

                                                          #29
                                                          That was an easy winner tonight. I had some on it.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • yisman
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 09-01-08
                                                            • 75682

                                                            #30
                                                            Thaddeus, I owe you 40.

                                                            We'll put it together with the rest and calculate at the end of all the dust?
                                                            [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                            [/quote]

                                                            [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ThaddeusB
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 08-10-10
                                                              • 8874

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by yisman
                                                              Thaddeus, I owe you 40.

                                                              We'll put it together with the rest and calculate at the end of all the dust?
                                                              Yah, that's fine. Better to wait till morning anyway, as the networks get their projections wrong every once in a while.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • milwaukee mike
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 08-22-07
                                                                • 26914

                                                                #32
                                                                here you go thaddeus
                                                                what's the most i can withdraw from your bank or put on a bet?
                                                                i remember you saying you could put a bet through to save rake

                                                                otherwise i might want something from the store
                                                                Comment
                                                                • benjy
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-19-09
                                                                  • 2158

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Great call on the Conn race. Wish I'd caught it in time. Nice value on the Nev bet too, even if it didn't win.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • yisman
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 09-01-08
                                                                    • 75682

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I thought Angle at +200 was better value than Conn D at -250, but lo and behold, Angle lost.
                                                                    [quote=jjgold;5683305]I win again like usual
                                                                    [/quote]

                                                                    [quote=Whippit;7921056]miami won't lose a single eastern conference game through end of season[/quote]
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ThaddeusB
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 08-10-10
                                                                      • 8874

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by milwaukee mike
                                                                      here you go thaddeus
                                                                      what's the most i can withdraw from your bank or put on a bet?
                                                                      i remember you saying you could put a bet through to save rake

                                                                      otherwise i might want something from the store
                                                                      I didn't see this until now - it was kinda of a strange place to ask....

                                                                      Between your two accounts you can withdraw about 500. I would be happy to place a bet in SBR's sportsbook on your behalf to save the rake.
                                                                      Comment
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