Follow this strategy for NFL when you are not sure who to bet on

**pavyracer** · 10-04-10, 10:05 PM

Originally posted by The Baron

So according to you this is such a great strategy right? Have you been following your own advice? Is that why your NFL record is 7-5 for a pathetic +1.91 units? LOL You havn't won shit. I could be up the same number of units flipping a coin.

Fade the strategy if you don't like it or don't use it. I didn't put a gun to your head. So far it has been profitable in the first 4 weeks but you can always start fading it from now on to make some easy cash.

**hitman2010** · 10-04-10, 10:25 PM

wth, Miami sold their play today.

**vitalogist** · 10-04-10, 11:33 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

Great spot!

Yesterday this method was 4-3-3 with 3 games not making the cut.

So if Miami wins tonight it will be profitable again at 5-3-3.

Yep, Chargers yesterday was the easiest play I made all week. They were -3, and smoked Zona in the 2nd half. You have to use some intelligence here, it's not a goofy "system play." The Phins completely outgained the Pats in the first half, and if not for the inexplicable special teams blunders, would have won the game, as they are the better team. They're just not built to come back from down three scores though....

**vitalogist** · 10-10-10, 01:25 PM

Not seeing anything today yet, you paver?

**vitalogist** · 10-10-10, 04:36 PM

Saints minus the points is a play. Averaging 5 YPC and Brees can move the ball at will against this secondary. Not to mention, it appears Max Hall won't make it through this game. Derek Anderson time = $$$ for Saints backers 2H.

**obamaismyuncle** · 10-10-10, 04:42 PM

I like it. Great thread BTW

**bobbyfk** · 10-10-10, 04:44 PM

I do the same in the NBA and it works most of the time

**khaden** · 10-10-10, 06:54 PM

Just found this how did it do today

**pavyracer** · 10-10-10, 07:00 PM

Originally posted by khaden

Just found this how did it do today

Just a quick look it was 6-5 today.

It appears the first 3 weeks was an abnormality since it is only hitting 50-55% the last 2 weeks.

**Slim** · 10-14-10, 08:49 PM

Seems to work well in the NCAAF. Kansas State -0.5 running away with the 2nd half 14-0.

**pavyracer** · 10-14-10, 08:59 PM

Originally posted by Slim

Seems to work well in the NCAAF. Kansas State -0.5 running away with the 2nd half 14-0.

Yeah great observation. I only tried it for NFL but if someone can get data for College it will be good to know. I know yesterday UCF covered the 2nd half bet. I know for NFL so far is not losing any money.

**PureGuava** · 10-14-10, 11:12 PM

maybe it should be if the team is up by a certain amount of points. if the team is only up 3 points at ht it is anyones game. even if the team is up by 7 it is still anyones game.

**Riv34** · 10-14-10, 11:16 PM

id like to see this backtracked tbh

**vitalogist** · 11-07-10, 05:25 PM

Time to resurrect this thread. Lay the number on the Giants no matter what it is.

**Dutch** · 11-07-10, 05:49 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

I know for NFL so far is not losing any money.

Including the juice?

**KKoz9** · 11-07-10, 05:52 PM

Originally posted by pavyracer

Wait until the first half is over. Bet the 2nd half the team that is winning at HT.

The majority of the teams who win at HT win the game. There are no Elways, Marinos or Montanas anymore to bring a team back when they are down at HT.

Thoughts?

or flip a coin, same results

**vitalogist** · 11-14-10, 05:40 PM

Denver +3 +107