1. 08-20-19 08:56 AM #1
    jjgold
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    Tuesday Plays??? Let’s Hear From Some Losers

    Phils here
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  2. 08-20-19 09:12 AM #2
    Hot Jerry
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    Philadelphia , Atlanta , TB in MLB today !!
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  3. 08-20-19 01:16 PM #3
    KVB
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    DET, OAK, and TOR are all on the Contrarian RL Fund radar.

    Anyone paying any attention knows we are hoping for more opportunity in that Fund as we believe we are turning a market corner for the rest of this year and then some. In fact, after being down -10.33 units, I've increased my stake and thus my units in the Fund, hitting a +182 for the increased unit.

    This is likely to be effective at least through this year.

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  4. 08-20-19 01:25 PM #4
    jjgold
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    KVB call me
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  5. 08-20-19 01:30 PM #5
    Runeblade
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    JJgold, How do I post a spread sheet on my thread like you have it?
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  6. 08-20-19 01:57 PM #6
    JIBBBY
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    Twins in a rebound game at home. Can't see them losing to the Sox back to back.. Should hit.. Even like the -1.5 at even odds.

    https://sports.yahoo.com/pineda-hope...7489--mlb.html
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  7. 08-20-19 02:03 PM #7
    KVB
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    Bouncing between the picks thread and this one here.

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    PIT on the Contrarian Fund radar again.

    Just got a bad feeling about these guys and while we normally see some give and take in the marketplace between teams, sometimes noticeably after extreme results, Pit seems like a literal pitfall here.

    If it triggers it triggers, and it might trigger.

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  8. 08-20-19 02:06 PM #8
    shocka1212
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    Twins.
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  9. 08-20-19 02:12 PM #9
    KVB
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    CHW is on the Contrarian Fund radar but not because it thinks it's the spot for the win, but more because if the play this game 3 times, CHW wins more than once, but not twice.

    There is value there.

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  10. 08-20-19 02:18 PM #10
    tiffo
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    Tampa bay
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  11. 08-20-19 02:18 PM #11
    shocka1212
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    Quote Originally Posted by shocka1212 View Post
    Twins.
    not as much as I had on yesterdays cards game but a nice amount.
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  12. 08-20-19 05:16 PM #12
    KVB
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    Picked up some big dogs for the Fund...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

    955 20-Aug MIA +225
    971 DET +240
    ...
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  13. 08-20-19 05:35 PM #13
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Phils here
    Don't like Philly, it's BOS or pass.

    Pitt and the UNDER both could trigger in the Contrarian Fund.

    Detroit +1.5 will very likely trigger in the RL Fund.

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  14. 08-20-19 05:47 PM #14
    jjgold
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    Why are all the winners here?
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  15. 08-20-19 06:09 PM #15
    pickle_texas
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    nats
    braves rl
    dodgers rl
    cubs
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  16. 08-20-19 06:15 PM #16
    BIGDAY
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    Tribe.
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  17. 08-20-19 06:19 PM #17
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Twins in a rebound game at home. Can't see them losing to the Sox back to back.. Should hit.. Even like the -1.5 at even odds.

    https://sports.yahoo.com/pineda-hope...7489--mlb.html
    Much rather play the ff -.5 and swallow a little juice, I just don’t like the idea of trusting minny pen combined w being at home where I’m far less inclined to lay the 1.5.
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  18. 08-20-19 06:20 PM #18
    2daBank
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    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDAY View Post
    Tribe.
    I like the ff under in that game.
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  19. 08-20-19 06:22 PM #19
    2daBank
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    Pretty confident cards take 2 in this series so while not thrilled trusting wacha he was good his last start and the price right to chase 2marro if they lose this one.
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  20. 08-20-19 06:24 PM #20
    KVB
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    Fuk, added PIT to the Fund..

    They can suck a golf through a garden hose. That's how much they suck.

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

    952 20-Aug PIT +144

    Going to the well again. Again, PIT and the UNDER very decent contrarian plays...
    I wonder if she can do the same...

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  21. 08-20-19 06:26 PM #21
    Jerm3462
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Phils here
    Tailed.
    What's up JJ? 👋
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  22. 08-20-19 07:04 PM #22
    KVB
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    Picked up that DET +1.5...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund has picked up...

    971 20-Aug DET +1.5 (+130)

    Caught the 130.

    OAK and TOR both still on the RL Fund radar.



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  23. 08-20-19 07:53 PM #23
    JIBBBY
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    KVB how we doing lately? We winning money? Talk to me pal.. You seem on it lately..
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  24. 08-20-19 07:59 PM #24
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    KVB how we doing lately? We winning money? Talk to me pal.. You seem on it lately..
    Winning, but it's been a grind...



    But it's those UNDERs that keep digging at us...

    19-Aug 1 Unit
    per bet
    OVER 4.83
    UNDER -8.69
    Total -3.86
    Here's the Contrarian Fund overall...

    19-Aug Plays Units
    Overall 538 4.63
    Totals 175 -3.86
    ML's 363 8.49



    Here's today's pending...

    952 20-Aug PIT +144
    955 MIA +225
    971 DET +240

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  25. 08-20-19 08:02 PM #25
    JIBBBY
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    ^^ Me too KVB.. Grind is good if you win over time consistently. Embrace it!!! Keep it up bud!!! You chase or load up chances are you will get bank rolled in this sports gambling game we play..


    Dodgers with Kershaw back at home look like a lock to me after 2 days off and coming off losses in Atlanta. Gotta pay to play with these odds though tonight in the late game..

    https://sports.yahoo.com/mlb/toronto...ers-390820119/

    https://sports.yahoo.com/dodgers-ker...2917--mlb.html
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  26. 08-20-19 08:26 PM #26
    KVB
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    Both MIA and DET scored first.

    DET already lost the lead.

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  27. 08-20-19 09:14 PM #27
    KVB
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    Added Toronto RL...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    The KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund has added...

    979 20-Aug TOR +1.5 (+150)
    ...
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  28. 08-20-19 10:25 PM #28
    jjgold
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    1-1
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  29. 08-20-19 11:08 PM #29
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Twins in a rebound game at home. Can't see them losing to the Sox back to back.. Should hit.. Even like the -1.5 at even odds.

    https://sports.yahoo.com/pineda-hope...7489--mlb.html
    Cash it.. Easy..

    Ticket#:4228941
    Aug 20 08:10 PM     		Aug 20 09:45 AM MLB
    		 STRAIGHT BET
    [970] MIN -200
    ( ACTION )    		 212.00 / 106.00
    Ticket#:4229111
    Aug 20 08:10 PM     		Aug 20 01:59 PM MLB
    		 STRAIGHT BET
    [970] MIN -1½-110
    ( R LóPEZ -R / M PINEDA -R )    		 112.00 / 101.82
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  30. 08-21-19 02:18 AM #30
    shocka1212
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    Cash it.. Easy..

    Ticket#:4228941
    Aug 20 08:10 PM    		 Aug 20 09:45 AM MLB STRAIGHT BET
    [970] MIN -200
    ( ACTION )    		 212.00 / 106.00
    Ticket#:4229111
    Aug 20 08:10 PM    		 Aug 20 01:59 PM MLB STRAIGHT BET
    [970] MIN -1½-110
    ( R LóPEZ -R / M PINEDA -R )    		 112.00 / 101.82
    never in doubt
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  31. 08-21-19 10:34 AM #31
    JIBBBY
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    Quote Originally Posted by shocka1212 View Post
    never in doubt
    I saw you had that as well. Gonna take the Twinnies again this morning in the early game.. Just can't see them losing this series at home to the SOX..

    https://sports.yahoo.com/twins-white...8631--mlb.html
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  32. 08-21-19 02:41 PM #32
    shocka1212
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    Quote Originally Posted by JIBBBY View Post
    I saw you had that as well. Gonna take the Twinnies again this morning in the early game.. Just can't see them losing this series at home to the SOX..

    https://sports.yahoo.com/twins-white...8631--mlb.html
    I took the Mets/Indians over 9 -105 last night. saw its up to 9.5 now. its worth a look
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  33. 08-21-19 04:00 PM #33
    Sam Odom
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  34. 08-21-19 04:12 PM #34
    KVB
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    Tuesday's results, only PIT came through...

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund through 541 plays...

    952 20-Aug PIT +144 1.44
    955 MIA +225 -1
    971 DET +240 -1
    Tue -0.56
    Weeks 1-5 -1.32
    Weeks 6-10 -1.23
    Weeks 11-15 -4.9
    Weeks 16-20 6.19
    Week 21 4.49
    Mon 1.4
    Total 4.07

    Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian RL Fund through 90 plays...

    917 19-Aug DET +1.5 (+182) 1.82
    971 20-Aug DET +1.5 (+130) -1
    979 TOR +1.5 (+150) -1
    Week 22 -0.18
    Weeks 1-5 -4.92
    Weeks 6-10 -4.59
    Weeks 11-15 4.86
    Weeks 16-20 -4.55
    Week 21 -1.13
    Total -10.51


    A few mistakes between both Funds and everything is even.

    Here's the RL Fund chart, we see a lot more of a chance for the chart to rise, than fall...



    Could I be underestimating the effects of the juiced ball on the favorites winning, and by how much?

    Could that be making a difference with this particular set of 90 runline plays?

    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    ...Now the extra runs do favor the favorites, in fact, a place where LT is negative, but it would be very, very difficult for LT to move forward business wise with his method if forced to speculate on just what the adjustment would be moving forward in the season.

    Maybe there's just not enough data, maybe there are just too many assumptions to make and few ways to test them to make a decision to invest...

    Will be interesting to see...
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