1. #1
    Hman
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    Here We Go: Thursday Night NFL Preseason Card

    5Dimes



    Reduced Football Spread Money Line Total Points
    Reduced Juice - Internet Only
    Thu 8/9 251 Carolina Panthers +3 -105 +142 o34 -104
    7:00PM 252 Buffalo Bills -3 -105 -152 u34 -106
    Thu 8/9 253 Chicago Bears +2½ -105 +124 o35½ -108
    7:00PM 254 Cincinnati Bengals -2½ -105 -134 u35½ -102
    Thu 8/9 255 Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1½ -104 +108 o34 -105
    7:00PM 256 Miami Dolphins -1½ -106 -118 u34 -105
    Thu 8/9 257 Cleveland Browns -1 -105 -115 o35 -107
    7:00PM 258 New York Giants +1 -105 +105 u35 -103
    Thu 8/9 259 Pittsburgh Steelers +3 -105 +143 o33 -109
    7:00PM 260 Philadelphia Eagles -3 -105 -153 u33 -101
    Thu 8/9 261 New Orleans Saints +2½ +105 +133 o34½ -105
    7:00PM 262 Jacksonville Jaguars -2½ -115 -143 u34½ -105
    Thu 8/9 263 Los Angeles Rams +3 +107 +153 o36 -105
    7:30PM 264 Baltimore Ravens -3 -117 -163 u36 -105
    Thu 8/9 265 Washington Redskins +3 +100 +150 o37½ -107
    7:30PM 266 New England Patriots -3 -110 -160 u37½ -103
    Thu 8/9 267 Tennessee Titans +1 -113 -105 o35 -104
    8:00PM 268 Green Bay Packers -1 +103 -105 u35 -106
    Thu 8/9 269 Houston Texans +2½ -104 +123 o34 -102
    8:30PM 270 Kansas City Chiefs -2½ -106 -133 u34 -108
    Thu 8/9 271 Dallas Cowboys +3½ -103 +170 o34½ -108
    10:00PM 272 San Francisco 49ers -3½ -107 -185 u34½ -102
    Thu 8/9 273 Indianapolis Colts +2 -103 +118 o34½ -108
    10:00PM 274 Seattle Seahawks -2 -107 -128 u34½ -102

  2. #2
    Snowball
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    Pats might be a play. Bill Belichick has turned into "Chill Belichick"
    players coach from here on they say - for now at least...
    still, with Danny Etling behind the ball, I'll pass...
    Thought about Giants but Hue Jackson wins preseason games
    unlikely to bother
    Last edited by Snowball; 08-08-18 at 04:57 PM.

  3. #3
    firedawg
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    JJ said betting NFL pre season is for chumps


    Lol

  4. #4
    SharpAngles
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    12 dog bets at least breaks even
    Nomination(s):
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  5. #5
    jjgold
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    laying off

  6. #6
    KVB
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    According to some examples of preseason strategies in this post...

    Identifying Profitable Preseason Situations

    we may have an angle with the first game if coaches and teams are looking to improve on last year's weak spots...

    2017 Offense Defense
    Pass Rush Pass Rush
    CAR 28 4 15 30
    BUF 31 6 13 4


    These are 2017 year end stats showing league position and I'm guessing that neither Buffalo nor Carolina are likely to try and improve, or work on, their rushing games to start the preseason.

    Carolina may be focusing on their rushing defense.

    At the same time, Buffalo should be looking to improve on their passing game. So we have a possibly passing focused offense going against a rush focused defense.

    Further, in line with that post about the preseason, Buffalo will be testing two QB's under the first team set.

    AJ McCarron will likely start but Nathan Peterman will also get reps. Buffalo has three QB's to work out but those two will start behind the first line.

    We also have Carolina perhaps wanting to work on their passing game.

    Both pass defenses were middle of the pack and they might want to test them, but won't likely reveal too many packages.

    In light of some of this, we just might have an Over play on out hands here.

    Good Luck


  7. #7
    BIGDAY
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    Browns -1

  8. #8
    shocka1212
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    you gotta be a real degenerate to bet pre season

  9. #9
    KVB
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    Smaller side roll Shocka, pick your spots. I know people that do very well.

    LT Profits can nail the preseason as well.


  10. #10
    Hman
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    Quote Originally Posted by shocka1212 View Post
    you gotta be a real degenerate to bet pre season


    http://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id...s-pros-know-it
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Bcatswin

  11. #11
    ikid2groove415
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    Quote Originally Posted by shocka1212 View Post
    you gotta be a real degenerate to bet pre season
    Went 2-0 last week - it’s all the same

  12. #12
    jjgold
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    And you’re basically have to know who’s playing the first quarter quarterbacks

  13. #13
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by shocka1212 View Post
    you gotta be a real degenerate to bet pre season
    Preseason is easier to beat than regular season. Only true for NFL, I don't bet preseason in other sports.

  14. #14
    Chi_archie
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    can't wait


    not sure why

  15. #15
    Slurry Pumper
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    I also like CAR/BUF OVR 34 -104 (from line listed on the top of the thread). Even up to 35 for me.

    Car is 10-3 to the over since 2005 in week 1 of the preseason, and BUF is 3-2 at home in the same situation.

    The last 2 times these 2 have met, in week 1 of the preseason 2015 the total was 35.5 and they scored 49.

    Then in week 1 of the preseason 2014, with the total at 37, they squeaked out 38.

    History is on our side along with circumstances outline earlier in the thread. I'm on anything under 35 as an over bet for my opening pick of the season.
    Last edited by Slurry Pumper; 08-08-18 at 06:56 PM. Reason: Clarification

  16. #16
    ikid2groove415
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    Looking for some under totals

  17. #17
    jjgold
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    Unders ok 👌

  18. #18
    Slurry Pumper
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    If unders are your desire, try T.B / MIA under 34 -105 (again from the top of the thread.

    These 2 have only gone over twice since 2005, in 2007, and 2015, which is the last time they've played.

    They play 3 times on week 1, in 2008, 2010, and in 2012, all unders.
    Be careful however I would try and get some inside on the game plans. I think both of these teams may want to work on offense this year, but typically they don't when they get together

  19. #19
    ikid2groove415
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  20. #20
    jjgold
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    Giants 1st qtr

  21. #21

  22. #22
    KVB
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    Don't let ESPN tell you, listen to guys like LT Profits.


  23. #23
    ikid2groove415
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    Quote Originally Posted by shocka1212 View Post
    I stand corrected
    Odds not better in the regular season

  24. #24
    Cuse0323
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    Dart landed on the Chiefs.

  25. #25
    klemopixx
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    Neither Wentz nor Foles will play for Philly. With that known, I think Steelers +3 is worth a shot. You're basically betting on whose 3rd stringers will play better. I always like the points in preseason.

  26. #26
    Hman
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    Quote Originally Posted by shocka1212 View Post
    I stand corrected

    Sorry shocka plz dont think i was trying to show you up with that post/link, i was just passing along

  27. #27
    Hman
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    Quote Originally Posted by BIGDAY View Post
    Browns -1


    I think i like it

  28. #28
    The J-Dizzle
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    After a push in the HOF game with Ravens-1 (they really should have won that game bigger), I give the Ravens one more try.

    Week 1:

    Ravens-1
    Jets-1.5
    Raiders-3
    Colts+3
    Vikings+1

    Got some early nice numbers on a pair of them. Betting against Pete Carroll scares me but one half of starting NFL caliber QBs is really nice to have😁, and personally I really like Reich. Jacoby is also a preseason king.
    Gruden can't dial down his aggressiveness🙈

  29. #29
    The J-Dizzle
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    Quote Originally Posted by klemopixx View Post
    Neither Wentz nor Foles will play for Philly. With that known, I think Steelers +3 is worth a shot. You're basically betting on whose 3rd stringers will play better. I always like the points in preseason.
    Perhaps the under then? Tomlin has a "great" under record.

  30. #30
    Hman
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    J-D who is #27 in the avatar (i should know this)

  31. #31
    shadymcgrady
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    Where do you get Baltimore -1? It's-3 and juiced, approaching -3.5

  32. #32
    ikid2groove415
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    Totals seems low even with the new helmet rule

  33. #33
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Hman View Post
    J-D who is #27 in the avatar (i should know this)
    Blount

  34. #34
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by shadymcgrady View Post
    Where do you get Baltimore -1? It's-3 and juiced, approaching -3.5
    That was his first play in HOF Game

  35. #35
    The J-Dizzle
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    Quote Originally Posted by shadymcgrady View Post
    Where do you get Baltimore -1? It's-3 and juiced, approaching -3.5
    I got it as early as you could get it! I knew I wanted the Ravens again. They won only by 1 point and pushed but they won the turnover battle by 2 and had the Bears pinned down on their last drive.. I also really like mobile QBs, Lamar and RG3 will play better. Harbaugh has a great Week 1 record. And so on...

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