Here We Go: Thursday Night NFL Preseason Card

[Hman]

5Dimes

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Thu 8/9		251 Carolina Panthers	+3 -105	+142	o34 -104
7:00PM		252 Buffalo Bills	-3 -105	-152	u34 -106
Thu 8/9		253 Chicago Bears	+2½ -105	+124	o35½ -108
7:00PM		254 Cincinnati Bengals	-2½ -105	-134	u35½ -102
Thu 8/9		255 Tampa Bay Buccaneers	+1½ -104	+108	o34 -105
7:00PM		256 Miami Dolphins	-1½ -106	-118	u34 -105
Thu 8/9		257 Cleveland Browns	-1 -105	-115	o35 -107
7:00PM		258 New York Giants	+1 -105	+105	u35 -103
Thu 8/9		259 Pittsburgh Steelers	+3 -105	+143	o33 -109
7:00PM		260 Philadelphia Eagles	-3 -105	-153	u33 -101
Thu 8/9		261 New Orleans Saints	+2½ +105	+133	o34½ -105
7:00PM		262 Jacksonville Jaguars	-2½ -115	-143	u34½ -105
Thu 8/9		263 Los Angeles Rams	+3 +107	+153	o36 -105
7:30PM		264 Baltimore Ravens	-3 -117	-163	u36 -105
Thu 8/9		265 Washington Redskins	+3 +100	+150	o37½ -107
7:30PM		266 New England Patriots	-3 -110	-160	u37½ -103
Thu 8/9		267 Tennessee Titans	+1 -113	-105	o35 -104
8:00PM		268 Green Bay Packers	-1 +103	-105	u35 -106
Thu 8/9		269 Houston Texans	+2½ -104	+123	o34 -102
8:30PM		270 Kansas City Chiefs	-2½ -106	-133	u34 -108
Thu 8/9		271 Dallas Cowboys	+3½ -103	+170	o34½ -108
10:00PM		272 San Francisco 49ers	-3½ -107	-185	u34½ -102
Thu 8/9		273 Indianapolis Colts	+2 -103	+118	o34½ -108
10:00PM		274 Seattle Seahawks	-2 -107	-128	u34½ -102

[Snowball]

Pats might be a play. Bill Belichick has turned into "Chill Belichick"
players coach from here on they say - for now at least...
still, with Danny Etling behind the ball, I'll pass...
Thought about Giants but Hue Jackson wins preseason games
unlikely to bother

[firedawg]

JJ said betting NFL pre season is for chumps


Lol

[SharpAngles]

12 dog bets at least breaks even

[jjgold]

laying off

[KVB]

According to some examples of preseason strategies in this post...

Identifying Profitable Preseason Situations

we may have an angle with the first game if coaches and teams are looking to improve on last year's weak spots...

2017	Offense		Defense
	Pass	Rush	Pass	Rush
CAR	28	4	15	30
BUF	31	6	13	4

These are 2017 year end stats showing league position and I'm guessing that neither Buffalo nor Carolina are likely to try and improve, or work on, their rushing games to start the preseason.

Carolina may be focusing on their rushing defense.

At the same time, Buffalo should be looking to improve on their passing game. So we have a possibly passing focused offense going against a rush focused defense.

Further, in line with that post about the preseason, Buffalo will be testing two QB's under the first team set.

AJ McCarron will likely start but Nathan Peterman will also get reps. Buffalo has three QB's to work out but those two will start behind the first line.

We also have Carolina perhaps wanting to work on their passing game.

Both pass defenses were middle of the pack and they might want to test them, but won't likely reveal too many packages.

In light of some of this, we just might have an Over play on out hands here.

Good Luck

[BIGDAY]

Browns -1

[shocka1212]

you gotta be a real degenerate to bet pre season

[KVB]

Smaller side roll Shocka, pick your spots. I know people that do very well.

LT Profits can nail the preseason as well.

[Hman]

you gotta be a real degenerate to bet pre season

https://www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/24263228/nfl-preseason-football-lines-provide-betting-advantages-pros-know-it

[ikid2groove415]

you gotta be a real degenerate to bet pre season

Went 2-0 last week - it’s all the same

[jjgold]

And you’re basically have to know who’s playing the first quarter quarterbacks

[LT Profits]

you gotta be a real degenerate to bet pre season

Preseason is easier to beat than regular season. Only true for NFL, I don't bet preseason in other sports.

[Chi_archie]

can't wait


not sure why

[Slurry Pumper]

I also like CAR/BUF OVR 34 -104 (from line listed on the top of the thread). Even up to 35 for me.

Car is 10-3 to the over since 2005 in week 1 of the preseason, and BUF is 3-2 at home in the same situation.

The last 2 times these 2 have met, in week 1 of the preseason 2015 the total was 35.5 and they scored 49.

Then in week 1 of the preseason 2014, with the total at 37, they squeaked out 38.

History is on our side along with circumstances outline earlier in the thread. I'm on anything under 35 as an over bet for my opening pick of the season.

[ikid2groove415]

Looking for some under totals

[jjgold]

Unders ok 👌

[Slurry Pumper]

If unders are your desire, try T.B / MIA under 34 -105 (again from the top of the thread.

These 2 have only gone over twice since 2005, in 2007, and 2015, which is the last time they've played.

They play 3 times on week 1, in 2008, 2010, and in 2012, all unders.
Be careful however I would try and get some inside on the game plans. I think both of these teams may want to work on offense this year, but typically they don't when they get together

[ikid2groove415]

[jjgold]

Giants 1st qtr

[shocka1212]

www.espn.com/chalk/story/_/id/24263228/nfl-preseason-football-lines-provide-betting-advantages-pros-know-it

I stand corrected

[KVB]

Don't let ESPN tell you, listen to guys like LT Profits.

[ikid2groove415]

I stand corrected

Odds not better in the regular season

[Cuse0323]

Dart landed on the Chiefs.

[klemopixx]

Neither Wentz nor Foles will play for Philly. With that known, I think Steelers +3 is worth a shot. You're basically betting on whose 3rd stringers will play better. I always like the points in preseason.

[Hman]

I stand corrected

Sorry shocka plz dont think i was trying to show you up with that post/link, i was just passing along

[Hman]

Browns -1

I think i like it

[The J-Dizzle]

After a push in the HOF game with Ravens-1 (they really should have won that game bigger), I give the Ravens one more try.

Week 1:

Ravens-1
Jets-1.5
Raiders-3
Colts+3
Vikings+1

Got some early nice numbers on a pair of them. Betting against Pete Carroll scares me but one half of starting NFL caliber QBs is really nice to have😁, and personally I really like Reich. Jacoby is also a preseason king.
Gruden can't dial down his aggressiveness🙈

[The J-Dizzle]

Neither Wentz nor Foles will play for Philly. With that known, I think Steelers +3 is worth a shot. You're basically betting on whose 3rd stringers will play better. I always like the points in preseason.

Perhaps the under then? Tomlin has a "great" under record.

[Hman]

J-D who is #27 in the avatar (i should know this)

[shadymcgrady]

Where do you get Baltimore -1? It's-3 and juiced, approaching -3.5

[ikid2groove415]

Totals seems low even with the new helmet rule

[LT Profits]

J-D who is #27 in the avatar (i should know this)

Blount

[LT Profits]

Where do you get Baltimore -1? It's-3 and juiced, approaching -3.5

That was his first play in HOF Game

[The J-Dizzle]

Where do you get Baltimore -1? It's-3 and juiced, approaching -3.5

I got it as early as you could get it! I knew I wanted the Ravens again. They won only by 1 point and pushed but they won the turnover battle by 2 and had the Bears pinned down on their last drive.. I also really like mobile QBs, Lamar and RG3 will play better. Harbaugh has a great Week 1 record. And so on...