Time to start fading Jake Arrieta

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  • Chi_archie
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-22-08
    • 63165

    #1
    Time to start fading Jake Arrieta
    superman is coming back to earth slowly

    you can see the signs if you look past all the bluster and media blowjobs

    last year the guy had more than 3 walks one time the entire year.


    over his last 4 starts, Jake has had more than four walks on 3 separate occasions

    he's been very inefficient outside of the walk, getting his pitch count up so that he had to be yanked after 5 innings in two out of his last three starts.

    I think Pittsburgh gets it done today
  • smitch124
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 05-19-08
    • 12566

    #2
    Had to get off the juice for an upcoming test?
    Comment
    • 19th Hole
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-22-09
      • 18845

      #3
      ChiGuy
      Not sure if you're doing a triple reverse switcheroo here...
      BUT
      The Cubs get it done.




      BOL Always
      Comment
      • Chi_archie
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-22-08
        • 63165

        #4
        Originally posted by 19th Hole
        ChiGuy
        Not sure if you're doing a triple reverse switcheroo here...
        BUT
        The Cubs get it done.




        BOL Always
        yeah no doubt..... but i'm thinking fading Jake on the ML and RL will be profitable for the rest of the season.

        tired/dead arm is coming for this guy after that huge innings increase last year.

        he's starting to show signs already.

        wind going to be blowing out to right today. Over could be a good play if it is 8.0 or 8.5
        Comment
        • d2bets
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 08-10-05
          • 39990

          #5
          So just take the over. Fading Arrieta means fading the Cubs offense too, which owns Pitt pitching and Locke in particular. Cubs love the wind blowing out.

          And you're grasping for straws. Last start was off because they had the wrong catcher. One of those 4 walk starts was a fukkin no hitter.

          Those last 4 starts where he's been so bad because he's walked 14....he's also allowed 11 hits in 26 innings. He's as difficult to hit as ever. .159 BAA leads the league and is better than last season.

          Keep fading, I mean I guess you'll win eventually.

          I like Cubs RL -115 today.
          Comment
          • Chi_archie
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 07-22-08
            • 63165

            #6
            Originally posted by Chi_archie
            wind going to be blowing out to right today. Over could be a good play if it is 8.0 or 8.5
            come on, come on
            Comment
            • Ghenghis Kahn
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 01-02-12
              • 19735

              #7
              Cubs are 5-0 in Arrietas last 5 starts vs. Pirates.
              Pirates are 0-4 in Lockes last 4 road starts vs. Cubs.

              i know trends are meant to be broken but lol pass on this game.
              Comment
              • d2bets
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 08-10-05
                • 39990

                #8
                Originally posted by Chi_archie
                come on, come on
                O8.5-105.

                Go for it. Seems like a tricky wind today. Swirling. Definitely windy, but not a typical warm blowing out day. It's cold.
                Comment
                • jjgold
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 07-20-05
                  • 388189

                  #9
                  Since Archie lives in Chicago I will take this recommendation very very seriously
                  Comment
                  • d2bets
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 08-10-05
                    • 39990

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Ghenghis Kahn
                    Cubs are 5-0 in Arrietas last 5 starts vs. Pirates.
                    Pirates are 0-4 in Lockes last 4 road starts vs. Cubs.

                    i know trends are meant to be broken but lol pass on this game.
                    Locke sucks on the road, sucks against the Cubs generally, horrible pitcher vs. batter vs. Cubs, and a flyball pitcher into the wind. Arrieta is in the Pirates' head.

                    This looks like another 9-4 Cubs win.
                    Comment
                    • Smoke
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-09-09
                      • 48111

                      #11
                      stop
                      Comment
                      • iloseagain
                        Restricted User
                        • 06-29-10
                        • 10682

                        #12
                        i would agree with you if the cubs offense sucked. however, it doesnt. and they score 9 runs with ease every game. over and cubs rl
                        Comment
                        • Ghenghis Kahn
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-02-12
                          • 19735

                          #13
                          Originally posted by d2bets
                          Locke sucks on the road, sucks against the Cubs generally, horrible pitcher vs. batter vs. Cubs, and a flyball pitcher into the wind. Arrieta is in the Pirates' head.

                          This looks like another 9-4 Cubs win.
                          yeah i'm thinking about taking the runline.
                          Comment
                          • chico2663
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 09-02-10
                            • 36915

                            #14
                            i did last game and he was down 3-1. went out thinking i'm in the money and they won 4-3
                            Comment
                            • Chi_archie
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-22-08
                              • 63165

                              #15
                              Pittsburgh team total over 3 -125!
                              Comment
                              • Sweatin da Bet
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 02-17-15
                                • 123

                                #16
                                Originally posted by iloseagain
                                i would agree with you if the cubs offense sucked. however, it doesnt. and they score 9 runs with ease every game. over and cubs rl
                                The Cubs have only scored 9 or more runs in 6 games this year. I would not say that is every game with ease, 6 out of 34
                                Comment
                                • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 11-29-07
                                  • 26068

                                  #17
                                  So what's the play with the cubs
                                  Comment
                                  • StackinGreen
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-09-10
                                    • 12140

                                    #18
                                    I started to see signs of this too ... but it's all about the ML

                                    Maybe, as d2 points out, the play is the OVER
                                    Comment
                                    • iloseagain
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 06-29-10
                                      • 10682

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Sweatin da Bet
                                      The Cubs have only scored 9 or more runs in 6 games this year. I would not say that is every game with ease, 6 out of 34
                                      ok it was an exaggeration. thanks for being so literal
                                      Comment
                                      • d2bets
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 08-10-05
                                        • 39990

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by iloseagain
                                        ok it was an exaggeration. thanks for being so literal
                                        You should have said 7 runs and you'd be at about half of the games, and plenty to win the RL, given that the Cubs have allowed 6+ only 5 times all season.
                                        Comment
                                        • Ghenghis Kahn
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-02-12
                                          • 19735

                                          #21
                                          fyi, chi archie is a pitt homer... just sayin' and d2bets knows about the cubs.
                                          Comment
                                          • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                            • 11-29-07
                                            • 26068

                                            #22
                                            I'm playing the Cubs,white sox,game 1 wash Marlins parlay
                                            Comment
                                            • klemopixx
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 10-02-14
                                              • 3806

                                              #23
                                              There's better plays out there than fading Arrieta
                                              Comment
                                              • goduke
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 02-17-10
                                                • 11580

                                                #24
                                                Locke is such garbage though
                                                Comment
                                                • jjgold
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 07-20-05
                                                  • 388189

                                                  #25
                                                  It looks appealing though when you look at those lines when you bet against Jake
                                                  Comment
                                                  • NyanCat
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 04-29-16
                                                    • 53

                                                    #26
                                                    How can you fade Arrieta.. him and the Cubs is such an easy . Free money
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Ghenghis Kahn
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 01-02-12
                                                      • 19735

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by NyanCat
                                                      How can you fade Arrieta.. him and the Cubs is such an easy . Free money
                                                      Comment
                                                      • GreatWallofTrump
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 02-27-16
                                                        • 729

                                                        #28
                                                        I think today is the day. +250.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • iloseagain
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 06-29-10
                                                          • 10682

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by GreatWallofTrump
                                                          I think today is the day. +250.
                                                          how many times have people said this?

                                                          Main reason i dont think they lose today is cubs will not lose 3 of their last 4 HOME games, especially with Arrieta on the mound at home.. But GL if you fade the money train
                                                          Comment
                                                          • pimike
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 03-23-08
                                                            • 37139

                                                            #30
                                                            YES!!!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Chi_archie
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 07-22-08
                                                              • 63165

                                                              #31
                                                              big position on Pirates +2.5 -135
                                                              Comment
                                                              • d2bets
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 08-10-05
                                                                • 39990

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Chi_archie
                                                                big position on Pirates +2.5 -135
                                                                Glutton for punishment.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • iloseagain
                                                                  Restricted User
                                                                  • 06-29-10
                                                                  • 10682

                                                                  #33
                                                                  8-1 final today
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Chi_archie
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 07-22-08
                                                                    • 63165

                                                                    #34
                                                                    walk #1

                                                                    I like Kang's approach

                                                                    guy might get 2 hr's and another walk of this guy today
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • d2bets
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 08-10-05
                                                                      • 39990

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Chi_archie
                                                                      walk #1

                                                                      I like Kang's approach

                                                                      guy might get 2 hr's and another walk of this guy today
                                                                      Walk here and there don't hurt when they can't square you up.
                                                                      Comment
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