(Coll FB) Week 05 plays

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • ChuckyTheGoat
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-04-11
    • 37365

    #1
    (Coll FB) Week 05 plays
    2* TROY +15 1.91: 2 to win 1.82
    2* SO MISS +14 1.95: 2 to win 1.90

    1* Nevada +7.5 1.88: 1 to win .88
    1* AIR FORCE +7.5 1.91: 1 to win .91
    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
  • ChuckyTheGoat
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 04-04-11
    • 37365

    #2
    (For TODAY's game)
    2* Presbyterian +12 1.88: 2 to win 1.76
    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
    Comment
    • ChuckyTheGoat
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 04-04-11
      • 37365

      #3
      2nd unit on AIR FORCE +8 1.95: 1 to win .95
      ...I know they look bad.
      ...Motivation to flip the script with Commander-in-Chief's trophy implications.
      ...Air Force won it in 2022. They looked poised to win it again in 2023 b4 Army upset them.
      ...Navy and Army both currently undefeated. Looks bad, "that's why they play the games."
      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
      Comment
      • Eddy Munny
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 08-13-13
        • 15767

        #4
        Hey numbnuts,

        the week ahead is

        WEEK Six!

        ​Stop being a fukktard about it and get with the program.

        Comment
        • ChuckyTheGoat
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 04-04-11
          • 37365

          #5
          1* UNLV -4 1.91: 1 to win .91
          ...Think we saw that the QB change doesn't really matter.
          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
          Comment
          • Eddy Munny
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 08-13-13
            • 15767

            #6
            Put your dunce cap on.
            Comment
            • ChuckyTheGoat
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 04-04-11
              • 37365

              #7
              1* NORTH CAROLINA +2.5 1.95: 1 to win .95
              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
              Comment
              • ChuckyTheGoat
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 04-04-11
                • 37365

                #8
                2* App St +2.5 1.88: 2 to win 1.76
                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                Comment
                • ChuckyTheGoat
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 04-04-11
                  • 37365

                  #9
                  Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                  (For TODAY's game)
                  2* Presbyterian +12 1.88: 2 to win 1.76
                  Loses by 11. Hang the #. Will keep it in this thread and record it next week.
                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                  Comment
                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 04-04-11
                    • 37365

                    #10
                    1* Iowa +20.5 1.91: 1 to win .91
                    ...McNamara is an upgrade @ QB, compared to their 2023 level of play.
                    ...Hawkeyes look like a true Defensive Dog. Have not yet conceded a rushing TD this year.
                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                    Comment
                    • HAPPY BOY
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 08-10-05
                      • 7109

                      #11
                      testing 1 2
                      Comment
                      • ChuckyTheGoat
                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                        • 04-04-11
                        • 37365

                        #12
                        Originally posted by HAPPY BOY
                        testing 1 2
                        Hey, Happy. Cool avatar.
                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                        Comment
                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 04-04-11
                          • 37365

                          #13
                          Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                          1* NORTH CAROLINA +2.5 1.95: 1 to win .95
                          2nd unit on NORTH CAROL +3 1.92: 1 to win .92
                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                          Comment
                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 04-04-11
                            • 37365

                            #14
                            1* UCLA +28.5 1.91: 1 to win .91
                            ...Bit of a flat-spot for PennSt. Just played versus an undefeated team, critical game next week @USC.
                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                            Comment
                            • veriableodds
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 08-22-17
                              • 5093

                              #15
                              I will be discerning these this week, maybe my brain will improve
                              Comment
                              • ChuckyTheGoat
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 04-04-11
                                • 37365

                                #16
                                2* Michigan +3 1.93: 2 to win 1.86
                                ...First off, I can't believe we're catching the full 3. Line-value looks good.
                                ...MICH beat USC w/o TE Loveland. Loveland returned last week.
                                ...CB Will Johnson missed last game. But he almost played last week, I think he's > 50/50 this week.
                                ...MICH is re-tooling. But WASH is in even more of a re-build. How many key cogs from last year?
                                ...Finally, kicker Zvada is drilling, like having him in a close game. +3 looks good, even if the situation isn't ideal.
                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                Comment
                                • ChuckyTheGoat
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 04-04-11
                                  • 37365

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                  2* App St +2.5 1.88: 2 to win 1.76
                                  3rd unit on App St +3 1.90: 1 to win .90
                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                  Comment
                                  • ChuckyTheGoat
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 04-04-11
                                    • 37365

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                    2nd unit on AIR FORCE +8 1.95: 1 to win .95
                                    ...I know they look bad.
                                    ...Motivation to flip the script with Commander-in-Chief's trophy implications.
                                    ...Air Force won it in 2022. They looked poised to win it again in 2023 b4 Army upset them.
                                    ...Navy and Army both currently undefeated. Looks bad, "that's why they play the games."
                                    Two more units on AIR FORCE +10.5 1.88: 2 to win 1.76.
                                    Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                    Comment
                                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 04-04-11
                                      • 37365

                                      #19
                                      1* KENNESAW ST +16.5 1.86: 1 to win .86
                                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                      Comment
                                      • ChuckyTheGoat
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 04-04-11
                                        • 37365

                                        #20
                                        1* SMU +6.5 2.04: 1 to win 1.04
                                        ...SMU comes off a Home Run year in 2023. They may have been over-priced early in the season.
                                        ...Late last year QB Stone broke his leg. Backup Phillips replaced him and won the Conf championship game vs Tulane.
                                        ...Stone returned from injury this year. But he proved to be not too mobile. Phillips again replaced Stone as the starter.
                                        ...Phillips is more of a dual-threat and really equal to Stone as a passer. The Mustang offense has taken off after the QB switch.
                                        ...Mustangs are talented and rate highly in many position groups. Kicker Rogers has a huge leg. Points looks good to me.
                                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                        Comment
                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 04-04-11
                                          • 37365

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                          1* SMU +6.5 2.04: 1 to win 1.04
                                          ...SMU comes off a Home Run year in 2023. They may have been over-priced early in the season.
                                          ...Late last year QB Stone broke his leg. Backup Phillips replaced him and won the Conf championship game vs Tulane.
                                          ...Stone returned from injury this year. But he proved to be not too mobile. Phillips again replaced Stone as the starter.
                                          ...Phillips is more of a dual-threat and really equal to Stone as a passer. The Mustang offense has taken off after the QB switch.
                                          ...Mustangs are talented and rate highly in many position groups. Kicker Rogers has a huge leg. Points looks good to me.
                                          2nd unit on SMU +7 1.92: 1 to win .92.

                                          1* Duke +10 1.84: 1 to win .84.
                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                          Comment
                                          • veriableodds
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-22-17
                                            • 5093

                                            #22
                                            Great effort on the homework Chuck
                                            Comment
                                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                              • 04-04-11
                                              • 37365

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by veriableodds
                                              Great effort on the homework Chuck
                                              Thx, veri. A lot of labor. Hope it leads to fruition.

                                              I know it looks like a lot of plays. I'm actually showing discretion. If I view a play as borderline, I pass.
                                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                              Comment
                                              • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 04-04-11
                                                • 37365

                                                #24
                                                2* MiamiOH +7 1.91: 2 to win 1.82
                                                ...This play is based on the pre-season expectations and a big difference in YTD Strength of Schedule.
                                                ...MiamiOH's 0-3 start was versus major schools. Toledo did upset MissSt, who now looks like a very low-end SEC team.
                                                ...Toledo saw a lot of talent depart from last year's team. Veteran MiamiOH looks like a value dog in a key MAC game.
                                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                Comment
                                                • veriableodds
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 08-22-17
                                                  • 5093

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                  Thanks, veri. That's a nice filter.

                                                  Was looking at opposite in those four games. Will likely pass those games.

                                                  unbiased looks you may/or not like.
                                                  So the # next to team is the difference between predicted score-vs-opponent and current line spread(possible value). These caught my attention
                                                  kennesaw st/ 8.5
                                                  NC/ 3
                                                  Missouri/ 6.5
                                                  tulsa/ 5
                                                  temple/ 8.5
                                                  Appalachian st/ 4.5
                                                  VT/ 5
                                                  ulm war/ 6.5
                                                  tx tech/ 4
                                                  Comment
                                                  • veriableodds
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 08-22-17
                                                    • 5093

                                                    #26
                                                    Obviously, this is just a list. Homework has to be done...lol
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 04-04-11
                                                      • 37365

                                                      #27
                                                      Thank you, veri. I line up with many of those plays. Some notes:

                                                      *KENN St just lost to an FCS school, nobody will want them. But they're not that far removed from the position Jax St is in. 2nd-year FBS vs 1st-year FBS.

                                                      *North Carolina is a great play. UNC has talent. Pitt rallied to steal two wins, so 4-0 flatters them.

                                                      *Mizzou/AM will be a great game.

                                                      *I've honestly been waiting on Temple. Will see how hard people bet UConn, who is on an ATS streak.

                                                      *Mentioned that people are down on App St. Very dubious that they are +3 in this game.

                                                      *VATech: check the Stanford QB situation. I actually don't like VATech here. Gutted after MIA finish.
                                                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 04-04-11
                                                        • 37365

                                                        #28
                                                        3rd unit on SO MISS +16.5 2.00: 1 to win 1.00

                                                        1* GEORGIA -22 1.92: 1 to win .92
                                                        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 04-04-11
                                                          • 37365

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by ChuckyTheGoat
                                                          1* KENNESAW ST +16.5 1.86: 1 to win .86
                                                          2nd unit on KENN ST +17 1.91: 1 to win .91
                                                          Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 04-04-11
                                                            • 37365

                                                            #30
                                                            1* Northern Ariz +11.5 1.93: 1 to win .93
                                                            ...Said that I'm going to stop posting FCS. But I think this one's worth playing.
                                                            Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                              • 04-04-11
                                                              • 37365

                                                              #31
                                                              (Week): -3.24/7 (heading into Saturday).
                                                              Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 04-04-11
                                                                • 37365

                                                                #32
                                                                1* FLORIDA ST +16 1.94: 1 to win .94
                                                                ...Can QB Glenn possibly be any worse than DJ-U?

                                                                1* WISCONSIN -11 1.94: 1 to win .94
                                                                ...Badgers have turnover at QB/RB. But it looks like a buy-low price.
                                                                Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 04-04-11
                                                                  • 37365

                                                                  #33
                                                                  2nd unit on FLA ST +17.5 1.91: 1 to win .91

                                                                  2nd unit on GEORGIA -21 1.88: 1 to win .88
                                                                  Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • veriableodds
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 08-22-17
                                                                    • 5093

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ChuckyTheGoat
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 04-04-11
                                                                      • 37365

                                                                      #35
                                                                      2* COASTAL CAROL -4 1.92: 2 to win 1.84
                                                                      Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...