president futures are paying big

[terpkeg]

Corrupt or not, there was apparently more fraud potential enabled by the extra ID step.

Just like the USA Australia has an election commission that spends a lot of time verifying the counts and results for integrity. Once the results are ratified and cant be changed they do it.

And just like USA, there has been no evidence of significant voter fraud ever uncovered from those counts.

There is a ton of evidence of election fraud and irregularities in 2020.

A lot of it is summed up here:

https://hereistheevidence.com/

There is an organization, I think they are called True the Vote, still fighting to receive records in GA from 2020 to this day that have been withheld or destroyed by the Election Commission there.

This is not new. From 2016-2020 Democrats screamed election fraud.

Our elections here in the USA are no where close to secure. It is clear. Watch this documentary produced in 2019.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AwSVN_dgio8

Obviously Trump supporters now are the ones claiming fraud because he lost the 2020 election, but is was the dems in 2016. But, more importantly now, it is Republicans trying to take steps to secure elections, and it is Democrats trying to stop them.
Just look how many voters were removed from the voter rolls in these counties:

https://x.com/WallStreetApes/status/1852564989342597398

Why is it only Republicans fitting to clean voter rolls? Shouldn't election integrity be of paramount concern for all?

[terpkeg]

Mail in voting is more susceptible to manipulation than in person voting. It should only be allowed in limited absentee situations. Also, all votes should be counted by the next morning. it is ridiculous the swing states are saying it will take 10 days. This just makes people loss faith in the process. Of course they are going to claim fraud when things do not work out as they wished because the appearance of impropriety is overwhelming. It is going to go both ways like it always has. It is ridiculous.

[str]

what does the right to vote have anything to do with having ID to exercise that right? No one is taking away that right. Its just preventing those who aren't eligible to vote.

Can't speak for all states but you cannot get a voter registration card without having provided all the details and been vetted. No need to be carded again at the booth. Just show the voter registration card.

If all states don't do this, what the hell do they do?

I am all about fair elections but if you win it's fine but if you lose it's rigged is disgraceful to say prior to the election. All that does is get people scared, angry and promote rioting.

Be glad when this shitshow is over with.

[str]

Mail in voting is more susceptible to manipulation than in person voting. It should only be allowed in limited absentee situations. Also, all votes should be counted by the next morning. it is ridiculous the swing states are saying it will take 10 days. This just makes people loss faith in the process. Of course they are going to claim fraud when things do not work out as they wished by the appearance of impropriety is so strong. It is going to go both ways like it always has. It is ridiculous.

Where I live, you must sign your ballot for mail in and your signature is step 1 in verification. If it does not match your drivers license or other parameters, it is tossed out, as well it should be IMO.

[terpkeg]

How about judicial committee Kamala was a part of years ago where the college geeks hacked the voting machines in like 8 minutes. Am I remembering that right? Steven Crowder had people going to the addresses of individuals on the Nevada rolls after 2020 and was finding businesses, vacant buildings, even vacant land! Lot of conservative investigative journalists did this in a multitude of contested counties.
The fact that more and more people are losing faith in our systems here is a good thing because change is needed in order to save the ability of the people to self govern. The corruption is so expansive, this may be the last chance in my opinion.

[terpkeg]

I agree it should be but where these steps followed in 2020? Was there integrity in the election process? And, how many fraudulent registrations were there? There are counties in this country with more registered voters than of age citizens. It's absurd.

[terpkeg]

There are so many things I need identification to complete. Even if they are basic "God given" rights. Need Id to travel certain places, get on planes, drive car, buy certain things, open a bank account, send money by certain means. Yet, ID to vote is too restrictive?

[BOA12]

How about judicial committee Kamala was a part of years ago where the college geeks hacked the voting machines in like 8 minutes. Am I remembering that right? Steven Crowder had people going to the addresses of individuals on the Nevada rolls after 2020 and was finding businesses, vacant buildings, even vacant land! Lot of conservative investigative journalists did this in a multitude of contested counties.
The fact that more and more people are losing faith in our systems here is a good thing because change is needed in order to save the ability of the people to self govern. The corruption is so expansive, this may be the last chance in my opinion.

Repeal Citizens United.

You will find ZERO "members", elected public servants with a R designation after their name, or "the party of


election integrity" of the.0000001% who they ONLY represent, on board to stop this radicalized, corrupt

Supreme Court to END the legal bribery, a good starting point.

[k13]

So if Democrats win it should be exactly 270.
Any book offering exact electrol votes?

[JohnGalt2341]

So if Democrats win it should be exactly 270.
Any book offering exact electrol votes?

This isn't exactly what you are looking for, but it's pretty close. I got this at +350 a couple of weeks ago. I still think it's a pretty good value.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Galt, how do you view your positions going into the last few days? You holding a +EV portfolio? GL.

[JohnGalt2341]

Galt, how do you view your positions going into the last few days? You holding a +EV portfolio? GL.

I feel pretty good about most of my wagers as of right now. I am beating the current prices on almost all of them. There are definitely some that I will lose. But I'm pretty sure that I will make money, and if I lose money, I don't think it will be that much.

I'm not sure yet how much I will be betting LIVE on election night, but I suspect around half of my total election wagers will be done LIVE. So, it's possible that I could still lose quite a few, especially since I'm nearly certain that I will be betting mostly on Dogs.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

I feel pretty good about most of my wagers as of right now. I am beating the current prices on almost all of them. There are definitely some that I will lose. But I'm pretty sure that I will make money, and if I lose money, I don't think it will be that much.

I'm not sure yet how much I will be betting LIVE on election night, but I suspect around half of my total election wagers will be done LIVE. So, it's possible that I could still lose quite a few, especially since I'm nearly certain that I will be betting mostly on Dogs.

Thanks, John. And Good Luck.

Will give one tip. Chance to learn from my past mistakes. On election nite, you see the results come in. It's really about which precincts are reporting. Some precincts are heavy to either Dem or Rep, so the votes might be right on expectation.

I used to see 80% of precincts reported and figure that the State was decided. If the portion of Un-reported is heavy on one side, then the State might still be up for grabs.

[Pareto]

So if Democrats win it should be exactly 270.
Any book offering exact electrol votes?

Bookmaker has this option:

Dems by 0-4 +980

[JohnGalt2341]

Thanks, John. And Good Luck.

Will give one tip. Chance to learn from my past mistakes. On election nite, you see the results come in. It's really about which precincts are reporting. Some precincts are heavy to either Dem or Rep, so the votes might be right on expectation.

I used to see 80% of precincts reported and figure that the State was decided. If the portion of Un-reported is heavy on one side, then the State might still be up for grabs.

Thanks!

You are exactly right!

[JohnGalt2341]

Yawn...

Trump -200. All you need to know. You could have had it at -110. Will be -400 by November

The post above is from July 11th. Call me a cynic, but somehow I don't think this prediction is going to come true. What do you think?

[JohnGalt2341]

BetOnline is giving her roughly a 36% chance at the moment. I honestly expect this to be around 40% or so by election time. I could be wrong.

The post above is from July 23rd. I was wrong about this, indeed. Polymarket is currently giving her a 45.7% chance.

[mcaulay777]

There was a Des Moines Register poll that says Harris is leading by 4 points.She does not have a prayer here Iowa is run by the Rural areas not Des Moines there are no Harris signs anywhere other then the city Trump is -500 in Iowa if i thought it was true i would be all over betting Harris!Not a trumper just looking at it as a betting aspect!

[Itsamazing777]

The post above is from July 11th. Call me a cynic, but somehow I don't think this prediction is going to come true. What do you think?

I'll take Where he is at...

[lakerboy]

I'll take Where he is at...

Line dropped ALOT.

[Itsamazing777]

There was a Des Moines Register poll that says Harris is leading by 4 points.She does not have a prayer here Iowa is run by the Rural areas not Des Moines there are no Harris signs anywhere other then the city Trump is -500 in Iowa if i thought it was true i would be all over betting Harris!Not a trumper just looking at it as a betting aspect!

It's like the commercials where they show a country guy In a truck, who says he's a lifeling republican and voted for Trump the last 2 times, but is now voting for Harris... like anyone believes that... clearly being paid. it's laughable.

[Chi_archie]

uh oh

[Snowball]

Guys I want you to know I have changed my winner for Potus, and it's Trump.

I am not going to go at length here as to all supporting evidence and why, it's not the place for that.

But basically it's this -- Trump is going to win PA because Shapiro and Schmidt are under pressure NOT to allow a rig in Philly.
They are under pressure by a very influential group which they are part of and so is Trump - even though they are not political allies.
As a matter of fact, allowing Trump to in PA is going to be gravy for Shapiro's career prospects.

Result, Trump will win PA and ride to victory.

[GunShard]

Trump needs to win back Arizona and Georgia. Those states were red when he won in 2016 but blue in 2020 when he lost. While locking in the rest of the red states from 2020.

[JohnGalt2341]

Guys I want you to know I have changed my winner for Potus, and it's Trump.

I am not going to go at length here as to all supporting evidence and why, it's not the place for that.

But basically it's this -- Trump is going to win PA because Shapiro and Schmidt are under pressure NOT to allow a rig in Philly.
They are under pressure by a very influential group which they are part of and so is Trump - even though they are not political allies.
As a matter of fact, allowing Trump to in PA is going to be gravy for Shapiro's career prospects.

Result, Trump will win PA and ride to victory.

That's great!!! So... if Harris should happen to win PA, there's no reason for Trumpers to claim that it was rigged... right?

[RudyRuetigger]

Thanks, John. And Good Luck.

Will give one tip. Chance to learn from my past mistakes. On election nite, you see the results come in. It's really about which precincts are reporting. Some precincts are heavy to either Dem or Rep, so the votes might be right on expectation.

I used to see 80% of precincts reported and figure that the State was decided. If the portion of Un-reported is heavy on one side, then the State might still be up for grabs.

Chucky, this is common sense...even f'kin cnn and abc say this

back in the day "miami-dade" used to be the big one

now itll be w/e philly county it is, fulton co georgia, etc

[RudyRuetigger]

I think Harris wins, that fukkin blows

[RudyRuetigger]

No, I said you should bet on Kamala ON election night(likely very late in the evening on Tuesday, November 5th). I posted this multiple times. I should have been clearer for you Trumpers.

If you think I am contradicting myself in ANY way, please quote ANY of my posts, and tell me where I am contradicting myself. Otherwise, you're just making shit up(like Trump does).

you're right, you said ON election night but that's what I was referring to... so you just admitted it

[d2bets]

Chucky, this is common sense...even f'kin cnn and abc say this

back in the day "miami-dade" used to be the big one

now itll be w/e philly county it is, fulton co georgia, etc

The big thing to watch is to see the results by County in the swing states and see how they compare to 2016 and 2020 at similar times and reporting periods.

[RudyRuetigger]

Agree, would be tough to survive without a govt ID in this world.

And honestly, I probably would not have much time for the sort of person who would refuse to have one.

But we still should be free to choose as we wish. Even in most other people think you're wacko for the choice.



I was actually thinking of Canada when I made the comment. I thought you were the same as here. Just had names crossed off from an electoral roll when you entered the voting place. I stand corrected.

Who collects this ID? Do they copy it or just look at it to verify you are who you say you are?

Does it slow down the voting process much?



The reason an ID is not required here is that it is redundant in preventing multiple votes as each name on the roll can only vote once so it does not help to stop that. And in places where ID was required, like Indonesia, they found that it actually encouraged more fraud attempts and dropped it.

Plus it's just seen as an extra impediment to getting the most people to vote as possible.


You're being fed a red herring with this ID stuff.

what the fukkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkkk

hahahahaha


youre joking right?


we know you are a liberal and thats ok. but come on..give me a break

common sense is not in this post anywhere

[RudyRuetigger]

The big thing to watch is to see the results by County in the swing states and see how they compare to 2016 and 2020 at similar times and reporting periods.

Gretchen "witch" Whitmer should be in jail for what she is doing

I don't really see a swing state except for Pennsylvania and I think its going Democrat which will decide the election...too bad because im from there, most of my family lives there and basically all vote democrat


i would love to know yours and galts profession just in general terms..no specifics


as i said numerous times in my past16 years here, i run a golf course

[JohnGalt2341]

Gretchen "witch" Whitmer should be in jail for what she is doing

I don't really see a swing state except for Pennsylvania and I think its going Democrat which will decide the election...too bad because im from there, most of my family lives there and basically all vote democrat


i would love to know yours and galts profession just in general terms..no specifics


as i said numerous times in my past16 years here, i run a golf course

Behavioral Economics

[ninjagorn]

https://www.270towin.com/

Any thoughts about these numbers?

[k13]

Republicans win 287 or Democrats win 270

[DanteNemonic]

Madam Vice is gonna smoke all you fools. North Carolina is going down.

Hopefully you shitbirds are stocked up on whiskey and coke.