president futures are paying big

[JohnGalt2341]

Trump dropping hard on poly now.

Did he peak at 66.6%? Serious question.

[k13]

Did he peak at 66.6%? Serious question.

Yeah around there.

[raiders72001]

Kalshi is a good prediction market since it's US only. More wagers have come in on Trump but the average wager is higher for Harris.

https://kalshi.com/elections

[DwightShrute]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Latest Election Odds <br><br>�� Trump • 66.1% chance<br>�� Harris • 33.9% chance<br><br>5 days to go. <a href="https://t.co/aybIfAMqT7">pic.twitter.com/aybIfAMqT7</a></p>&mdash; Polymarket (@Polymarket) <a href="https://twitter.com/Polymarket/status/1851693999247233345?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >October 30, 2024</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

[RudyRuetigger]

<blockquote class="twitter-tweet"><p lang="en" dir="ltr">Latest Election Odds <br><br>�� Trump • 66.1% chance<br>�� Harris • 33.9% chance<br><br>5 days to go. <a rel="nofollow" href="https://t.co/aybIfAMqT7">pic.twitter.com/aybIfAMqT7</a></p>&mdash; Polymarket (@Polymarket) <a rel="nofollow" href="https://twitter.com/Polymarket/status/1851693999247233345?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw" >October 30, 2024</a></blockquote><script async src="https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js" charset="utf-8"></script>

thats a day ago chief

kamala making a bigly move today on predictit

i see 64% still at poly??

[DwightShrute]

thats a day ago chief

kamala making a bigly move today

ya think?

I read that Nearly 30% Of Activity On Polymarket Found To Be Fake. So who really knows I guess.

[RudyRuetigger]

ya think?

I read that Nearly 30% Of Activity On Polymarket Found To Be Fake. So who really knows I guess.

well i checked predictit first and hes around 55%, then checked this thread, then checked poly

isnt poly still at 64?

so you are saying predictit is more reliable?

i guess trump canceled a rally in PA and moved 2 to wisconsin? is he giving up on pa??

[DwightShrute]

well i checked predictit first and hes around 55%, then checked this thread, then checked poly

isnt poly still at 64?

so you are saying predictit is more reliable?

i guess trump canceled a rally in PA and moved 2 to wisconsin? is he giving up on pa??

I don't know how reliable any of those markets are. They are anonymous aren't they? The only think I can see is that Trump is gaining all over the place. He was plus money a month ago and now Trump is -189 at Bookmaker.


he was just in PA wasn't he? I bet he goes back before Tuesday. who knows.

[k13]

61.5% poly
Hmmm.

[d2bets]

Harris sub-34% to almost 40% at Poly in the last 12 hours.

[raiders72001]

ya think?

I read that Nearly 30% Of Activity On Polymarket Found To Be Fake. So who really knows I guess.

I don't think the action on polymarket is fake. All the transactions are on a blockchain. There's one huge whale from France with 4 accounts that has around $45m on Trump. The total volume of bets has been $2.8b.

I'm definitely not an election expert but this is what I've been watching.

Poly 62% Trump. Semi-anonymous. All transactions can be traced. It's fairly easy to find out identities since transactions are coming through Kraken and other crypto exchanges that are regulated.
Kalshi 61% Trump. It's US only and regulated. More bets are on Trump but the average bet is higher for Kamala.
Predicit 55% Trump. US only, regulated with a max bet of $850. Throughout the whole time that Trump's been favored, Predicit had it by the lowest margin compared to others.

[raiders72001]

AtlasIntel was the most accurate pollster in terms of the national vote in the last two election cycles, 2020 and 2022. They overestimated Joe Biden by 0.2 points in 2020, then overestimated the Republicans by 0.3 points in 2022.
Their latest poll came out this weekend, 19 October. In their head-to-head match-up, Donald Trump is still leading Kamala Harris in the popular vote, by 2.7 points this time.

[lakerboy]

Why has bet online NEVER offered a similar option for the Democrats?

[k13]

Good possibility Trump losses Michigan and Wisconsin then Pennsylvania gets stolen and that's the end of the election.

[d2bets]

Good possibility Trump losses Michigan and Wisconsin then Pennsylvania gets stolen and that's the end of the election.

Is it possible for Trump to actually lose PA without it being "stolen"?

[semibluff]

Why has bet online NEVER offered a similar option for the Democrats?

Is Trump 300-329 different from Harris 209-238?

[RudyRuetigger]

Is it possible for Trump to actually lose PA without it being "stolen"?

Why would some states not need an ID to vote?

[d2bets]

Why would some states not need an ID to vote?

Were you trying to answer my question?

[RudyRuetigger]

Were you trying to answer my question?

im asking you a question

[d2bets]

im asking you a question

Answer my question first.

[RudyRuetigger]

Answer my question first.

bro, you didnt ask me a question

i asked you why some states dont require ID..that was the first question in our conversation

[d2bets]

I posted a question. You replied to my question that I posted. If I answer your question, will you answer mine?

[lakerboy]

Is Trump 300-329 different from Harris 209-238?

I don't know because I don't see odds on Harris for the numbers you mentioned. I was hoping someone can answer my question though.

[RudyRuetigger]

im not playing games on here to get banned...sorry this thread was sidetracked by my question

I don't know because I don't see odds on Harris for the numbers you mentioned. I was hoping someone can answer my question though.

you can pretty much bet any side with the numbers posted

i dont know why they only listed republicans...maybe just lazy

[k13]

Is it possible for Trump to actually lose PA without it being "stolen"?

Not with the type of people involved.

[d2bets]

Not with the type of people involved.

Type of people meaning PA voters? Or wth are you talking about? I'm asking if it's possible for Harris to receive more votes in PA?

[RudyRuetigger]

Type of people meaning PA voters? Or wth are you talking about? I'm asking if it's possible for Harris to receive more votes in PA?

look, you are a piece of shit.

you and your brother played 3 way poker here against many people (mainly me) when points meant something

you are a scammer so why wouldnt you back scammers? i have no doubt you work for the government because you are a lowlife piece of shit

probably a womens studies professor

[JohnGalt2341]

Is it possible for Trump to actually lose PA without it being "stolen"?

Harris's Line at BetOnline at the moment in PA is +110. So... if she wins PA, it will clearly be stolen. Such a large Dog has never ever won anything EVER.


Let me just point out a few "stolen" NFL games, from last week alone, along with their closing prices from Pinny.

LA Rams +124 beat the Vikes
Philadelphia Eagles +137 clobbered Cinci
Cleveland +254 beat the Ravens
Patriots +287 beat the Jets
Arizona +190 beat Miami


All of these games were obviously stolen. Anyone with any sense should be able to see that. Anyone that says otherwise has clearly been brainwashed.

Harris is currently +110 for PA at BetOnline. No way in hell could a Dog that large win legitimately. It couldn't possibly happen. If a pathological liar says that it's stolen, it's stolen. It's as simple as that.

[RudyRuetigger]

Harris is currently +110 for PA at BetOnline. No way in hell could a Dog that large win legitimately. It couldn't possibly happen. If a pathological liar says that it's stolen, it's stolen. It's as simple as that.

shes only at that line because of what is going on with voting regulations within the state

what happened in bucks county galt? supreme court had to rule

[lakerboy]

im not playing games on here to get banned...sorry this thread was sidetracked by my question


you can pretty much bet any side with the numbers posted

i dont know why they only listed republicans...maybe just lazy

Bet online isn't lazy. They are sharp. They don't like giving money away.

[RudyRuetigger]

Bet online isn't lazy. They are sharp. They don't like giving money away.

every single line can be voted on....you can take kamala to win by whatever margin just by betting the opposite of trump

[JohnGalt2341]

shes only at that line because of what is going on with voting regulations within the state

what happened in bucks county galt? supreme court had to rule

Feel free to tell me what happened in bucks county.


Here's something you Trumpers should consider, should your hero lose next week. I'll just ask a few questions and maybe you'll be able to figure it out on your own.

#1 Do you think Trump is getting more votes from Women or Men?
#2 Are there more Women or Men on SBR?(who gambles more online?)
#3 Who do you think is betting on the election more, Women or Men?
#4 Do you think MAYBE the answers to the above questions MIGHT make the prices on Trump not exactly sharp?
#5 If you answered Men(or Yes) to 3 or more of the above questions, where do you think the value is at when it comes to this election, Trump or Harris?

[lakerboy]

Went into bookmaker. They clearly tell me why bet online isn't willing to offer odds on different democratic electoral votes.

[RudyRuetigger]

Feel free to tell me what happened in bucks county.


Here's something you Trumpers should consider, should your hero lose next week. I'll just ask a few questions and maybe you'll be able to figure it out on your own.

#1 Do you think Trump is getting more votes from Women or Men?
#2 Are there more Women or Men on SBR?(who gambles more online?)
#3 Who do you think is betting on the election more, Women or Men?
#4 Do you think MAYBE the answers to the above questions MIGHT make the prices on Trump not exactly sharp?
#5 If you answered YES to 3 more of the above questions, where do you think the value is at when it comes to this election, Trump or Harris?

why dont you tell me why you dont need an ID to vote?

do you think that is ok?

[RudyRuetigger]

i would love to know galts and dumb2bets profession

no doubt its within govt

once kamala wins, there will be no more elections due to immigration and guess what, no other country is coming to save USA