Not again? Another low total Army v. Navy u28!?

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  • Headsterx
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-03-16
    • 23041

    #1
    Not again? Another low total Army v. Navy u28!?
    It's not as low as Iowa game total u25 in which under won but damn these football games are so low. Yeah, I know these Army/Navy games are generally low scoring but can the over win tomorrow?
  • bjb7223
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-03-12
    • 10349

    #2
    Originally posted by Headsterx
    It's not as low as Iowa game total u25 in which under won but damn these football games are so low. Yeah, I know these Army/Navy games are generally low scoring but can the over win tomorrow?
    take the Under
    Comment
    • stevenash
      Moderator
      • 01-17-11
      • 65591

      #3
      Dunno, you can score 14 points by accident.
      No play, lean over.
      Comment
      • ChuckyTheGoat
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 04-04-11
        • 37422

        #4
        Two trends to consider:

        1) People know about these Academy totals going Under.
        ...The trends are known. People are pretty handcuffed to going Under or Pass.

        2) One thing I picked up on for this year. Both Army/Navy are averaging more Pass Yards per game than normal. About 100 ypg each.
        ...Doesn't sound like much. Could be a factor.
        ...In the past, these teams effectively ran identical offenses. If the Triple Option is what you're running in practice, the defense is going to be very well-prepared for those plays
        ...Could be a little more wide-open. Consider the trend from item 1 and reduced #. Very hard to get this Under home.
        Where's the fuckin power box, Carol?
        Comment
        • Mr KLC
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 12-19-07
          • 31097

          #5
          Going to bet it live. If it goes down a TD, I'll take the over. If it goes up to about 31.5 or 32, I'll take the under.
          Comment
          • texhooper
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 01-05-09
            • 10001

            #6
            These teams exploded for 37 last year. I think the world rights itself tomorrow and under is the play.

            I’m considering making it my Armed Forces…Gameuhdayear!
            Comment
            • actiondan
              SBR MVP
              • 10-16-10
              • 3442

              #7
              overtime killed my under last year. no not bitter about it
              Comment
              • hehfest
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-28-08
                • 7934

                #8
                I second Nash. These 2 teams run offenses suited for a low scoring game, but they also plan big plays due to the rivalry. The low total can be misleading. Like ActionDan, I too, had the under last year and got the burn. I don't know. If I don't have much of an angle its a no bet.
                Comment
                • gojetsgomoxies
                  SBR MVP
                  • 09-04-12
                  • 4222

                  #9
                  Why did this game's total go down so.much this year?

                  Is it because of all the Iowa games conditioning the market to low totals?
                  Prior years this game is a stand-alone novelty.. Other 2 service academy games not as low scoring consistently
                  Comment
                  • stevenash
                    Moderator
                    • 01-17-11
                    • 65591

                    #10
                    I'm starting to think the under was dead money before the opening kickoff.
                    Who knows, there may be some fireworks in the 2H, but I can't see it.
                    Comment
                    • texhooper
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 01-05-09
                      • 10001

                      #11
                      Holy llama tyts that was close!

                      The ARMED FORCES…GAMEUHDAYEAR! Cannot be denied though
                      Comment
                      • Housemoney
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-17-09
                        • 3912

                        #12
                        Originally posted by texhooper
                        Holy llama tyts that was close!

                        The ARMED FORCES…GAMEUHDAYEAR! Cannot be denied though
                        It was a push, or did you hit it live?
                        Comment
                        • texhooper
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-05-09
                          • 10001

                          #13
                          I got 28.5 about a half hour before the game.
                          Comment
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